Chattanooga Mocs +1.5
The Mocs have two DI games under their belt and both were in P5 gyms. They went to Louisville and hung with a very good basketball team, and fought back from 20 down at the break to win the second half and lose by 14. Then they went to Penn St and damn near won, losing by 4. They are so much more tested already than Elon, who has wins over Columbia and UNC-Greensboro. Their defensive numbers look ok right this second, but that's due to who they've played. Under Billy Taylor, their defense historically really struggles and I think this Mocs team, that starts three freshman, are just more talented than the Phoenix team.
Ohio Bobcats +18.5
This isn't the Purdue Boilermakers of years past. They have a real problem at the guard position. Losing Braeden Smith and Fletcher Loyer have left a massive hole in the back court for Matt Painter, and he has yet to figure out a solution. They still have a monster inside in 7'4" Daniel Jacobsen but he's no Zach Edey. Ohio on the other hand has a really good guard. REALLY good. Jackson Pavelezke can shoot it from the outside, or get the bucket, and gets fouled at a great rate. Purdue has already dropped a "buy" game at home this year, and while I think they win this one, I don't think it's by more than 15.
Long Island Sharks +12.5
The Sharks played very poorly in their last game, and I think they bounce back. Towson locked them down, but they will do that to lots of people this year. LIU played Seton Hall to 7 points, and La Salle to 8. They are no stranger to playing close games. This is a cross city showdown, and LIU is certainly "little brother" in the match up, so they come in with a chip on their shoulder, after playing poorly and give Fordham (who only beat Iona by 6 last time out) all they can handle.
Georgia/North Carolina Over 164
This isn't the Tar Heels of past either. New head coach Mike Malone has yet to make Tar Heel nation a believer, but he hasn't lost a game yet. But UNC isn't rebounding the basketball, and that is something that we ALWAYS have done. They got outrebounded by Wyoming last time out. They will likely get outrebounded tonight cause Mike White teams do rebound well. They also have a lot of experience, so heading to the Dean Dome shouldn't ruffle many feathers. Both offenses look fine, but Malone and his NBA brand of ball doesn't really focus on the defensive side of the ball, and Georgia can fill it up. They will get extra looks off misses, and could win this game, but I like the total more than Georgia and the points.
UCONN Huskies -11.5
I don't think John Diebler is a good coach. Had to get that off my chest. He's completely out of his league in this one. They lost on a neutral floor to BYU by 11. They are coming into the lions den for this one. UCONN hasn't played a game in Hartford yet this year, it's second home, so this place will be packed and UCONN should easily dispatch of the Buckeyes by 20+.
7pm and later to come in a bit