Posted:
#1
Round 1 results
series bets (flat bet for 2U payout): 1-2 (-1.0 U)
big plays (1U): 2-0 (+2 U)
small plays (0.5U): 12-8 (+ 1.6 U)
ML parlays (0.5U): 2-1 (+0.65 U)
overall: +3.25 Units
Playoff time (Round 2)
Posted:
#6
Quote Originally Posted by Mr. Insight:
In the words of Ivan Drago, "You will lose."
Cavs in 5 maybe 6
as long as the series goes 6 games, i definitely will not lose... and it will definitely go at least 6 games... so in the words of me... "I will not lose"
stay off my threads, dirt bag... if i haven't made it clear that you are not welcome, i am making it clear now...
Posted:
#12
thanks guys... they were small plays and i really didn't feel great about either... but that was a brutal way to lose them... seeing them put a (+600) out there tempts me to make a double up play on the Celts for the series... got 1 more day to ponder it...
one more series bet for Round 1... will take my chances, even though i think winning game 1 is a pretty big longshot...
Series bet
Jazz (+375)
Bos (+7),
Posted:
#17
Quote Originally Posted by Bruuuuce78:
Boston Series now +560 
saw it as high as +600, i think...
the way i see it... if you like the Celts to win the series, at this point the best value is going to be betting the ML in each game... for me, i already have a series bet for 1/2 unit, so i am calling that my game 2 ML bet... because if the Cs win it, i think they close this baby out in 6... if the Cavs win it, the Celts are in a serious hole...
if they DO go down 2-0 heading back to Boston, the games will be around Bos (-2)... depending where they put it, will bet the spread or the ML in games 3 and 4... if they actually win game 2 and go back 1-1, they are still going to be good for at least a split in Boston, and very likely can take both... so just by riding Boston all 3 games on the ML, you are essentially betting them to win (or lose) the series, and would get a better overall payout if they do...
if they are split 2-2 going into game 5, you can reassess, or just continue doing the same...
if you take that approach and don't win money, then you definitely aren't going to win a red cent betting on the series...
having said that... for anyone who didn't bet the series before game 1, you gotta love the incredible value taking Boston on the series line at this point...
Posted:
#18
the way i see this game tonight, it could be lopsided ATS in either direction... anything from a very impressive SU win by Boston, to a Cleveland blowout... so i don't really think there's that much value taking 6 points...
Boston is still the better team, in my opinion... i haven't seen a single thing to suggest otherwise... but in a 7 game series, there is usually 1 game of the first two where the road team has a chance to steal... and i think it's pretty clear game 1 was a great chance that slipped away... so, based purely on past experience, i will not be surprised to see them sort of fold it up this game, and come back strong in game 3...
hopefully it will be the other scenario, though...
Posted:
#19
Quote Originally Posted by Ice4Blood:
the way i see this game tonight, it could be lopsided ATS in either direction... anything from a very impressive SU win by Boston, to a Cleveland blowout... so i don't really think there's that much value taking 6 points...
Boston is still the better team, in my opinion... i haven't seen a single thing to suggest otherwise... but in a 7 game series, there is usually 1 game of the first two where the road team has a chance to steal... and i think it's pretty clear game 1 was a great chance that slipped away... so, based purely on past experience, i will not be surprised to see them sort of fold it up this game, and come back strong in game 3...
hopefully it will be the other scenario, though...
Time to lay off the weed bro.
I told you before the series that Boston wasn't good at all and they blow leads. What did they do in Game 1? They blew a double digit lead. Are you really surprised? I'm sure anyone that followed the league this year isn't. These guys are junk.
If you really think Boston is better than Cleveland then it's time to hang em up.
Cavs with a solid win again tonight over the senior citizens.
Posted:
#21
Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:
Time to lay off the weed bro.
If you really think Boston is better than Cleveland then it's time to hang em up.
Time to lay off the weed bro.
If you really think Boston is better than Cleveland then it's time to hang em up.
let me explain something to you that will help... i am pretty much a master when it comes to the NBA playoffs... i do not ALWAYS get it right, but i get it right far more often than you do, and far more often than you ever will... and so this conversation is a little bit backwards...
what you need to be saying is... if Ice thinks Boston is better than Cleveland, then i need to reassess my own personal analysis of these two teams...
until proven otherwise... and year after year, i get this shit right way more often than you or anyone you know ever will...
i will let YOU know when it is time for me to hang it up... i promise i will keep you posted...
Posted:
#23
Quote Originally Posted by Ice4Blood:
saw it as high as +600, i think...
the way i see it... if you like the Celts to win the series, at this point the best value is going to be betting the ML in each game... for me, i already have a series bet for 1/2 unit, so i am calling that my game 2 ML bet... because if the Cs win it, i think they close this baby out in 6... if the Cavs win it, the Celts are in a serious hole...
if they DO go down 2-0 heading back to Boston, the games will be around Bos (-2)... depending where they put it, will bet the spread or the ML in games 3 and 4... if they actually win game 2 and go back 1-1, they are still going to be good for at least a split in Boston, and very likely can take both... so just by riding Boston all 3 games on the ML, you are essentially betting them to win (or lose) the series, and would get a better overall payout if they do...
if they are split 2-2 going into game 5, you can reassess, or just continue doing the same...
if you take that approach and don't win money, then you definitely aren't going to win a red cent betting on the series...
having said that... for anyone who didn't bet the series before game 1, you gotta love the incredible value taking Boston on the series line at this point...
Damn, I guess you have a plan........"I've been plannin this shit for weeks son"------Denzel, training day
Posted:
#24
Quote Originally Posted by Bruuuuce78:
Damn, I guess you have a plan........"I've been plannin this shit for weeks son"------Denzel, training day
quoting Training Day on my thread get you a big 
by the way... with a 21 pt 3rd quarter lead and Ray shooting daggers... i am thinking your "plan" was better than mine...
i do not think Cleveland is good enough to beat this team in Boston...
The Smeltics got a game.
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