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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    IT'S NBA PLAYOFF TIME ..................2026

    «First Previous 91011 ... 181920 Next Last»
    DogbiteWilliams
    MrBator
    kimoinsd808
    atokst13
    theclaw
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 26580
    Posts: 484
    «First Previous 91011 ... 181920 Next Last»
     
    DogbiteWilliams
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: May. 7, 2026 - 4:25 PM ET #201

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    My Lines. ................... Pistons -7.7 over Cavs OKC -12.13 over LA ....... full season OKC - 10.99 .......... LA after the break   Pistons off 4 ATS and SU wins, not a good spot to back the Pistons. But with such a big difference  in my line and actual line I pass on this game. It appears Cavs are a bit over-rated because of Harden trade and Pistons underrated from what I am seeing. One guy on wagertalk said Pistons might be 6th best in the West, he was same guy though said Nuggets would win the West. Speaking of Nuggets, I saw on you tube someone  said Jokic with Nuggets has never beaten a 50 win team in playoffs. Wow crazy if it is true

    I disagree; I'd say CLV is a LOT overrated because of the Harden trade.

    They posted this depressing piece of info on ESPN:  In the playoffs Harden has 29 games where he committed more turnovers than he made field goals.  Also many ESPN analysts say Harden is a poor DEF player.  Since I have no idea I'll take their word for it.

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    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    My Lines. ................... Pistons -7.7 over Cavs OKC -12.13 over LA ....... full season OKC - 10.99 .......... LA after the break   Pistons off 4 ATS and SU wins, not a good spot to back the Pistons. But with such a big difference  in my line and actual line I pass on this game. It appears Cavs are a bit over-rated because of Harden trade and Pistons underrated from what I am seeing. One guy on wagertalk said Pistons might be 6th best in the West, he was same guy though said Nuggets would win the West. Speaking of Nuggets, I saw on you tube someone  said Jokic with Nuggets has never beaten a 50 win team in playoffs. Wow crazy if it is true

    I disagree; I'd say CLV is a LOT overrated because of the Harden trade.

    They posted this depressing piece of info on ESPN:  In the playoffs Harden has 29 games where he committed more turnovers than he made field goals.  Also many ESPN analysts say Harden is a poor DEF player.  Since I have no idea I'll take their word for it.

     
    MrBator
    MrBator
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    Posted: May. 7, 2026 - 4:37 PM ET #202

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    My Lines. ...................

    Pistons -7.7 over Cavs

    OKC -12.13 over LA ....... full season

    OKC - 10.99 .......... LA after the break  

     

    Pistons off 4 ATS and SU wins, not a good spot to back the Pistons.

     

    The first of those 4 straight wins was a 116-109 non-cover over the Magic in Game 5.

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    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    My Lines. ...................

    Pistons -7.7 over Cavs

    OKC -12.13 over LA ....... full season

    OKC - 10.99 .......... LA after the break  

     

    Pistons off 4 ATS and SU wins, not a good spot to back the Pistons.

     

    The first of those 4 straight wins was a 116-109 non-cover over the Magic in Game 5.

     
    MrBator
    MrBator
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    Posted: May. 7, 2026 - 4:43 PM ET #203

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    Speaking of Nuggets, I saw on you tube someone said Jokic with Nuggets has never beaten a 50 win team in playoffs. Wow crazy if it is true

     

    The Nuggets eliminated the 50-32 Clippers in the 1st round last year.

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    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

    Speaking of Nuggets, I saw on you tube someone said Jokic with Nuggets has never beaten a 50 win team in playoffs. Wow crazy if it is true

     

    The Nuggets eliminated the 50-32 Clippers in the 1st round last year.

     
    DogbiteWilliams
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: May. 7, 2026 - 4:49 PM ET #204

    This query supports the LAL play:

    PO = 1 and 8.5 < tS(margin > 22.5) - oS(margin > 22.5) < 13.5 and 2.5 < streak < 7.5 and p:margin > 14.5

    ATS:  4-16 (-7.5,20.0%)

    The query parameters from OKC's standpoint:

    Playoffs

    9 to 13 more wins by 23+ points on the season

    Winning streak of 3 to 7 games

    Won the last game by 15+ points

    *******

    Good luck everybody.

     

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    This query supports the LAL play:

    PO = 1 and 8.5 < tS(margin > 22.5) - oS(margin > 22.5) < 13.5 and 2.5 < streak < 7.5 and p:margin > 14.5

    ATS:  4-16 (-7.5,20.0%)

    The query parameters from OKC's standpoint:

    Playoffs

    9 to 13 more wins by 23+ points on the season

    Winning streak of 3 to 7 games

    Won the last game by 15+ points

    *******

    Good luck everybody.

     

     
    kimoinsd808
    kimoinsd808
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    Posted: May. 7, 2026 - 5:17 PM ET #205

    @MrBator

     You like anything tonight MrB? 

     

    Bitcoin, not crypto.
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    @MrBator

     You like anything tonight MrB? 

     

     
    kimoinsd808
    kimoinsd808
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    Posted: May. 7, 2026 - 5:17 PM ET #206

    @theclaw

     clover

    Bitcoin, not crypto.
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    @theclaw

     clover

     
    atokst13
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    Posted: May. 7, 2026 - 6:59 PM ET #207

    Pistons all day

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    Pistons all day

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 8, 2026 - 11:14 AM ET #208

    Quote Originally Posted by BarrelledIn:

    Cavs 1h with pistons off 4 straight tough wins taking a toll. We’ll get a let down 1h if not FG. Pistons are a fraud ultimately Good call on sixers, think you gotta ride them for gm3 big even though the regression fade already hit nyk. 4 straight wins for ny, sixers proven very resilient, monitor embiid status for best line but it’s a major play either way

    Yea possible Knicks lose another ATS with regression................

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    Quote Originally Posted by BarrelledIn:

    Cavs 1h with pistons off 4 straight tough wins taking a toll. We’ll get a let down 1h if not FG. Pistons are a fraud ultimately Good call on sixers, think you gotta ride them for gm3 big even though the regression fade already hit nyk. 4 straight wins for ny, sixers proven very resilient, monitor embiid status for best line but it’s a major play either way

    Yea possible Knicks lose another ATS with regression................

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 8, 2026 - 11:15 AM ET #209

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: My Lines. ................... Pistons -7.7 over Cavs OKC -12.13 over LA ....... full season OKC - 10.99 .......... LA after the break   Pistons off 4 ATS and SU wins, not a good spot to back the Pistons. But with such a big difference  in my line and actual line I pass on this game. It appears Cavs are a bit over-rated because of Harden trade and Pistons underrated from what I am seeing. One guy on wagertalk said Pistons might be 6th best in the West, he was same guy though said Nuggets would win the West. Speaking of Nuggets, I saw on you tube someone  said Jokic with Nuggets has never beaten a 50 win team in playoffs. Wow crazy if it is true I disagree; I'd say CLV is a LOT overrated because of the Harden trade. They posted this depressing piece of info on ESPN:  In the playoffs Harden has 29 games where he committed more turnovers than he made field goals.  Also many ESPN analysts say Harden is a poor DEF player.  Since I have no idea I'll take their word for it.

    Good info, and he is past his prime ...........peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: My Lines. ................... Pistons -7.7 over Cavs OKC -12.13 over LA ....... full season OKC - 10.99 .......... LA after the break   Pistons off 4 ATS and SU wins, not a good spot to back the Pistons. But with such a big difference  in my line and actual line I pass on this game. It appears Cavs are a bit over-rated because of Harden trade and Pistons underrated from what I am seeing. One guy on wagertalk said Pistons might be 6th best in the West, he was same guy though said Nuggets would win the West. Speaking of Nuggets, I saw on you tube someone  said Jokic with Nuggets has never beaten a 50 win team in playoffs. Wow crazy if it is true I disagree; I'd say CLV is a LOT overrated because of the Harden trade. They posted this depressing piece of info on ESPN:  In the playoffs Harden has 29 games where he committed more turnovers than he made field goals.  Also many ESPN analysts say Harden is a poor DEF player.  Since I have no idea I'll take their word for it.

    Good info, and he is past his prime ...........peace_5

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 8, 2026 - 11:15 AM ET #210

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: My Lines. ................... Pistons -7.7 over Cavs OKC -12.13 over LA ....... full season OKC - 10.99 .......... LA after the break     Pistons off 4 ATS and SU wins, not a good spot to back the Pistons.   The first of those 4 straight wins was a 116-109 non-cover over the Magic in Game 5.

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: My Lines. ................... Pistons -7.7 over Cavs OKC -12.13 over LA ....... full season OKC - 10.99 .......... LA after the break     Pistons off 4 ATS and SU wins, not a good spot to back the Pistons.   The first of those 4 straight wins was a 116-109 non-cover over the Magic in Game 5.

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 8, 2026 - 11:15 AM ET #211

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Speaking of Nuggets, I saw on you tube someone said Jokic with Nuggets has never beaten a 50 win team in playoffs. Wow crazy if it is true   The Nuggets eliminated the 50-32 Clippers in the 1st round last year.

     

    thumbs_up

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    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Speaking of Nuggets, I saw on you tube someone said Jokic with Nuggets has never beaten a 50 win team in playoffs. Wow crazy if it is true   The Nuggets eliminated the 50-32 Clippers in the 1st round last year.

     

    thumbs_up

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 8, 2026 - 11:15 AM ET #212

    Quote Originally Posted by kimoinsd808:

    @theclaw

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by kimoinsd808:

    @theclaw

    peace_5

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 8, 2026 - 11:16 AM ET #213

    Quote Originally Posted by atokst13:

    Pistons all day

     

    Pistons to tough for Cavs ............peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by atokst13:

    Pistons all day

     

    Pistons to tough for Cavs ............peace_5

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 8, 2026 - 11:22 AM ET #214

    My Lines ..........

    Knicks  -3.46 over 76ers

    Spurs  -2.59 over Twolves

    Teams tied 1-1 we don't use my lines, we back the clearly better team if we have one.

    Spurs better in both PR's by over 3 pts and are a team with common denominators of past champs playing a team who is not.

    Play is on the Spurs........

     

    Spurs -4 (-120) over Twolves --- 1.2 units

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    My Lines ..........

    Knicks  -3.46 over 76ers

    Spurs  -2.59 over Twolves

    Teams tied 1-1 we don't use my lines, we back the clearly better team if we have one.

    Spurs better in both PR's by over 3 pts and are a team with common denominators of past champs playing a team who is not.

    Play is on the Spurs........

     

    Spurs -4 (-120) over Twolves --- 1.2 units

     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 8, 2026 - 11:33 AM ET #215

    0-1, lost 1.1 units

    Dogs ML --- lost .25

     

    Okc rolls wins both games by 18 points, first team to do that of big shooting efficiency teams in 2cd round.

    Pistons keep rolling, Remember  back when I pointed out my lines were 1-4 ATS, well regression at work there.

    VS Raps my lines had Raps at home a big 6 pts or better form my lines and actual line and went 3-0 ATS.

    Now 1st 2 games my line had a 4.7 difference and went 2-0 ATS showing just how overrated this Cavs team is.

     

    I'll l add up 76ers win over the weekend and playoff record.

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    0-1, lost 1.1 units

    Dogs ML --- lost .25

     

    Okc rolls wins both games by 18 points, first team to do that of big shooting efficiency teams in 2cd round.

    Pistons keep rolling, Remember  back when I pointed out my lines were 1-4 ATS, well regression at work there.

    VS Raps my lines had Raps at home a big 6 pts or better form my lines and actual line and went 3-0 ATS.

    Now 1st 2 games my line had a 4.7 difference and went 2-0 ATS showing just how overrated this Cavs team is.

     

    I'll l add up 76ers win over the weekend and playoff record.

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 8, 2026 - 11:33 AM ET #216

    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

    GL on your plays @theclaw

    peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by Macwestie1:

    GL on your plays @theclaw

    peace_5

     
    umgmu
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    Posted: May. 8, 2026 - 1:45 PM ET #217

    @theclaw

     Appreciate your work in nba and nfl 

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    @theclaw

     Appreciate your work in nba and nfl 

     
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: May. 8, 2026 - 4:09 PM ET #218

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    This query supports the LAL play: PO = 1 and 8.5 < tS(margin > 22.5) - oS(margin > 22.5) < 13.5 and 2.5 < streak < 7.5 and p:margin > 14.5 ATS:  4-16 (-7.5,20.0%) The query parameters from OKC's standpoint: Playoffs 9 to 13 more wins by 23+ points on the season Winning streak of 3 to 7 games Won the last game by 15+ points ******* Good luck everybody.

    I must be jinxing TC.  Maybe I should stop posting these apparently solid queries.

    Good luck with SA, TC.

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    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    This query supports the LAL play: PO = 1 and 8.5 < tS(margin > 22.5) - oS(margin > 22.5) < 13.5 and 2.5 < streak < 7.5 and p:margin > 14.5 ATS:  4-16 (-7.5,20.0%) The query parameters from OKC's standpoint: Playoffs 9 to 13 more wins by 23+ points on the season Winning streak of 3 to 7 games Won the last game by 15+ points ******* Good luck everybody.

    I must be jinxing TC.  Maybe I should stop posting these apparently solid queries.

    Good luck with SA, TC.

     
    DogbiteWilliams
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: May. 9, 2026 - 3:15 AM ET #219

    SA covered.  Congratulations.

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    SA covered.  Congratulations.

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 9, 2026 - 12:24 PM ET #220

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: This query supports the LAL play: PO = 1 and 8.5 < tS(margin > 22.5) - oS(margin > 22.5) < 13.5 and 2.5 < streak < 7.5 and p:margin > 14.5 ATS:  4-16 (-7.5,20.0%) The query parameters from OKC's standpoint: Playoffs 9 to 13 more wins by 23+ points on the season Winning streak of 3 to 7 games Won the last game by 15+ points ******* Good luck everybody. I must be jinxing TC.  Maybe I should stop posting these apparently solid queries. Good luck with SA, TC.

     

    Ha, ha. No you are not a jinx, I really like to see your queries dog ............peace_5

     

    The game was shaping up for LA to cover and even be in there for a shot at the SU win with SGA getting into a little foul trouble but the back up played pretty well. Some shot lights out 

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: This query supports the LAL play: PO = 1 and 8.5 < tS(margin > 22.5) - oS(margin > 22.5) < 13.5 and 2.5 < streak < 7.5 and p:margin > 14.5 ATS:  4-16 (-7.5,20.0%) The query parameters from OKC's standpoint: Playoffs 9 to 13 more wins by 23+ points on the season Winning streak of 3 to 7 games Won the last game by 15+ points ******* Good luck everybody. I must be jinxing TC.  Maybe I should stop posting these apparently solid queries. Good luck with SA, TC.

     

    Ha, ha. No you are not a jinx, I really like to see your queries dog ............peace_5

     

    The game was shaping up for LA to cover and even be in there for a shot at the SU win with SGA getting into a little foul trouble but the back up played pretty well. Some shot lights out 

     

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 9, 2026 - 12:25 PM ET #221

    Quote Originally Posted by umgmu:

    @theclaw  Appreciate your work in nba and nfl

    thank you, you been having a great NBA season and playoffs, congrats on that .............peace_5

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    Quote Originally Posted by umgmu:

    @theclaw  Appreciate your work in nba and nfl

    thank you, you been having a great NBA season and playoffs, congrats on that .............peace_5

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 9, 2026 - 12:27 PM ET #222

    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    SA covered.  Congratulations.

     

    Thanks.........peace_5

    wemby went off 39 pts on like 13 of 18 shooting. The rest of the team didn't play all that well

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    Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:

    SA covered.  Congratulations.

     

    Thanks.........peace_5

    wemby went off 39 pts on like 13 of 18 shooting. The rest of the team didn't play all that well

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 9, 2026 - 12:44 PM ET #223

    My Lines ...........game 3's

     

     Cavs - .3 over Pistons

    OKC -4.13 over LA

     

    With Luka out the line appears about right.

    OKC off 2 ATS wins , not the best of spots to back OKC  but not a fade either. OKC could sweep this team, maybe LA can get 1 win.

    There is plenty of room for OKC to win SU but not cover.

    I think I'd pass and look for better oppurtunity down the road.

     

    Pistons off 4 straight double digit wins and great defensive play holding 3 of 4 opps below 100 pts and only allowing 101 in game 1 VS Cavs.

    The issue is my lines on the Pistons by another good amount, over 4 pts even more based on other books.

    Pistons falling behind 3-1 in 1st round and needing to come back under that kind of pressure really came out to prevent that same situation from happening and grab a 2-0 series lead.

    I'd  suspect now they can relax some and may have a let-down game 3.

    So I doubt their defense  will do as well this game.

    Cavs down 0-2 and back at home should be the play. I'll make a small half unit play on Cavs.

     

    Cavs -4.5 over Pistons --- .55 units

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    My Lines ...........game 3's

     

     Cavs - .3 over Pistons

    OKC -4.13 over LA

     

    With Luka out the line appears about right.

    OKC off 2 ATS wins , not the best of spots to back OKC  but not a fade either. OKC could sweep this team, maybe LA can get 1 win.

    There is plenty of room for OKC to win SU but not cover.

    I think I'd pass and look for better oppurtunity down the road.

     

    Pistons off 4 straight double digit wins and great defensive play holding 3 of 4 opps below 100 pts and only allowing 101 in game 1 VS Cavs.

    The issue is my lines on the Pistons by another good amount, over 4 pts even more based on other books.

    Pistons falling behind 3-1 in 1st round and needing to come back under that kind of pressure really came out to prevent that same situation from happening and grab a 2-0 series lead.

    I'd  suspect now they can relax some and may have a let-down game 3.

    So I doubt their defense  will do as well this game.

    Cavs down 0-2 and back at home should be the play. I'll make a small half unit play on Cavs.

     

    Cavs -4.5 over Pistons --- .55 units

     
    BarrelledIn
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    Posted: May. 9, 2026 - 1:17 PM ET #224

    Trust the cavs more peace_5The series line was -120 for a reason. This will be 2-2

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    Trust the cavs more peace_5The series line was -120 for a reason. This will be 2-2

     
     
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: May. 9, 2026 - 5:52 PM ET #225

    Congratulations again.

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    Congratulations again.

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