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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    ***Game 2: +EV Bettor's Statistical Analysis***

    «First Previous 789 ... 8910 Next Last»
    DrJohn3719
    jpot34
    Miracling2
    oilers4eva
    gutinstinctus
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 10352
    Posts: 236
    «First Previous 789 ... 8910 Next Last»
     
    DrJohn3719
    DrJohn3719
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 5:39 PM ET #151

    You are a dolt.

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    You are a dolt.

     
    jpot34
    jpot34
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 5:42 PM ET #152

    Watch it! He's the Jackie Chan of Covers!!  :>)

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS!
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    Watch it! He's the Jackie Chan of Covers!!  :>)

     
    DrJohn3719
    DrJohn3719
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 5:44 PM ET #153

    Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

    Watch it! He's the Jackie Chan of Covers!!  :>)

    He is also covers #2 sophist.

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    Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

    Watch it! He's the Jackie Chan of Covers!!  :>)

    He is also covers #2 sophist.

     
    jpot34
    jpot34
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 5:47 PM ET #154

    Who is # 1?

    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS!
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    Who is # 1?

     
    DrJohn3719
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 5:48 PM ET #155

    Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

    Who is # 1?

    One of the ones who uses proper grammar.

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    Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

    Who is # 1?

    One of the ones who uses proper grammar.

     
    Miracling2
    Miracling2
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 5:50 PM ET #156

    You see dr. John...

    Miracling2 come up with his play by using alternative capping, by separating 5 factors of theories with his play.

    With this 5 factors, each factor is categorically different in purpose and comes with hypothesis for beginning its chore of routine in capping.

    You see, each factors also comes with more than 3 sets of scenario to come up with the score, then move to the remaining factors...

    You see, miracling2 came up with a large model, to deviate the -ev which is 8% as the barometer, and use the 5 factors to decrease the percentage of the house, and make it at the minimun of 3%, and use small % of my bankroll to make this play +ev to my advantage.. 

    You see, miracling2 is doing what dr. John is doing when it comes to explaining, but still....

    Miracling2 with all that being... still cant give the exact substance of the play, on how i came up with my score without laying the actual hypothesis, trends and questionnaire to be analyze...

    Just like dr.john is doing...

    Lol. 

    So now we can talk with your language but still no substance.
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    You see dr. John...

    Miracling2 come up with his play by using alternative capping, by separating 5 factors of theories with his play.

    With this 5 factors, each factor is categorically different in purpose and comes with hypothesis for beginning its chore of routine in capping.

    You see, each factors also comes with more than 3 sets of scenario to come up with the score, then move to the remaining factors...

    You see, miracling2 came up with a large model, to deviate the -ev which is 8% as the barometer, and use the 5 factors to decrease the percentage of the house, and make it at the minimun of 3%, and use small % of my bankroll to make this play +ev to my advantage.. 

    You see, miracling2 is doing what dr. John is doing when it comes to explaining, but still....

    Miracling2 with all that being... still cant give the exact substance of the play, on how i came up with my score without laying the actual hypothesis, trends and questionnaire to be analyze...

    Just like dr.john is doing...

    Lol. 

    So now we can talk with your language but still no substance.
     
    DrJohn3719
    DrJohn3719
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 5:53 PM ET #157

    Quote Originally Posted by Miracling2:

    You see dr. John...Miracling2 come up with his play by using alternative capping, by separating 5 factors of theories with his play.With this 5 factors, each factor is categorically different in purpose and comes with hypothesis for beginning its chore of routine in capping.You see, each factors also comes with more than 3 sets of scenario to come up with the score, then move to the remaining factors...You see, miracling2 came up with a large model, to deviate the -ev which is 8% as the barometer, and use the 5 factors to decrease the percentage of the house, and make it at the minimun of 3%, and use small % of my bankroll to make this play +ev to my advantage.. You see, miracling2 is doing what dr. John is doing when it comes to explaining, but still....Miracling2 with all that being... still cant give the exact substance of the play, on how i came up with my score without laying the actual hypothesis, trends and questionnaire to be analyze...Just like dr.john is doing...Lol. So now we can talk with your language but still no substance.

    The differentiating factor being, your post sounds like it  was written by a child, so know one would ever believes it offers anything of value for even 5 seconds.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Miracling2:

    You see dr. John...Miracling2 come up with his play by using alternative capping, by separating 5 factors of theories with his play.With this 5 factors, each factor is categorically different in purpose and comes with hypothesis for beginning its chore of routine in capping.You see, each factors also comes with more than 3 sets of scenario to come up with the score, then move to the remaining factors...You see, miracling2 came up with a large model, to deviate the -ev which is 8% as the barometer, and use the 5 factors to decrease the percentage of the house, and make it at the minimun of 3%, and use small % of my bankroll to make this play +ev to my advantage.. You see, miracling2 is doing what dr. John is doing when it comes to explaining, but still....Miracling2 with all that being... still cant give the exact substance of the play, on how i came up with my score without laying the actual hypothesis, trends and questionnaire to be analyze...Just like dr.john is doing...Lol. So now we can talk with your language but still no substance.

    The differentiating factor being, your post sounds like it  was written by a child, so know one would ever believes it offers anything of value for even 5 seconds.
     
    Miracling2
    Miracling2
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 6:02 PM ET #158

    Child or not lol. Thanks for the complemenet... 

    You said you no one here want to engage about stats, or how you came up with your play...

    I keep on telling you, lay it down here the variables...

    But you wont do it though... you wasted my time...

    A lot of members here on covers already done it, by giving insights, or winning streak do the talking...

    But you? Lol.... this is your 2nd posted play for the whole nba season for this year...

    And you talking like sht coated in silverware?  Lol.

    You wasted my time... i thought i can see some facts, and actual numbers on how you calculate your numbers...

    But still... zero... full of sht coated in a shiny silverware.
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    Child or not lol. Thanks for the complemenet... 

    You said you no one here want to engage about stats, or how you came up with your play...

    I keep on telling you, lay it down here the variables...

    But you wont do it though... you wasted my time...

    A lot of members here on covers already done it, by giving insights, or winning streak do the talking...

    But you? Lol.... this is your 2nd posted play for the whole nba season for this year...

    And you talking like sht coated in silverware?  Lol.

    You wasted my time... i thought i can see some facts, and actual numbers on how you calculate your numbers...

    But still... zero... full of sht coated in a shiny silverware.
     
    DrJohn3719
    DrJohn3719
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 6:03 PM ET #159

    ^^ Dr. John will field a request from you as soon as you type in coherent sentences.

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    ^^ Dr. John will field a request from you as soon as you type in coherent sentences.

     
    oilers4eva
    oilers4eva
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 6:09 PM ET #160

    we dont give a chit how u got to your plays as long as it wins. how that for a hypothesis

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    we dont give a chit how u got to your plays as long as it wins. how that for a hypothesis

     
    DrJohn3719
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 6:11 PM ET #161

    Quote Originally Posted by oilers4eva:

    we dont give a chit how u got to your plays as long as it wins. how that for a hypothesis

    Unfortunately this isn’t the demographic Dr. John caters to. If you are betting your mother’s rent money, DRJ can tell you which side has a bit of value, but that by no means guarantees any singular or even subset of plays hit.

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    Quote Originally Posted by oilers4eva:

    we dont give a chit how u got to your plays as long as it wins. how that for a hypothesis

    Unfortunately this isn’t the demographic Dr. John caters to. If you are betting your mother’s rent money, DRJ can tell you which side has a bit of value, but that by no means guarantees any singular or even subset of plays hit.

     
    Miracling2
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 6:12 PM ET #162

    No substance at all...

    Full of sht coated in a shiny silverware just to get away with it and looks good...

    But still full of sht...

    1. 201 picks 53% undocumented...

    2. His 2nd time posting for the whole 2018 nba season

    3. Implying a threat he will only give his play in game 3 using pms

    4. Using a photo of a private person to start a character here

    5. Still talking, no substance, full of sht coated in a shiny silverware to pull it off...


    All in all, you are way more naive thinking you can pull it off this way, more dumber thinking you can muscle your way by hopping from thread to thread and yell that you won your first posted play here continue with a blast of full of sht statement again coated with a shiny silverware to disguise it.

    I say you full of sht... no offense, but i dont see any positive agenda with what you are doing... lol.

    You wasted my time, no model, no figures, no numbers, zero.

    I didnt learn any from you... but hey, if boredom strikes, i can always hope you can come up with something... 

    Thanks for the ride.. you wont fool me you full of sht like i said.
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    No substance at all...

    Full of sht coated in a shiny silverware just to get away with it and looks good...

    But still full of sht...

    1. 201 picks 53% undocumented...

    2. His 2nd time posting for the whole 2018 nba season

    3. Implying a threat he will only give his play in game 3 using pms

    4. Using a photo of a private person to start a character here

    5. Still talking, no substance, full of sht coated in a shiny silverware to pull it off...


    All in all, you are way more naive thinking you can pull it off this way, more dumber thinking you can muscle your way by hopping from thread to thread and yell that you won your first posted play here continue with a blast of full of sht statement again coated with a shiny silverware to disguise it.

    I say you full of sht... no offense, but i dont see any positive agenda with what you are doing... lol.

    You wasted my time, no model, no figures, no numbers, zero.

    I didnt learn any from you... but hey, if boredom strikes, i can always hope you can come up with something... 

    Thanks for the ride.. you wont fool me you full of sht like i said.
     
    gutinstinctus
    gutinstinctus
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 6:25 PM ET #163

    Thank you Doc, great analysis. Keep em coming please

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    Thank you Doc, great analysis. Keep em coming please

     
    Miracling2
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 6:34 PM ET #164

    You see, after winning your first posted pick, even though if it was your 12 posted picks..

    You hop from thread to thread and state on every thread that you ca n reach you won and you predicted near the number...


    Who does that? Specially in his first posted play of the season.  Lol.... 

    Then... will say he wont be posting in game 3 and just pm.... who does that?

    You kidding me... lol.

    Game is near i dont argue when game is near... lol.

    Just want to state some facts you acting shady and weird..

    I got time to uncoat you, and it was fun.. i feel i am a good samaritan for awhile. Thank you 
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    You see, after winning your first posted pick, even though if it was your 12 posted picks..

    You hop from thread to thread and state on every thread that you ca n reach you won and you predicted near the number...


    Who does that? Specially in his first posted play of the season.  Lol.... 

    Then... will say he wont be posting in game 3 and just pm.... who does that?

    You kidding me... lol.

    Game is near i dont argue when game is near... lol.

    Just want to state some facts you acting shady and weird..

    I got time to uncoat you, and it was fun.. i feel i am a good samaritan for awhile. Thank you 
     
    melossinglet
    melossinglet
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 7:19 PM ET #165

    Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

    Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

    It's not like the picture is Shaq, or Robert Deniro, or Brett Favre. It's a real, everyday Joe.
    My dearest friend, jpots. Tell me you are not as niave as to assume everyone’s picture in their avatar is their person. Where do we draw the line? How esteemed must the person be as to not qualify as average joe (and hence usable)?

     

    dude,to be fair i do remember that your picture was discussed in a thread from when you used to post well over a year or so ago and you confirmed it was you,i SPECIFICALLY recall folks ragging on you a bit(in good fun) about being jeff hornacek or james woods....anyhoo,i couldnt give a flying fuqq what picture you use or who you are,i definitely dont have the same obsession over it these other dudes have...but would you deny that that happened when you were previously posting in here??because if not then you have a small foundation of dishonesty and that is suspicious to some,although again i couldnt give 2 shiits honestly,say what you want and do what you want,its always up to an individual to choose who they trust....now i cant be bothered digging up ancient threads but i will just about swear that that did happen...

     

    if its all as simple as the guy being you but youre just using a simple pseudonym here then all well and good,that seems fair...seeing as its all in the open ya might as well just cop to it....but again,it dont bother me one bit and i wont speak on the matter again....but i get the feeling others will continue to harass you.

     

    best of luck regardless,hope ya win your plays tonite.

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    Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

    Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

    It's not like the picture is Shaq, or Robert Deniro, or Brett Favre. It's a real, everyday Joe.
    My dearest friend, jpots. Tell me you are not as niave as to assume everyone’s picture in their avatar is their person. Where do we draw the line? How esteemed must the person be as to not qualify as average joe (and hence usable)?

     

    dude,to be fair i do remember that your picture was discussed in a thread from when you used to post well over a year or so ago and you confirmed it was you,i SPECIFICALLY recall folks ragging on you a bit(in good fun) about being jeff hornacek or james woods....anyhoo,i couldnt give a flying fuqq what picture you use or who you are,i definitely dont have the same obsession over it these other dudes have...but would you deny that that happened when you were previously posting in here??because if not then you have a small foundation of dishonesty and that is suspicious to some,although again i couldnt give 2 shiits honestly,say what you want and do what you want,its always up to an individual to choose who they trust....now i cant be bothered digging up ancient threads but i will just about swear that that did happen...

     

    if its all as simple as the guy being you but youre just using a simple pseudonym here then all well and good,that seems fair...seeing as its all in the open ya might as well just cop to it....but again,it dont bother me one bit and i wont speak on the matter again....but i get the feeling others will continue to harass you.

     

    best of luck regardless,hope ya win your plays tonite.

     
    DrJohn3719
    DrJohn3719
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    Posts: 1047
    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 7:42 PM ET #166

    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

    Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

    It's not like the picture is Shaq, or Robert Deniro, or Brett Favre. It's a real, everyday Joe.
    My dearest friend, jpots. Tell me you are not as niave as to assume everyone’s picture in their avatar is their person. Where do we draw the line? How esteemed must the person be as to not qualify as average joe (and hence usable)?
      dude,to be fair i do remember that your picture was discussed in a thread from when you used to post well over a year or so ago and you confirmed it was you,i SPECIFICALLY recall folks ragging on you a bit(in good fun) about being jeff hornacek or james woods....anyhoo,i couldnt give a flying fuqq what picture you use or who you are,i definitely dont have the same obsession over it these other dudes have...but would you deny that that happened when you were previously posting in here??because if not then you have a small foundation of dishonesty and that is suspicious to some,although again i couldnt give 2 shiits honestly,say what you want and do what you want,its always up to an individual to choose who they trust....now i cant be bothered digging up ancient threads but i will just about swear that that did happen...   if its all as simple as the guy being you but youre just using a simple pseudonym here then all well and good,that seems fair...seeing as its all in the open ya might as well just cop to it....but again,it dont bother me one bit and i wont speak on the matter again....but i get the feeling others will continue to harass you.   best of luck regardless,hope ya win your plays tonite.

    Thanks for the warm wishes.
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by melossinglet:

    Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

    Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

    It's not like the picture is Shaq, or Robert Deniro, or Brett Favre. It's a real, everyday Joe.
    My dearest friend, jpots. Tell me you are not as niave as to assume everyone’s picture in their avatar is their person. Where do we draw the line? How esteemed must the person be as to not qualify as average joe (and hence usable)?
      dude,to be fair i do remember that your picture was discussed in a thread from when you used to post well over a year or so ago and you confirmed it was you,i SPECIFICALLY recall folks ragging on you a bit(in good fun) about being jeff hornacek or james woods....anyhoo,i couldnt give a flying fuqq what picture you use or who you are,i definitely dont have the same obsession over it these other dudes have...but would you deny that that happened when you were previously posting in here??because if not then you have a small foundation of dishonesty and that is suspicious to some,although again i couldnt give 2 shiits honestly,say what you want and do what you want,its always up to an individual to choose who they trust....now i cant be bothered digging up ancient threads but i will just about swear that that did happen...   if its all as simple as the guy being you but youre just using a simple pseudonym here then all well and good,that seems fair...seeing as its all in the open ya might as well just cop to it....but again,it dont bother me one bit and i wont speak on the matter again....but i get the feeling others will continue to harass you.   best of luck regardless,hope ya win your plays tonite.

    Thanks for the warm wishes.
     
    DrJohn3719
    DrJohn3719
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    Posts: 1047
    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 8:11 PM ET #167

    May the gods smile upon our plays today. With 2 hits, Dr. J will breach legendary 55% hit rate for nba playoffs.

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    May the gods smile upon our plays today. With 2 hits, Dr. J will breach legendary 55% hit rate for nba playoffs.

     
    The_NBA
    The_NBA
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    Posts: 212
    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 8:16 PM ET #168

    Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

    Quote Originally Posted by The_NBA:

    Quote Originally Posted by The_NBA:

    Out of curiosity, is your name actually John, Dr John?
      Ignored? :(
    Yes...as you might imagine...Dr. John’s name is...John

     

    Dr. John, can you explain why your picture then is stolen from :https://mihaylofaculty.fullerton.edu/sites/agill/

    ? Your profile picture belongs to Andrew Gill, professor of Economics at CSU Fullerton. Can you explain why you using this man's picture? 

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    Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

    Quote Originally Posted by The_NBA:

    Quote Originally Posted by The_NBA:

    Out of curiosity, is your name actually John, Dr John?
      Ignored? :(
    Yes...as you might imagine...Dr. John’s name is...John

     

    Dr. John, can you explain why your picture then is stolen from :https://mihaylofaculty.fullerton.edu/sites/agill/

    ? Your profile picture belongs to Andrew Gill, professor of Economics at CSU Fullerton. Can you explain why you using this man's picture? 

     
    Captain_Mabo
    Captain_Mabo
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    Posts: 356
    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 8:22 PM ET #169

    Hahaha...Dr Fraud has been exposed...lol
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    Hahaha...Dr Fraud has been exposed...lol
     
    DrJohn3719
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 8:27 PM ET #170

    Quote Originally Posted by Captain_Mabo:

    Hahaha...Dr Fraud has been exposed...lol

    Dr. John already explained this...for a 2nd time...

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    Quote Originally Posted by Captain_Mabo:

    Hahaha...Dr Fraud has been exposed...lol

    Dr. John already explained this...for a 2nd time...

     
    The_NBA
    The_NBA
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 8:32 PM ET #171

    Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

    Quote Originally Posted by Captain_Mabo:

    Hahaha...Dr Fraud has been exposed...lol
    Dr. John already explained this...for a 2nd time...


    Care to copy and paste the explanation for me? 

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    Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

    Quote Originally Posted by Captain_Mabo:

    Hahaha...Dr Fraud has been exposed...lol
    Dr. John already explained this...for a 2nd time...


    Care to copy and paste the explanation for me? 

     
    DrJohn3719
    DrJohn3719
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 8:34 PM ET #172

    Quote Originally Posted by The_NBA:

    Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

    Quote Originally Posted by Captain_Mabo:

    Hahaha...Dr Fraud has been exposed...lol
    Dr. John already explained this...for a 2nd time...
    Care to copy and paste the explanation for me?

    No, your time is worth less than Dr. John’s time. You can click back 3 pages.

    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by The_NBA:

    Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

    Quote Originally Posted by Captain_Mabo:

    Hahaha...Dr Fraud has been exposed...lol
    Dr. John already explained this...for a 2nd time...
    Care to copy and paste the explanation for me?

    No, your time is worth less than Dr. John’s time. You can click back 3 pages.

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 8:44 PM ET #173

    If anyone can guess who is under my mask, I'll give them a free hot pick slammer for the 2H on tonight's game. Which I won't be watching.

    I also live on a mountain, guess  which one and I will give you next years superbowl winner.

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    If anyone can guess who is under my mask, I'll give them a free hot pick slammer for the 2H on tonight's game. Which I won't be watching.

    I also live on a mountain, guess  which one and I will give you next years superbowl winner.

     
    DrJohn3719
    DrJohn3719
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    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 9:17 PM ET #174

    0-1 thus far an_burn_money

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    0-1 thus far an_burn_money

     
     
    TUNA_SANDWHICH
    TUNA_SANDWHICH
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    Posts: 314
    Posted: Jun. 3, 2018 - 10:03 PM ET #175

    I've got my own little baseball thread going...with the only nba pick it being over 2h for the game tonight...

     

    But I can't bite my tongue here unfotunately...

    If you are using a "statistical analysis in the NBA...to get you an average win margin...youre going down swinging big time in this league"

    If you are using contrarian theory to cap this league...the right way... you are exremely profitable

     

     

    I gather Dr. John is smart enough to conclude this on his own... because I do believe he is intelligent

     

    With that said... if you are using anything other than contrarian theory and actually using basketball IQ and stats... Golden state can drub anybody in the league, anytime they want, by 20+

     

    I cannot believe people arent aware of this

     

    Reply
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    I've got my own little baseball thread going...with the only nba pick it being over 2h for the game tonight...

     

    But I can't bite my tongue here unfotunately...

    If you are using a "statistical analysis in the NBA...to get you an average win margin...youre going down swinging big time in this league"

    If you are using contrarian theory to cap this league...the right way... you are exremely profitable

     

     

    I gather Dr. John is smart enough to conclude this on his own... because I do believe he is intelligent

     

    With that said... if you are using anything other than contrarian theory and actually using basketball IQ and stats... Golden state can drub anybody in the league, anytime they want, by 20+

     

    I cannot believe people arent aware of this

     

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