I mean, what can I say? Accuscore says the Cavs have a good chance of covering, but we're talking about the worst team in the league here. Don't wanna give any personal opinions on this game and have you later blame me later.. lol...Just go with your own gut dawg..Is that fool Capone trying to hit another early game big? lol
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Quote Originally Posted by boyking21:
yo demon what you think about clippers game
I mean, what can I say? Accuscore says the Cavs have a good chance of covering, but we're talking about the worst team in the league here. Don't wanna give any personal opinions on this game and have you later blame me later.. lol...Just go with your own gut dawg..Is that fool Capone trying to hit another early game big? lol
I see things are working well, but the cards are really big. Is it important that all the plays are made in order to do well?
Sup. It has nothing to do with order. I am simply following the Kelly criterion, which says to bet in accordance with the edge that I have on each bet. Like I said in the beginning post, I am just testing the system for now, but once I get a good barometer of how well Accuscore hits on certain bets, then I will adjust accordingly and not just blindly follow each play. What I plan to do is exploit stale lines on the Korean books that move slowly and use Accuscore to give me a good estimate of my winning percentage. For example, last night Oklahoma City stayed at -9.5 on my book while the foreign sites moved up to -11, and Accuscore had this game at a high 60% percentage. These are the games I am looking to exploit. The same went for the Orlando Under (also a high percentage play), which was still 205.5 while the foreign sites went down to 204.5. Sure enough, both bets hit.
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Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:
I see things are working well, but the cards are really big. Is it important that all the plays are made in order to do well?
Sup. It has nothing to do with order. I am simply following the Kelly criterion, which says to bet in accordance with the edge that I have on each bet. Like I said in the beginning post, I am just testing the system for now, but once I get a good barometer of how well Accuscore hits on certain bets, then I will adjust accordingly and not just blindly follow each play. What I plan to do is exploit stale lines on the Korean books that move slowly and use Accuscore to give me a good estimate of my winning percentage. For example, last night Oklahoma City stayed at -9.5 on my book while the foreign sites moved up to -11, and Accuscore had this game at a high 60% percentage. These are the games I am looking to exploit. The same went for the Orlando Under (also a high percentage play), which was still 205.5 while the foreign sites went down to 204.5. Sure enough, both bets hit.
I see things are working well, but the cards are really big. Is it important that all the plays are made in order to do well?
Sorry. I just realized that I misread your question. It's not about whether making "all the plays" is important; I am simply playing any and all plays that have an edge in addition to Accuscore's 4 and 3 star plays
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Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:
I see things are working well, but the cards are really big. Is it important that all the plays are made in order to do well?
Sorry. I just realized that I misread your question. It's not about whether making "all the plays" is important; I am simply playing any and all plays that have an edge in addition to Accuscore's 4 and 3 star plays
kpoutlaw...what book you using in korea? i've been on bet365 since canada. need a book that i can use my korean card for, it'll be easier to deposit in bankroll...
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kpoutlaw...what book you using in korea? i've been on bet365 since canada. need a book that i can use my korean card for, it'll be easier to deposit in bankroll...
kpoutlaw...what book you using in korea? i've been on bet365 since canada. need a book that i can use my korean card for, it'll be easier to deposit in bankroll...
I live in Gyeongido but work in Seoul. I have accounts on all the major foreign sites but no site can beat Pinnacle, which has the best odds and also has Korean basketball, soccer, and volleyball. I use Bet365 for Korean baseball, because Pinnacle doesn't have the KBO.
I also use a few domestic Korean sites but wouldn't recommend them to you, because they are illegal, notorious for the "muk-tee," which means "eat-and-run," and I don't know if they accept foreigners. They do, however, have an unlimited 24-7 withdrawal/deposit policy with no charge, and the money is wired into your domestic bank account within 1 minute. There are several hundreds of these sites, and most Korean bettors use them because of the convenience and speed of withdrawing.
I use Neteller, Moneygram, or direct bank wires to get funds onto the foreign sites. There is a community of Fulltilt poker players and pros who buy and sell Neteller funds in exchange for Korean won, but they won't just sell to anyone. There's also an agent for 188Bet who sells dollars in exchange for Korean won at a 5% vig off of the exchange rate on Naver.
Gambling and prostitution are two vices that the government has made illegal but doesn't give a damn about and overlooks even if you get caught or they just slap you with a minor fine. Just don't fuck with any drugs. There is absolutely no leniency and you will do at least 10 months in jail just for smoking weed, even if you are a first-timer, and get deported if you are a foreigner.
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Quote Originally Posted by g_prmr:
kpoutlaw...what book you using in korea? i've been on bet365 since canada. need a book that i can use my korean card for, it'll be easier to deposit in bankroll...
I live in Gyeongido but work in Seoul. I have accounts on all the major foreign sites but no site can beat Pinnacle, which has the best odds and also has Korean basketball, soccer, and volleyball. I use Bet365 for Korean baseball, because Pinnacle doesn't have the KBO.
I also use a few domestic Korean sites but wouldn't recommend them to you, because they are illegal, notorious for the "muk-tee," which means "eat-and-run," and I don't know if they accept foreigners. They do, however, have an unlimited 24-7 withdrawal/deposit policy with no charge, and the money is wired into your domestic bank account within 1 minute. There are several hundreds of these sites, and most Korean bettors use them because of the convenience and speed of withdrawing.
I use Neteller, Moneygram, or direct bank wires to get funds onto the foreign sites. There is a community of Fulltilt poker players and pros who buy and sell Neteller funds in exchange for Korean won, but they won't just sell to anyone. There's also an agent for 188Bet who sells dollars in exchange for Korean won at a 5% vig off of the exchange rate on Naver.
Gambling and prostitution are two vices that the government has made illegal but doesn't give a damn about and overlooks even if you get caught or they just slap you with a minor fine. Just don't fuck with any drugs. There is absolutely no leniency and you will do at least 10 months in jail just for smoking weed, even if you are a first-timer, and get deported if you are a foreigner.
Magnifico trabajo,queria preguntarle,su metodo tiene su punto de partida en las cuotas de cada evento,es decir,en la linea de dinero,lo tengo muy claro,ya que las cuotas son distintas entre el que es favorito y el que no lo es,mi problema viene cuando intento comprender de donde saca el porcentaje en over/under o en handicap,ya que se supone que las cuotas son las mismas para cada uno,es decir,mas o menos 1,85:-118,daria un 58,43% para cada uno,esa es mi duda,si puede explicarlo se lo agradeceria,gracias.
Un saludo.
Miguel
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Magnifico trabajo,queria preguntarle,su metodo tiene su punto de partida en las cuotas de cada evento,es decir,en la linea de dinero,lo tengo muy claro,ya que las cuotas son distintas entre el que es favorito y el que no lo es,mi problema viene cuando intento comprender de donde saca el porcentaje en over/under o en handicap,ya que se supone que las cuotas son las mismas para cada uno,es decir,mas o menos 1,85:-118,daria un 58,43% para cada uno,esa es mi duda,si puede explicarlo se lo agradeceria,gracias.
Wonderful work,I wanted toask, hismethod hasitsstarting pointon the oddsof each event, ie,inthe lineofmoney, I havevery clear,as the oddsaredifferentbetweenthefavoriteandthatisnotwhatismyproblemcomeswhenI try to understandwhere he getsthepercentageover /underorhandicap,
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Wonderful work,I wanted toask, hismethod hasitsstarting pointon the oddsof each event, ie,inthe lineofmoney, I havevery clear,as the oddsaredifferentbetweenthefavoriteandthatisnotwhatismyproblemcomeswhenI try to understandwhere he getsthepercentageover /underorhandicap,
since it is assumedthatquotasare thesamefor each, ie, about1.85:-118,would givea58.43%foreach,that'smyquestion, if youcanexplainI'd appreciate it, thanks.
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since it is assumedthatquotasare thesamefor each, ie, about1.85:-118,would givea58.43%foreach,that'smyquestion, if youcanexplainI'd appreciate it, thanks.
since it is assumedthatquotasare thesamefor each, ie, about1.85:-118,would givea58.43%foreach,that'smyquestion, if youcanexplainI'd appreciate it, thanks.
Hello. The answer is quite simple. I get my percentages from Accuscore, which is why I am paying them money and testing/utilizing their services. For example, let's say the line is Atlanta 189.5 and I have it at 190.5. I simply click on OVER/UNDER for the Atlanta game on their website and Accuscore has a wide range of estimated percentages for each line, whether it be the totals or the point spread.
The stake or betting amount of each, then, is related to what value I have betting at odds of 1.85 based on the percentages Accuscore spits out.
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Quote Originally Posted by migueljavier:
since it is assumedthatquotasare thesamefor each, ie, about1.85:-118,would givea58.43%foreach,that'smyquestion, if youcanexplainI'd appreciate it, thanks.
Hello. The answer is quite simple. I get my percentages from Accuscore, which is why I am paying them money and testing/utilizing their services. For example, let's say the line is Atlanta 189.5 and I have it at 190.5. I simply click on OVER/UNDER for the Atlanta game on their website and Accuscore has a wide range of estimated percentages for each line, whether it be the totals or the point spread.
The stake or betting amount of each, then, is related to what value I have betting at odds of 1.85 based on the percentages Accuscore spits out.
Well, Accuscore's torrid streak has finally come to a screeching halt. The only win was the measly Sacramento bet, but like the law of gravity dictates, what goes up must come down.
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Results 3/21 (3/20 U.S.)
Atlanta Hawks Under 190.5 -$68
Oklahoma City Over 210.5 -$96
Lakers -6.5 -$55
Lakers Over 186.5 -$186
New Jersey Over 194 -$74
Phoenix Over 208.5 58.8% -$103
Sacramento Over 214 55.3% $22.95
Accuscore Record to Date (March):
ATS: 32-27-0 $597.60
Totals: 45-27-0 $512.05
Overall: 77-54-0 58.78% $1109.65
Well, Accuscore's torrid streak has finally come to a screeching halt. The only win was the measly Sacramento bet, but like the law of gravity dictates, what goes up must come down.
Thanks, GL 
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