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Superbowl Sunday

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theclaw

All-Star

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 12177

Posted: Jan. 29, 2014 - 9:38 PM ET #101

Quote Originally Posted by DRIBBLE4LIFE:

With all due respect, most of you have no clue about sports. PERIOD. Much less about betting and how the whole establishment works. I do not care about your stats, such as:

Seattle is 310-5 ATS when the wind hill factor is minus 2-----or any of that other crap.

DENVER WINS THE SUPER BOWL STRAIGHT UP. MONEY LINE.

Stop reaching over your shoulder to scratch your behind. Want to know why Denver wins?

Because the NFL needs them to win. Jonathan Martin, Lawsuits by ex-NFL players, controversial rule changes that have soured on most fans, etc. Very bad PR year for the league. They need a feel-good story to win some fans back.

Super Bowl is being played ni the very stadium where Peyton's brother plies his trade. What could be more fitting? I can almost read the headline in the Daily News, the next day:

"The House that Manning's Built."

So please stop your jibberish about Seatle and its vaunted defense. They will not win with Wilson under center. Of course, Baltimore won 2 with Flacco, so anything is possible. However, this is Peyton's year. Mark it down, place your bets on the ML, and a simple thank you will suffice.

Good day to you all.

Interesting write-up.

Everyone of these conspiracy theories I've seen written BEFORE the game have lost.

theclaw

All-Star

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 12177

Posted: Jan. 29, 2014 - 9:43 PM ET #102

Quote Originally Posted by DRIBBLE4LIFE:

All bickering aside, trust me, Denver wins. Seattle looks good, but Wilson is not that "get you over the hump QB". He's not facing Eli, or Flacco. He's facing perhaps the greatest QB of all time, when it comes to rattling opposing defenses. Wilson will have a good game, I think, simply because Denver's D is not the best. However, they have been playing steadily better to close the season, and are peaking at the right time. In contrast, Seattle's offense is clearly deficient. They have trouble moving the ball. PERIOD. Their biggest play is "handoff to Lynch". I know Seattle has a great D, as everyone knows. However, Denver does not commit to one receiver. Sherman is not Plastic Man. Peyton will demolish their secondary. BANK ON IT.

Seattle averaged 23 pts in the playoffs.

Denver ave 25 pts.

Seattle needed 88.9 yards to score a TD.

Denver needed 121.8 yards to score a TD.

And you think Seattle's offense is deficient ?

theclaw

All-Star

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 12177

Posted: Jan. 29, 2014 - 9:46 PM ET #103

Quote Originally Posted by Crusher13:

And you don't think MANNING realizes this? I AM SURE PEYTON IS LICKING HIS CHOPS THAT THIS IS TRUE

How can you and all the SEATTLE backers here on COVERS go against one of the VERY VERY BEST QB's in our lifetime whose expertise is exploiting this exact scenario

I just don't understand all the UNDERDOG Hawk LOVE when EXPERIENCE should rule the day, especially in a contest that means soooo much more to PEYTON

Russell will get his, just not yet. Hawks might COVER but DENVER, should, undoubtedly, WIN...Good luck with all your SB wagers..some GREAT prop opportunities

Experience rules the day ?

When a previous SB winning QB plays a QB in the SB for the first time, the SB winning QB is 0-6 ATS since 2000.

amd

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 33110

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 12:00 AM ET #104

Keep em coming, Claw

cesimmns

Rookie

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 872

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 12:34 AM ET #105

The claw is the covers forum ninja

dontbookme

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 4727

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 12:44 AM ET #106

best of luck bro... leaning Seahawks myself.. Really not having that strong feeling either way though..

I'm the idiot that has ridden tails the last 10 years.. got the L across the forehead on that one..

CalBear

Hall of Fame

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 21426

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 1:01 AM ET #107

Lets do it

fred69

Rookie

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 596

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 8:48 AM ET #108

AMD- you may have mentioned it already but was gonna see what your thoughts were on the total? Think it is @ 47 right now. Thanks in advance! Always like your input

DAVIDN

Hall of Fame

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 22444

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 11:28 AM ET #109

Best of luck buddy.

Henry-Lilly

All-Star

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 10502

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 11:34 AM ET #110

Quote Originally Posted by amd:

There isnt a thing that Manning doesnt understand. And, if one person can singlehandedly win a game, its Manning. I just think Seattle is a more complete team. Seattles offense just doesnt get any respect even though they averaged 26 points per game this season which is pretty good considering they are primarily a rushing team and they didnt turn the ball over. But, back to Manning. Yes, he won a SB but why gas he struggled so much in the postseason over his entire career?

Seattle +3 (-115) is a very strong pick. I'm not knocking your pick in anyway and I'd be very pleased with that number if I had it. Just wanted to point out that Seattle's offense did not average 26 points a game this year. Seattle as a team averaged 26 points a game. Their defense was very opportunistic and scored a lot of points this year. Yes, the casual bettor can say, "at the end of the game 26 points is 26 points anyway you can get them ." But as you correctly pointed out earlier, the seasoned bettor understands these games are about matchups. Will Seattle's defense be able to force Denver's offense into the mistakes that lead to defensive scores? If they are to get to 26 points it's likely they'll need to. Should be a great matchup and a great Superbowl.

Good luck, AMD

amd

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 33110

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 12:26 PM ET #111

Quote Originally Posted by Henry-Lilly:

Seattle +3 (-115) is a very strong pick. I'm not knocking your pick in anyway and I'd be very pleased with that number if I had it. Just wanted to point out that Seattle's offense did not average 26 points a game this year. Seattle as a team averaged 26 points a game. Their defense was very opportunistic and scored a lot of points this year. Yes, the casual bettor can say, "at the end of the game 26 points is 26 points anyway you can get them ." But as you correctly pointed out earlier, the seasoned bettor understands these games are about matchups. Will Seattle's defense be able to force Denver's offense into the mistakes that lead to defensive scores? If they are to get to 26 points it's likely they'll need to. Should be a great matchup and a great Superbowl.

Good luck, AMD

very well stated, Henry, I have to agree with everything you mentioned. Your perspective was definitely worth the read

amd

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 33110

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 12:45 PM ET #112

Quote Originally Posted by fred69:

AMD- you may have mentioned it already but was gonna see what your thoughts were on the total? Think it is @ 47 right now. Thanks in advance! Always like your input

Thanks for posting, Freddy. I like the under 47. I believe Seattle slows Denver down by playing between the 20's. I havent checked the prop for total fg's/gm but thats a prop Id be interested in knowing. I think with the combination of both teams running the ball and both Qbs passing efficiency, this game has the potential to be played quickly. Good luck

MikeF11

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 252

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 2:43 PM ET #113

In the last four games (which includes the postseason wins against the San Diego Chargers and Patriots), Denver has given up an average of 15 points and a mere 268.5 yards a contest. What’s more, no opponent has cracked the 20-point barrier, which is more than enough for Manning to work with. All of a sudden, this once-maligned defense that ranked 27th in the league in passing yards allowed per game looks rather stifling. Wilson is no Rivers or Brady.

cesimmns

Rookie

Joined: Aug, 2012

Posts: 872

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 4:26 PM ET #114

MikeF.. Denver was at home those two games in nice weather and had been beaten by both of those teams earlier in the season. They haven't seen the Hawks this year obviously and the hawks present a much different attack than NE and SD. They also have much more talent than NE and SD

GL amd

Michfan15

All-Star

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 11316

Posted: Jan. 30, 2014 - 5:31 PM ET #115

Quote Originally Posted by amd:

Seattle +3 -115.

Ill be hammering Seattle until kickoff.....and, heads wins the cointoss.

just wanted to drop in and give you some much deserved and belated props for your michigan rant before the KSU game and for nailing that game so accurately...BOL on sunday amd

djcbulls23

All-Star

Joined: Jan, 2010

Posts: 13323

Posted: Jan. 31, 2014 - 3:26 PM ET #116

BOL sunday AMD

HoldingXYZ

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2013

Posts: 6667

Posted: Jan. 31, 2014 - 3:29 PM ET #117

Amd,

Alot of international money will be pouring in on Denver...

Same side here...

Go hawks!!

YoungMoolaBaby

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2010

Posts: 1484

Posted: Feb. 1, 2014 - 1:56 AM ET #118

AMD....you're better than this thread...cmon bro.

Betting against manning and this offense, really? Wake up dude

pinoy1da

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 6156

Posted: Feb. 1, 2014 - 2:24 AM ET #119

bonfire69

All-Star

Joined: May, 2007

Posts: 11123

Posted: Feb. 1, 2014 - 2:25 AM ET #120

amd

Legend

Joined: Jan, 2008

Posts: 33110

Posted: Feb. 1, 2014 - 2:40 AM ET #121

Quote Originally Posted by YoungMoolaBaby:

AMD....you're better than this thread...cmon bro.

Betting against manning and this offense, really? Wake up dude

Im with you, I havent bet against him too many times in his career, however, this may be the first time in recent memory that Im relatively comfortable in doing so. Have a good one