NBA PLAYOFF TIME .....................2025......

Let's look at game by game the extra possesions, TO's plus off rebs.

Game 1 OKC wins by 15

2. OKC wins by 6

3. Pacers win by 2

4. OKC wins by 7

5. OKC wins by 12

6. Pacers win by 17

Game 6 was a complete fluke. OKC failed to match the energy and effort of the Pacers.

The Pacers did not magically get so much better then OKC.

Teams do not bring the same energy and effort each game, that is not how it works.

Both players and coaches have talked about this .

The play has to be on OKC, this is a Game of The Year type play. So many indicators lining up on OKC.

With OKC being young is the one thing will give me caution but at this point every time they needed to get it done they have .

This would be a larger play if not for being so young, I will stay disciplined only up my play some.

Game 6 .....Pacers by 18.

I hit the wrong number looks like

My queries are all over the place in Game 7, and my confidence took a hit losing 2.5 units on OKC -1.5 games.  While most of my queries favor OKC SU, I just had one that could be an outlier - it has IND 29-10 ATS.

As of now I passed on the side, but I might just take OKC and sell some points because, surprisingly, despite getting clobbered in Game 6, my efficiency factor metric makes OKC's DEF effort in Game 6 look like the best of the series.

I did bet the Under.  Good luck everybody.

You were right the first time.  Pacers won Game 6 by 17.

Pacers won TO's by 11 and off rebs by 7.

OKC -6 (-120) over Pacers --- .6 units

This is ridiculous, line still dropping, crazy talk

How is that possible dog ?

Pacers I think shot their highest shooting efficiency % of any game.

According to my meterics OKC defense was not good

What I am seeing is even people who like OKC won't take them on the line, they 9nly like ML or similar type props.

This is just crazy how much Love this Pacers team has Game 7. 

OKC won 1st half by 4 extra possesions

They already won 2cd by 5 at the 6 minute mark of 3rd.

OKC now up by 13 after 3 . They won the 3rd by 9.

This is the reason they have a big lead.

FG% almost even, 3 pt % Pacers winning big, it is all those extra possesions as to why OKC is up in this game.

Pacers are not very likely coming back.

Likely OKC builds on this leaf

OKC won extra possesions  by 15.

That was the game in itself. 

Your efficiency stats are undoubtedly better than mine; your pointspread record is better than mine most of the time.

I compute my Efficiency Factor (EF or EFF FAC) like this:

points/FGAs

The OFF EF can be bolstered by 3 ways: higher FG%, greater proportion of made FGs are 3s, or lots of made free throws.  A sound DEF EF keeps the opponent low in the same 3 ways.  While this does not consider net chances, this ratio can be used in queries and, to the best of my knowledge, I have never seen anyone else discuss this, so it gives me a unique perspective.

Parameters such as ORBs, TOs, DEF TAs and many other fundamental factors affecting net chances can also be added to queries.  Sport Data Query Language is thought of as "Technical Handicapping," but I now think of it as just a VERY efficient way of researching fundamentals stats and their relationships to lines and totals.  I can get an answer in just a few seconds rather than searching through newspapers, magazines and websites for hours.

This is one of the queries that got me to take the Under in Game 7 and it does include IND's Game 6 OFF EF which is the same as OKC's Game 6 DEF EF:

PO = 1 and HF and p:TOM - pp:TOM > 9.5 and op:points/op:FGA < 1.22

OU = 12-39-0  (-6.5,23.5%)

By parts:

Playoffs/HF/in the previous game OKC's turnover margins was at least 10 worse than the previous previous game/IND's Game 6 points div by its Game 6 FGAs was less than 1.22 (league avg this season is 1.28 and 1.27 in the playoffs.  IND's Game 6 EF was a weak 1.17; in Game 2 OKC's was a whopping 1.50).

The closing total was 215.5 which was a shockingly low total for lightning-paced IND whose OFF is much better than its DEF.  This season before today's game IND has had 103 games with posted totals over 218.2 and just one below 218.2.  There is NO way I could have come up with an Under wager without the above query (as well as others).

SDQL is worth investigating.  It's still about 2 1/2 months until the NFL kicks off.

Congratulations on nailing Game 7.  It's always nice to finish the season on a high note.

Good job claw… appreciate your time n efforts. 

Good stuff. I agree, very nice to get all that info quickly using queries..................

Someday I hope to learn that stuff.

Thank you ..........

Yes very nice to go out with a big win. That was my largest play of the playoffs dog, not sure if you knew that.

Thank you .................

Best of luck to you

1-0, won 2.5 units

Props --- 0-3, lost .3 units

Game 7 turned out to be my largest play this playoffs. It was a Game of The Year type play as everything lined up on OKC.

Pacers did win FG% by 1.2% and 3 pt % big by 11.8% but OKC did take 12 more, that is alot more but I don't think they created much advantage over 2 pt shots.

Pacers won FT battle by 4.9% , OKC DID take 2 more. Generally a strength of OKC.

SHOOTING EFFICIENCY without using TO's.........

Pacers 53.85%

OKC 50.24%

Pacers won this fairly big, the only way OKC could over-come this is to have More Shot Attempts. 

And that is the importance of creating more possesions/shot attempts.

OKC won this battle by 15, TO battle by 14 and off reb by 1.

OkC's other strength winning the TO battle they won big.

That 15 was tied for the most of any game in this series.

Now when we go back and look at game 6 with Pacers winning by 18 we should be able to understand what a fluke game that was for the Pacers to win big. And then so many over-reacting to that win.

Pacers only won 1 other game by a measly 2 extra possessions.

I did point this out at the start of this series, Pacers would need to win FG% battle in many games because if they lose FG% they can't  make that up with extra possesions. 

But OKC can and do it large enough to win games even if they are out-shot in the game.

And that right there is what cost the Pacers the title.

Next year many will be on Pacers to win title.

Unless they improve their rebounding I doubt they make the Finals.

I think they got a little lucky Cavs were hurt.

Maybe they still could have won, they did seem to have some magic for sure with good chemistry and played very well together but I think Cavs win.

Playoffs to Date ---- 27-20 (57.4%) , won 8.29 units

futures & props 0-4, lost .8 units

Want to thank everyone for all their responses, kind words and just stopping by to have a look at my info, I hope it helped if only in a small way..........................

Didn't know that.  Extra bonus congratulations.

I won 3.5 units on the Under.  That was my biggest win of the entire season.

I doubt that.  IND was 10-1 to win the 2026 NBA title before the Haliburton injury.  Now IND is 40-1.

This does improve BOS's and CLV's chances.

Kevin Durant is headed to HOU, so next season is already shaping up to be pretty interesting.

Appreciate your perspective  dog.

After the finals the books did well with futures cause OKC won title. But had Pacers won I saw they would have lost money on futures coz paying out all those high odds bets.

Being 1 game away from the title and getting big odds I think many will jump all over that. As public loves big odds especially if they think it has a great chance to hit.

But with Hali injury maybe that causes some concern if he will be back at 100%.

I agree KD going to Rockets will be very interesting.  However KD is past his prime, no longer an elite player.

Former great players may bring alot of hope and promise but rarely bring titles.

His Player Efficiency Rating dipped below 24 past 2 years at just over 21.

And his vorp which is probably the best indicator as it is cumulative meaning measures both games played and minutes played dipped way below an elite player which is 7 or better  at a pretty pathetic 3 and 4.3, ... 2 years ago.

And his win shares per 48 minutes again pretty pathetic at .111 and .142 when .222 is elite when looking back at other great players.

He is well below his career averages .

And he could not get a title in his prime playing on some pretty good teams untill he teamed up with a championship team. I don't think he has the leadership skills to do it. 

I dont see it but maybe with better players around him he could have a big year but honestly I doubt it.

But I do think it will be interesting  to watch it unfold and he certainly has brought excitement and hope to Houston.