The analysts on this morning's Get Up agreed that KAT is the MVP at this point. However, the show also displayed the fact that, going back for several decades, Brunson's PO average of 9.3 points in the fourth quarter trails only Dirk Nowitski's performance in 2011.
Yea the hero down the stretch and the guy scoring gets lots of credit whether deserved or not ..............
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Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
The analysts on this morning's Get Up agreed that KAT is the MVP at this point. However, the show also displayed the fact that, going back for several decades, Brunson's PO average of 9.3 points in the fourth quarter trails only Dirk Nowitski's performance in 2011.
Yea the hero down the stretch and the guy scoring gets lots of credit whether deserved or not ..............
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: I think I'll hold off on NBA queries until the next season. If you have queries dog post them, I for one like to see them ......... I have some queries that favor NY in Game 3, but more queries that favor SA. I see money has poured in on SA to bring down the line from NY -2.5 to NY -1.5, cutting some value from SA. I am also leery about betting on SA because if the refs continue to allow Towns to rough up VW, it's hard to see a path for SA to take Game 3. I just lost on the 86.8% query I posted in Comment #435, so it is hard to have any confidence in this less-convincing query. I am mostly posting this for my fellow SDQL adepts to get them thinking about assists/TOs ratio queries for maybe the first time. PO = 1 and AD and line < 4.7 and p:LHF and p:assists/p:TO < 1.43 SU: 25-14 (2.8,64.1%) ATS: 27-12 (5.7,69.2%) In the playoffs, Away Dogs of 1.0-4.5 points off a Loss as a Home Favorite win SU 64.1% and cover ATS 69.2% of the games if the ratio of the previous game's assists to turnovers is less than 1.43. Unfortunately most of the advantages disappear when the rounds and series games are parameters: PO = 1 and AD and line < 4.7 and p:LHF and p:assists/p:TO < 1.43 and (round = 4 or series game = 3) SU: 11-9 (-0.8,55.0%) ATS: 12-8 (1.9,60.0%) I don't bet queries with a narrow average ATS margin of just 1.9 points, and if "total > 208.2" is an added parameter, both the SU and ATS fall to 2-3. This is mostly food for thought rather than a call to action. Good luck everybody.
Nice .........
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Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams:
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw: Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: I think I'll hold off on NBA queries until the next season. If you have queries dog post them, I for one like to see them ......... I have some queries that favor NY in Game 3, but more queries that favor SA. I see money has poured in on SA to bring down the line from NY -2.5 to NY -1.5, cutting some value from SA. I am also leery about betting on SA because if the refs continue to allow Towns to rough up VW, it's hard to see a path for SA to take Game 3. I just lost on the 86.8% query I posted in Comment #435, so it is hard to have any confidence in this less-convincing query. I am mostly posting this for my fellow SDQL adepts to get them thinking about assists/TOs ratio queries for maybe the first time. PO = 1 and AD and line < 4.7 and p:LHF and p:assists/p:TO < 1.43 SU: 25-14 (2.8,64.1%) ATS: 27-12 (5.7,69.2%) In the playoffs, Away Dogs of 1.0-4.5 points off a Loss as a Home Favorite win SU 64.1% and cover ATS 69.2% of the games if the ratio of the previous game's assists to turnovers is less than 1.43. Unfortunately most of the advantages disappear when the rounds and series games are parameters: PO = 1 and AD and line < 4.7 and p:LHF and p:assists/p:TO < 1.43 and (round = 4 or series game = 3) SU: 11-9 (-0.8,55.0%) ATS: 12-8 (1.9,60.0%) I don't bet queries with a narrow average ATS margin of just 1.9 points, and if "total > 208.2" is an added parameter, both the SU and ATS fall to 2-3. This is mostly food for thought rather than a call to action. Good luck everybody.
Has there ever been more hype for a Finals game 3? First finals game at MSG since forever, million dollar courtside seats, first President to ever attend, possibly the best playoff run ever, etc.. Maybe all this hype finally derails the Knicks. If there ever was a good time to bet against the Knicks, I think tonight is the night. But I'm too scared to do it.
Yep............
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Quote Originally Posted by Stress:
Has there ever been more hype for a Finals game 3? First finals game at MSG since forever, million dollar courtside seats, first President to ever attend, possibly the best playoff run ever, etc.. Maybe all this hype finally derails the Knicks. If there ever was a good time to bet against the Knicks, I think tonight is the night. But I'm too scared to do it.
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: TC, I hope I do not once again curse you by posting a supportive query, but here I go: PO = 1 and series game = 2 and p:WAD and p:FTP > 82 SU: 5-33 (-14.0,13.2%) ATS: 9-29 (-7.9,23.7%) In the playoffs in series game #2, teams off a Win as an Away Dog that made better than 82% of their free throws are just 5-33 (13.2%) SU and 9-29 (23.7%) ATS. That -14.0 average margin is enticing, so I decided to take SA -11.5 points at +175 for a half unit. Good luck everybody. Been my experience that when an epic query fails that the failed team often will come back to cover the next game.....we'll see how this one works out.
Yes I see that as well with some of my info ........
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Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:
Quote Originally Posted by DogbiteWilliams: TC, I hope I do not once again curse you by posting a supportive query, but here I go: PO = 1 and series game = 2 and p:WAD and p:FTP > 82 SU: 5-33 (-14.0,13.2%) ATS: 9-29 (-7.9,23.7%) In the playoffs in series game #2, teams off a Win as an Away Dog that made better than 82% of their free throws are just 5-33 (13.2%) SU and 9-29 (23.7%) ATS. That -14.0 average margin is enticing, so I decided to take SA -11.5 points at +175 for a half unit. Good luck everybody. Been my experience that when an epic query fails that the failed team often will come back to cover the next game.....we'll see how this one works out.
Yes I see that as well with some of my info ........
2.5 difference with my line and closing line is... 10.5 ATS
7-2 ATS if coming in off a SU win and 2.5 difference
3-3 ATS coming in off a SU loss and a 2.5 difference.
We don't have a 2.5 difference unless the line goes up to 2.5 then using the ave we'd have the 2.5 difference on Spurs but this assuming we give Knicks no credit for playing better in playoffs.
I think Spurs are better then end of season, closer to the ave, so is we use end of season that give Knicks extra credit for playoffs which makes this a no play for me.
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My Lines .......... game 4
Knicks-.06 over Spurs .........full season
Spurs -.34 over Knicks ..........ave
My Lines 1992 to 2022.......
Have not updated as of now.
2.5 difference with my line and closing line is... 10.5 ATS
7-2 ATS if coming in off a SU win and 2.5 difference
3-3 ATS coming in off a SU loss and a 2.5 difference.
We don't have a 2.5 difference unless the line goes up to 2.5 then using the ave we'd have the 2.5 difference on Spurs but this assuming we give Knicks no credit for playing better in playoffs.
I think Spurs are better then end of season, closer to the ave, so is we use end of season that give Knicks extra credit for playoffs which makes this a no play for me.
My Lines .......... game 4 Knicks-.06 over Spurs .........full season Spurs -.34 over Knicks ..........ave My Lines 1992 to 2022....... Have not updated as of now. 2.5 difference with my line and closing line is... 10.5 ATS 7-2 ATS if coming in off a SU win and 2.5 difference 3-3 ATS coming in off a SU loss and a 2.5 difference. We don't have a 2.5 difference unless the line goes up to 2.5 then using the ave we'd have the 2.5 difference on Spurs but this assuming we give Knicks no credit for playing better in playoffs. I think Spurs are better then end of season, closer to the ave, so is we use end of season that give Knicks extra credit for playoffs which makes this a no play for me.
I guess that all means that NY could win by exactly 1 point (LOL).
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Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
My Lines .......... game 4 Knicks-.06 over Spurs .........full season Spurs -.34 over Knicks ..........ave My Lines 1992 to 2022....... Have not updated as of now. 2.5 difference with my line and closing line is... 10.5 ATS 7-2 ATS if coming in off a SU win and 2.5 difference 3-3 ATS coming in off a SU loss and a 2.5 difference. We don't have a 2.5 difference unless the line goes up to 2.5 then using the ave we'd have the 2.5 difference on Spurs but this assuming we give Knicks no credit for playing better in playoffs. I think Spurs are better then end of season, closer to the ave, so is we use end of season that give Knicks extra credit for playoffs which makes this a no play for me.
I guess that all means that NY could win by exactly 1 point (LOL).
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