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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Tuesdays Plays

    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
    AJPierzynski
    AJLightning
    weeble5672
    irishone
    StreakForCash
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 7172
    Posts: 111
    «First Previous 12345 Next Last»
     
    AJPierzynski
    AJPierzynski
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 1:04 PM ET #51

    Quote Originally Posted by Swoop:

    Any concern that the O's dropped 6 in a row?  


    No, its only been 5 in a row (the 6th was a split squad game) and 4 of them were on the road with 3 of those against tough opponents. The one home game was a tough opponent as well in the Mets.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Swoop:

    Any concern that the O's dropped 6 in a row?  


    No, its only been 5 in a row (the 6th was a split squad game) and 4 of them were on the road with 3 of those against tough opponents. The one home game was a tough opponent as well in the Mets.
     
    AJPierzynski
    AJPierzynski
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 1:05 PM ET #52

    Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

    anyone see a line for TEX/SEA?
     
     


    split squads, no line
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by AJLightning:

    anyone see a line for TEX/SEA?
     
     


    split squads, no line
     
    AJLightning
    AJLightning
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 1:11 PM ET #53

    AH...ok
     
    thanks AJ
     
    GL today....on BALT with ya
    Reply
    AH...ok
     
    thanks AJ
     
    GL today....on BALT with ya
     
    weeble5672
    weeble5672
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 1:28 PM ET #54

    Hey AJ. Thanks for the tip on the probables for the Angels. Got in at -129. Now up to -149. Way to spot value before it shot up! BOL today.
    Reply
    Hey AJ. Thanks for the tip on the probables for the Angels. Got in at -129. Now up to -149. Way to spot value before it shot up! BOL today.
     
    irishone
    irishone
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 1:32 PM ET #55

    AJ with ya on Anaheim  3 units
    Reply
    AJ with ya on Anaheim  3 units
     
    AJPierzynski
    AJPierzynski
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 1:34 PM ET #56

    Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

    Hey AJ. Thanks for the tip on the probables for the Angels. Got in at -129. Now up to -149. Way to spot value before it shot up! BOL today.


    yep, already at -154 at my book and probably not done growing
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:

    Hey AJ. Thanks for the tip on the probables for the Angels. Got in at -129. Now up to -149. Way to spot value before it shot up! BOL today.


    yep, already at -154 at my book and probably not done growing
     
    StreakForCash
    StreakForCash
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 1:52 PM ET #57

    AJ what do you think about Atlanta and Angels?
    Reply
    AJ what do you think about Atlanta and Angels?
     
    AJPierzynski
    AJPierzynski
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 1:54 PM ET #58

    Quote Originally Posted by StreakForCash:

    AJ what do you think about Atlanta and Angels?


    I took the Angels yesterday (first post in this thread) and I dont know anything about the Braves game besides Ohlendorf vs Vazquez. I lean Braves there.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by StreakForCash:

    AJ what do you think about Atlanta and Angels?


    I took the Angels yesterday (first post in this thread) and I dont know anything about the Braves game besides Ohlendorf vs Vazquez. I lean Braves there.
     
    StreakForCash
    StreakForCash
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 1:56 PM ET #59

    yeah I am taking angels now to. Braves got chipper back I know that. Let me nkow if you find any more info on them
    Reply
    yeah I am taking angels now to. Braves got chipper back I know that. Let me nkow if you find any more info on them
     
    gasman33
    gasman33
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 1:59 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by bluejays99:

    Hey guys for those of you who locked in on the LAA last night and have seen the line now up to -148 . We definately have a scalping opportunity here for some nice riskless profit here. Look at taking SD at the +140 now... Nothing better than winning cash no matter the outcome... I'm thinking that this might be a great strategy this season
    1. Bet big on a big fav on the overnight line (as long as I cap the game for that fave to win)
    2. Prior to first pitch scalp the line on the dog as long as the line moves enough (which it usually does)
    3. Enjoy my risk free profit.

     

    ....to win $8...really???

    ....not me...

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bluejays99:

    Hey guys for those of you who locked in on the LAA last night and have seen the line now up to -148 . We definately have a scalping opportunity here for some nice riskless profit here. Look at taking SD at the +140 now... Nothing better than winning cash no matter the outcome... I'm thinking that this might be a great strategy this season
    1. Bet big on a big fav on the overnight line (as long as I cap the game for that fave to win)
    2. Prior to first pitch scalp the line on the dog as long as the line moves enough (which it usually does)
    3. Enjoy my risk free profit.

     

    ....to win $8...really???

    ....not me...

     
    jclao168
    jclao168
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 2:44 PM ET #61

    BOL AJ !         
    Reply
    BOL AJ !         
     
    bluejays99
    bluejays99
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 2:59 PM ET #62

    Quote Originally Posted by gasman33:

     

    ....to win $8...really???

    ....not me...

     

    This is an arbitrage scenario. I don't know why you wouldn't want to make money (all be it not a lot of it depending how much you bet) with NO RISK. No need for the negativity . Just trying to show the power of getting your bets in early and being able to scrape small profits with no risk in the end.

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by gasman33:

     

    ....to win $8...really???

    ....not me...

     

    This is an arbitrage scenario. I don't know why you wouldn't want to make money (all be it not a lot of it depending how much you bet) with NO RISK. No need for the negativity . Just trying to show the power of getting your bets in early and being able to scrape small profits with no risk in the end.

     
    Annunaki
    Annunaki
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 3:26 PM ET #63

    Angels lineup now posted.  They have all their opening day starters in, minus Napoli.  Looks like a winner
    Reply
    Angels lineup now posted.  They have all their opening day starters in, minus Napoli.  Looks like a winner
     
    weeble5672
    weeble5672
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 3:38 PM ET #64

    Quote Originally Posted by bluejays99:

    Hey guys for those of you who locked in on the LAA last night and have seen the line now up to -148 . We definately have a scalping opportunity here for some nice riskless profit here. Look at taking SD at the +140 now... Nothing better than winning cash no matter the outcome... I'm thinking that this might be a great strategy this season
    1. Bet big on a big fav on the overnight line (as long as I cap the game for that fave to win)
    2. Prior to first pitch scalp the line on the dog as long as the line moves enough (which it usually does)
    3. Enjoy my risk free profit.


    Let's assume you got the Angels yesterday at -130, and now you're getting the Pads at +140.

    Bet 1: $130 on the Angels to win $100
    Bet 2: $100 on the Padres to win $140

    Pads win: Your profit is $10
    Angels win: You break even.

    I understand that it's no risk, possible reward. But why gamble in the first place then?

    Just my two cents.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bluejays99:

    Hey guys for those of you who locked in on the LAA last night and have seen the line now up to -148 . We definately have a scalping opportunity here for some nice riskless profit here. Look at taking SD at the +140 now... Nothing better than winning cash no matter the outcome... I'm thinking that this might be a great strategy this season
    1. Bet big on a big fav on the overnight line (as long as I cap the game for that fave to win)
    2. Prior to first pitch scalp the line on the dog as long as the line moves enough (which it usually does)
    3. Enjoy my risk free profit.


    Let's assume you got the Angels yesterday at -130, and now you're getting the Pads at +140.

    Bet 1: $130 on the Angels to win $100
    Bet 2: $100 on the Padres to win $140

    Pads win: Your profit is $10
    Angels win: You break even.

    I understand that it's no risk, possible reward. But why gamble in the first place then?

    Just my two cents.
     
    AJPierzynski
    AJPierzynski
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 3:41 PM ET #65

    Baltimore Orioles -123 (2 units)
    Phi/Tor Over 10 +105 (1 unit)
    Houston Astros +110 (1 unit)
    Los Angeles Angels -135 (2 units)
    Chw/Cle Over 12 +105 (1 unit)
    Chicago Cubs -1.5 +135 (1 unit)
    Reply
    Baltimore Orioles -123 (2 units)
    Phi/Tor Over 10 +105 (1 unit)
    Houston Astros +110 (1 unit)
    Los Angeles Angels -135 (2 units)
    Chw/Cle Over 12 +105 (1 unit)
    Chicago Cubs -1.5 +135 (1 unit)
     
    ELGALLO
    ELGALLO
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 3:43 PM ET #66

    LAA niw at local at -170
    Reply
    LAA niw at local at -170
     
    ELGALLO
    ELGALLO
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 3:46 PM ET #67

    oops its now not niw
    Reply
    oops its now not niw
     
    AJPierzynski
    AJPierzynski
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 3:50 PM ET #68

    Quote Originally Posted by ELGALLO:

    LAA niw at local at -170


    I figured it would get up there. Gotta get it in early.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by ELGALLO:

    LAA niw at local at -170


    I figured it would get up there. Gotta get it in early.
     
    happycap
    happycap
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 3:52 PM ET #69

    Quote Originally Posted by bluejays99:

     

    This is an arbitrage scenario. I don't know why you wouldn't want to make money (all be it not a lot of it depending how much you bet) with NO RISK. No need for the negativity . Just trying to show the power of getting your bets in early and being able to scrape small profits with no risk in the end.

    Solid. Not surprised that some folks couldn't be bothered though... to the hundred dollar bettor (for instance!) it wouldn't seem like much fun but to a dime player, you put together a few of those a night and you are on your way to a thousand dollar a week or more enterprise  major diff is finding good candidates and avoiding lines that move against you.  GL

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bluejays99:

     

    This is an arbitrage scenario. I don't know why you wouldn't want to make money (all be it not a lot of it depending how much you bet) with NO RISK. No need for the negativity . Just trying to show the power of getting your bets in early and being able to scrape small profits with no risk in the end.

    Solid. Not surprised that some folks couldn't be bothered though... to the hundred dollar bettor (for instance!) it wouldn't seem like much fun but to a dime player, you put together a few of those a night and you are on your way to a thousand dollar a week or more enterprise  major diff is finding good candidates and avoiding lines that move against you.  GL

     
    YourBoyi15
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 3:59 PM ET #70

    Atl and Laa 2 Teamer  
    Reply
    Atl and Laa 2 Teamer  
     
    andy88c
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 4:03 PM ET #71

    I have LAA, CLE, and SF for the afternoon games. Scared on the last two, but rolling the dice...
    Reply
    I have LAA, CLE, and SF for the afternoon games. Scared on the last two, but rolling the dice...
     
    weeble5672
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 4:48 PM ET #72

    Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:



    Let's assume you got the Angels yesterday at -130, and now you're getting the Pads at +140.

    Bet 1: $130 on the Angels to win $100
    Bet 2: $100 on the Padres to win $140

    Pads win: Your profit is $10
    Angels win: You break even.

    I understand that it's no risk, possible reward. But why gamble in the first place then?

    Just my two cents.


    Scratch that...it's POSSIBLE risk, possible reward. As happycap pointed out, the risk is lines moving against you. So you have a CHANCE to win $10 per $200 bet as long as the line doesn't move.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:



    Let's assume you got the Angels yesterday at -130, and now you're getting the Pads at +140.

    Bet 1: $130 on the Angels to win $100
    Bet 2: $100 on the Padres to win $140

    Pads win: Your profit is $10
    Angels win: You break even.

    I understand that it's no risk, possible reward. But why gamble in the first place then?

    Just my two cents.


    Scratch that...it's POSSIBLE risk, possible reward. As happycap pointed out, the risk is lines moving against you. So you have a CHANCE to win $10 per $200 bet as long as the line doesn't move.
     
    weeble5672
    weeble5672
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 5:02 PM ET #73

    Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:



    Scratch that...it's POSSIBLE risk, possible reward. As happycap pointed out, the risk is lines moving against you. So you have a CHANCE to win $10 per $200 bet as long as the line doesn't move.


    Should read...as long as the line doesn't move in the wrong direction.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by weeble5672:



    Scratch that...it's POSSIBLE risk, possible reward. As happycap pointed out, the risk is lines moving against you. So you have a CHANCE to win $10 per $200 bet as long as the line doesn't move.


    Should read...as long as the line doesn't move in the wrong direction.
     
    AJPierzynski
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 5:44 PM ET #74

    Baltimore Orioles -123 (2 units)
    Phi/Tor Over 10 +105 (1 unit)
    Houston Astros +110 (1 unit)
    Los Angeles Angels -135 (2 units)
    Chw/Cle Over 12 +105 (1 unit)
    Chicago Cubs -1.5 +135 (1 unit)
    Pit/Atl Under 9 -120 (2 units)
    Reply
    Baltimore Orioles -123 (2 units)
    Phi/Tor Over 10 +105 (1 unit)
    Houston Astros +110 (1 unit)
    Los Angeles Angels -135 (2 units)
    Chw/Cle Over 12 +105 (1 unit)
    Chicago Cubs -1.5 +135 (1 unit)
    Pit/Atl Under 9 -120 (2 units)
     
     
    AJPierzynski
    AJPierzynski
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 14936
    Posted: Mar. 24, 2009 - 6:54 PM ET #75

    Baltimore Orioles -123 (2 units)
    Phi/Tor Over 10 +105 (1 unit)
    Houston Astros +110 (1 unit)
    Los Angeles Angels -135 (2 units)
    Chw/Cle Over 12 +105 (1 unit)
    Chicago Cubs -1.5 +135 (1 unit)
    Pit/Atl Under 9 -120 (2 units)
    Bos/Nyy Under 10 -125 (1 unit)
    New York Yankees -1.5 +140 (1 unit)
    Reply
    Baltimore Orioles -123 (2 units)
    Phi/Tor Over 10 +105 (1 unit)
    Houston Astros +110 (1 unit)
    Los Angeles Angels -135 (2 units)
    Chw/Cle Over 12 +105 (1 unit)
    Chicago Cubs -1.5 +135 (1 unit)
    Pit/Atl Under 9 -120 (2 units)
    Bos/Nyy Under 10 -125 (1 unit)
    New York Yankees -1.5 +140 (1 unit)
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