Accuscore NBA Thread for March

As a new member of Accuscore, I will start a thread for the month of March testing Accuscore's NBA predictions for totals and the point spread using the Kelly betting criterion.  That means I will only bet games that have +ROI and I will bet the full amount that the Kelly says to bet based on my bankroll and the odds and lines that I have on my Korean sportsbook.

I am not betting real money, but let's pretend that I am starting with a bankroll of $1000.

* All dates will correspond to the time in my country, Korea.

* The percentages are Accuscore's predictions

* The ROI (or +%) is the edge I have based on such predictions and the odds that I am betting at using the Kelly betting criterion.

* All betting odds will be 1.85/-118

Okay, here we go:

03/01

New Jersey Nets +2             59.1%     $109    +10.98%

Boston Celtics Under 191.5  59.9%     $127     +12.72%

Denver Nuggets -6               57.4%     $72      +7.28%

Results for 03/01

New Jersey Nets +2             +$92.65

Boston Celtics Under 191.5   -$127 

Denver Nuggets -6                 +$61.20

ATS: 2-0-0   +$153.85

Totals: 0-1-0  -$127

Overall: 2-1-0 +$26.85

03/02

Dallas Mavericks Under 199.5  56%      $42        +4.24%

Orlando Magic Under 212.5     57.1%    $66       +6.63%

San Antonio Spurs +1.5         58.7%     $101      +10.11%

LA Lakers Over 204.5           57%         $64         +6.41%

Goldenstate Under 214.5     54.8%      $16          +1.62%

Record to date:

ATS: 2-0-0   +$153.85

Totals: 0-1-0  -$127

Overall: 2-1-0 +$26.85

Results for 03/02

Dallas Mavericks Under 199.5  56%      +$35.7        

Orlando Magic Under 212.5     57.1%    -$66      

San Antonio Spurs +1.5         58.7%     -$101      

LA Lakers Over 204.5           57%         -$64          

Goldenstate Under 214.5     54.8%      +$13.6         

Record to date:

ATS: 2-1-0 +$52.85

Totals: 2-3-0 -$207.70

Overall: 4-4-0 -$154.85

03/03

New Orleans Hornets Over 201.5    58.0%   $85

New Orleans Hornets +3                 55.7%    $35

Boston Celtics Over 197.5               56.7%    $57

Denver Nuggets -7                           60.4%     $138

(For those of you betting at Denver -6.5, the probability is %64.3)

Denver Nuggets Under 201.5           57.1%      $66

(The Spurs game hasn't come out on my book yet, but Accuscore has the Spurs at -9/59.8% and the U201 at 57.1%)

Will update when the Spurs line comes out on my book

Like I said in the beginning of the thread, the dates correspond to the dates in my country, Korea, and Accuscore has percentages for both the spread and moneyline. The percentages listed above are for the spread, not the moneyline. I think you are talking of Accuscore's percentage for head-to-head matchups on Espn...That is the moneyline percentage..But if you pay $100 a month, they give you the percentages for the spread all the way to -47/+47

Alas, if it were this easy to make money just paying someone 100 dollars a month and following their picks, wouldn't we all be millionaires...We shall see..lol

Correction on the NO line:

The line was +3.5, not +3

Correction on the +ROI for the first couple of posts....I realized that I was slightly off, you can just multiply by 0.85 to get the correct number..

UPDATE ON FINAL CARD 03/03 (03/02 for U.S.):

New Orleans Over 201.5           58.0%   $85     +7.22%

New Orleans Hornets +3.5        55.7%    $35     +4.73%

Boston Celtics Over 197.5         56.7%    $57     +4.95%

Denver Nuggets -7                     60.4%     $138  +11.73%

Denver Nuggets Under 201.5    57.1%      $66    +5.61%

San Antonio -9                          59.8%      $125   +10.63%

San Antonio Under 202.5         60.2%      $133  +11.31%

I have followed Accuscore for awhile now, ATS using their projections vs the line they are 31-32 on sides the past 2 weeks and 32-30-2 on totals.

They are even worse in college going: 139-147-10 ATS Sides and 97-105-2 Totals.

I do however use them in my 4-4 System with 2 other "prediction sites" and Covers 10% Consensus for college, when all 4 sites are on the same opinion in college over the past 2 weeks they are 17-9 for 65.4%

Can you tell me what these two other prediction sites are??

 Thanks

Results for 03/03 (03/02 U.S.)

New Orleans Over 201.5           58.0%   -$85    

New Orleans Hornets +3.5        55.7%    -$35    

Boston Celtics Over 197.5         56.7%    +$48.45 

Denver Nuggets -7                     60.4%     +$117.30

Denver Nuggets Under 201.5    57.1%     +$56.10   

San Antonio -9                          59.8%      +$106.25      

San Antonio Under 202.5         60.2%      -$133   

03/04 (03/03 U.S.)

Miami Heat -4.5   56.2%   $46   +3.91%

Denver Nuggets +3.5 55.3%  $27  +2.30%

Denver Under 210.5 55.3%    $27   +2.30%

RESULTS FOR 03/04 (03/03 U.S.)

Miami Heat -4.5   56.2%   -$46          

Denver Nuggets +3.5 55.3%  +$22.95 

 Denver Under 210.5 55.3%    +$22.95  

03/05 (03/04 U.S.)

Orlando Magic -2                  $44        56.1%  +3.74%

New York Knicks Under 217.5  $44    56.1% +3.74%

Phoenix Suns Over 194.5     $42          56%    +4.76%

Indiana Pacers +8.5             $20        55%   +4.68%

Indiana Pacer Under 208.5   $70           57.3%   +4.87%

LA Lakers -12.5                   $94         58.4%   +7.99%

Orlando Magic Under 187.5   $16          54.8%  +4.66%

Results 03/05 (03/04 U.S.)

Orlando Magic -2                  -$44      

New York Knicks Under 217.5  -$44   

Phoenix Suns Over 194.5     $35.7    

Indiana Pacers +8.5             $17       

Indiana Pacer Under 208.5   -$70       

LA Lakers -12.5                   -$94        

Orlando Magic Under 187.5   $13.6 

03/06 (03/05 U.S.)

New Jersey -2.5  55.2%  $24  +2.12%

Washington -3.5 62.3% $179 +15.26%

Indiana Pacers +6 57.5% $74  +6.38%

LA Clippers Under 210.5 56.6% $55 +4.71%

Portland Under 186.5 58.1%  $88 +7.49%

03/06 (03/05 U.S.)

New Jersey -2.5  55.2%  -$24  

Washington -3.5 62.3% $152.15 

Indiana Pacers +6 57.5%  -$74

LA Clippers Under 210.5 56.6% $46.75

Portland Under 186.5 58.1%  $74.8   

3/07 (3/06 U.S.)

LA Lakers Over 190.5     57.4%  $72   +6.12%

Goldenstate +7             57.2%  $68    +5.78%

Goldenstate Under 207.5  57. 6%   $77   +6.55%

 Phoenix Over 212.5        56.2%       $46  +3.91%

Boston Under 182.5      59.5%    $118       +10.03%

RESULTS 3/07 (3/06 U.S.)

LA Lakers Over 190.5     -$72  

Goldenstate +7             -$68     

Goldenstate Under 207.5  -$77  

 Phoenix Over 212.5        $39.10 

Boston Under 182.5       $100.3     

3/08 (3/07 U.S.)

Orlando Magic Under 188.5   $59   56.8%    +5.02%

Memphis Grizzlies Over 202.5 $88 58.1%   +7.49%