*** Cincinatti Bengals @ Miami Dolphins ***

Took a few weeks off as my cappin wasn't going the way I liked, analyzed a lot of what I was doing wrong in the meantime. Conclusions? I'm a very situational better, I bet on spots as opposed to the matchups, one thing I was doing way too much was betting bad teams in good spots instead of betting good teams in good spots, I will adjust moving forward.

Cincinatti Bengals @ Miami Dolphins

Huge motivational edge to the Dolphins here. After starting off 3-0, the Dolphins are facing a near must-win game to avoid going 3-5 and several games behind the Patriots in the division.

The Bengals meanwhile, are off a blowout win now possessing a 2.5 game lead in the division. This game means very little to them as they will have one eye on travelling to Baltimore next week. 

Although the Bengals have been pretty dominant at home this year, they have been mediocre on the road.

Loss at Chicago

Loss at Cleveland

Win at Bills by 3 (overtime)

Win at Detroit by 3

• Dolphins are 12-4 ATS as a home underdog after two straight losses (Last 16).

Dolphins +3 - 3 units

Dolphins ML +137 - 1 unit

Weeks 1-4: -29.44 units

205731573-1	10/31/13 3:27pm	$110.00	$100.00	Pending	10/31/13 8:25pm  Reduced Football  304 Miami Dolphins +3 -110* vs Cincinnati Bengals
205728902-1	10/31/13 2:50pm	$220.00	$200.00	Pending	10/31/13 8:25pm  Reduced Football  304 Miami Dolphins +3 -110* vs Cincinnati Bengals
205728902-2	10/31/13 2:50pm	$100.00	$137.00	Pending	10/31/13 8:25pm  Reduced Football  304 Miami Dolphins +137* vs Cincinnati Bengals

Good to see you back LeagueCapper.................missed your bold picks and write-ups.

BOL 

Great to see you back LC.

BOL

LC, welcome back bro!!! 

goodluck.

Welcome back LeagueCapper

welcome back, missed your great write-ups and reasoning behind your picks.  

Welcome back League. Appreciate your write-ups!

good to see you back!

bol tonight lc, good to see you back.  

finally, line moved to +3.5 -105 at my book. Just one degen unit for me tonight.

welcome back!!! don't leave again lol 

GL Tonight!

bad pick 

Welcome back bud. Miss your write ups. Love the pick.  

Glad your'e back, remember some really solid weeks last year. I'm with you on the dolphins 

Nice pick, gl 

Miami is 5-16 SU vs AFC North opp & 0-7 as a Fav.
Cinci is 14-33 on the ML vs AFC East, 2-0 SU vs this yr.

I read your write ups and like your style, but respectfully disagree. "motivation" only goes so far when there is a huge mismatch physically. in this case, the cinci d-line vs the miami o-line. tannenhill has one of the highest sack percentages in the league, the o-line was already in shambles before jonathan martin had his breakdown and now they are facing one of the best d-lines in the league? coming into the season i thought cinci was overrated, but they have impressed me over the last few weeks and dalton has played much better. too many mismatches on the field for cinci, will take lucky breaks and turnovers for miami to keep this close, cover and possibly win. no value in the fins tonight imo.

GL