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    All Forums | NBA Betting Forum

    2018 NBA PLAYOFFS.......................................

    «First Previous 101112 ... 121314 Next Last»
    MrBator
    jpot34
    thepropkings
    PobiegliBlisko
    theclaw
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 46796
    Posts: 349
    «First Previous 101112 ... 121314 Next Last»
     
    MrBator
    MrBator
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    Posted: May. 14, 2018 - 2:26 PM ET #226

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

     


    How many shots rolled around the rim or bounced off the rim into glass and back in the basket, crazy all the luck C's got.

    The one FT attempt that niether attempt went straight in basket, 1st one bounces off rim, off glass and in then the 2cd one bounces twice off the rim and twice off the glass before going in, unreal  the luck of the bounces the C's got while at the same time Cavs could not make a basket.


    The harder (and smarter) you work, the luckier you tend to get.

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    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

     


    How many shots rolled around the rim or bounced off the rim into glass and back in the basket, crazy all the luck C's got.

    The one FT attempt that niether attempt went straight in basket, 1st one bounces off rim, off glass and in then the 2cd one bounces twice off the rim and twice off the glass before going in, unreal  the luck of the bounces the C's got while at the same time Cavs could not make a basket.


    The harder (and smarter) you work, the luckier you tend to get.

     
    jpot34
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    Posted: May. 14, 2018 - 2:27 PM ET #227

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:


    The harder (and smarter) you work, the luckier you tend to get.



    Whatcha leanin tonight, Bator?     
    6K GOLD/$150 SILVER/ Find JESUS!
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    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:


    The harder (and smarter) you work, the luckier you tend to get.



    Whatcha leanin tonight, Bator?     
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: May. 14, 2018 - 2:30 PM ET #228

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

     


    Game 2 is not a good spot for C's, coming off 2 ATS wins and a 25 point blowout win, and now it looks like we could have a over-react with a line adjustment and the public driving the line on the C's  giving us more value on Cavs 


    An over-react with a line adjustment?  The  Celtics are Pick 'em.  They should've been -5.5 yesterday and they should be -4.5 for Game 2!

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    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

     


    Game 2 is not a good spot for C's, coming off 2 ATS wins and a 25 point blowout win, and now it looks like we could have a over-react with a line adjustment and the public driving the line on the C's  giving us more value on Cavs 


    An over-react with a line adjustment?  The  Celtics are Pick 'em.  They should've been -5.5 yesterday and they should be -4.5 for Game 2!

     
    thepropkings
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    Posted: May. 14, 2018 - 3:19 PM ET #229

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:


    The harder (and smarter) you work, the luckier you tend to get.



    Will you ever start using your twitter again MB?
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    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:


    The harder (and smarter) you work, the luckier you tend to get.



    Will you ever start using your twitter again MB?
     
    MrBator
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    Posted: May. 14, 2018 - 4:05 PM ET #230

    Quote Originally Posted by thepropkings:

     


    Will you ever start using your twitter again MB?


    I was never on Twitter.

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    Quote Originally Posted by thepropkings:

     


    Will you ever start using your twitter again MB?


    I was never on Twitter.

     
    thepropkings
    thepropkings
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    Posted: May. 14, 2018 - 4:10 PM ET #231

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:


    I was never on Twitter.


    Looks like someone using your name then.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:


    I was never on Twitter.


    Looks like someone using your name then.  
     
    PobiegliBlisko
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    Posted: May. 14, 2018 - 4:19 PM ET #232

    Quote Originally Posted by thepropkings:

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    I was never on Twitter.
    Looks like someone using your name then.

    Was tracking this fake account profitable?

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    Quote Originally Posted by thepropkings:

    Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

    I was never on Twitter.
    Looks like someone using your name then.

    Was tracking this fake account profitable?

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 15, 2018 - 7:51 AM ET #233

    1-0 ATS, won 2 units

    Warriors roll game 1 as our largest mismatch teams bounces back.

    Most likely Rockets will win game 2, we may pass on the game.
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    1-0 ATS, won 2 units

    Warriors roll game 1 as our largest mismatch teams bounces back.

    Most likely Rockets will win game 2, we may pass on the game.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 15, 2018 - 8:10 AM ET #234

    MY LINES.........................................

    Celtics -10.21 over Cavs

    Playoffs only............Celtics -3.43 over Cavs

    my lines has been very good in Celtics games even with injuries to Kyrie and other players at times but we don't back teams off an ATS win in game 2 using my lines.

    not a good spot for C's, off 2 ATS wins and a big blowout 25 point win and now the public coming in on C's with 67%  and the public  won last night and are on a 3-1 run, a longer 4-2 run and even longer 6-3 run,

    not a good spot to side with the public if they stay on C's which can switch by game time.

    then on top of this a over-reaction off a big blowout win and line adjustment on C's driving the line a full 2 pts from the opening game 1 line, these games are 5-3 ATS in playoffs thus far and they are money just backing them year-in year-out.

    they are also off a 1-2 ATS in round 2 and are off a loss in the last game they applied which was to fade the C's in game 5 VS 76ers.

    This game  has regression written aalllllll over it, the Celtics are not some magical team that can just throw up shots, watch them bounce around the rim and they all go in, most likely we will see a regression with the Celtics tonight, if they do win and cover we will fade them again in game 3.

    we back the Cavs based on the spot not based on my lines to win 2 units but need the closing line to close at Celtics -1 or higher, so we waitout the line, hope to get another half a point or 1 pt, will post about 15 to 30 minutes before start of game.
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    MY LINES.........................................

    Celtics -10.21 over Cavs

    Playoffs only............Celtics -3.43 over Cavs

    my lines has been very good in Celtics games even with injuries to Kyrie and other players at times but we don't back teams off an ATS win in game 2 using my lines.

    not a good spot for C's, off 2 ATS wins and a big blowout 25 point win and now the public coming in on C's with 67%  and the public  won last night and are on a 3-1 run, a longer 4-2 run and even longer 6-3 run,

    not a good spot to side with the public if they stay on C's which can switch by game time.

    then on top of this a over-reaction off a big blowout win and line adjustment on C's driving the line a full 2 pts from the opening game 1 line, these games are 5-3 ATS in playoffs thus far and they are money just backing them year-in year-out.

    they are also off a 1-2 ATS in round 2 and are off a loss in the last game they applied which was to fade the C's in game 5 VS 76ers.

    This game  has regression written aalllllll over it, the Celtics are not some magical team that can just throw up shots, watch them bounce around the rim and they all go in, most likely we will see a regression with the Celtics tonight, if they do win and cover we will fade them again in game 3.

    we back the Cavs based on the spot not based on my lines to win 2 units but need the closing line to close at Celtics -1 or higher, so we waitout the line, hope to get another half a point or 1 pt, will post about 15 to 30 minutes before start of game.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 15, 2018 - 8:19 PM ET #235

    Line back to push or Cavs -1 and the public at 54% on Celtics.

    LEAN.......... Cavs PK over Celtics

    If Celtics win tonight will definately take action on Cavs game 3.
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    Line back to push or Cavs -1 and the public at 54% on Celtics.

    LEAN.......... Cavs PK over Celtics

    If Celtics win tonight will definately take action on Cavs game 3.
     
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: May. 15, 2018 - 8:24 PM ET #236

    Im seeing 57% now on Cavs. Cavs have beem bad ats bet all season and C's good bet all year. 

    Either way BOL bro. 
    Sip on that plus money honey!
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    Im seeing 57% now on Cavs. Cavs have beem bad ats bet all season and C's good bet all year. 

    Either way BOL bro. 
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 16, 2018 - 7:28 AM ET #237

    leans --- 0-1


    Celtics regressed quite a bit shooting the ball, shot below their averages for the game, 43.5 % and 32.3 % on 3's, Cavs out-shot them by almost 3 %, but FT's and TO killed the Cavs.

    C's won the TO battle by 10 and the off reb battle by 3, that is 13 extra possesions to make up for being out-shot.

    It was LBJ with 6 TO's after having 7 game 1.

    Cavs were dreadful on FT's missing 7 of 17 attempts with LBJ missing 5 of those 7 on only 10 attempts.

    Once C's took the lead Cavs stopped attacking the basket and took 3's far to many times, they did not seem to get into any kind of offensive rhythm, just crank up 3's .

    C's now off 3 ATS wins with a big blow-out 25 pt win, C's are the only team this postseason to cover more then 3 straight, and they did it one time covering 4 straight. But they never came close to having a big 25 pt blow-out type win in that run.
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    leans --- 0-1


    Celtics regressed quite a bit shooting the ball, shot below their averages for the game, 43.5 % and 32.3 % on 3's, Cavs out-shot them by almost 3 %, but FT's and TO killed the Cavs.

    C's won the TO battle by 10 and the off reb battle by 3, that is 13 extra possesions to make up for being out-shot.

    It was LBJ with 6 TO's after having 7 game 1.

    Cavs were dreadful on FT's missing 7 of 17 attempts with LBJ missing 5 of those 7 on only 10 attempts.

    Once C's took the lead Cavs stopped attacking the basket and took 3's far to many times, they did not seem to get into any kind of offensive rhythm, just crank up 3's .

    C's now off 3 ATS wins with a big blow-out 25 pt win, C's are the only team this postseason to cover more then 3 straight, and they did it one time covering 4 straight. But they never came close to having a big 25 pt blow-out type win in that run.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 16, 2018 - 7:38 AM ET #238

    Public ended 52% on Celtics and now on a 4-1 run and a longer 7-3 run,  they are 91% on Celtics game 3, but still early that will come down quite a bit.

    52% on Rockets tonight at this point so anyone's quess where they'll be by game time.

    Very difficult to beat another very good team twice on their home floor, I would look for Rockets to bounce back and win tonight's game but will pass on any action.

    If public wins again tonight , a big if at this point , that would make the Cavs game 3 even a better play if they keep coming in on Celtics big time with a high %.
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    Public ended 52% on Celtics and now on a 4-1 run and a longer 7-3 run,  they are 91% on Celtics game 3, but still early that will come down quite a bit.

    52% on Rockets tonight at this point so anyone's quess where they'll be by game time.

    Very difficult to beat another very good team twice on their home floor, I would look for Rockets to bounce back and win tonight's game but will pass on any action.

    If public wins again tonight , a big if at this point , that would make the Cavs game 3 even a better play if they keep coming in on Celtics big time with a high %.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 16, 2018 - 7:44 AM ET #239

    MY LINES .......................game 2

    Rockets -2.33 over Warriors
    Rockets -.42 over Warriors.............based on ratings before injuries

    Difficult to beat a top team 2 straight on their home floor, Rockets off 2 ATS losses , not a good spot to fade the Rockets .

    We don't back teams in game 2 off ATS win using my lines.

    Will pass on game tonight.
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    MY LINES .......................game 2

    Rockets -2.33 over Warriors
    Rockets -.42 over Warriors.............based on ratings before injuries

    Difficult to beat a top team 2 straight on their home floor, Rockets off 2 ATS losses , not a good spot to fade the Rockets .

    We don't back teams in game 2 off ATS win using my lines.

    Will pass on game tonight.
     
    Jacobb
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    Posted: May. 16, 2018 - 8:23 AM ET #240

    Golden State Warriors +5.0 Point Spread @ 4/7 

     

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    Golden State Warriors +5.0 Point Spread @ 4/7 

     

     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 17, 2018 - 7:25 AM ET #241

    Rockets roll as we thought they would, very difficult to beat a top team twice on their home floor.

    Public came in on Warriors at 55% and lost after the nice run they had coming in.

    Tried to post the Rockets -1.5 last night 30 minutes before game time on my cell, but very hard to post on a cell on this site, took me almost 30 minutes to get to the thread and needed to sign in but could not.

    Tied 1-1  we back the team to win the series, would  like the Warriors a little more but Rockets are very good and about ewen in Power Rating II with Warriors so to close to call. 


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    Rockets roll as we thought they would, very difficult to beat a top team twice on their home floor.

    Public came in on Warriors at 55% and lost after the nice run they had coming in.

    Tried to post the Rockets -1.5 last night 30 minutes before game time on my cell, but very hard to post on a cell on this site, took me almost 30 minutes to get to the thread and needed to sign in but could not.

    Tied 1-1  we back the team to win the series, would  like the Warriors a little more but Rockets are very good and about ewen in Power Rating II with Warriors so to close to call. 


     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 17, 2018 - 7:31 AM ET #242

    Harden again was dreadful, 9 of 24 ....37.5% and 3 of 15 on 3's and 6 of 6 on FT's which is a great % but not very many attempts, attempts are more important then % when it comes to FT's.

    6 attempts is 1 attempt for every 4 shots from the field, not all that good for a top player.

    When harden shots poorly he gets to the line 11 or 12 times or more and makes a high %, but not last night.

    Tucker and Ariza were off the hook, shooting lights out, of course some of that is due to Harden.
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    Harden again was dreadful, 9 of 24 ....37.5% and 3 of 15 on 3's and 6 of 6 on FT's which is a great % but not very many attempts, attempts are more important then % when it comes to FT's.

    6 attempts is 1 attempt for every 4 shots from the field, not all that good for a top player.

    When harden shots poorly he gets to the line 11 or 12 times or more and makes a high %, but not last night.

    Tucker and Ariza were off the hook, shooting lights out, of course some of that is due to Harden.
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 19, 2018 - 8:50 AM ET #243

    MY LINES .....................game 3

    Cavs --1.79 over Celtics

    Cavs receive 4 additional bonus pts being down 2-0 in series.

    Horrendously bad spot for my lines, one of the worst, if not the single worst spot to use my lines.

    With Celtics off 3 ATS wins and a 25 pt big blow-out win.

    Celtics did have  4 ATS wins with no big blow-out wins , then lost ATS the next game as a 7 pt dog VS Philly, similar line tonight  that looked great VS Philly at the time, just like this line looks, oh so great.
     



    We'll back the Cavs based on a great spot.............................

    Cavs -6 over Celtics --- 2.2 units
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    MY LINES .....................game 3

    Cavs --1.79 over Celtics

    Cavs receive 4 additional bonus pts being down 2-0 in series.

    Horrendously bad spot for my lines, one of the worst, if not the single worst spot to use my lines.

    With Celtics off 3 ATS wins and a 25 pt big blow-out win.

    Celtics did have  4 ATS wins with no big blow-out wins , then lost ATS the next game as a 7 pt dog VS Philly, similar line tonight  that looked great VS Philly at the time, just like this line looks, oh so great.
     



    We'll back the Cavs based on a great spot.............................

    Cavs -6 over Celtics --- 2.2 units
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 19, 2018 - 9:53 PM ET #244

    Cavs rolling, up 20 at halftime, will Celtics come-back like they did in game 2 ?

    Highly unlikely, this is what Celtics look like when all those shots that bounce around the rim don't go in, it is called regression.

    We'll see if Celtics can cut the lead and maybe have a chance to cover the line, not very likely they will come back . 
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    Cavs rolling, up 20 at halftime, will Celtics come-back like they did in game 2 ?

    Highly unlikely, this is what Celtics look like when all those shots that bounce around the rim don't go in, it is called regression.

    We'll see if Celtics can cut the lead and maybe have a chance to cover the line, not very likely they will come back . 
     
    Achilles1629
    Achilles1629
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    Posted: May. 19, 2018 - 9:54 PM ET #245

    Still talking about the rim huh? Haaaaaaa. Too funny. 
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    Still talking about the rim huh? Haaaaaaa. Too funny. 
     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 20, 2018 - 7:32 AM ET #246

    Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629:

    Still talking about the rim huh? Haaaaaaa. Too funny. 

    Was talking about how I was proven correct, Celtics shot under 40% from the field and under 30% on 3's, your right that is funny how often I am proven correct.....................................


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    Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629:

    Still talking about the rim huh? Haaaaaaa. Too funny. 

    Was talking about how I was proven correct, Celtics shot under 40% from the field and under 30% on 3's, your right that is funny how often I am proven correct.....................................


     
    theclaw
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 20, 2018 - 8:01 AM ET #247

    game --- 1-0 , won 2 units


    Cavs rolled to the dominate win as Celtics were in a horrendously bad spot.

    LBJ was spectacular, but he did not come close to a triple double.
    27 pts, 12 assists and only 5 rebs.

    8 of 12 for 66.7%, 3 for 3 on 3's, and he shot 80% from the line on 10 attempts, with an incredible almost even ratio of shots from the field to shots from the line. 1.2 ratio.
     

    But had he got 5 extra rebs but shot 34% from the field and took 4 FT attempts  and 15 shots from the field for a  3.45 to 1 ratio but he got those 5 extra rebs then he would of had a much greater game according to triple doubles, once again, damn silly.

    What makes LBJ an all-time great is what in he did in game 3.


    Celtics have not lost 2 straight ATS yet in playoffs, I suspect Cavs win game 4 but could see either team covering the spread, but would look a bit more to Cavs covering game 4.

    It will be a much closer game and I suspect Cavs will get the breaks at the end to just get  a cover. 

    Celtics are 1-5 on the road, their only win coming in game 3 VS 76ers when the 76ers had those very careless TO at the end of game, just stupidity and possible inexperience by the 76ers gave Celtics the win.

    There might be some great spots down the road in this series setting up off this big blowout win by Cavs that might go against the grain of conventional thinking based on how things have gone for Celtics in the playoffs thus far ,  just depends how things playout next game or 2.

    And of course if it does we will be hearing all about how the script is in because no possible way it could happen otherwise, it is setting up to happen but things need to playout right next game or 2 games, maybe it does not set-up right, we'll see.
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    game --- 1-0 , won 2 units


    Cavs rolled to the dominate win as Celtics were in a horrendously bad spot.

    LBJ was spectacular, but he did not come close to a triple double.
    27 pts, 12 assists and only 5 rebs.

    8 of 12 for 66.7%, 3 for 3 on 3's, and he shot 80% from the line on 10 attempts, with an incredible almost even ratio of shots from the field to shots from the line. 1.2 ratio.
     

    But had he got 5 extra rebs but shot 34% from the field and took 4 FT attempts  and 15 shots from the field for a  3.45 to 1 ratio but he got those 5 extra rebs then he would of had a much greater game according to triple doubles, once again, damn silly.

    What makes LBJ an all-time great is what in he did in game 3.


    Celtics have not lost 2 straight ATS yet in playoffs, I suspect Cavs win game 4 but could see either team covering the spread, but would look a bit more to Cavs covering game 4.

    It will be a much closer game and I suspect Cavs will get the breaks at the end to just get  a cover. 

    Celtics are 1-5 on the road, their only win coming in game 3 VS 76ers when the 76ers had those very careless TO at the end of game, just stupidity and possible inexperience by the 76ers gave Celtics the win.

    There might be some great spots down the road in this series setting up off this big blowout win by Cavs that might go against the grain of conventional thinking based on how things have gone for Celtics in the playoffs thus far ,  just depends how things playout next game or 2.

    And of course if it does we will be hearing all about how the script is in because no possible way it could happen otherwise, it is setting up to happen but things need to playout right next game or 2 games, maybe it does not set-up right, we'll see.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 20, 2018 - 8:23 AM ET #248

    MY LINES................................game 3

    Warriors -5.67 over Rockets................based on end of season stats
    Warriors -7.58 over Rockets ...............based on stats before injuries to 3 key players

    We don't use my lines tied 1-1, we back the team to win the series if we have strong info on them.

    Here Rockets and Warriors are almost dead even in PR II, which tells us either team has a chance to win this series.

    PR I has Warriors much better, Warriors are our favorites to win the title, but that does not change the fact that Rockets are very close, if not better  in PR II and that  gives them a somewhat decent chance to win series. 

    I would pass on this game , we should have better spots down the road, let's not get impatient and make a play just to make one.

    The better plays might be backing the team trailing in the series, if the Rockets win SU we will back Warriors game 4, if Warriors win SU and ATS we will most likely back Rockets game 4, depends, as if Warriors are going to win series normally they would hold home court and win games 3 and 4, but in a series of 2 powerhouse teams sometimes the road team can win more games in the series then the home team will win.
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    MY LINES................................game 3

    Warriors -5.67 over Rockets................based on end of season stats
    Warriors -7.58 over Rockets ...............based on stats before injuries to 3 key players

    We don't use my lines tied 1-1, we back the team to win the series if we have strong info on them.

    Here Rockets and Warriors are almost dead even in PR II, which tells us either team has a chance to win this series.

    PR I has Warriors much better, Warriors are our favorites to win the title, but that does not change the fact that Rockets are very close, if not better  in PR II and that  gives them a somewhat decent chance to win series. 

    I would pass on this game , we should have better spots down the road, let's not get impatient and make a play just to make one.

    The better plays might be backing the team trailing in the series, if the Rockets win SU we will back Warriors game 4, if Warriors win SU and ATS we will most likely back Rockets game 4, depends, as if Warriors are going to win series normally they would hold home court and win games 3 and 4, but in a series of 2 powerhouse teams sometimes the road team can win more games in the series then the home team will win.
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: May. 20, 2018 - 9:06 AM ET #249

    PLAYOFFS TO DATE.....................................

    games --- 23-17-1 ATS, won 10.25 units
    totals --- 8-1, won 10.8 units

    leans --- 9-6-1 ATS
    leans on ML --- 2-1 , won 2 games at +915 total 

    series plays --- 1-1, won 2.45 units
    series parlays --- 0-2 , lost 4.57 units
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    PLAYOFFS TO DATE.....................................

    games --- 23-17-1 ATS, won 10.25 units
    totals --- 8-1, won 10.8 units

    leans --- 9-6-1 ATS
    leans on ML --- 2-1 , won 2 games at +915 total 

    series plays --- 1-1, won 2.45 units
    series parlays --- 0-2 , lost 4.57 units
     
     
    Achilles1629
    Achilles1629
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    Posted: May. 20, 2018 - 10:17 AM ET #250

    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:


    Was talking about how I was proven correct, Celtics shot under 40% from the field and under 30% on 3's, your right that is funny how often I am proven correct.....................................



    Allen Iverson voice: we’re talking about rims.....rims........
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    Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:


    Was talking about how I was proven correct, Celtics shot under 40% from the field and under 30% on 3's, your right that is funny how often I am proven correct.....................................



    Allen Iverson voice: we’re talking about rims.....rims........
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