Clippers -5.46 ...... giving the 2.25 pts for Kawhi.
Game 3's with series tied 1-1 we don't use my lines instead we back the team that should win the series but only if that team is clearly the better team with my PR's.
Here we don't have that with the 2 teams tied 1-1.
We could make a case Clippers with Kawhi would be the better team by somewhat of a decent amount
We could make a case Pistons have a decent enough shot to pull the upset and win this series
I'll pass but likely take Pistons game 4 if they lose SU. Same for Clippers.
MY LINES ..........
Pistons -3.16 over Knicks
Grizz -1.78 over OKC
Clippers -3.2 over Nuggets
Clippers -5.46 ...... giving the 2.25 pts for Kawhi.
Game 3's with series tied 1-1 we don't use my lines instead we back the team that should win the series but only if that team is clearly the better team with my PR's.
Here we don't have that with the 2 teams tied 1-1.
We could make a case Clippers with Kawhi would be the better team by somewhat of a decent amount
We could make a case Pistons have a decent enough shot to pull the upset and win this series
I'll pass but likely take Pistons game 4 if they lose SU. Same for Clippers.
People still sleeping on the young and hungry Piston. Cade Cunningham is the best player on the floor, not Brunson. Cade is making thing everyone around him better.
KAT is always shrink in big moment.
Every day out of the red is a big win.
People still sleeping on the young and hungry Piston. Cade Cunningham is the best player on the floor, not Brunson. Cade is making thing everyone around him better.
Wow. based on my lines I can't call a game 3 line off by this much.
I suspect has to do with the 51 pt blowout and a 19 pt big win.
That is 70 pts over 2 games.
This could be a NBA PLAYOFF regression play, normally I look for 3 straight games but possibly with an insane 51 pt win this could apply over 2 games.
After 3 games this method has produce some of the largest upsets based on the point spread in the entire playoffs.
Either way as I talked about teams with over 5% shooting efficiency margin when they win by 20+ pts game 1 then cover Game 2 all but 1 team has played a very close game in game 3.
The play is on the Grizz.
If this game loses then game 4 will be a playoff regression game with a very possible SU win for Grizz.
Game 3's teams down 0-2 get 4 desperation pts.
Wow. based on my lines I can't call a game 3 line off by this much.
I suspect has to do with the 51 pt blowout and a 19 pt big win.
That is 70 pts over 2 games.
This could be a NBA PLAYOFF regression play, normally I look for 3 straight games but possibly with an insane 51 pt win this could apply over 2 games.
After 3 games this method has produce some of the largest upsets based on the point spread in the entire playoffs.
Either way as I talked about teams with over 5% shooting efficiency margin when they win by 20+ pts game 1 then cover Game 2 all but 1 team has played a very close game in game 3.
The play is on the Grizz.
If this game loses then game 4 will be a playoff regression game with a very possible SU win for Grizz.
People still sleeping on the young and hungry Piston. Cade Cunningham is the best player on the floor, not Brunson. Cade is making thing everyone around him better. KAT is always shrink in big moment.
Yea I agree, Knicks are by no means an automatic team to advance the way I see some people talking about them.
Quote Originally Posted by gambling-devil:
People still sleeping on the young and hungry Piston. Cade Cunningham is the best player on the floor, not Brunson. Cade is making thing everyone around him better. KAT is always shrink in big moment.
Yea I agree, Knicks are by no means an automatic team to advance the way I see some people talking about them.
Bucks down 0-2 and off 0-2 ATS With over a 3.5 diff to my lines. Play has to be on the Bucks
Yea I know they are not very good but sometimes you just have to take teams like this.
depends on Dame. Will look into his situation. I assume he will play.
Twolves/LA with series tied 1-1 we dont use my line. We take team to win series if clear-cut who is the better team.
These teams pretty evenly matched. LA by .59 in PR I. Twolves by .38 in PR II.
I'd give Twolves a very good shot to win the series.
If we look at team that do not have common denominators of past champs playing each other the more recent series are 9-4 with better team winning the series.
This is different from Knicks/Pistons where Knicks are better then Pistons in both PR's although not by an overly big amount it meets that 9-4 much better then this series.
I think Twolves is the right play but may not take any action.
MY LINES..............Friday
Celtics -1.2 over Magic
Bucks -9.07 over Pacers
Twolves -3.41 over LA
Bucks down 0-2 and off 0-2 ATS With over a 3.5 diff to my lines. Play has to be on the Bucks
Yea I know they are not very good but sometimes you just have to take teams like this.
depends on Dame. Will look into his situation. I assume he will play.
Twolves/LA with series tied 1-1 we dont use my line. We take team to win series if clear-cut who is the better team.
These teams pretty evenly matched. LA by .59 in PR I. Twolves by .38 in PR II.
I'd give Twolves a very good shot to win the series.
If we look at team that do not have common denominators of past champs playing each other the more recent series are 9-4 with better team winning the series.
This is different from Knicks/Pistons where Knicks are better then Pistons in both PR's although not by an overly big amount it meets that 9-4 much better then this series.
I think Twolves is the right play but may not take any action.
Magic is the play according to my line but they are off ATS win . May wait out till next game.
I like your stuff here but think you are too rigid in some of your thinking, such as here. The value in the team down 0-2 at home is psychological, emotional, follows the ebbs and flows of human nature being in a desperate situation, while the team leading is comfortable/complacent.
The value is not derived from some numerical magic from covering a spread or not in the previous game. What difference does it make if they covered by .5 in game 2 and still lost by 9? That's nonsense, really. You could say you prefer to be a team after they lose by 30, vs lose a heartbreaking buzzer beater, that doesn't apply.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
Magic is the play according to my line but they are off ATS win . May wait out till next game.
I like your stuff here but think you are too rigid in some of your thinking, such as here. The value in the team down 0-2 at home is psychological, emotional, follows the ebbs and flows of human nature being in a desperate situation, while the team leading is comfortable/complacent.
The value is not derived from some numerical magic from covering a spread or not in the previous game. What difference does it make if they covered by .5 in game 2 and still lost by 9? That's nonsense, really. You could say you prefer to be a team after they lose by 30, vs lose a heartbreaking buzzer beater, that doesn't apply.
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Magic is the play according to my line but they are off ATS win . May wait out till next game. I like your stuff here but think you are too rigid in some of your thinking, such as here. The value in the team down 0-2 at home is psychological, emotional, follows the ebbs and flows of human nature being in a desperate situation, while the team leading is comfortable/complacent. The value is not derived from some numerical magic from covering a spread or not in the previous game. What difference does it make if they covered by .5 in game 2 and still lost by 9? That's nonsense, really. You could say you prefer to be a team after they lose by 30, vs lose a heartbreaking buzzer beater, that doesn't apply.
Appreciate your perspective............
Everything I do is based on research.
Quote Originally Posted by BarrelledIn:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Magic is the play according to my line but they are off ATS win . May wait out till next game. I like your stuff here but think you are too rigid in some of your thinking, such as here. The value in the team down 0-2 at home is psychological, emotional, follows the ebbs and flows of human nature being in a desperate situation, while the team leading is comfortable/complacent. The value is not derived from some numerical magic from covering a spread or not in the previous game. What difference does it make if they covered by .5 in game 2 and still lost by 9? That's nonsense, really. You could say you prefer to be a team after they lose by 30, vs lose a heartbreaking buzzer beater, that doesn't apply.
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