DET@BUFF Under 55 Small Write up

Good morning, record stands @ 5-2 + 3,975.00. Both of these teams were in shootouts in week 1, and they both barely won especially Detroit. Both games could’ve easily gone the other way. Anyone that reads my post knows that I spend roughly a little over a grand yearly to pull data from different companies that I trust for the most part. Here’s what I found first and then I’ll tell you what I think. 
* One trusted site has the under hitting @ a 6.5 % edge. 
* One other trusted site has the under hitting 52.1 % of the time. 
* D. Campbell is 16-10 to the under after allowing 30 + pts in the previous game. 
* Since 2012 , “ TNF “ with a + 50 pt total are 24-12 to the under ( 66.7 % )

* Under the total is 7-1 in this series. 
* Another trusted site has the under hitting @ a ( - 1.0 ) , which is one of the most important stats that I like to see before I make any decisions. Also Detroit has 3 offensive linemen out, B. Miller , C. Mahogany and C. Mays do I just don’t see them wanting to be in a shootout vs this particular team. The Bills will showcase their newly built multi billion dollar stadium tonight so things will be entirely different from what they’ve be accustomed to in previous seasons to say the least. Going 1,100/1,000 here. U 55

Added play: Detroit + 5.5. 
Teams coming off a win of 3 pts or fewer are 44-23-1 ( 65.7 % ) Rookie coaches after a win are 67-83-6 ATS in the following game . Week 1 - 8 , home teams are 19-33-2 ATS  ( 36.5 % ) last couple years. Bills have won the last 7/8 games vs Detroit and in all 8 the average margin of victory was a tad bit short of just 3 pts. Last but not least, I capped via DVOA using different calculations of the games these two teams just played last weekend vs Houston & NO. Houston’s defense as of today ranks 30th compared to NO’s being ranked 21st. So I believe Detroit will definitely cover this 5.5. Bills are the public play tonight and we know how that works out more often than not. Gl

Good luck RS.  

BOL to you today!  

@D-Town

 Thanks D - Town 

@Jars

 Jars 

@Rolexsports

 The side play is + 5.5 750/681

Lions missing starting safeties Branch and Joseph and it showed getting shredded for 410 passing yards against...... Tyler Shough.  I can only imagine what Allen will do throwing and running.  Now Campbell has to get his Lions ready on a short week, after an OT game, on the road.  I'm interested if any of your trusted  sites account for that angle?

I did read that Buffalo is 0-4 ATS in their last four primetime games.  So maybe they can't stand the bright lights, and their home opener in their brand new stadium on TNF can only add to the pressure.

I do like the under, but after hitting a miracle under on MNF I think the gambling gods will get me back if I bet it. 

GL on your plays

@kimoinsd808

 Yeah both safeties won’t be back tonight, I saw that. That’s another reason why I like the under . I believe the Lions have to come in with a mindset to try and run the ball and keep the clock ticking. 

@Rolexsports

 Bol tonight Rolex

@vankiep_0007

 Van to you as well my friend. 

Love the under solely on the fact that they are playing on grass at night in a home opener in a new stadium . Leaning on teasing bills and under together 

Bills ml + under parlay sounds enticing

GL rolex 

@Seymourbukz

 I can’t see over 55 pts being scored tonight. Even though both teams are 1-0 both defenses looked like trash on Sunday. Under should hit . New stadium, new distractions. 

@Digitalkarma

 Sounds like a very good 2 way par. 

5-26 is the ATS record of a team coming off of an OT game with 4 days rest. Just FYI. 

@incognegro

 That’s a real good stat you found. Nonetheless, I have to follow my system. Buffalo has a new coach playing in their new stadium, I think Detroit is a live dog. Gl tonight 

@kimoinsd808

 Arizona got most of us last week:) Many reports stated that Arizona had a lot of key players out and  Arizona still beat the fk out of the Chargers. :)

The Bills are opening a new stadium in Buffalo tonight.  The Lions just played an overtime game where key players were used a bunch.  The Bills will have adrenaline out the wazoo to overcome tiredness. feels like a VERY bad spot for detroit.

Oppo of those plays I think the bills put up a TON of points but enjoy the game. 

@VicVega91

 Thanks 91 

@BigPell

 Could be right BigPell. Caveat, I haven’t bet Buffalo probably no more than 5 times in the last ten years. Not sold on their style of play. 

@Thatguy1

 Thank you.  

@Rolexsports

 I found it in the claws thread. GL tonight. 

Thanks Rolex for your contribution to the forum.......right or wrong.......your information is solid, and worth thinking about.  BOL this season.