we did end up getting at least 1 win to keep the damage very small.
game 4's we get much better lines in both games.
Son of a gun, Raps were right there again with a chance, they could be up 2-1 , should have certainly won game 1, missed their last 10 shots with 9 being layups or tip-ins according to ESPN.
Can't imagine what is going through the players minds with so much promise coming into the series.
Celtics just have so much better situational awareness then the 76ers, they are quicker to the lose balls, 76ers were dreadful at the end with TO's and Simmons taking that shot instead of pulling the ball out .
Embiid did not play very well, 10 of 26, he easily could have made 4 or 5 even 6 more shots.
76ers defense looked pathetic, their offense at times looked like guys just jacking up shots with no desire to get into any flow.
0
1-1 ATS, lost .3 units
we did end up getting at least 1 win to keep the damage very small.
game 4's we get much better lines in both games.
Son of a gun, Raps were right there again with a chance, they could be up 2-1 , should have certainly won game 1, missed their last 10 shots with 9 being layups or tip-ins according to ESPN.
Can't imagine what is going through the players minds with so much promise coming into the series.
Celtics just have so much better situational awareness then the 76ers, they are quicker to the lose balls, 76ers were dreadful at the end with TO's and Simmons taking that shot instead of pulling the ball out .
Embiid did not play very well, 10 of 26, he easily could have made 4 or 5 even 6 more shots.
76ers defense looked pathetic, their offense at times looked like guys just jacking up shots with no desire to get into any flow.
well, we got at least 1 win which was all good, but could not get the 2-0 night, Cavs just shot lights-out, all 5 starters shot over 60% from the field, a bit of an anomaly, Cavs likely won't play this well again in conference finals the way they did past couple of games.
Raps could of, should of been hanging in there at 2-2 , those close games don't have to go the same teams way every series.
LBJ was an incredible 12 of 19, 63%, with 8 rebs and 11 assists, quess he did not have a great game once again coz he was 2 rebs short of a triple double, now if he got 2 more rebs then wow he would of been insane great.
Once again LBJ shows us why triple doubles are silly, , any great player can easily score 10 points, wow that is hard, but if he shots 5 of 28 for 17% with 10 rebs and 11 assists it does not contribute even close to what LBJ contributed to his team without a triple double, not even close. Not in The Same Universe.
Why would those 2 extra rebs be so frigg'in meaningful, coz a player got 2 extra rebs but shot 5 of 28 makes his line so much better ??
Think about how damn silly that is, dumber then dumb.
2 extra rebs makes the player far superior. I am at a loss for words at how damn dumb that is.
But so called experts on ESPN will try to convince you it is true.
0
1-1, lost .3 units
well, we got at least 1 win which was all good, but could not get the 2-0 night, Cavs just shot lights-out, all 5 starters shot over 60% from the field, a bit of an anomaly, Cavs likely won't play this well again in conference finals the way they did past couple of games.
Raps could of, should of been hanging in there at 2-2 , those close games don't have to go the same teams way every series.
LBJ was an incredible 12 of 19, 63%, with 8 rebs and 11 assists, quess he did not have a great game once again coz he was 2 rebs short of a triple double, now if he got 2 more rebs then wow he would of been insane great.
Once again LBJ shows us why triple doubles are silly, , any great player can easily score 10 points, wow that is hard, but if he shots 5 of 28 for 17% with 10 rebs and 11 assists it does not contribute even close to what LBJ contributed to his team without a triple double, not even close. Not in The Same Universe.
Why would those 2 extra rebs be so frigg'in meaningful, coz a player got 2 extra rebs but shot 5 of 28 makes his line so much better ??
Think about how damn silly that is, dumber then dumb.
2 extra rebs makes the player far superior. I am at a loss for words at how damn dumb that is.
But so called experts on ESPN will try to convince you it is true.
76ers even with the win shot the ball poorly, Embiid was 6 of 15, the team about 39-40%, Celtics shot slightly better from the field and on 3's, and both teams had same number of FT attempts but 76ers won off reb battle big and TO battle big.
76ers are due a breakout shooting game..When it rains it pours.
And this just might be the case with the 76ers, they likely win game 5 back in Boston then maybe get game 6 at home to force a game 7, would not be surprised at all if this happens.
As with the Raps, the 76ers could of, should of been tied 2-2, but you can not give away games at this level and expect to win the series
When the moment comes to seize the victory you have to go take it and neither the Raps or 76ers could do that.
So much hope but so little performance.
Raps really need to make some changes, either coach or players or both, this was the year,they had their best team,the moment was right in front of them, they only needed to go take it but could not.
No more excuses for this team.
0
76ers even with the win shot the ball poorly, Embiid was 6 of 15, the team about 39-40%, Celtics shot slightly better from the field and on 3's, and both teams had same number of FT attempts but 76ers won off reb battle big and TO battle big.
76ers are due a breakout shooting game..When it rains it pours.
And this just might be the case with the 76ers, they likely win game 5 back in Boston then maybe get game 6 at home to force a game 7, would not be surprised at all if this happens.
As with the Raps, the 76ers could of, should of been tied 2-2, but you can not give away games at this level and expect to win the series
When the moment comes to seize the victory you have to go take it and neither the Raps or 76ers could do that.
So much hope but so little performance.
Raps really need to make some changes, either coach or players or both, this was the year,they had their best team,the moment was right in front of them, they only needed to go take it but could not.
Rockets off 2 ATS wins, not the best of spots to back the Rockets.
Strong teams in close-out games are very good plays as Rockets rank no. 1 in PR II, they are already 1-0 ATS in close-out game in 1st round.
We don't use my lines in close-out games but the one spot they do seem to work is with a big home favorite like the Rockets are here, my lines is on Jazz, and with Rockets off 2 ATS wins and with Rockets already 1-0 ATS in close-out games we pass on this game.
Warriors off only 1 ATS win, and are 0-2 ATS in close-out games in 1st round, and strong teams like the Warriors generally tend to win back-to-back ATS games at some point in the series have not done that yet and could with a cover tonight.
Very good spot to back the Warriors tonight. not likely a team of this calibre will go 0-3 ATS in close-out games.
Warriors -11.5 over Pelicans --- 3.3 units
0
MY LINES...........................game 5
Warriors -10.02 over Pelicans
Warriors -11.93 over Pelicans
Rockets -6.77 over Jazz
Rockets off 2 ATS wins, not the best of spots to back the Rockets.
Strong teams in close-out games are very good plays as Rockets rank no. 1 in PR II, they are already 1-0 ATS in close-out game in 1st round.
We don't use my lines in close-out games but the one spot they do seem to work is with a big home favorite like the Rockets are here, my lines is on Jazz, and with Rockets off 2 ATS wins and with Rockets already 1-0 ATS in close-out games we pass on this game.
Warriors off only 1 ATS win, and are 0-2 ATS in close-out games in 1st round, and strong teams like the Warriors generally tend to win back-to-back ATS games at some point in the series have not done that yet and could with a cover tonight.
Very good spot to back the Warriors tonight. not likely a team of this calibre will go 0-3 ATS in close-out games.
Celtics without Kyrie, whom might be worth a few points so we pass .
Celtics off 2 ATS wins at home and now line opens the smallest of the 3 home games and the money drives the line down, for the first time money on the Celtics in those home games.
Not a good spot for Celtics.
0
MY LINES.................................
Celtics -1.28 over 76ers
Celtics without Kyrie, whom might be worth a few points so we pass .
Celtics off 2 ATS wins at home and now line opens the smallest of the 3 home games and the money drives the line down, for the first time money on the Celtics in those home games.
LARGEST MISMATCH TEAMS ................2-6 ATS in all games
our teams have not done well this round, but we might still get a couple more wins so we stay the course with the info.
76ers have not shot the ball very well to this point but funny thing about shooting is it can come and go, as quickly as it goes it can come back, I'd look for 76ers to shoot much better tonight and walk away with the SU win.
Celtics in a close-out game but when the better team, 76ers here and trailing big they do have some history of coming back in the series.
76ers PK over Celtics --- 2.2 units
76ers/Celtics OVER 204 --- 2.2 units
game total opened tied with the lowest total of the series with game 4, which happened to be the fewest points scored in series thus far.
However, unlike game 4 where the money drove the line up, now they drive the line down and we get more value..
Another big over-reaction off the fewest points scored in game 4, we need closing line to stay 205 or below, if it goes higher we will buy off on under and try for a middle.
I may not be able to get back and post on this but just watch the closing line at a number of books. If line goes down from here, all the better . You can wait out the line and see if it does go down more but I may not be able to post on it so I'll take the 204.
0
LARGEST MISMATCH TEAMS ................2-6 ATS in all games
our teams have not done well this round, but we might still get a couple more wins so we stay the course with the info.
76ers have not shot the ball very well to this point but funny thing about shooting is it can come and go, as quickly as it goes it can come back, I'd look for 76ers to shoot much better tonight and walk away with the SU win.
Celtics in a close-out game but when the better team, 76ers here and trailing big they do have some history of coming back in the series.
76ers PK over Celtics --- 2.2 units
76ers/Celtics OVER 204 --- 2.2 units
game total opened tied with the lowest total of the series with game 4, which happened to be the fewest points scored in series thus far.
However, unlike game 4 where the money drove the line up, now they drive the line down and we get more value..
Another big over-reaction off the fewest points scored in game 4, we need closing line to stay 205 or below, if it goes higher we will buy off on under and try for a middle.
I may not be able to get back and post on this but just watch the closing line at a number of books. If line goes down from here, all the better . You can wait out the line and see if it does go down more but I may not be able to post on it so I'll take the 204.
son of a gun, 76ers were right there with a good shot to win but could not get it done.
Celtics basically schooled them in basketball fundamentals and clutch play,.
Both the Raps and 76ers could easily have been tied up 2-2, after 1st round we ask, are the Pelicans an anomaly ?
After beating the Blazers by more more then they then they should have been able to the Pelicans crashed VS Warriors and pretty much proved to be an anomaly.
Are the Celtics and or Cavs an anomaly ? Both playing far better then their play on the court says they are worth based on regular season play.
What we do know is LBJ and his Cavs have a very strong history of playing better then their regular season , but the Celtics we just don't know since they have no history with this group of young players , but evidence is beginning to mount that the C's might just be another example of an anomaly.
Celtic's don't have one of the greatest players in history to create some cause and effect as to why they are playing better and with a history of playing better, , that is a big difference,
0
games ---0-1 ATS , lost 2.2 units
totals --- 1-0 ATS won 2 units
son of a gun, 76ers were right there with a good shot to win but could not get it done.
Celtics basically schooled them in basketball fundamentals and clutch play,.
Both the Raps and 76ers could easily have been tied up 2-2, after 1st round we ask, are the Pelicans an anomaly ?
After beating the Blazers by more more then they then they should have been able to the Pelicans crashed VS Warriors and pretty much proved to be an anomaly.
Are the Celtics and or Cavs an anomaly ? Both playing far better then their play on the court says they are worth based on regular season play.
What we do know is LBJ and his Cavs have a very strong history of playing better then their regular season , but the Celtics we just don't know since they have no history with this group of young players , but evidence is beginning to mount that the C's might just be another example of an anomaly.
Celtic's don't have one of the greatest players in history to create some cause and effect as to why they are playing better and with a history of playing better, , that is a big difference,
THE MOST OVER-VALUED TEAM BASED ON PLAYOFFS ONLY PLAY ............................
1. Rockets (-2.57)
2. Celtics (-1.41)
3. Cavs -(.71)
4 Warriors +.22
Largest mismatch..............Warriors by 2.79 over Rockets
The info suggest the Rockets are not as good as they have looked in the playoffs, nor are the Celtics . But the Rockets have a huge mismatch with the Warriors.
0
THE MOST OVER-VALUED TEAM BASED ON PLAYOFFS ONLY PLAY ............................
1. Rockets (-2.57)
2. Celtics (-1.41)
3. Cavs -(.71)
4 Warriors +.22
Largest mismatch..............Warriors by 2.79 over Rockets
The info suggest the Rockets are not as good as they have looked in the playoffs, nor are the Celtics . But the Rockets have a huge mismatch with the Warriors.
We pass on both games game 1, the info does suggest play on Celtics but with injuries and the history of LBJ and the fact Cavs only played better in 2cd round, not so much 1st round , we just don't whether one or both teams are an anomaly but would lean more to C's being anomaly.
We could make a play on Warriors game 1 based on before the injuries line, the Rockets are about even in PR II which does suggest they could be fairly evenly matched .
Very likely the 2 teams split game 1 and 2 , Warriors almost certainly will win 1 game of the 2, we could make a play then up our bet off a loss or pass and play game 2 off a loss.
Warriors off 2-0 ATS in game 1's, Rockets off 1-1 ATS in game 1's, both teams offf 1 ATS loss coming in.
Possible Warriors regress in game 1's..
0
MY LINES.........................................
Rockets -2.33, end of season
Rockets -.42, before injuries
Celtics -10.21 over Cavs
BASED on PLAYOFFS .........................
Rockets -1.91 over Warriors
Celtics -3.42 over Cavs
We pass on both games game 1, the info does suggest play on Celtics but with injuries and the history of LBJ and the fact Cavs only played better in 2cd round, not so much 1st round , we just don't whether one or both teams are an anomaly but would lean more to C's being anomaly.
We could make a play on Warriors game 1 based on before the injuries line, the Rockets are about even in PR II which does suggest they could be fairly evenly matched .
Very likely the 2 teams split game 1 and 2 , Warriors almost certainly will win 1 game of the 2, we could make a play then up our bet off a loss or pass and play game 2 off a loss.
Warriors off 2-0 ATS in game 1's, Rockets off 1-1 ATS in game 1's, both teams offf 1 ATS loss coming in.
THE MOST OVER-VALUED TEAM BASED ON PLAYOFFS ONLY PLAY ............................
1. Rockets (-2.57)
2. Celtics (-1.41)
3. Cavs -(.71)
4 Warriors +.22
Largest mismatch..............Warriors by 2.79 over Rockets
The info suggest the Rockets are not as good as they have looked in the playoffs, nor are the Celtics . But the Rockets have a huge mismatch with the Warriors.
Our largest mismatch teams got buried in 2cd round, 2-7 ATS, Worst performance ever for those teams, by far,
Most likely we can expect a bounce-back this round.
Warriors +1.5 over Rockets --- 2.2 units.................game 1
0
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:
THE MOST OVER-VALUED TEAM BASED ON PLAYOFFS ONLY PLAY ............................
1. Rockets (-2.57)
2. Celtics (-1.41)
3. Cavs -(.71)
4 Warriors +.22
Largest mismatch..............Warriors by 2.79 over Rockets
The info suggest the Rockets are not as good as they have looked in the playoffs, nor are the Celtics . But the Rockets have a huge mismatch with the Warriors.
Our largest mismatch teams got buried in 2cd round, 2-7 ATS, Worst performance ever for those teams, by far,
Most likely we can expect a bounce-back this round.
Warriors +1.5 over Rockets --- 2.2 units.................game 1
Cavs did not match the energy or effort of the Celtics who were very focused and ready to roll, plus C's made almost everything they threw up in the 1st half.
How many shots rolled around the rim or bounced off the rim into glass and back in the basket, crazy all the luck C's got.
The one FT attempt that niether attempt went straight in basket, 1st one bounces off rim, off glass and in then the 2cd one bounces twice off the rim and twice off the glass before going in, unreal the luck of the bounces the C's got while at the same time Cavs could not make a basket.
Celtics had a great game plan and all the energy and effort of game 1.
Interesting that even with injuries to Kyrie and other players at times MY LINES has been very good in Celtics games, they did have a play on them game one but we passed, we did pass on Celtics for most of playoffs so no point in passing up all those wins then backing them now as they could have a regression .
Game 2 is not a good spot for C's, coming off 2 ATS wins and a 25 point blowout win, and now it looks like we could have a over-react with a line adjustment and the public driving the line on the C's giving us more value on Cavs
If line stays C's -1 or higher will be a very good spot to back the Cavs, and the beauty of it is if C's win ATS again the spot becomes even better for us in game 3 as C's will then be off 3 ATS wins with a big blowout win.
Very strong situation with little downside risk.
0
Cavs did not match the energy or effort of the Celtics who were very focused and ready to roll, plus C's made almost everything they threw up in the 1st half.
How many shots rolled around the rim or bounced off the rim into glass and back in the basket, crazy all the luck C's got.
The one FT attempt that niether attempt went straight in basket, 1st one bounces off rim, off glass and in then the 2cd one bounces twice off the rim and twice off the glass before going in, unreal the luck of the bounces the C's got while at the same time Cavs could not make a basket.
Celtics had a great game plan and all the energy and effort of game 1.
Interesting that even with injuries to Kyrie and other players at times MY LINES has been very good in Celtics games, they did have a play on them game one but we passed, we did pass on Celtics for most of playoffs so no point in passing up all those wins then backing them now as they could have a regression .
Game 2 is not a good spot for C's, coming off 2 ATS wins and a 25 point blowout win, and now it looks like we could have a over-react with a line adjustment and the public driving the line on the C's giving us more value on Cavs
If line stays C's -1 or higher will be a very good spot to back the Cavs, and the beauty of it is if C's win ATS again the spot becomes even better for us in game 3 as C's will then be off 3 ATS wins with a big blowout win.
The Celtics were lucky with all the shots they hit claw? Come on amigo, really? The Cavs were down by mid 30s at one point and didn’t play defense all nite. They settled for bad shots as well much to the part of the Celtics defense. The Cavs stunk it up plain and simple and shots rimming in and out had nothing to do with it. The cavs game 1 performance was expected though. Game 2 we SHOULD see both teams at full strength locked in. All the best claw.
0
The Celtics were lucky with all the shots they hit claw? Come on amigo, really? The Cavs were down by mid 30s at one point and didn’t play defense all nite. They settled for bad shots as well much to the part of the Celtics defense. The Cavs stunk it up plain and simple and shots rimming in and out had nothing to do with it. The cavs game 1 performance was expected though. Game 2 we SHOULD see both teams at full strength locked in. All the best claw.
Lol you also said philly would win like every game and a bad spot for the Cs every game against philly. Maybe the Celtics are just good and have great players who try every play.
Cavs are not winning one in Boston. The -1 line is in no way an overreaction to a better team playing at home. Cavs have 1 player
BOL on your bets
0
Lol you also said philly would win like every game and a bad spot for the Cs every game against philly. Maybe the Celtics are just good and have great players who try every play.
Cavs are not winning one in Boston. The -1 line is in no way an overreaction to a better team playing at home. Cavs have 1 player
I think Celtics have been undervalued not overvalued all year. Maybe its luck or maybe its..... destiny. This team reminds me of the Warriors or 2000 Spurs in their humble beginnings. There are no egos on this team, just one cohesive unit
Sip on that plus money honey!
0
I think Celtics have been undervalued not overvalued all year. Maybe its luck or maybe its..... destiny. This team reminds me of the Warriors or 2000 Spurs in their humble beginnings. There are no egos on this team, just one cohesive unit
Hot Forum Topics
