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HARD8's HOT NBA TRENDS- SHOOOOOTS

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Posted: #126
Quote Originally Posted by hard8:

TUESDAY 11/10 1Q/3Q PLAYS

4 PLAYS TODAY:

Houston+2 >>> Fade Dallas who lost 2 1Q/ 3Q bets; Houston has been

Portland -2>>> Fade Memphis

Chicago +1 >>> Fade Denver Away

Orlando -1>>>> better team

Let's get em today
 
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Posted: #127
Quote Originally Posted by hard8:

BB,

The system is to play a team in the 1Q and if it loses, play the same team in the 3Q and double up your bet to chase.   If you have a push then there is no chase- don't play the 3Q.

I noticed that most of the time a team will either cover one or the other.  The trick is to limit the amount of teams that lose both 1Q and 3Q bets.  And if possible get as many 1Q wins as possible- so there is no chase.

I know that this thread is 5 pages deep- but the explanation of the system and the progression to where it is now and where it'll be by the end of the season is documented.  If we are able to tweak it so that it is consistently producing winners, I'll have a thread for each day.


 
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Posted: #128
Quote Originally Posted by hard8:



Hey hard8 thanks for your picks. I read over this thread and I just wanted to double check before tonights games.

So above is the 1st Quarter bets and the >>>> is your reasoning for your bets right?

So if all 4 1Q bets hit, then no bets 3rd Q. But if 1 of em is a miss, then I should double up on the 3rd quarter on the 1Q losers right?

That's how your system works?
 
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Posted: #129
you can bet all 4 quarters at sportsbetting.com.
 
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Posted: #130

Hard I think I am doing all home teams with a similar system.......My quick math shows up 20.3 units...with no lines.  I was going to wait until I could do more research with lines..but I am going to jump in and make adjustments as I go.

I may start a separate thread so we don't confuse everyone.

 
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Posted: #131
Quote Originally Posted by StonedPenguin:



Hey hard8 thanks for your picks. I read over this thread and I just wanted to double check before tonights games.

So above is the 1st Quarter bets and the >>>> is your reasoning for your bets right?

So if all 4 1Q bets hit, then no bets 3rd Q. But if 1 of em is a miss, then I should double up on the 3rd quarter on the 1Q losers right?

That's how your system works?


Hey Stoned,

I'll answer for hard. It's not picking over, it's the spread-winners.
I'll post my progression tomorrow, hard. maybe we can make this even better!!!
 
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Posted: #132

Quote Originally Posted by PacmanJr_00:

you can bet all 4 quarters at sportsbetting.com.

Thanks PacMan - Can you bet them after each quarter or do they come down once the game starts?

Bookmaker has all 4 quarters up right now but I have to see if they come down.

If they would let you cancel your bet I would just place them all ahead of time and cancel as necessary. 

 
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Posted: #133
gL...
 
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Posted: #134
Quote Originally Posted by hard8:



thank you guys good luck to all

imma ride this one with you hard. well see how it goes..
 
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Posted: #135
Airmail, I'll watch the quarters now to see if they adjust during the game.
 
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Posted: #136
TY - I appreciate it.  Although to play all 4 quarters it may be tough...I usually only get some solid computer time after 7:30PM.  So all 4 Qtrs may have to be a West Coast thing.
 
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Posted: #137
airmail and pacman jr. they don't have live betting at bookmaker. Once the first half is over the 3rd and 4th q lines come out but not live betting but i think the greek has live betting
 
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Posted: #138
stonepenguin- yes

pacman- thanks

airmail keep us posted

LL- yes please keep me posted- I'm going to PM you
 
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Posted: #139
OK, thanks...I have an account at BetJamaica and they have a live betting tab.  I will check that as well.  Like I said, may have to be a west coast thing.  And make for a late night if I am chasing 4th qtr's
 
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Posted: #140
A colleague just told me,  Bet365 offers livebets on all nba games!
 
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Posted: #141
Dang - none of my colleagues would know what a livebet is.  I work with the wrong people. 
 
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Posted: #142

i work for a betting newspaper
but with the focus on european sports, as we are in germany.
 
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Posted: #143
Quote Originally Posted by hard8:



redsox5831-

Started super hot at 9-0

then cooled off at  3-4 with the 4 being double bets so actually it's 12-8 at 60%

With the filters I've put in 3 of the 4 losses could've been avoided.



nice work hard8. Keep grindin man as you look like you could be onto something! 

Quick question for you. Since you are double up chasing the 3rd qtr, wouldn't the 4 double bet losses equal to 12 instead of 8 so the record is actually 12-12 (when looking at units)? If the 1st qtr is bet for 1-unit and then the 3rd quarter is bet for 2 units, then each double bet loss will drop you -3 units. 

I ask b/c while 12-8 or 60% may seem like it's making money, it actually is your breakeven %. 

Good luck on it bro. 
 
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Posted: #144
SAINTS-

You're right

that would be 12-12. 

Hopefully, all the filters set in place will have this system hitting, otherwise, it'll be expensive.

The only thing I would add for any one following this system is go minimal units until it starts winning on a daily basis
 
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Posted: #145
Alot of people think sports betting is about making a quick buck, but its good to see how much work you've put into your system.  You've done a nice job and I wish you the best.
 
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Posted: #146
96 Bulls-

Thanks.  Just trying to get a leg up on the books

LL- so you're in Germany, now?  Cool!  Yeah, after the end of the season, you should get some sun and sights in Hawaii
 
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Posted: #147
hard, i'ld love to, as it was raining all day again...
problem in this system is only: how do i get any sleep, when NBA games are at night here from 1-4.30...
 
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Posted: #148
It's suppose to be almost winter here and we are about 29degrees celcius.

I wear shorts and slippers to work... and  I work construction

When there is work

If it doesn't get better, I'm going to have to start climbing trees to get fruits, get my knife out and hunt pig, and dive for fish and lobster
 
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Posted: #149
Well then for tonight

 
 
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Posted: #150
Leading with 7, 1:38 to go.
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