Accuscore NBA Thread for March

Added.

3/22 (3/21 U.S.)

Orlando Magic -12.5                    56%     $42    (2-star)

Orlando Magic Under 194.5      58.4%  $94    (2-star)

Memphis Over 203.5                  55.1%  $60 (4-star)    

Memphis Grizzlies -8                50.9%    $40 (3-star)

Goldenstate Over 210.5           56.3%    $48 (2-star)

Denver Nuggets Over 214.5  56.5%     $53 (3-star)

 

Accuscore Record to Date (March):

ATS: 32-27-0  $597.60

Totals: 45-27-0  $512.05

Overall: 77-54-0 58.78%  $1109.65

Interesting thread. Question: are you now just playing the "star" games that Accutrak gives out, or are you also playing ones based only on the percentage?  (I notice you have "stars" next to each pick above).

I initially started playing only the games with a high enough percentage to give me an edge but recently started playing all the 3 to 4 star plays even though there is no edge. Conversely, I will all any and all of their high percentage plays that give me an edge even though there is only 1 or 2 stars next to the pick.

Accuscore boasts a 82-37, 68.9% +1920 streak on all NBA 3-and-4 Star picks to date.

I know that I should separate the high percentage plays that I'm playing in accordance with the Kelly criterion from the 3 and 4-star plays, but it's enough work as it is.

Note to everyone: While the amount of dollars bet or lost may the most visible aspect of any betting system, look carefully at the winning percentages and the number of games bet. So far, Accuscore has produced a winning percentage of 58.78% over the course of 131 games. But 131 games is too small of a sample size to determine the degree of success Accuscore will produce over the long run.

Consider this excerpt from a book that I read on sports betting.

"Studies in statistical significance show that if a betting system is producing better than a 57% winning percentage, statistical significance for a result of 55% can be proven over the course of 2000 games. In other words, if a system produces a 57% winning percentage over the course of 2,000 games, there is a 95% probability that the actual winning results will equal or exceed 55% in the long run."

Give me 55% and I won't pay Accuscore $100 a month, I'll pay them $1000. 

We have the same plays except orl -12.5 and GSW over.

Thanks. How good are they at record-keeping?

For example, can you see what their record is for ALL games against the spread? Or do they only track their "star" picks?

And what is their season record on all star picks?

The 82-37 is obviously impressive, but I'm wondering how they are doing for the entire season.

Good luck.

NBA: Points Spreads (Season) 496-439 53%  +1310

NBA: Moneyline (Season) 728-313 69.9%    +2499

NBA: 4 Star PS Past 30 Days: 14-10  58.3% +170

NBA: 3-Star PS Past 30 Days 16-13  55.2%   +300

NBA: 4-Star O/U Past 30 days 22-15 59.5%  +550

I don't see any season records on all star picks nor do I see the

season records on season totals, so I'm assuming it's negative. Who knows.

NBA: Points Spreads (Season) 496-439 53%  +1310

NBA: Moneyline (Season) 728-313 69.9%    +2499

NBA: 4 Star PS Past 30 Days: 14-10  58.3% +170

NBA: 3-Star PS Past 30 Days 16-13  55.2%   +300

NBA: 4-Star O/U Past 30 days 22-15 59.5%  +550

I don't see any season records on all star picks nor do I see the

season records on season totals, so I'm assuming it's negative. Who knows.

Final Card 3/22 (3/21 U.S.)

Orlando Magic -12.5                    56%     $42    (2-star)

Orlando Magic Under 194.5      58.4%  $94    (2-star)

Memphis Over 203.5                  55.1%  $60 (4-star)    

Memphis Grizzlies -8                50.9%    $40 (3-star)

Goldenstate Over 210.5           56.3%    $48 (2-star)

Denver Nuggets Over 214.5  56.5%     $53 (3-star)

New Jersey +3                          58.5%     $96 (2-star)

Boston Celtics Over 197.5     54.6%    $60 (4-star)

Sacramento Kings +15.5     60.1%    $131 (1-star)

Sacramento  Over 196.5     55.3%    $27   (2-star)

 

Accuscore Record to Date (March):

ATS: 32-27-0  $597.60

Totals: 45-27-0  $512.05

Overall: 77-54-0 58.78%  $1109.65

Do these numbers change throughout the day.  The reason that I ask is that earlier in the day I checked the accuscore free game, and it was Kings @ Bulls, and the numbers were exactly what you have listed. 

However, I went to check back later, and now they are different.  Below is what I see now.  Do you have any answers as to why this would happen, or am I looking at something different.

Point Spread
Sacramento Kings +15.5	51.4%
Chicago Bulls -15.5	48.5%

Over / Under
OVR 196.5	56.2%
UND 196.5	43.7%

Money Line
Sacramento Kings +2000	8.8%
Chicago Bulls -4500	91.1%

The Daily Line Report is posted no later than 12:00 Noon EST for games played that day. In most cases a preliminary Upcoming Game Report will be posted in the early hours of each day (3 am EST), but the information in this report is subject to change and it is not guaranteed to be available prior to Noon EST. MLB has significantly more games and player data to process than other sports requiring a different schedule for the DLR. Live Betting Predictions Data is updated when the DLR Upcoming Game Report is updated. However, the Vegas Odds which are refreshed every few minutes in the Live Betting Predictions are not refreshed in the DLR Report.

To answer your question, yes, Accuscore updates its percentages and data as the actual game time gets closer. Of course, not as often as the actual books or Vegas, but as the NBA games start early in the morning for me, I just follow their preliminary data. Also, the lines are a bit off on the Korean books when they release them so if I can hit the right lines early, it is better for me than trying to wait right before game time and beat the closing line.

Yes, I looked at it and it shows the YTD record on the season for each.team playing that day. As for the historical archives that anyone can access for free, it's not really an archive, just a paragraph for each sport extolling Accuscore's "phenomenal" record throughout the years.

Results 3/22 (3/21 U.S.)

Orlando Magic -12.5                  -$42         

Orlando Magic Under 194.5    $79.9    

Memphis Over 203.5                  -$60          

Memphis Grizzlies -8                $34    

Goldenstate Over 210.5           -$48      

Denver Nuggets Over 214.5    -$53     

New Jersey +3                           -$96       

Boston Celtics Over 197.5     -$60        

Sacramento Kings +15.5    -$131       

Sacramento  Over 196.5     $22.95      

 

Accuscore Record to Date (March):

ATS: 33-30-0  $362.60

Totals: 47-32-0  $394.35

Overall: 80-62-0 56.34%  $756.95

3/23 (3/22 U.S.)

Washington Over 191.5  55.8%  $37    (2-star)

LA Lakers Over 200.5     56.1%    $44   (2-star)

kptoutlaw, what do you think about Bulls -3,5 tonight?

Results 3/23 (3/22 U.S.)

Washington Over 191.5  -$37     

LA Lakers Over 200.5     $37.4      

3/24 (3/23 U.S.)

Atlanta Hawks +6.5     57.9%      $83

Atlanta Under 190.5    58.5%       $96

Detroit Pistons +8.5    55.4%       $29

Detroit Under 199.5    57.5%       $74

Boston Over 187        59.6%        $120

Boston Celtics -6.5     58.8%        $103

Sacramento Kings +8.5  57.9%   $83

Toronto Over 209.5      56%        $42

Sacramento  Over 194.5   54.4% $7

Orlando Magic Over 203.5   57%    $64

Denver Nuggets Under 211.5 53%  $60  (4-Star Play)

Accuscore Record to Date (March):

ATS: 33-30-0  $362.60

Totals: 48-33-0  $394.75

Overall: 81-63-0 56.25%  $757.35

Kpoutlaw,

Thanks so much for posting this shit! Really appreciate the time! So Accuscore is 100 a month? Is it fairly hard to follow? I read the last few pages of your thread and it seems okay not too bad. How do you know how much to lay? I see clearly that the higher percentage the more you play but there are some that seem to waiver. Do they tell you how much to play?

thanks,

No problem. Either $99 a month or $299 a year, but if you talk to them right, you can get a nice discount for the yearly subscription, like around $200 or maybe even less. For that price, I say it's definitely worth it.

It's very easy to follow, but a lot of people seem to misunderstand the Side Value/ML part of Accuscore. Too tired to explain what that is. I am using a Kelly betting critierion based on Accuscore's percentages to determine how much I should bet on each respective game. If you're not familiar with this concept or betting system, it is best to flat bet about 1-2% of your bankroll. Of course, if you have $1000 dollars, 10 to 20 dollars might seem a little too small, so of course you can increase your wager size if you're comfortable betting more.

And that would be betting the ML's as well as the spreads? Yeah im just checking out the site and it seems okay. Thanks for the advice about talking them down to 200. I don't see any contact us page though. Do you have an email or phone number?

thanks again bud I will add you as well!

56.3% winning percentage system LineCrusher
821 games (NBA+NCAAB) 462-359  +229.7 units

Table 8 x computer algorithms for predict Total (Over / Under)  All 8 x algorithms here