Playoff time (Round 2)

heads up to all Orlando - Atlanta game 4 bettors... this game is SCREAMING Fix!  line is way off from where it should be, and both Bavetta and Spooner are officiating...

i have already decided to bet the under on every Orlando game from here to the end of their run... but this game is the exception...

i was thinking of buying out of Orlando, but i'll stick with it... just a small play, anyway... if Orlando fails to cover the spread, they will lose the game outright...

AMEN MY BROTHER! Some of these idiots on here? If one disagrees just leave ? Anyway, My Friend! I believe your right!  That irritates me too! BOL ! PG

sorry didn't see this earlier, FSU... i didn't play the total... i only play the games that i post...

i was just pointing out that this is the one game i didn't feel safe taking the under...

and yea, PGram... Covers people... what can you do?

Playoff tally: (+9.5 U)

Big plays: 5-0 (+5.0 U)

Small plays:  17-12 (+1.9 U)

ML parlays:  4-1 (+1.65 U)

ML dogs:  1-0  (+1.45 U)

teasers:  1-0 (+0.5 U)

Series bets:  1-2 (-1.0 U)

18-5 ATS since middle of Round 1... 20-5 counting two ML bets (one fav, one dog)... 24-5 if you throw in the ML parlays and teaser...

need to keep it rolling...

looking over it these numbers might not be right... figured it out last night but might have made a mistake... started off 7-7 in the first round so whatever it breaks down to from that point... doesn't really matter, anyway... need to keep it up or it's all for naught...

not sure what i am going to do with the Bos / Clev game tomorrow night... tricky situation with my series bet in play... only 1/2 unit risked on it, but the payout is about 2.5 units, so i need to factor it in... i'll figure something out...

like your avatar...

i might waste some money on a Celtics series bet if/when they get past Cleveland... but only because (a) i have Orlando +500 to win it all... (b) i can get Bos +250 or more i imagine, and (c) i think these are the two best teams in the playoffs...

Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:

Whether Cleveland comes back to win this series or Boston wraps it up, I must give up props on the Celtics. It was a very good series wager and you nailed almost all aspects of the series. I was pretty much dead wrong except Game 3 and got a lucky cover in Game 1.


Well done.

thanks man!  we can't all agree before the games, but i would we can all agree at this point that public perception about this series was off on both ends... Cavs not as good as everyone thought... Celts not as old and weary as everyone thought...

i might still lose money on the series if i don't hedge out the original bet in game 6... that would have been the original strategy, but i think i am just throwing money away...

my prediction for game 6... Cavs start off with a lot of energy, Lebron comes out guns a blazin'... Cavs get out to an 8 or 10 point lead by end of 1st or early 2nd quarter...

then Allen or Pierce or someone will hit a big 3, and maybe a turnover... something very innocent, seemingly, will suddenly get Boston back to a tie game, and the crowd will be rocking... and once that happens, all of the negative thoughts and negative pressure hovering over this team will start to bury them...

Lebron will be wondering where he will be next year... Mike Brown will be wondering what kind of job he will have next year... Shaq will be wondering if he should retire... role players will be wondering about next year...

all of that shit is already being talked about too much on ESPN and in the Cleveland media... they can say they aren't thinking about it... but it's just like game 4 in Atlanta... they were fighting hard, things were going ok... then once things start to go bad, you are facing a team that just wants to put the nail in your coffin, and knows how to do it...

there is not going to be any point in the first half of this game where Boston doesn't believe they can and will come back and win the game... but unless Cleveland gets a 20 point lead... they will not be comfortable...

it's a bad psychological situation for Cleveland, and those comparing this one to game 3 are very sadly mistaken... totally different situation this time...

Boston blew homecourt advantage once... i will be totally shocked if they blow it again...

The Punchline:

Boston blew homecourt advantage once... i will be totally shocked if they blow it again...

[/Quote]

Boston blew homecourt advantage once... i will be totally shocked if they blow it again...

Blood

Game 6 bets

small play:  Bos (-1.5), Bos/Clev UN 194.5

this would unquestionably be a big play if i didn't have my series bet riding on it tonight... in fact, if i had nothing already invested, i would have seriously considered a 2 unit Huge play on Boston...

i'd say there is less than a 20% chance that Cleveland takes this game... 

Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:

I cant touch this one

i'm worried about possible shady officials, but nothing else... and i'm hoping Stern has realized at this point that an Orlando - Boston series will last longer than an Orlando - Cleveland series...

that shit was sweet!

thanks Cal!

i'm figuring we will see (-250 / +220) or something like that... i would say the likelihood of Boston stealing game 1 on this short turnaround seems very slim... they are much more likely to be in must win situations in both of their first two home games, just to keep it at 2-2... if they can do that, they have a chance in a best of 3...

but i agree it is gonna be a rougher climb this time around...

i'm loving my Orlando (+500) right about now...