THE CHASE LOUNGE

In honor of Semperfi and McShady, we keep on trucking. Thanks to everyone who posts, follows and most of all, keeps it positive!

Thanks Angle! Bummer that the lowest total under streak came to an end last night....I meant to post yesterday, but was jammed up at work. I went HEAVY on Memphis last night, playing the "fade the West Coast Team first game back Home after a Road Trip" angle....BOOM!!

Let's get 'er done this week!!

Thanks Angle for starting the thread.

I forgot to look at my own SS about fading roadies, so missed the game. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0ArtvW2coXCHsdEpsNzVuQm40N2hwVkxKZlp5Vl9yOVE

Not sure it qualifies, but Philly flew home from SAS on 01/05 and now play Brooklyn in Philly -1.5

 

ANGLE lets stay in the fight! Lets start another streak with the LOWEST TOTAL OF THE DAY!!

I like the Brooklyn play....although I did just read that one of their players was being questioned in some sort of sexual assault case at their team hotel last night?? Not sure how much that plays/factors in how the team will play (distractions, etc....). But still like the play, given the "home team off a road trip angle", the Nets playing better lately, and IMO Nets just being a more talented team.

GL

Hi Angle, great stuff buddy. Proline has lakers @ +4.5 and it is now +8 at most books. I've seen games where heavy betting has forced the WCLC to remove certain games and I've seen games where same situation and those games weren't removed. The Laker injuries were known yesterday and yet they still post the low number +4.5. (SA @ MIA awhile back set number was 7.5 and went to 13 after SA sat their best players game ended 105-100) There is value in the Lakers @ +8 and M/L +335 imo.

As an aside the opening totals went 3-0  yesterday and today there are 3 angles present.

188 Miami @ Indy 7-2 under

186 Brooklyn @ Philly 7-0 over

-2.5 Miami @ indy road fave is 9-1

Thanks for keeping track of the data boys!

 

i like it..great info as always....thanks in advance

So ANGLE what are we looking at for today??

Thanks moth I was going to ask Angle if he thought chasing the lowest under would be worth pursuing .

No NBA chase plays today. Record now 37-5 after the two wins on Monday.

I don't know if we should chase the low total UNDER of the day as some days two games are around the same number. Would be hard to chase if you don't know which game will close at lowest total. I'm playing as singles myself (for now) and winning the percentage. Sometimes may be a good play to put in a 2 team parlay if you are so inclined.

Go_Nads NCAAB set-line spreadsheet....

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AqJA39cKbuspdFo5ZTg4eC1wWkFINEx0Sl9uX3c0Umc#gid=0

mjnorman NBA covers closing line spreadsheet...

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AgBuYruLsuPvdHgtbnM4cWxlcVAxQjl5Sk16VzUxX1E#gid=0

Thanks Moth for posting your spreadsheet link.

Thanks everyone for checking in so far and good to hear from you Newfie.

 

Please Clarify the -2.5 road fave as the SETLINE is -3.5, did you mean to put 3.5?

 

Thank you 

Moth, did you miss the chase plays on MEM -3 and CHI -8 from yesterday?

Yes, played golf and was focused on ND game. Not that it mattered, but the refs really blew some calls last night. The defender was clearly blocked (in the back) and didn't touch the punt returner. Late fair catch signal...Changed the MO of the game.

I agree about chasing the lowest O/U of the day. Would be difficult with same O/U lines. There were about 5 games where the O/U was the same.  3 of 5 were both OVER, 1 was both UNDER and 1 split.

 

Nads, what is the O/U for NBA when the line is 220+. ?

Houston/LAL line is 221

Thanks in advance

Milwaukee fired their coach Scott Skiles today.

Don't teams like that usually play their fools off the next game? They are home actually FAVORED by 6 vs PHX.

Any thoughts? I see one book where they opened at -5.5 and are now at -6.5

Here is some info I found on Milw/Phx

The Milwaukee Bucks and their new interim coach (Jim Boylan) take on a Phoenix Suns side that has not performed well in an underdog role of late covering only 8 of their last 22 when getting points, which includes hitting only 5 dog opportunities in their L/14 on the road.The Bucks have played horribly of late, as is evident by five straight losses, but there are very few situations in the NBA, that wake teams up as quickly, as a coaching change.

The Suns have lost 8 of their last 9 and are just 2-14 on the road this season. Milwaukee will be the fresher team as it has had 2 days of rest while Phoenix has had just 1. This will be the Suns’ 8th game in 14 days and this is significant because they are 0-7 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days this season. They have lost these 7 by an average of 9.2 points. The Bucks have lost 4 in a row and will be hungry because of it. They will also be fueled by the fact that they have lost their last 4 versus Phoenix.

Moth, I wonder what happens when you take the OPENING line into account for the lowest game UNDER of the day?

I noticed Mia/Ind opened at 188 and has been bet down to 187 and the Nets/Phi game opened at 186 and has been bet up to 187.

Kind of new to this but have been following for about a yr now, love this forum!!!! Was just wandering if someone could explain to me the NBA spread sheet,, like what certain things stand for..i know can be time consuming but much help is appreciated in advance!!

Phx 11-1 SU vs Milw...

Forgive me ANGLE if i sound like im bothering you,but any OFFICIAL PLAYS so far from you??

13-4 under last 17 games between Atl & Minny in Minny

Atl 5-0 Su/ATS last 5 in Minny (10-0 SU past 10 overall)

 

Sorry QBUN, you must have missed it. I posted in first post this afternoon with the record and the spreadsheet links.

No official chase plays for Tuesday.

Don't worry about bothering me. No problem. If you don't get an answer in an hour or so I may be gone to work. However, I always say "Angle Out" in my last post before leaving. I hope this helps!