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***Game 2: +EV Bettor's Statistical Analysis***

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Posted: #126

Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

Are you Dr. Andrew Gill?
 

Let Dr. John state unequivocally and for the record, Dr. John is Dr. John. And has never claimed to be anyone else. No more, no less.

If you don’t believe in this 54.73% record over 200+ picks, so be it. For those of you that do, this is who Dr. J will continue posting analysis for, if at all.

 
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Posted: #127
How can anyone believe you got integrity when you as you say an economist is using your fellow economist photo as an avatar here in gambling forum website lol.....




 
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Posted: #128

Dump the fake avatar then.

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Posted: #129

Quote Originally Posted by Miracling2:

How can anyone believe you got integrity when you as you say an economist is using your fellow economist photo as an avatar here in gambling forum website lol.....

You really are dumb as they come. Based on the way that you structure your posts, Dr. John has a serious suspicion that you may have some sort of mental disorder.

Anyway, it is a forum avatar. You are reading way too into this.

 
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Posted: #130

It's a real person, Doc! Dump it!!!!

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Posted: #131

It's not like the picture is Shaq, or Robert Deniro, or Brett Favre. It's a real, everyday Joe.

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Posted: #132
Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

You really are dumb as they come. Based on the way that you structure your posts, Dr. John has a serious suspicion that you may have some sort of mental disorder.

Anyway, it is a forum avatar. You are reading way too into this.


Lol. From a decent intelligent man who good at talking with class to a circus one...

I like the transformation lol... gotcha... dont lose it...

Ya losing it.... keep your posture now like the way you started..

Thank me for reminding you, ooops, the breeding, ya losing it.... 
 
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Posted: #133

Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

It's not like the picture is Shaq, or Robert Deniro, or Brett Favre. It's a real, everyday Joe.

My dearest friend, jpots. Tell me you are not as niave as to assume everyone’s picture in their avatar is their person.

Where do we draw the line? How esteemed must the person be as to not qualify as average joe (and hence usable)?

 
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Posted: #134

Quote Originally Posted by Miracling2:

Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

You really are dumb as they come. Based on the way that you structure your posts, Dr. John has a serious suspicion that you may have some sort of mental disorder. Anyway, it is a forum avatar. You are reading way too into this.
Lol. From a decent intelligent man who good at talking with class to a circus one...I like the transformation lol... gotcha... dont lose it...Ya losing it.... keep your posture now like the way you started..Thank me for reminding you, ooops, the breeding, ya losing it....
 

The beauty of Dr. John being retired is that, he can talk however he wants. It isn’t always possible to maintain civility at all times when people deliberately derail an otherwise informative/subject oriented thread.

 
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Posted: #135
Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

It's not like the picture is Shaq, or Robert Deniro, or Brett Favre. It's a real, everyday Joe.


Might be a student of dr. Andrew who failed him twice...

Pure display of angst, but when you investigate it, no substance at all.

Like a shiny can full of worm inside, he openned it with no preparation the result is, failed.

Thats more dumb....
 
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Posted: #136

Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

It's not like the picture is Shaq, or Robert Deniro, or Brett Favre. It's a real, everyday Joe.
My dearest friend, jpots. Tell me you are not as niave as to assume everyone’s picture in their avatar is their person. Where do we draw the line? How esteemed must the person be as to not qualify as average joe (and hence usable)?

 

Ok. No more from me on this subject.    peace_5

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Posted: #137
Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

Lol. From a decent intelligent man who good at talking with class to a circus one...I like the transformation lol... gotcha... dont lose it...Ya losing it.... keep your posture now like the way you started..Thank me for reminding you, ooops, the breeding, ya losing it.... 

The beauty of Dr. John being retired is that, he can talk however he wants. It isn’t always possible to maintain civility at all times when people deliberately derail an otherwise informative/subject oriented thread.


oriented... 
 
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Posted: #138
The only thing Dr. John can claim is substance. Had anyone ever tried to be engaging, say about the statistical models that Dr. J has built and is so passionate about, you would’ve seen this.
 
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Posted: #139

We know. M2 is oriental!   :>)

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Posted: #140

Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

The only thing Dr. John can claim is substance. Had anyone ever tried to be engaging, say about the statistical models that Dr. J has built and is so passionate about, you would’ve seen this.

 

Your models say Clev. to cover? Time will tell.

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Posted: #141
My time is up in this thread for now... 

I shared what i needed to share within its boundary...

You do your thing now... 

And again... ooops, your posture, the class, dont lose it....

The utensils, hold it the right way, the mouth, slowly roll that piece of cake in your toungue first before swallowing, just reminding you, we got a lot of visitors, you are the man dont forget....

Oooopsy, the napkin, place it straight under your chin.... 

Alright now... 
 
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Posted: #142

LOL! M2 is a real trip!  True story.

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Posted: #143
Okay a lot of help...

Please share your algorithm how did you come up that golden state should be giving around 6.5 in your own calculation if klay doesnt play.....


Lets do it....

A lot will learn.... lay that model and variables... 

Now we engaging, start the orientation... 

I want to learn... 
 
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Posted: #144
Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

We know. M2 is oriental!   :>)


You got it again 
 
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Posted: #145

M2, I'm figuring you out, bro!  

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Posted: #146
Quote Originally Posted by jpot34:

Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

The only thing Dr. John can claim is substance. Had anyone ever tried to be engaging, say about the statistical models that Dr. J has built and is so passionate about, you would’ve seen this.
  Your models say Clev. to cover? Time will tell.

My most beloved follower, jpots, you are an academic and a reasonable man.

Dr. John would NEVER claim to have a guaranteed lock or anything of this nature. Rather, the aim is to indicate the side with line value / +EV. Whether the play(s) hit or not, DRJ would place the bet again 10 times out of 10, because that is the side with perceived value.

Based on empirical results, each of Dr. John’s plays has an EV of +0.09% of bankroll (factoring in a 2% of bankroll wager size and assuming -110.34 juice). Phrased differently, after 100 bets, Dr. John would expect to achieve a 9% return on equity (which is roughly equivalent to inflation adjusted expected returns from the stock market, the key difference being here there is 0 systematic risk and in the stock market that is impossible to achieve).
 
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Posted: #147
Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

The only thing Dr. John can claim is substance. Had anyone ever tried to be engaging, say about the statistical models that Dr. J has built and is so passionate about, you would’ve seen this.

Lay it down here.  show the passion...

I want to see numbers, variables and figures...

Okay a lot of help...

Please share your algorithm how did you come up that golden state should be giving around 6.5 in your own calculation if klay doesnt play.....


Lets do it....

A lot will learn.... lay that model and variables... 

Now we engaging, start the orientation... 

I want to learn... 
 
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Posted: #148

Yes, I understand what you're saying. I didn't assume you were throwing a lock. My statistics courses in college enable me to follow your analysis. Yes, we must all remain reasonable!

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Posted: #149

50% money now on the over.

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Posted: #150
Quote Originally Posted by DrJohn3719:

  Your models say Clev. to cover? Time will tell.

My most beloved follower, jpots, you are an academic and a reasonable man.

Dr. John would NEVER claim to have a guaranteed lock or anything of this nature. Rather, the aim is to indicate the side with line value / +EV. Whether the play(s) hit or not, DRJ would place the bet again 10 times out of 10, because that is the side with perceived value.

Based on empirical results, each of Dr. John’s plays has an EV of +0.09% of bankroll (factoring in a 2% of bankroll wager size and assuming -110.34 juice). Phrased differently, after 100 bets, Dr. John would expect to achieve a 9% return on equity (which is roughly equivalent to inflation adjusted expected returns from the stock market, the key difference being here there is 0 systematic risk and in the stock market that is impossible to achieve).

What you were displaying is...

Dr john figured and knows that if you divide the number 100, the number will decrease... if you multiply the number 100 by 2 or more the number will increase.... lol 

If a hunter shot a flock of birds and hit a few, these flock of birds wont be flying with exact number of birds...

Dr john, this is what you are saying... 

We all know that, you just using your mathematician words and phrases to construct like it has substance...

What i like is the exact number, or just around that number and how you figure it out.

Lay down the variables, and formula...

I know if you divide the 100 of 2 or more, result you will get smaller than a 100.

I know too if you multiply 100 by 2 or more, result number will get bigger.

I already know that.... come on man.
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