Posted:
#151
Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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IT'S NBA PLAYOFF TIME ..................2026
Posted:
#154
Quote Originally Posted by Mskeets:
What a bunch of crap with Tatum being out…. Never heard a word on this till too late for me… done with nba. Bought celts down to,-3.5 this am. And put in moneyline in a few others. Hate the nba…. More now
What a bunch of crap with Tatum being out…. Never heard a word on this till too late for me… done with nba. Bought celts down to,-3.5 this am. And put in moneyline in a few others. Hate the nba…. More now
Yes I thought Tatum said he was ok to play just stiffness. Nothing a little loosening up can't help.............
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Posted:
#155
Quote Originally Posted by SportsIntuition:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Celtics -7.5 (-120) over 76ers --- 1.2 units. If we look at game 1 & 2 Celtics at home with no Embiid -13.5 bet up. Game 5 Embiid back, Celtics -11.5 that's a 2 pt adjustment from game 1 without Embiid. Game 6 with Embiid in Philly was a 1.5 adjustment. Now with 76ers off 2 wins with Embiid line is -8 , that's a 3.5 pt adjustment from game 5 with Embiid. All of a sudden the book makes a much bigger adjustment after 2 very nice 76ers wins with Embiid back. Big adjustments I'll take the .3.5 pts the book wants to give me. Play is on Celtics Pistons 2.0
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Celtics -7.5 (-120) over 76ers --- 1.2 units. If we look at game 1 & 2 Celtics at home with no Embiid -13.5 bet up. Game 5 Embiid back, Celtics -11.5 that's a 2 pt adjustment from game 1 without Embiid. Game 6 with Embiid in Philly was a 1.5 adjustment. Now with 76ers off 2 wins with Embiid line is -8 , that's a 3.5 pt adjustment from game 5 with Embiid. All of a sudden the book makes a much bigger adjustment after 2 very nice 76ers wins with Embiid back. Big adjustments I'll take the .3.5 pts the book wants to give me. Play is on Celtics Pistons 2.0
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Posted:
#158
Past 2 days --- 1-1, won .8 units
Playoffs --- 10-7 ATS, won 3.15 units
Player props and futures ---0-2, lost .66 units
White final went way over with Tatum out.
76ers playing well it appears with Embiid back , how good they are is tough to say. Embiid brings alot but he hasn't played in awhile .
One of the issues with this Celtics team was taking so many 3's they are not close to as good shooting 3's like their 2024 title team. That team had 4 players shot over 40% on 3's this team is not close to that good shooting 3's.
But I thought they were good enough to win the East but not the title.
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Posted:
#159
My Lines ................
Pistons -11.06 over Magic
Cavs -4.98 over Raptors
Pistons the better team and off 1-2 ATS at home this series now in a game 7 with my line on the Pistons.
Generally the book Jacks up the line in closeout games for the clearly better team but with Pistons struggling to put this team away and only 1-2 ATS at home we get a exception of a game where my line is a play in this closeout spot.
Play has to be on the Pistons.
Cavs/Raptors are the closest series based on my 2 PR's and the 1 series I thought could be an upset.
But based on how the series has played out it has the form of the Cavs winning the series.
That is on average over the long run. Exceptions do happen and this could be one but I will pass.
1
Posted:
#170
My lines game 1's .................
Knicks -11.46 over 76ers
Spurs -10.59 over Twolves ......using ave
Spurs -8.21 ...... using full season
With Embiid back the line seems about right, no play either way based only on my line.
Book seemed to be using full season line on the Spurs in the first round.
With all the injuries to Twolves line seems about right.
Knicks off 2 big blowout wins and 3 SU & ATS wins, Knicks become a playoff regression fade.
76ers are off 3 SU& ATS wins as well so not the best spot to back the 76ers but 76ers not in a major regression spot like the Knicks.
Play has to be on the 76ers.
Spurs off 3 SU & ATS wins as well, crazy that's 3 teams, never seem that before that i can remember.
Play is on Twolves.
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Posted:
#173
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
76ers +7.5 over Knicks --- 1.1 units 76ers ML +240 --- .5 units 76ers 1st half +4.5 (-120) --- .5 units 76ers ML 1st half --- +170 --- .5 units Twolves +13 over Spurs --- 1.1 units
76ers +7.5 over Knicks --- 1.1 units 76ers ML +240 --- .5 units 76ers 1st half +4.5 (-120) --- .5 units 76ers ML 1st half --- +170 --- .5 units Twolves +13 over Spurs --- 1.1 units
Congratulations on getting such a juicy line with MIN. Heritage has MIN at +9.5.
Good luck.
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Posted:
#175
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
My lines game 1's ................. Knicks -11.46 over 76ers Spurs -10.59 over Twolves ......using ave Spurs -8.21 ...... using full season With Embiid back the line seems about right, no play either way based only on my line. Book seemed to be using full season line on the Spurs in the first round. With all the injuries to Twolves line seems about right. Knicks off 2 big blowout wins and 3 SU & ATS wins, Knicks become a playoff regression fade. 76ers are off 3 SU& ATS wins as well so not the best spot to back the 76ers but 76ers not in a major regression spot like the Knicks. Play has to be on the 76ers. Spurs off 3 SU & ATS wins as well, crazy that's 3 teams, never seem that before that i can remember. Play is on Twolves.
My lines game 1's ................. Knicks -11.46 over 76ers Spurs -10.59 over Twolves ......using ave Spurs -8.21 ...... using full season With Embiid back the line seems about right, no play either way based only on my line. Book seemed to be using full season line on the Spurs in the first round. With all the injuries to Twolves line seems about right. Knicks off 2 big blowout wins and 3 SU & ATS wins, Knicks become a playoff regression fade. 76ers are off 3 SU& ATS wins as well so not the best spot to back the 76ers but 76ers not in a major regression spot like the Knicks. Play has to be on the 76ers. Spurs off 3 SU & ATS wins as well, crazy that's 3 teams, never seem that before that i can remember. Play is on Twolves.
Crazy regression now to unload on sixers game 2 especially first half
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