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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    phixer's gimme shelter nfl week 8

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    brandone
    Cappincrunch77
    NeverMind
    snowman76
    JonnyTwoTime
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    brandone
    brandone
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 4:47 PM ET #276

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    and special thanks to lucca brazzi for motivating me! 

    Give credit where credit is due!  

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    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    and special thanks to lucca brazzi for motivating me! 

    Give credit where credit is due!  

     
    Cappincrunch77
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 4:48 PM ET #277

    My last thought. Assuming I'm correct (please don't assume that lol). And the panthers do cover....

    The battle between the league for ratings and the books for pickpocketing will come forth tonight. After last nights lopsided low scoring affair (snooze fest as non football fans would call it) I think the league will be pressing to have some fireworks tonight. With the panthers defense and luck with sore ribs being two hot topics. It might be a night when both the league and Vegas form an aggreement and let the dreaded public "favorite and the over" parlay to cash. It has to hit sometimes, and I think tonight would be minimal damage as far as the books are concerned and the nfl gets a great prime time show. The panthers get the cover in a fashion less predictable? 

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    My last thought. Assuming I'm correct (please don't assume that lol). And the panthers do cover....

    The battle between the league for ratings and the books for pickpocketing will come forth tonight. After last nights lopsided low scoring affair (snooze fest as non football fans would call it) I think the league will be pressing to have some fireworks tonight. With the panthers defense and luck with sore ribs being two hot topics. It might be a night when both the league and Vegas form an aggreement and let the dreaded public "favorite and the over" parlay to cash. It has to hit sometimes, and I think tonight would be minimal damage as far as the books are concerned and the nfl gets a great prime time show. The panthers get the cover in a fashion less predictable? 

     
    Cappincrunch77
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 5:01 PM ET #278

    Quote Originally Posted by Wa6110:

    I see no reason to jump the gun as this line will likely hold strong. They have done enough work to start the conversation, now it's time to let the story play out a little. I have also learned to be patient and wait for Phix's insight. To not seek advice from a guy who is a proven winner would be a poor decision. Why not use all information at our dispense? I have also found over the last two years of reading his thread that, when he is on the same side as me I rarely lose. And when we disagree the scale is definetly tipped in his favor. Bol to all
    ????????????

     

    lol My bad I thought you said "will you join me on the panthers and the under" but my play is definitely not locked in until I've heard what this big dawg has to say .... not posting picks in his forum just trying to bounce the ball around a little before he drops some knowledge on us lol

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    Quote Originally Posted by Wa6110:

    I see no reason to jump the gun as this line will likely hold strong. They have done enough work to start the conversation, now it's time to let the story play out a little. I have also learned to be patient and wait for Phix's insight. To not seek advice from a guy who is a proven winner would be a poor decision. Why not use all information at our dispense? I have also found over the last two years of reading his thread that, when he is on the same side as me I rarely lose. And when we disagree the scale is definetly tipped in his favor. Bol to all
    ????????????

     

    lol My bad I thought you said "will you join me on the panthers and the under" but my play is definitely not locked in until I've heard what this big dawg has to say .... not posting picks in his forum just trying to bounce the ball around a little before he drops some knowledge on us lol

     
    Cappincrunch77
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 5:12 PM ET #279

    Do you think it is coincidence that they have laid a total of exactly 46? A number that two far superior offenses failed to cover less than 24 hours ago? 
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    Do you think it is coincidence that they have laid a total of exactly 46? A number that two far superior offenses failed to cover less than 24 hours ago? 
     
    NeverMind
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 5:30 PM ET #280

    Cappin, I think you have valid points here. The big showdown last night was somewhat of a snooze fest considering both are supposed to have high-octane offenses. Now Carolina which is known for their defense gets a struggling Colts team on the road which means a low scoring affair, right? Factor the rain and it's certainly gonna be under the total....wrong! I also notice the same thing with the total nearly exactly the same as last week's game vs PHI when the under cashed in. 

    Looks like the over is the play here, along with Panthers. 
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    Cappin, I think you have valid points here. The big showdown last night was somewhat of a snooze fest considering both are supposed to have high-octane offenses. Now Carolina which is known for their defense gets a struggling Colts team on the road which means a low scoring affair, right? Factor the rain and it's certainly gonna be under the total....wrong! I also notice the same thing with the total nearly exactly the same as last week's game vs PHI when the under cashed in. 

    Looks like the over is the play here, along with Panthers. 
     
    Cappincrunch77
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 5:39 PM ET #281

    Lol. Guarantee he's going to come in here and crush is with Indy and the under lmao
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    Lol. Guarantee he's going to come in here and crush is with Indy and the under lmao
     
    snowman76
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 5:54 PM ET #282

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    and special thanks to lucca brazzi for motivating me! 


    Yo Phix,  havent been able to spend much time on here lately,  still down in west palm beach,  epic halloween party, Lucca Brazzi is obviously someone that has been thrown off and we would recognize his old name if we knew it,  i lost ATL yest but caught a few others for a + day,  studying something new that has worked this and last week, TONIGHT

    INDY +6.5  -115   half unit,  575 to win 500,  will add more if Indy gets behind early
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    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    and special thanks to lucca brazzi for motivating me! 


    Yo Phix,  havent been able to spend much time on here lately,  still down in west palm beach,  epic halloween party, Lucca Brazzi is obviously someone that has been thrown off and we would recognize his old name if we knew it,  i lost ATL yest but caught a few others for a + day,  studying something new that has worked this and last week, TONIGHT

    INDY +6.5  -115   half unit,  575 to win 500,  will add more if Indy gets behind early
     
    JonnyTwoTime
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 5:57 PM ET #283

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    i love haters.... they extra motivate me....
    i wish they were more consistent in their hate and didn't disappear right away after the wins.... they hate us because they ain't us


    Are you serious? When you are winning you love the haters. When you have a bad day you warn the haters you are just about done posting if they keep it up.
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    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    i love haters.... they extra motivate me....
    i wish they were more consistent in their hate and didn't disappear right away after the wins.... they hate us because they ain't us


    Are you serious? When you are winning you love the haters. When you have a bad day you warn the haters you are just about done posting if they keep it up.
     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 6:08 PM ET #284


    Tricky game, the question is who will win tonight the Joes or the Pros?

    The Joes did get pounded with the Pack and Under last night and fresh in their mind is the Carolina stomping of the Eagles on prime time last Sunday Night. They should be on Carolina tonight.

    The Joes need to win once in a while to be kept in the game, Joes for the most part cashed at 1pm CLE, PIT, SF but lost a lot back and probably then some @ 4PM Raiders and then SNF Pack and OVER.

    All in all it was a great day for Vegas with the Joes on the losing end, pros held their own on what I believe is the +$ column.

    Gun to my head? The Joes pull it out and whoever bet the line down to -5.5 gets smoked tonight. Panthers small.


    I won 8 units Saturday CFB & MLB and 25 units yesterday mostly on MLB and the Raiders, Broncos, Under Broncos (Thanks Phix) and Cowboys - up 30 units on the week, not betting anything tonight, time to buy a Surface Pro 4...

    GLTA and Thanks Phix!






    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Tricky game, the question is who will win tonight the Joes or the Pros?

    The Joes did get pounded with the Pack and Under last night and fresh in their mind is the Carolina stomping of the Eagles on prime time last Sunday Night. They should be on Carolina tonight.

    The Joes need to win once in a while to be kept in the game, Joes for the most part cashed at 1pm CLE, PIT, SF but lost a lot back and probably then some @ 4PM Raiders and then SNF Pack and OVER.

    All in all it was a great day for Vegas with the Joes on the losing end, pros held their own on what I believe is the +$ column.

    Gun to my head? The Joes pull it out and whoever bet the line down to -5.5 gets smoked tonight. Panthers small.


    I won 8 units Saturday CFB & MLB and 25 units yesterday mostly on MLB and the Raiders, Broncos, Under Broncos (Thanks Phix) and Cowboys - up 30 units on the week, not betting anything tonight, time to buy a Surface Pro 4...

    GLTA and Thanks Phix!






     
    mandy1
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 6:09 PM ET #285

    Cappincrunch77 Take a break!
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    Cappincrunch77 Take a break!
     
    Cappincrunch77
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 6:20 PM ET #286

    Every play I make I wager over 1k of my hard earned cash. Please forgive me for going to a sports betting thread (the best one I have found to date) to discuss it before I make my wager. Moron. 
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    Every play I make I wager over 1k of my hard earned cash. Please forgive me for going to a sports betting thread (the best one I have found to date) to discuss it before I make my wager. Moron. 
     
    jthay3
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 6:27 PM ET #287

    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:


    Tricky game, the question is who will win tonight the Joes or the Pros?

    The Joes did get pounded with the Pack and Under last night and fresh in their mind is the Carolina stomping of the Eagles on prime time last Sunday Night. They should be on Carolina tonight.

    The Joes need to win once in a while to be kept in the game, Joes for the most part cashed at 1pm CLE, PIT, SF but lost a lot back and probably then some @ 4PM Raiders and then SNF Pack and OVER.

    All in all it was a great day for Vegas with the Joes on the losing end, pros held their own on what I believe is the +$ column.

    Gun to my head? The Joes pull it out and whoever bet the line down to -5.5 gets smoked tonight. Panthers small.


    I won 8 units Saturday CFB & MLB and 25 units yesterday mostly on MLB and the Raiders, Broncos, Under Broncos (Thanks Phix) and Cowboys - up 30 units on the week, not betting anything tonight, time to buy a Surface Pro 4...

    GLTA and Thanks Phix!







    Im ready to pull the trigger on a surface book. might wait for the 3rd wave tho as it usually takes microsoft 3 times to get something nice and right
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    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:


    Tricky game, the question is who will win tonight the Joes or the Pros?

    The Joes did get pounded with the Pack and Under last night and fresh in their mind is the Carolina stomping of the Eagles on prime time last Sunday Night. They should be on Carolina tonight.

    The Joes need to win once in a while to be kept in the game, Joes for the most part cashed at 1pm CLE, PIT, SF but lost a lot back and probably then some @ 4PM Raiders and then SNF Pack and OVER.

    All in all it was a great day for Vegas with the Joes on the losing end, pros held their own on what I believe is the +$ column.

    Gun to my head? The Joes pull it out and whoever bet the line down to -5.5 gets smoked tonight. Panthers small.


    I won 8 units Saturday CFB & MLB and 25 units yesterday mostly on MLB and the Raiders, Broncos, Under Broncos (Thanks Phix) and Cowboys - up 30 units on the week, not betting anything tonight, time to buy a Surface Pro 4...

    GLTA and Thanks Phix!







    Im ready to pull the trigger on a surface book. might wait for the 3rd wave tho as it usually takes microsoft 3 times to get something nice and right
     
    Bcboyz
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 6:34 PM ET #288

    Well great for you I lost my money so it's on me. , lol jut a bad run.  GL guys 
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    Well great for you I lost my money so it's on me. , lol jut a bad run.  GL guys 
     
    ROCKETS713
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 6:47 PM ET #289

    Quote Originally Posted by JonnyTwoTime:



    Are you serious? When you are winning you love the haters. When you have a bad day you warn the haters you are just about done posting if they keep it up.

    Efn zombies in this thread. I love to smoke till I can't anymore then come read some of the stuff posted here. Pure comedy GOLD. 

    Not judging anybody here btw. I use this thread too. BUT if yall aren't finding some of the stuff being said here beyond belief,,,, come to my house and then get on here. It's like a whole different world!!! 
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    Quote Originally Posted by JonnyTwoTime:



    Are you serious? When you are winning you love the haters. When you have a bad day you warn the haters you are just about done posting if they keep it up.

    Efn zombies in this thread. I love to smoke till I can't anymore then come read some of the stuff posted here. Pure comedy GOLD. 

    Not judging anybody here btw. I use this thread too. BUT if yall aren't finding some of the stuff being said here beyond belief,,,, come to my house and then get on here. It's like a whole different world!!! 
     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 6:49 PM ET #290

    Quote Originally Posted by jthay3:


    Im ready to pull the trigger on a surface book. might wait for the 3rd wave tho as it usually takes microsoft 3 times to get something nice and right
    I am only in the US a few times a year - Thanksgiving and then not until June - I can't wait till June as my desktop lost half its RAM and my laptop is on its last leg - Both have served me greatly since 2007.

    So I need something decent to connect to work that can also run a big monitor and has enough balls for some decent local work should the need arise. I also have a cloud server and Win7 machine so attaching and working on those from a docked Pro 4 with full KB and mouse while being able travel well will do me just right.

    Surfacebook looks nice but too much $ and too big for my needs, I don't need all the power and yes, it's the first one. I think I'm pulling the trigger on the Surface Pro 4 i5 512SSD/16GB - that should be good for me for 4+ years.


    And now back to sports gambling - line moving away from Carolina, seeing some 6s out there....


    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by jthay3:


    Im ready to pull the trigger on a surface book. might wait for the 3rd wave tho as it usually takes microsoft 3 times to get something nice and right
    I am only in the US a few times a year - Thanksgiving and then not until June - I can't wait till June as my desktop lost half its RAM and my laptop is on its last leg - Both have served me greatly since 2007.

    So I need something decent to connect to work that can also run a big monitor and has enough balls for some decent local work should the need arise. I also have a cloud server and Win7 machine so attaching and working on those from a docked Pro 4 with full KB and mouse while being able travel well will do me just right.

    Surfacebook looks nice but too much $ and too big for my needs, I don't need all the power and yes, it's the first one. I think I'm pulling the trigger on the Surface Pro 4 i5 512SSD/16GB - that should be good for me for 4+ years.


    And now back to sports gambling - line moving away from Carolina, seeing some 6s out there....


     
    barneybeans
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 6:52 PM ET #291

    And now some 5s - this line is wiggling big time - probably Vegas just looking for interest - this is a pretty ho hum game IMHO.
    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    And now some 5s - this line is wiggling big time - probably Vegas just looking for interest - this is a pretty ho hum game IMHO.
     
    T-nguyen
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 7:01 PM ET #292

    Why dont we just stand by and wait for phixer to get us hot pick for tonight! Thanks for your hard work phixer
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    Why dont we just stand by and wait for phixer to get us hot pick for tonight! Thanks for your hard work phixer
     
    chickenheadant
    chickenheadant
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 7:04 PM ET #293

    i'm a little confused about the before and after bets. 

    time of first score before 5:00 minutes means you're betting for a team to score within 5:00-12:00 or 0:00 4:59?
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    i'm a little confused about the before and after bets. 

    time of first score before 5:00 minutes means you're betting for a team to score within 5:00-12:00 or 0:00 4:59?
     
    chickenheadant
    chickenheadant
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 7:05 PM ET #294

    15:00***
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    15:00***
     
    Twist
    Twist
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 7:08 PM ET #295

    He said the play is over 45.5
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    He said the play is over 45.5
     
    TheGeneral01
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 7:09 PM ET #296

    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    and special thanks to lucca brazzi for motivating me! 

    LUCCA BRAZZI Is a PICKLE SMOOCHER 

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    Quote Originally Posted by phixer:

    and special thanks to lucca brazzi for motivating me! 

    LUCCA BRAZZI Is a PICKLE SMOOCHER 

     
    JonnyTwoTime
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 7:12 PM ET #297

    Quote Originally Posted by ROCKETS713:


    Efn zombies in this thread. I love to smoke till I can't anymore then come read some of the stuff posted here. Pure comedy GOLD. 

    Not judging anybody here btw. I use this thread too. BUT if yall aren't finding some of the stuff being said here beyond belief,,,, come to my house and then get on here. It's like a whole different world!!! 


    I love adults that's are out of high school and still brag about smoking until they can't smoke anymore. YEAH BOY. BLAZE THE F UP. Makes a lot more sense with this forum, I have a feeling that's a trend with a lot of these millennial posters. BLAZE AND GAMBLE BRO. THE LIFE
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    Quote Originally Posted by ROCKETS713:


    Efn zombies in this thread. I love to smoke till I can't anymore then come read some of the stuff posted here. Pure comedy GOLD. 

    Not judging anybody here btw. I use this thread too. BUT if yall aren't finding some of the stuff being said here beyond belief,,,, come to my house and then get on here. It's like a whole different world!!! 


    I love adults that's are out of high school and still brag about smoking until they can't smoke anymore. YEAH BOY. BLAZE THE F UP. Makes a lot more sense with this forum, I have a feeling that's a trend with a lot of these millennial posters. BLAZE AND GAMBLE BRO. THE LIFE
     
    NeoMax747
    NeoMax747
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 7:15 PM ET #298

    Quote Originally Posted by Cranks:

    Appreciate the knowledge, Phix.  Thanks

    Ditto on that Phix. Thanks.  Keep sharing and making us all better at beating the books. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cranks:

    Appreciate the knowledge, Phix.  Thanks

    Ditto on that Phix. Thanks.  Keep sharing and making us all better at beating the books. 
     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 7:32 PM ET #299

    Quote Originally Posted by chickenheadant:

    i'm a little confused about the before and after bets. 

    time of first score before 5:00 minutes means you're betting for a team to score within 5:00-12:00 or 0:00 4:59?
    "time of first score before 5:00 minutes" means the first score is before 5 minutes have passed on the game clock.



    So clock time 1st quarter in the game when the score took place would need to be between 15:00 and 10:01 as the clock runs backwards down to zero.

    @ 10:00 although one might think is a push it is NOT and is scored as a loss as BEFORE 5 minutes AND 5 minutes are two different things. Capisce?
    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by chickenheadant:

    i'm a little confused about the before and after bets. 

    time of first score before 5:00 minutes means you're betting for a team to score within 5:00-12:00 or 0:00 4:59?
    "time of first score before 5:00 minutes" means the first score is before 5 minutes have passed on the game clock.



    So clock time 1st quarter in the game when the score took place would need to be between 15:00 and 10:01 as the clock runs backwards down to zero.

    @ 10:00 although one might think is a push it is NOT and is scored as a loss as BEFORE 5 minutes AND 5 minutes are two different things. Capisce?
     
     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2015 - 7:33 PM ET #300

    My guy is 4.5 now

    Good night gentlemen




    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    My guy is 4.5 now

    Good night gentlemen




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