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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Thursday

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    nbafan88
    MakinBacon
    amd
    melossinglet
    livie
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 12289
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    «First Previous 1234 Next Last»
     
    nbafan88
    nbafan88
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:07 PM ET #51

    well you have joey on your side
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    well you have joey on your side
     
    MakinBacon
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:10 PM ET #52

    This thread confirms everything I needed to read.  AMD has it right.  The -1 to +1 line move is one of the most reliable in basketball.  Always take the original fav who has become a dog in those line movements.  If it goes to -2 that's another story but it wont.
    Make today great!
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    This thread confirms everything I needed to read.  AMD has it right.  The -1 to +1 line move is one of the most reliable in basketball.  Always take the original fav who has become a dog in those line movements.  If it goes to -2 that's another story but it wont.
     
    amd
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:21 PM ET #53

    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    interesting.....im really 50/50 on this one,amd...any chance you can give any xtra insight on it??you just feel they will rise and do wat they have to do with season on the line and everything at stake??...i lean slightly to them disintegrating badly if put in a hole early with all the turmoil they been suffering coming to the surface once more...but love to hear opposing view,cheers
     also,not sure if you just cap wat you see with your own eyes,or believe in "other forces" and ulterior motives at work in deciding out-comes of series in this crazy league so that cud play a huge part in your thinking possibly??

    Thanks for the post. As for capping games, I dont have a formula for any sport that I cap. In most instances, I cap the matchup from an x/o perspective and I cap what is current as opposed to what has occurred, previously.. I'm also pretty instinctive so I consider the matchup along with a little intuition and more times than not, it brings me to the correct conclusion. Im not one to consider trends or theories as each game has its own set of variables from the the next so the "zig zag" theory, for example, doesnt mean much to me. I don't watch, read or listen to any sports media so Im generally not influenced by any outside factors when wagering. The sports media are a bunch of retardss anyway, you and I know more about whats happening than those dumb fukks. As well, I try to have a short memory when capping as a team is only as good or bad as their last game. Often, we let a series or a previous game influence our decision regarding a current wager. I see this all the time here on Covers. Stats can be considered trendy but some stats shouldnt be overlooked. I have a set of variables that I use in regards to statistics specifically for basketball and it has been proven to be a useful tool for me. Same goes for when capping football. Youve used the term, "turmoil" to describe the Pacers. Turmoil is a term we use that has been created by the media. There hasn't been any greater turmoil than that of the Clippers organization and, yet, theyre leading the series. Don't pay attention to the nonsense, cap the game and use your experience as a gambler to allow you to understand any psychological dynamic thats involved with a particular wager. As for tonights game, most would say that the Pacers have tremendous pressure on them and the Hawks are playing with nothing to lose. Bullshitt. The Hawks do NOT want to go back to Indiana for game 7. Tonights game is Game 7 for both teams because Indiana is not losing at home on Friday.
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    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    interesting.....im really 50/50 on this one,amd...any chance you can give any xtra insight on it??you just feel they will rise and do wat they have to do with season on the line and everything at stake??...i lean slightly to them disintegrating badly if put in a hole early with all the turmoil they been suffering coming to the surface once more...but love to hear opposing view,cheers
     also,not sure if you just cap wat you see with your own eyes,or believe in "other forces" and ulterior motives at work in deciding out-comes of series in this crazy league so that cud play a huge part in your thinking possibly??

    Thanks for the post. As for capping games, I dont have a formula for any sport that I cap. In most instances, I cap the matchup from an x/o perspective and I cap what is current as opposed to what has occurred, previously.. I'm also pretty instinctive so I consider the matchup along with a little intuition and more times than not, it brings me to the correct conclusion. Im not one to consider trends or theories as each game has its own set of variables from the the next so the "zig zag" theory, for example, doesnt mean much to me. I don't watch, read or listen to any sports media so Im generally not influenced by any outside factors when wagering. The sports media are a bunch of retardss anyway, you and I know more about whats happening than those dumb fukks. As well, I try to have a short memory when capping as a team is only as good or bad as their last game. Often, we let a series or a previous game influence our decision regarding a current wager. I see this all the time here on Covers. Stats can be considered trendy but some stats shouldnt be overlooked. I have a set of variables that I use in regards to statistics specifically for basketball and it has been proven to be a useful tool for me. Same goes for when capping football. Youve used the term, "turmoil" to describe the Pacers. Turmoil is a term we use that has been created by the media. There hasn't been any greater turmoil than that of the Clippers organization and, yet, theyre leading the series. Don't pay attention to the nonsense, cap the game and use your experience as a gambler to allow you to understand any psychological dynamic thats involved with a particular wager. As for tonights game, most would say that the Pacers have tremendous pressure on them and the Hawks are playing with nothing to lose. Bullshitt. The Hawks do NOT want to go back to Indiana for game 7. Tonights game is Game 7 for both teams because Indiana is not losing at home on Friday.
     
    amd
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:24 PM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by VGPOP:

    Neither team has won back to back games in the series. Indiana have won 6 of the last 8 quarters (yet 1-1 in those games). They actually won 3 of 4 quarters last game and still lost game.

    You don't see that often, unless of course the winning team had a monstrous quarter like Hawks did.

    Pacers is a good play tonight


    I hope the posters havent overlooked your post 
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    Quote Originally Posted by VGPOP:

    Neither team has won back to back games in the series. Indiana have won 6 of the last 8 quarters (yet 1-1 in those games). They actually won 3 of 4 quarters last game and still lost game.

    You don't see that often, unless of course the winning team had a monstrous quarter like Hawks did.

    Pacers is a good play tonight


    I hope the posters havent overlooked your post 
     
    amd
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:26 PM ET #55

    Quote Originally Posted by chestbrah:

    Anyone who is still betting Indy has not watched the series at all

    Stop gambling.
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    Quote Originally Posted by chestbrah:

    Anyone who is still betting Indy has not watched the series at all

    Stop gambling.
     
    amd
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:27 PM ET #56

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Hes asks me who I'm playing and then posts the plays as his.


    You're usually correct. Hope your Pacers play is a winner tonight.
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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Hes asks me who I'm playing and then posts the plays as his.


    You're usually correct. Hope your Pacers play is a winner tonight.
     
    amd
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:28 PM ET #57

    Quote Originally Posted by ramblers:

    AMD--what you think of this line movement?

    I love the Pacers tonight 
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    Quote Originally Posted by ramblers:

    AMD--what you think of this line movement?

    I love the Pacers tonight 
     
    amd
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:31 PM ET #58

    Quote Originally Posted by MSLord:

    any thoughts on the over/under of this ind/atl game?

    Before the oddsmakers listed a total, I had 187. Guess I was close, no play on the total 
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    Quote Originally Posted by MSLord:

    any thoughts on the over/under of this ind/atl game?

    Before the oddsmakers listed a total, I had 187. Guess I was close, no play on the total 
     
    melossinglet
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:31 PM ET #59

    cool,thanks for reply amd....much appreciate the time and effort given...great stuff there,a lot that we already know but tend to ignore wen we look at games regardless.important to remember these things for sure
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    cool,thanks for reply amd....much appreciate the time and effort given...great stuff there,a lot that we already know but tend to ignore wen we look at games regardless.important to remember these things for sure
     
    livie
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:46 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by tag329:

    Hotlanta wins by 10 at least..

    How much you got on them
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    Quote Originally Posted by tag329:

    Hotlanta wins by 10 at least..

    How much you got on them
     
    Macwestie1
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:52 PM ET #61

    Like it a lot GL amd
    What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion player with a beeper!
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    Like it a lot GL amd
     
    persiapersia
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 6:54 PM ET #62

    +2 now.... What's going on....
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    +2 now.... What's going on....
     
    Hoyasaxa
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 8:01 PM ET #63

    what's going on is a potentially better team with a gun to their head's...did you doubters take the Celtics at home vs LeBron in game 6, 2 years ago? Did you also take the Sharks the last 4 games?

    Did you sell your Apple stock at $385.00?

     

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    what's going on is a potentially better team with a gun to their head's...did you doubters take the Celtics at home vs LeBron in game 6, 2 years ago? Did you also take the Sharks the last 4 games?

    Did you sell your Apple stock at $385.00?

     

     
    TRAIN69
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 8:25 PM ET #64

    Quote Originally Posted by amd:


    You're usually correct. Hope your Pacers play is a winner tonight.
    Just bustin balls brotha.
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    Quote Originally Posted by amd:


    You're usually correct. Hope your Pacers play is a winner tonight.
    Just bustin balls brotha.
     
    amd
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 8:31 PM ET #65

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Just bustin balls brotha.

    I know, so was I. Love your posts and your plays. Bol along the way, my man 
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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Just bustin balls brotha.

    I know, so was I. Love your posts and your plays. Bol along the way, my man 
     
    Doja45
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 8:44 PM ET #66

    Quote Originally Posted by amd:


    Thanks for the post. As for capping games, I dont have a formula for any sport that I cap. In most instances, I cap the matchup from an x/o perspective and I cap what is current as opposed to what has occurred, previously.. I'm also pretty instinctive so I consider the matchup along with a little intuition and more times than not, it brings me to the correct conclusion. Im not one to consider trends or theories as each game has its own set of variables from the the next so the "zig zag" theory, for example, doesnt mean much to me. I don't watch, read or listen to any sports media so Im generally not influenced by any outside factors when wagering. The sports media are a bunch of retardss anyway, you and I know more about whats happening than those dumb fukks. As well, I try to have a short memory when capping as a team is only as good or bad as their last game. Often, we let a series or a previous game influence our decision regarding a current wager. I see this all the time here on Covers. Stats can be considered trendy but some stats shouldnt be overlooked. I have a set of variables that I use in regards to statistics specifically for basketball and it has been proven to be a useful tool for me. Same goes for when capping football. Youve used the term, "turmoil" to describe the Pacers. Turmoil is a term we use that has been created by the media. There hasn't been any greater turmoil than that of the Clippers organization and, yet, theyre leading the series. Don't pay attention to the nonsense, cap the game and use your experience as a gambler to allow you to understand any psychological dynamic thats involved with a particular wager. As for tonights game, most would say that the Pacers have tremendous pressure on them and the Hawks are playing with nothing to lose. Bullshitt. The Hawks do NOT want to go back to Indiana for game 7. Tonights game is Game 7 for both teams because Indiana is not losing at home on Friday.



    One of the best posts I've ever seen on covers... Not much of a NBA player but always enjoy your posts in football and bases. BOL
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    Quote Originally Posted by amd:


    Thanks for the post. As for capping games, I dont have a formula for any sport that I cap. In most instances, I cap the matchup from an x/o perspective and I cap what is current as opposed to what has occurred, previously.. I'm also pretty instinctive so I consider the matchup along with a little intuition and more times than not, it brings me to the correct conclusion. Im not one to consider trends or theories as each game has its own set of variables from the the next so the "zig zag" theory, for example, doesnt mean much to me. I don't watch, read or listen to any sports media so Im generally not influenced by any outside factors when wagering. The sports media are a bunch of retardss anyway, you and I know more about whats happening than those dumb fukks. As well, I try to have a short memory when capping as a team is only as good or bad as their last game. Often, we let a series or a previous game influence our decision regarding a current wager. I see this all the time here on Covers. Stats can be considered trendy but some stats shouldnt be overlooked. I have a set of variables that I use in regards to statistics specifically for basketball and it has been proven to be a useful tool for me. Same goes for when capping football. Youve used the term, "turmoil" to describe the Pacers. Turmoil is a term we use that has been created by the media. There hasn't been any greater turmoil than that of the Clippers organization and, yet, theyre leading the series. Don't pay attention to the nonsense, cap the game and use your experience as a gambler to allow you to understand any psychological dynamic thats involved with a particular wager. As for tonights game, most would say that the Pacers have tremendous pressure on them and the Hawks are playing with nothing to lose. Bullshitt. The Hawks do NOT want to go back to Indiana for game 7. Tonights game is Game 7 for both teams because Indiana is not losing at home on Friday.



    One of the best posts I've ever seen on covers... Not much of a NBA player but always enjoy your posts in football and bases. BOL
     
    camby700
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 8:48 PM ET #67

    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Hes asks me who I'm playing and then posts the plays as his.

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    Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

    Hes asks me who I'm playing and then posts the plays as his.

     
    corbey96
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 9:24 PM ET #68

    Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:

    what's going on is a potentially better team with a gun to their head's...did you doubters take the Celtics at home vs LeBron in game 6, 2 years ago? Did you also take the Sharks the last 4 games?

    Did you sell your Apple stock at $385.00?

     


    Just sold 570 strike calls expiring in 2 weeks against my position yesterday, suggest u do the same
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:

    what's going on is a potentially better team with a gun to their head's...did you doubters take the Celtics at home vs LeBron in game 6, 2 years ago? Did you also take the Sharks the last 4 games?

    Did you sell your Apple stock at $385.00?

     


    Just sold 570 strike calls expiring in 2 weeks against my position yesterday, suggest u do the same
     
    VGPOP
    VGPOP
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 9:52 PM ET #69

    Good call.

    I played them moneyline (+105) when public decided to fall in love with Hawks and drove line all way up to +2
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    Good call.

    I played them moneyline (+105) when public decided to fall in love with Hawks and drove line all way up to +2
     
    Denst
    Denst
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 9:54 PM ET #70

    Quote Originally Posted by tag329:

    HOTLANTA WILL B TO MUCH FOR THESE PACERS...I BET some have tee times already for Friday mourning. ..come on homies u must b smoking something to still have faith in the Pacers at this point..what they gonna just turn it on. They r not the HEAT...

    Amd must be smokin that good good .  Dude is on fire.
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    Quote Originally Posted by tag329:

    HOTLANTA WILL B TO MUCH FOR THESE PACERS...I BET some have tee times already for Friday mourning. ..come on homies u must b smoking something to still have faith in the Pacers at this point..what they gonna just turn it on. They r not the HEAT...

    Amd must be smokin that good good .  Dude is on fire.
     
    Damon103
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 9:55 PM ET #71

    Nice capping as usual


    Indy minus 6-8 (G7) there's a huge gap for everyone!
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    Nice capping as usual


    Indy minus 6-8 (G7) there's a huge gap for everyone!
     
    StraightWagers
    StraightWagers
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 9:56 PM ET #72

    excellent wok as always amd
    undertaker
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    excellent wok as always amd
     
    OGHowie282
    OGHowie282
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 9:57 PM ET #73

    Easy Money
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    Easy Money
     
    OGHowie282
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 9:58 PM ET #74

    Quote Originally Posted by Damon103:

    Nice capping as usual


    Indy minus 6-8 (G7) there's a huge gap for everyone!

    I expect 3-4
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    Quote Originally Posted by Damon103:

    Nice capping as usual


    Indy minus 6-8 (G7) there's a huge gap for everyone!

    I expect 3-4
     
     
    HugeLetDown
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    Posted: May. 1, 2014 - 10:01 PM ET #75

    Quote Originally Posted by GeneCam27:

    What have the pacers show you in the last 4 months lol.... 

    they won like twice in ATL the last 13 times.... ATLs offense is 2 steps ahead of these chumps.... they are emotionally fragile....

    if ATL goes off on them again they wont be able to come back..... they'll have to play their shiitfest 70 point hackshow game to have a shot..... 

    What a chump. Got to play situational games when they present themselves. This is the same guy who told me Houston wouldn't cover. Smh.

    Good call AMD.
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    Quote Originally Posted by GeneCam27:

    What have the pacers show you in the last 4 months lol.... 

    they won like twice in ATL the last 13 times.... ATLs offense is 2 steps ahead of these chumps.... they are emotionally fragile....

    if ATL goes off on them again they wont be able to come back..... they'll have to play their shiitfest 70 point hackshow game to have a shot..... 

    What a chump. Got to play situational games when they present themselves. This is the same guy who told me Houston wouldn't cover. Smh.

    Good call AMD.
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