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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    Johnson's NBA Plays - Monday 1/17 (One of the best trend days of the year!)

    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
    BURTS
    KktdocT
    aireent777
    Dowen
    willywagtail
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 17658
    Posts: 127
    «First Previous 123456 Next Last»
     
    BURTS
    BURTS
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 7:02 AM ET #26

    Reply
     
    KktdocT
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 7:18 AM ET #27

    GL.
    Reply
    GL.
     
    aireent777
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 8:31 AM ET #28

    Reply
     
    Dowen
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 8:36 AM ET #29

    On the same page...
    Reply
    On the same page...
     
    willywagtail
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 8:39 AM ET #30

    Out of 10 current available games for betting on pinnacle, 6 of them have a spread of -4.5/+4.5! I have never seen anything like this before!
    Reply
    Out of 10 current available games for betting on pinnacle, 6 of them have a spread of -4.5/+4.5! I have never seen anything like this before!
     
    cacabware
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 8:47 AM ET #31

    Reply

     
    bAbycHix2012
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 8:47 AM ET #32

    GL! guyz.. been thinking on going under on this team.. thanks for the info CMJ nice write ups 
    Reply
    GL! guyz.. been thinking on going under on this team.. thanks for the info CMJ nice write ups 
     
    mikethemerchant
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 9:13 AM ET #33

    Utah is 0-4 ATS when they have 3 days rest prior to a game. GL
    Reply
    Utah is 0-4 ATS when they have 3 days rest prior to a game. GL
     
    knoxcr
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 9:41 AM ET #34

    I'll be joining you on those unders my friend.  I remember this time last year and a couple of those only went over because of overtime.  Good luck today!  
    Reply
    I'll be joining you on those unders my friend.  I remember this time last year and a couple of those only went over because of overtime.  Good luck today!  
     
    georgem
    georgem
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 10:14 AM ET #35

    knicks now 222 love the under and trends
    Reply
    knicks now 222 love the under and trends
     
    ldusing
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 10:15 AM ET #36

    Quote Originally Posted by mikethemerchant:

    Utah is 0-4 ATS when they have 3 days rest prior to a game. GL
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by mikethemerchant:

    Utah is 0-4 ATS when they have 3 days rest prior to a game. GL
     
    ldusing
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 10:16 AM ET #37

    Quote Originally Posted by mikethemerchant:

    Utah is 0-4 ATS when they have 3 days rest prior to a game. GL
    They played two nights ago
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by mikethemerchant:

    Utah is 0-4 ATS when they have 3 days rest prior to a game. GL
    They played two nights ago
     
    Ethiopian_Star
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 10:43 AM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

    PARLAY:

    Jazz vs. Wizards UNDER 197
    Suns vs. Knicks UNDER 221

    Risk:  1 unit to win 2.6 units


    Thanks for the write up, CM
    Teased the totals for 7 more points
    Jazz/Wiz under 203, Suns/Knicks under 229
    2 units even
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

    PARLAY:

    Jazz vs. Wizards UNDER 197
    Suns vs. Knicks UNDER 221

    Risk:  1 unit to win 2.6 units


    Thanks for the write up, CM
    Teased the totals for 7 more points
    Jazz/Wiz under 203, Suns/Knicks under 229
    2 units even
     
    Ethiopian_Star
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 10:44 AM ET #39

    Quote Originally Posted by Ethiopian_Star:



    Thanks for the write up, CM
    Teased the totals for 7 more points
    Jazz/Wiz under 203, Suns/Knicks under 229
    2 units even


    Sorry, for 6.5 points
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Ethiopian_Star:



    Thanks for the write up, CM
    Teased the totals for 7 more points
    Jazz/Wiz under 203, Suns/Knicks under 229
    2 units even


    Sorry, for 6.5 points
     
    cubs2011win
    cubs2011win
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 10:46 AM ET #40

    gl
    Reply
    gl
     
    JFEEZEE
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 11:03 AM ET #41

    good info
    Reply
    good info
     
    44-dimes
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 11:07 AM ET #42

    Love the Unders today as well CMJ. Good luck with today's card
    Reply
    Love the Unders today as well CMJ. Good luck with today's card
     
    lceeman
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 11:12 AM ET #43

    Quote Originally Posted by ldusing:

    They played two nights ago


    yea, that guy is posting that in every post, he cant count to 3 imo
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ldusing:

    They played two nights ago


    yea, that guy is posting that in every post, he cant count to 3 imo
     
    Pilotboy
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 11:23 AM ET #44

    I'm salivating at all these unders today. Especially Pho at NY, Utah at Wiz, Indy at Clips. Long trip, Sun-Mon, and early?

    GL CM
    Reply
    I'm salivating at all these unders today. Especially Pho at NY, Utah at Wiz, Indy at Clips. Long trip, Sun-Mon, and early?

    GL CM
     
    BigNiner
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 11:29 AM ET #45

    There is no under trend for MLK day.

    You are using a small selective sample size of the last two years. Odds are actually that there would be some regression toward the mean this year.

    Go back 5-7 years and include those numbers, then you have a more representative sample of what to expect.

    I'll be rooting for you today regardless, but you should be careful blanketing this today, especially if the under has been that dominatnt the last two years.

    Reply

    There is no under trend for MLK day.

    You are using a small selective sample size of the last two years. Odds are actually that there would be some regression toward the mean this year.

    Go back 5-7 years and include those numbers, then you have a more representative sample of what to expect.

    I'll be rooting for you today regardless, but you should be careful blanketing this today, especially if the under has been that dominatnt the last two years.

     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 11:37 AM ET #46

    Quote Originally Posted by shadow_nikko:

    .MR CMJ. 

    i respect you alot and will trust you about my picks for tomorrow,
    i would like to bet on UTAH (bigger bet) and NYK (smaller bet)

    do you think it'll work? ima wait for your reply. thank you :)


    I wouldn't trust that one.  Simply because of what the Knicks have done over the past couple games...you have no idea what to expect out of them
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by shadow_nikko:

    .MR CMJ. 

    i respect you alot and will trust you about my picks for tomorrow,
    i would like to bet on UTAH (bigger bet) and NYK (smaller bet)

    do you think it'll work? ima wait for your reply. thank you :)


    I wouldn't trust that one.  Simply because of what the Knicks have done over the past couple games...you have no idea what to expect out of them
     
    knoxcr
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 11:41 AM ET #47

    Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

    There is no under trend for MLK day.

    You are using a small selective sample size of the last two years. Odds are actually that there would be some regression toward the mean this year.

    Go back 5-7 years and include those numbers, then you have a more representative sample of what to expect.

    I'll be rooting for you today regardless, but you should be careful blanketing this today, especially if the under has been that dominatnt the last two years.


    However I'd argue there is an under trend with early starts and there happen to be a lot of them today.  Just curious... do you have the stats from 5-7 years ago because I'm too lazy?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

    There is no under trend for MLK day.

    You are using a small selective sample size of the last two years. Odds are actually that there would be some regression toward the mean this year.

    Go back 5-7 years and include those numbers, then you have a more representative sample of what to expect.

    I'll be rooting for you today regardless, but you should be careful blanketing this today, especially if the under has been that dominatnt the last two years.


    However I'd argue there is an under trend with early starts and there happen to be a lot of them today.  Just curious... do you have the stats from 5-7 years ago because I'm too lazy?
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 11:43 AM ET #48

    Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

    There is no under trend for MLK day.

    You are using a small selective sample size of the last two years. Odds are actually that there would be some regression toward the mean this year.

    Go back 5-7 years and include those numbers, then you have a more representative sample of what to expect.

    I'll be rooting for you today regardless, but you should be careful blanketing this today, especially if the under has been that dominatnt the last two years.





    Over the last four years it is 27-20...with I believe three games going over simply because of OT.  Still a strong trend IMO.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

    There is no under trend for MLK day.

    You are using a small selective sample size of the last two years. Odds are actually that there would be some regression toward the mean this year.

    Go back 5-7 years and include those numbers, then you have a more representative sample of what to expect.

    I'll be rooting for you today regardless, but you should be careful blanketing this today, especially if the under has been that dominatnt the last two years.





    Over the last four years it is 27-20...with I believe three games going over simply because of OT.  Still a strong trend IMO.

     
    jtmoney357
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 11:55 AM ET #49

    Reply
     
     
    CMJohnson1
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    Posted: Jan. 17, 2011 - 12:05 PM ET #50

    Chicago Bulls vs. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 187.5

    The Bulls have put up less than 100 points in the last 7 games...and will be without Carlos Boozer in today's game due to an ankle injury.  That leaves them with very little inside presence since Joakim Noah is also out for a while.  The Grizzlies are a big team, and have a lot of length as well.  Take out Boozer's 15 points or so...and that leaves the Bulls in the mid 100's....the question then becomes whether or not the Grizz can put up 100+

    Prediction:  Grizzlies 95  Bulls 86
    Risk:  1.1 units to win 1 unit
    Reply
    Chicago Bulls vs. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 187.5

    The Bulls have put up less than 100 points in the last 7 games...and will be without Carlos Boozer in today's game due to an ankle injury.  That leaves them with very little inside presence since Joakim Noah is also out for a while.  The Grizzlies are a big team, and have a lot of length as well.  Take out Boozer's 15 points or so...and that leaves the Bulls in the mid 100's....the question then becomes whether or not the Grizz can put up 100+

    Prediction:  Grizzlies 95  Bulls 86
    Risk:  1.1 units to win 1 unit
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