Posted:
#26
season --- 0-2, lost 1.1 units.
OKC laid a monster blowout on the grizz.
Off a 51 pt blowout play if on Grizz game 2.
NBA PLAYOFF TIME .....................2025......
Posted:
#29
1-1ATS, lost .1 units
season --- 1-3, lost 1.2 units
Off a bit of a slow start but easy to overcome at this point with a couple of wins. Nothing is easy in this game but if we stay the course with the info we should be just fine.
Pistons did the job and put themselves in good position to win the series.
Wow Kawhi was not going to let Clippers lose game 2. 39 pts on 15 of 19 shooting 79%. And 5 for 6 on FT's.
That looks like the great Kawhi of past years. Whether he can sustain that level of play in 1 or 2 more games remains to be seen.
His PER in game 1 was like 13.5, haven't look up game 2 but got to be around 30 or better I'd guess.
Joker was 8 of 16 , 50% shooting. He'll be better for sure.
Posted:
#30
MY LINES ................. game 2's
Pacers -1.93 over Bucks
OKC -10.22 over Grizz
LA -4.59 over Twolves
OKC off a monster 51 pt blowout win and the line goes up. Seems to be some good value here on Grizz according to my lines anyway.
Play is on the Grizz
LA now -6, seems like my Line is suggesting take Twolves.
But they are off a 23 pt win and as the road team they only need to get 1 game of the first 2 on the road.
And it is difficult to win both road games 1 and 2.
I say LA wins SU , maybe they cover but teams winning SU generally cover a good % of the time.
With that said I'll pass.
Posted:
#33
I was thinking about this yesterday. To find the true value of a player we could look at the teams play before he arrived then in only his games and see the difference.
For Luka the Lakers for season was 2.34 and with only Luka 4.59 that is a 2.25 difference.
However the full season includes the 28 games Luka played so we'd have to eliminate those 28 games to get the true value.
I'd guess it'd be between 3 and 4 pts maybe 4.5.
I will try to do this today or tomorrow. And for Jimmy and Kawhi it will be very interesting to see these results.
I found the other website I used last season, it wasn't basketball-reference.com.
Posted:
#34
Jimmy played in 30 games, if we give Jimmy 2.25 pts on top of the full season which includes his 30 games similar to Luka then Warriors rate 3.81.
That's. 91 better then the Rockets just for a rough guess.
But I doubt Jimmy is as good as Luka. Luka had like 23.9 PER in regular season to Jimmy 17.5 .
So Warriors Rockets seem pretty evenly matched but I'd lean more to Warriors winning series but not by much.
today on your plays.
Posted:
#40
Grizz +14.5 over OKC--- 1.1 units
Teams 5% or better shooting efficiency margin off a 20 pt or better win in game 1 dont do well 2cd game. Of the teams that did all but 1 played a very close game in game 3.
Last season Celtics in this spot off a 20 pt win in game 1 lost SU game 2.
Play is on the Grizz
Posted:
#45
Celtics at -10.5, big line adjustment from the 1st game and from 2cd game . Almost 3 pt difference to my line.
Play is on the Celtics depending on the line moving.
Warriors with adjusting for Jimmy even if he is not worth the 2.25 pts Luka was my lines would be to close for any plays.
But as I pointed out yesterday road teams winning both road games 1&2 is very difficult and rarely done. We hit the LA game I pointed out to ML parlay and we should hit Rockets on the ML here
And if they win SU highly likely to cover much like the Lakers did.
I'll pass but Rockets would be the play especially on the ML
I don't see much to say about Cavs/Heat.
Posted:
#47
I don't see the Celtics repeating this season.
For one when we look back from 1980 the year Brid and Magic came into league only 3 teams have won the title below being 10th ranked in offensive FG%
You need to make shots to win the title.
1 team was 11th won the other 2 teams were 18th or 19th. And one of those was 2004 Pistons who only became a championship caliber team when they signed R. Wallace who only played in 22 games.
The other was 2010 Kobe lead defending champ Lakers who were no. 1 ranked in PR II .
Celtics do have being defending champs in common but not being1 raked in either PR I or PR II.
Last season Celtics were lights out shooting 3 pointers but not this season. I talked about this over the years. Teams cannot duplicate the Warriors 3 pt shooting volume unless they can match their efficiency .
Many have tried and failed. Last year the Celtics did match it as I pointed this out comparing the 2 teams 3 pt shooting.
Last season Celtics ranked 8th in FG%.
I don't see Celtics repeating with 2 stronger teams that both have home court over them. And Celtics having to beat then in back-to-back series.
Hot Forum Topics
