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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Johnson's NBA Plays - Monday 1/17 (One of the best trend days of the year!)

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    Ltrain14
    CMJohnson1
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    Mr_Knuckles
    evilelvis
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    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    Ltrain14
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 12:05 PM ET #51

    Reply
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 12:06 PM ET #52

    Sorry....leaves the Bulls in the mid 80's


    Reply
    Sorry....leaves the Bulls in the mid 80's


     
    NYKBBall
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 12:24 PM ET #53

    Reply
     
    Mr_Knuckles
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 12:30 PM ET #54

    Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

    There is no under trend for MLK day.

    You are using a small selective sample size of the last two years. Odds are actually that there would be some regression toward the mean this year.

    Go back 5-7 years and include those numbers, then you have a more representative sample of what to expect.

    I'll be rooting for you today regardless, but you should be careful blanketing this today, especially if the under has been that dominatnt the last two years.



    This trend was common-knowledge 15 years ago....I may be dating myself a bit....lol.......

    I just don't have the stats to back it up......so my post is close to not having any value whatsoever....
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

    There is no under trend for MLK day.

    You are using a small selective sample size of the last two years. Odds are actually that there would be some regression toward the mean this year.

    Go back 5-7 years and include those numbers, then you have a more representative sample of what to expect.

    I'll be rooting for you today regardless, but you should be careful blanketing this today, especially if the under has been that dominatnt the last two years.



    This trend was common-knowledge 15 years ago....I may be dating myself a bit....lol.......

    I just don't have the stats to back it up......so my post is close to not having any value whatsoever....
     
    evilelvis
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 12:35 PM ET #55

    Under, Under....

    Good luck CM and to all.

    Reply

    Under, Under....

    Good luck CM and to all.

     
    thatsagoodone
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 12:51 PM ET #56

    Reply
     
    marnypoly
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 12:52 PM ET #57

    I was already on those unders


    Reply
    I was already on those unders


     
    Coach-G
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 1:06 PM ET #58

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    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 1:22 PM ET #59

    Not a great start to the Suns/Knicks game.  But the other two are coming along nicely.

    The tough thing about UNDERS is that you are always worried!!
    Reply
    Not a great start to the Suns/Knicks game.  But the other two are coming along nicely.

    The tough thing about UNDERS is that you are always worried!!
     
    Corygolf
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 1:43 PM ET #60

    I hope it does, but I don't think the Suns is gonna cover.  69 1st qtr. pts.

    Reply

    I hope it does, but I don't think the Suns is gonna cover.  69 1st qtr. pts.

     
    cubicman
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 1:46 PM ET #61

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    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 2:02 PM ET #62

    Looks like we're shooting for a 2 out of 3 situation.  This is exactly what I was scared of in the Suns/Knicks game.  Neither team plays defense...and after the Knicks laid an egg against the Kings the other night, it was clear they were looking forward to this game.
    Reply
    Looks like we're shooting for a 2 out of 3 situation.  This is exactly what I was scared of in the Suns/Knicks game.  Neither team plays defense...and after the Knicks laid an egg against the Kings the other night, it was clear they were looking forward to this game.
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 2:06 PM ET #63

    Charlotte Bobcats vs. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 189.5

    Next batch of games is up...and the day seems to be starting in a very slow fashion.  Bobcats so-called "fast paced" offense isn't close to what it was in the first couple games under Silas.

    Prediction:  Sixers 91  Bobcats 86
    Risk:  1.1 units to win 1 unit
    Reply
    Charlotte Bobcats vs. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 189.5

    Next batch of games is up...and the day seems to be starting in a very slow fashion.  Bobcats so-called "fast paced" offense isn't close to what it was in the first couple games under Silas.

    Prediction:  Sixers 91  Bobcats 86
    Risk:  1.1 units to win 1 unit
     
    JEG53
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 2:17 PM ET #64

    Im going to take a couple of sec half unders in these as well,hit Utah FH under alreay,hope your Char.score is right,have Char+5.5 and under,lol.
    Reply
    Im going to take a couple of sec half unders in these as well,hit Utah FH under alreay,hope your Char.score is right,have Char+5.5 and under,lol.
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 2:42 PM ET #65

    What the hell is happening in the Jazz/Wizards game?


    Reply
    What the hell is happening in the Jazz/Wizards game?


     
    phat03
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 2:51 PM ET #66

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    JEG53
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 2:58 PM ET #67

    Didnt play the sec half under in Wash.,line was higher than I expected,looks like they had some red bull at halftime or something,lol
    Took FH under in Milk=Houston,still thinking about game under or wait until halftime?
    Reply
    Didnt play the sec half under in Wash.,line was higher than I expected,looks like they had some red bull at halftime or something,lol
    Took FH under in Milk=Houston,still thinking about game under or wait until halftime?
     
    tonislug
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 3:02 PM ET #68

    Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

    What the hell is happening in the Jazz/Wizards game?


     

    When is the last time the freakin wiz scored 36 in a qtr

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

    What the hell is happening in the Jazz/Wizards game?


     

    When is the last time the freakin wiz scored 36 in a qtr

     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 3:03 PM ET #69

    Either way JEG it looks solid.

    If this Jazz/Wizards game goes OVER...I'm not going to be happy.  That first half was perfect...now they decide to play like madmen?
    Reply
    Either way JEG it looks solid.

    If this Jazz/Wizards game goes OVER...I'm not going to be happy.  That first half was perfect...now they decide to play like madmen?
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 3:06 PM ET #70

    Milwaukee Bucks vs. Houston Rockets UNDER 197

    Bought the 1/2 point even though I really don't think it will matter.

    Prediction:  Rockets 98  Bucks 91
    Risk:  1.1 units to win 1 unit
    Reply
    Milwaukee Bucks vs. Houston Rockets UNDER 197

    Bought the 1/2 point even though I really don't think it will matter.

    Prediction:  Rockets 98  Bucks 91
    Risk:  1.1 units to win 1 unit
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 3:10 PM ET #71

    Fucking 120 point 2nd half?




    We should be 3-1 on the day boys.  It happens I guess.
    Reply
    Fucking 120 point 2nd half?




    We should be 3-1 on the day boys.  It happens I guess.
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 3:13 PM ET #72

    Utah Jazz vs. Washington Wizards UNDER 197

    1:00pm start time.  The Wizards have only put up 100+ seven times this year (not counting OT games).  The Wizards have played SIX home games against the Western Conference.  Five of those six games have gone UNDER the total...with the only game going over being that stupid game against the Kings that went off the charts.

    Prediction:  Wizards 96  Jazz 91
    Risk:  2.2 units to win 2 units



    My prediction is where the game SHOULD have ended
    Reply
    Utah Jazz vs. Washington Wizards UNDER 197

    1:00pm start time.  The Wizards have only put up 100+ seven times this year (not counting OT games).  The Wizards have played SIX home games against the Western Conference.  Five of those six games have gone UNDER the total...with the only game going over being that stupid game against the Kings that went off the charts.

    Prediction:  Wizards 96  Jazz 91
    Risk:  2.2 units to win 2 units



    My prediction is where the game SHOULD have ended
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 3:21 PM ET #73

    Dallas Mavericks vs. Detroit Pistons UNDER 189

    Mavericks should win this game with Dirk back in there.  And they'll have to do it on defense...unlike their last game.

    Prediction:   Mavericks 95  Pistons 87
    Risk:  2.2 units to win 2 units
    Reply
    Dallas Mavericks vs. Detroit Pistons UNDER 189

    Mavericks should win this game with Dirk back in there.  And they'll have to do it on defense...unlike their last game.

    Prediction:   Mavericks 95  Pistons 87
    Risk:  2.2 units to win 2 units
     
    JEG53
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 3:26 PM ET #74

    You taking the Clips F-1/4 again/,bet you are,lol
    Reply
    You taking the Clips F-1/4 again/,bet you are,lol
     
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 3:33 PM ET #75

    Phoenix Suns vs. New York Knicks UNDER 221

    1:00pm start time.  This is certainly the most dangerous of the UNDER plays today.  The Knicks have gone from scoring 125 against the Jazz in Utah...to putting up 83 at home against the Kings.  Both of these teams are known for anything BUT defense.  This is simply a play on the MLK Day trend...and nothing else.

    Prediction:  Knicks 101  Suns 97
    Risk:  2.2 units to win 2 units


    Reply
    Phoenix Suns vs. New York Knicks UNDER 221

    1:00pm start time.  This is certainly the most dangerous of the UNDER plays today.  The Knicks have gone from scoring 125 against the Jazz in Utah...to putting up 83 at home against the Kings.  Both of these teams are known for anything BUT defense.  This is simply a play on the MLK Day trend...and nothing else.

    Prediction:  Knicks 101  Suns 97
    Risk:  2.2 units to win 2 units


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