Incredible fact on 2025 PATRIOTS

2025-2026 New England Patriots.

They played 18 games. Of the 18 teams they faced, only 4 of those teams kept their coach this offseason.

The other 14 fired their head coach. 

They played 20 games.

They faced 17 teams.

9 of those teams replaced their head coach.

Dolphins

Bills

Steelers

Raiders

Ravens

Browns

Titans

Giants

Falcons

Do you have anymore revisionist history for Mr. Bator, ActionMag?

Correct and obviously played their division twice. My point is that this Pats team is a mirage.

I dunno, man. Maybe they're not. Maybe the damage they inflicted had something to do with so many coaches losing their jobs. And that didn't stop in the regular season. I bet against the Patriots in two of their playoff games, and both times the team that let me down fired their offensive coordinator two days later, lol. The Broncos actually covered +4.5 for me, but I had much more risked on my beautiful +215 moneyline. And I believe that the blizzard itself is what preserved my +4.5 bet. I think the Patriots would have scored again if the weather hadn't become so horrible.

The Patriots drafted eleven players last year and all eleven are playing for them right now! How can this team be in the Super Bowl? Yet they are, and I think I'm done doubting them. The Patriots went up against the Double Blowout system in their Wild Card game vs. the Chargers and they passed that test like it was nothin'. That was impressive to me.

And another thing. Beginning with the Ravens-Giants Super Bowl played in January of 2001, we've had twelve Super Bowls featuring one team that won their conference title at home facing an opponent who won their conference title on the road. The team entering the Super Bowl off of the road win has gone 9-3 and 11-1 ATS. Will that trend hold up again? Who knows, but it's in play this year and it favors the Pats.

@MrBator

Good luck, MrBator!  

@MrBator

I've been constantly replying to posts about the Pats sos and other doubts, all year.

They've overcome everything this season, and here we are at the SB and people still want to fade em. Mirage, sos, whatever you want to call it.

If you had to guess how many playoff games and SB's Josh McDaniels has been in, what would you guess? How about Mike Vrabel as a player and coach?

8 teams lost to tampa bay1 falcons2 texans 3jets 4seattle 5 49ers 6 saints 7 cardinals 8 panthers 

4 other teams who lost to tampa bay also lost the superbowl

remember falcons blowing 25 point lead lost in ot by 6 to patriots 

Highly insightful stuff here Bator. Still handicapping this game. Was strongly leaning Seattle but have not entered a wager as of yet. I welcome the discourse.

Here’s one for you. Since 2000 favorite of 4.5 + or better in the Super Bowl.

W-L  5-6

ATS 1-10 

@ActionMagnet

 It’s not a mirage for any team to go undefeated on the road. I don’t care who you play in the NFL it is extremely difficult to go unbeaten on the road. Gamblers should know this better than anyone. 

Seahawks weren't too shabby on the road themselves.....

8-1 ATS

8-1 SU 

15-2 SU going back last 2Y under Macdonald.  

The Super Bowl underdogs who came in off of a road win in the conference championship game went 6-2 and a perfect 8-0 ATS. The two underdogs that failed to win the Super Bowl in this situation were the 2003 Carolina Panthers who took the Patriots down to the wire getting 7 points and lost 32-29, and the 2021 Cincinnati Bengals who were getting 4.5 points and lost by a field goal to the Rams 23-20.

@tjones1270

If you are so sure about your logic, bet all you got on New England.

Don't take down others with you though.

Better team wins and it's Seattle.  Period.

I don't think you can isolate it to just this season. they helped fired numerous Jets and Dolphins and some Bills coaches for so many years , but yea let's call them the coach killers this year lol

While we're at it, does having the better record make you a better team or worse team to tail in the super bowl?

Pats had an intriguing win where Stroud played worse than Maye and NE got 3 short fields and then got to play Denvers backup and got 1 touchdown on a drive that started in the redzone and Denver missed 2 fgs and didn't attempt one to go up 10-0.....They have no deep threat at WR and both RBs are 2nd string or worse on most teams in the league....

I'm not sure Maye and company can score more than 17 without a lot of help....which obviously can happen....17 may be enough to win and/or cover.....

Of course the Pats can win, its the NFL.

Will Sam Darnold revert to his inner Garo Yepremian when he is blitzed up the gut?

Talk about matchup luck??? The Patriots face a Stroud who threw 4 picks in the first half and then get to face the Broncos' rusty backup and their suddenly clueless head coach who didn't understand situational football and the impact of a 10 point lead and of the weather in his own stadium. 

But I guess that despising Robert Kraft and his Patriots is not a good enough reason to pick the Seahawks. 

@TRAIN69

 Thank you. Pats are lucky to be here. Two garbage wins. Texans D was all over Maye. Stroud gave the game away. Seattle D will do the same .. the Super Bowl was last Sunday when Seattle beat the Rams. Covering 4.5 is dicey always room for a back door cover. But it’s clear who the better team is 

That's why I bet Seattle ML as soon as it came out at DraftKings.  I got it at -205 and it's now -230.  The lowest I see anywhere else is -225 at BetMGM.  Only Pinnacle is lower at -221 but I cannot bet there since they don't allow US.

Considering how the books almost never lose, if the bet percentage stays lopsided on Seattle by the kick off, I just might have to bet New England +4.5 and see if I can middle.

Here's a trend that matters more.

Teams that failed to cover the spread in their Conference Championship Game are 4-10 SU and 2-11-1 ATS in the Super Bowl.

I'm sure this guy is just kidding about betting the alternative line, but there is truth to what he said.

Matt Jacob: The Patriots lost their season opener to the Las Vegas Raiders. By a touchdown. At home.

The Raiders would go on to win two more games the rest of the season and now hold the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL draft.

Two weeks after falling to Las Vegas, the Patriots lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers. By a touchdown. At home. This was one week after the Steelers — at home — lost to the Seattle Seahawks by two touchdowns.

For the season, New England would play just four games against opponents that qualified for the postseason — Pittsburgh, Carolina and Buffalo (twice). It went 2-2 in those contests.

Think that’s unimpressive? Get a load of this: Of the 14 foes the Patriots played in the regular season …

• 10 fired their head coaches

• Four were from the putrid NFC South

• Four started rookie quarterbacks (Cleveland’s Dillon Gabriel, Tennessee’s Cam Ward, the Jets’ Brady Cook and Miami’s Quinn Ewers)

• Two started quarterbacks in their 40s (Cincinnati backup Joe Flacco, who subbed for Joe Burrow, and Pittsburgh’s Aaron Rodgers)

• One started Spencer Rattler (New Orleans); one had a journeyman backup quarterback play the majority of the game (Baltimore’s Tyler Huntley); and one a QB who led the NFL in interceptions (Las Vegas’ Geno Smith)

But wait, there’s more.

The Patriots played eight games against teams that finished with fewer than seven victories. They played eight games against teams that didn’t have their No. 1 wide receiver (plus one more in the playoffs). And they barely won the AFC Championship Game against an opponent whose quarterback (Jarrett Stidham) entered the contest with four NFL starts under his belt.

Now the luckiest team in recent memory heads to Super Bowl 60 to face a Seahawks squad that has won nine consecutive games (including four by 17-plus points).

It’s a franchise that beat the Rams and 49ers to close the regular season, then did it again in the playoffs.

A franchise that ranked in the top 10 in almost every major statistical category (including No. 1 in scoring defense, and No. 3 in both scoring offense and rushing defense).

And a franchise that won its only championship in blowout fashion (43-8 over Denver in Super Bowl 48). Expect a similar lopsided result in Super Bowl 60.

Bet: Seahawks -13.5 (+280)

They beat a Chargers team decimated by injuries and with a QB who played hurt, and yet only led 6-3 at the half and 9-3 in the 4th, while giving up 5 sacks and was -1 in TO margin.

Not sure I would consider this "passed the test like it was nothin".

I hear you, but the Patriots covered that spread by 10 points. Most favorites who go up against the Double Blowout System lose the game, or if they're huge favorites, they barely win (and sometimes lose).

Ten days after I posted that, I say no. The trend will not hold up this time.

I simply don't respect that Patriots win in Denver. First their opponent's offense was virtually paralyzed by being forced to play a rusty AF starting quarterback, and then two-thirds of the way through the game, their opponent's offense was completely paralyzed by a freaking blizzard! The AFC Championship game was really just 40 minutes long.