now what do i do? i screwed up and took the under at 211 in game 1, despite everything we talked about... then i stayed away at 216 in game 2... and now it is going to be around 220 or higher for game 3...
i think i almost have to just stay away altogether at this point... either that, or bet the over in game 3, and if it loses hope for better value in game 4 and go over again... maybe can get lucky and Phoenix will win a game...
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Quote Originally Posted by Gold_Rush:
as we talked about in a thread last week...
you know what i'm talking about...
now what do i do? i screwed up and took the under at 211 in game 1, despite everything we talked about... then i stayed away at 216 in game 2... and now it is going to be around 220 or higher for game 3...
i think i almost have to just stay away altogether at this point... either that, or bet the over in game 3, and if it loses hope for better value in game 4 and go over again... maybe can get lucky and Phoenix will win a game...
kind of stupid posting those ads on my thread, don't you think?
surely anybody who sees your posts, will see my thread, and will know it would be completely idiotic to pay YOU to go 50/50, when they can follow my picks and go 70/30 for free...
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kind of stupid posting those ads on my thread, don't you think?
surely anybody who sees your posts, will see my thread, and will know it would be completely idiotic to pay YOU to go 50/50, when they can follow my picks and go 70/30 for free...
kind of stupid posting those ads on my thread, don't you think?
surely anybody who sees your posts, will see my thread, and will know it would be completely idiotic to pay YOU to go 50/50, when they can follow my picks and go 70/30 for free...
Couldn't agree more.
Hit last night on Lakers 2H & o109 parlay and will be on those nasty Celtics @-3.5 and parlayed a teaser on C's and under.
Had an itch today I had to tend to and WNBA was the fix. Hit a Stars & under parlay. Like that early action. So far 6-2 there.
I just can't wait for the finals so long as these series continue on this trail. Been waiting for a quality Lakers/Celtics finals for years man.
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Quote Originally Posted by Ice4Blood:
kind of stupid posting those ads on my thread, don't you think?
surely anybody who sees your posts, will see my thread, and will know it would be completely idiotic to pay YOU to go 50/50, when they can follow my picks and go 70/30 for free...
Couldn't agree more.
Hit last night on Lakers 2H & o109 parlay and will be on those nasty Celtics @-3.5 and parlayed a teaser on C's and under.
Had an itch today I had to tend to and WNBA was the fix. Hit a Stars & under parlay. Like that early action. So far 6-2 there.
I just can't wait for the finals so long as these series continue on this trail. Been waiting for a quality Lakers/Celtics finals for years man.
Hit last night on Lakers 2H & o109 parlay and will be on those nasty Celtics @-3.5 and parlayed a teaser on C's and under.
actually put in two bets last night... one was a ML parlay on Lakers / Celtics... other was Celtics (-3)... the strategy was to reduce my juice to even money on a ML with the Cs, to cover a possible backdoor cover that would kill Bos (-3)...
i listed the official play as a large play on Bos (-3), because i wasn't home to post it before last night's game, and because at this point it is basically a full play on Boston... just less complicated to list it that way...
officially, i have Bos (-3) (-110) for 1/2 unit and Bos ML (+110) for 1/2 unit... which averages out to 1.05 units to win 1.05 units, if both plays hit...
i will also put in a small play on the under... thinking it might go up to 191, but it's a gamble...
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Quote Originally Posted by The_Wolf:
Hit last night on Lakers 2H & o109 parlay and will be on those nasty Celtics @-3.5 and parlayed a teaser on C's and under.
actually put in two bets last night... one was a ML parlay on Lakers / Celtics... other was Celtics (-3)... the strategy was to reduce my juice to even money on a ML with the Cs, to cover a possible backdoor cover that would kill Bos (-3)...
i listed the official play as a large play on Bos (-3), because i wasn't home to post it before last night's game, and because at this point it is basically a full play on Boston... just less complicated to list it that way...
officially, i have Bos (-3) (-110) for 1/2 unit and Bos ML (+110) for 1/2 unit... which averages out to 1.05 units to win 1.05 units, if both plays hit...
i will also put in a small play on the under... thinking it might go up to 191, but it's a gamble...
Good way to kill the juice. I am always looking to turn a fave into +$. Novel idea...huh?
Going small on a spread parlay with Bos & LA and medium on ML parlay and a bit larger on a teaser with both as well.
At this point I am also considering a spread & totals parlay on both as well. This would be a small play for me though. Not too comfortable with that LA/PHO game at this point though.
Phoenix plays much better at home and game 3 is a desperation game. I believe more of those bombs will drop and I could see the Lakers possibly pulling out one of their classic lazy stinkers here.
Arrg. Might have to hedge 2H.
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Good way to kill the juice. I am always looking to turn a fave into +$. Novel idea...huh?
Going small on a spread parlay with Bos & LA and medium on ML parlay and a bit larger on a teaser with both as well.
At this point I am also considering a spread & totals parlay on both as well. This would be a small play for me though. Not too comfortable with that LA/PHO game at this point though.
Phoenix plays much better at home and game 3 is a desperation game. I believe more of those bombs will drop and I could see the Lakers possibly pulling out one of their classic lazy stinkers here.
Phoenix plays much better at home and game 3 is a desperation game. I believe more of those bombs will drop and I could see the Lakers possibly pulling out one of their classic lazy stinkers here.
Arrg. Might have to hedge 2H.
something about a game 3 that makes it hard to cap... especially these situations with the team at home down 2-0... Phoenix could win this one...
just seems like LA is playing with a sense of desparation, and that makes you want to throw all the usual variables out the window... they are taking care of business...
i will be debating my play on this one up until game day, i'm sure...
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Quote Originally Posted by The_Wolf:
Phoenix plays much better at home and game 3 is a desperation game. I believe more of those bombs will drop and I could see the Lakers possibly pulling out one of their classic lazy stinkers here.
Arrg. Might have to hedge 2H.
something about a game 3 that makes it hard to cap... especially these situations with the team at home down 2-0... Phoenix could win this one...
just seems like LA is playing with a sense of desparation, and that makes you want to throw all the usual variables out the window... they are taking care of business...
i will be debating my play on this one up until game day, i'm sure...
Like the tease....that's the way I went for the most part on the gm 3's. They have been a nightmare cap scenario for me.
Both BOS&LAL have played of their minds for the first two and despite the match-up advantages on both I still don't believe that either ORL or PHO are really that bad. ORL may be completely demoralized but they are playing with absolute desperation as are the Suns. And I would usually bet these.
I just had to stay with the hots and match-ups. I went a bit light though.
BOS-3.5/u190 (+260) 3%
BOS-2/u96 1H (+260) 3%
BOS+0.5/u194 (-110) 10%
LAL ML/u219 (+349) 3%
LAL+7/u223 (-110) 10%
* % of bankroll
I will make some singles as well.... 2H.
181-136 so far this playoff season.
Ice
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Quote Originally Posted by Ice4Blood:
Game 3 bets
teaser: Bos/Orl (UN 195) / LA (+7.5)
Like the tease....that's the way I went for the most part on the gm 3's. They have been a nightmare cap scenario for me.
Both BOS&LAL have played of their minds for the first two and despite the match-up advantages on both I still don't believe that either ORL or PHO are really that bad. ORL may be completely demoralized but they are playing with absolute desperation as are the Suns. And I would usually bet these.
I just had to stay with the hots and match-ups. I went a bit light though.
now what do i do? i screwed up and took the under at 211 in game 1, despite everything we talked about... then i stayed away at 216 in game 2... and now it is going to be around 220 or higher for game 3...
i think i almost have to just stay away altogether at this point... either that, or bet the over in game 3, and if it loses hope for better value in game 4 and go over again... maybe can get lucky and Phoenix will win a game...
Well I am hoping Phoenix does win a game so I can go
to game 5 at staples. I passed on game 2 because of the
early start. I get off work at 6 and I need to get my buzz on
before i go to a game and I would have missed the 1st H
as far as the totals. yes, hard decision, but I have to say I have
seen nothing to make me think that any of these games
go under. LA on the road scored atleast 111 - and you klnow
phx will shoot much better at home and they still scored over 100 pts in game 2. IF you ask me, the Over is a gift
Phx and LA= Over the total. there is no argument for an under
no hunch, no trap- no nothing..
GL my brotha
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Quote Originally Posted by Ice4Blood:
you know what i'm talking about...
now what do i do? i screwed up and took the under at 211 in game 1, despite everything we talked about... then i stayed away at 216 in game 2... and now it is going to be around 220 or higher for game 3...
i think i almost have to just stay away altogether at this point... either that, or bet the over in game 3, and if it loses hope for better value in game 4 and go over again... maybe can get lucky and Phoenix will win a game...
Well I am hoping Phoenix does win a game so I can go
to game 5 at staples. I passed on game 2 because of the
early start. I get off work at 6 and I need to get my buzz on
before i go to a game and I would have missed the 1st H
as far as the totals. yes, hard decision, but I have to say I have
seen nothing to make me think that any of these games
go under. LA on the road scored atleast 111 - and you klnow
phx will shoot much better at home and they still scored over 100 pts in game 2. IF you ask me, the Over is a gift
Phx and LA= Over the total. there is no argument for an under
this is like game 6 of the Clev-Bos game all over again... in that series, right after game 5, NOBODY thought Cleveland would win the series... if you had taken a poll 5 minutes after game 5, and asked people who they would bet in game 6, 99.9% of these forums would have said Boston... and yet by the time the game came around, everyone had convinced themselves it was too easy, and at least 80% were on Cleveland in game 6...
again, after game 2, you would have had to look in caves to find people who thought Orlando would bounce back, or still had a chance of winning... and yet today, right before the game, these forums are over-loaded with Magic love...
love being in the minority on a day like today...
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this is like game 6 of the Clev-Bos game all over again... in that series, right after game 5, NOBODY thought Cleveland would win the series... if you had taken a poll 5 minutes after game 5, and asked people who they would bet in game 6, 99.9% of these forums would have said Boston... and yet by the time the game came around, everyone had convinced themselves it was too easy, and at least 80% were on Cleveland in game 6...
again, after game 2, you would have had to look in caves to find people who thought Orlando would bounce back, or still had a chance of winning... and yet today, right before the game, these forums are over-loaded with Magic love...
Ice
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