::Sunday:: 8/2 (147-152-4) +10.39 units

A 1-0 loss kept another sweep from happening. It was the worst thing that happened to me yesterday, so I'll take it. 

Phillies/Orioles Over 8.5 +112

Wheeler has been incredible as a whole, but over his last 5 starts, his ERA is nearly 4.00, and he's only gone 5.1 IP on average.  There is a small chance that there is a delay at some point today, which if that happens, the starters will likely be done.  All that to say, even if Wheeler is great today, he may not be around for a long time, and the Phillies pen is garbage.  Plus they used Alvarado and Duran yesterday.  Bradish is mehhh, and the Phillies aren't sitting anyone today.  Wind is also going to be blowing out to left, largest part of the ballpark, but it'll be double digits so decent help. Also, I bumped the number from 7.5 to 8.5 to get positive odds.

Nationals/Braves Over 9.5 +128

This is another bump to the number.  At 8.5 its -122, so to gain .50 points for one more run feels like I can't pass it up.  Especially with the Nats involved.  Cavalli has been pretty good actually, but the Braves line up have seen him already this year, and they got all the heavy hitters in the line up, going for the 4 game sweep.  The Nats bullpen is also completely unreliable.  The Braves have called up JR Ritchie for this start.  If he gets banged around a bit, which is very possible against this Nats line up, I think Weiss leaves him out there for a bit, since they've already won the first 3 of the series. Nats are averaging 10.5+ runs in games they play, and the Braves are at 8.5+.  Picture perfect day in Atlanta with a little breeze out to left.

Cardinals/Blue Jays Over 9.5 +124

You're right.  These offenses do suck ass.  But the starting pitchers suck ass too, and the Cards bullpen (as we've seen over the last two days) REALLY sucks ass.  I moved this number up from 8.5 to gain .50 points again.  If they get to 9, they will get to 10.  Also, Vegas has the under 8.5 @ plus money, and they know how bad these offenses are.  I think they are telling us that this is a shootout.  

Miami Marlins -114

Alcantara has been pretty damn good as of late if you take out his start against the Astros on 7/22.  Which I will disregard, cause that offense is hummin right now.  Sandy has given up 1 or less runs in 4 of his last 7 starts.  Getting a TON of ground ball outs too which is when we know things are going well for him.  The Mets turn to a rookie to fill a spot in the rotation today before the trade deadline.  Marlins offense is vastly better than the Mets too, with Soto on the shelf.  This feels a bit trappy cause the number is so affordable, but I'll bite. 

Houston Astros -1.5 +155

If it ain't broke, don't fix it.  The Astros are buzzin and I'm gonna ride this wave as long as I can.  Their pitching staff, which early in the year was a HUGE problem, has gotten healthy and they have done a 180 degree turn.  They've given up more than 4 runs, just 2 times in the last 10 games.  And the offense has scored 5 or more in 7 of the last 10.  This number is too good to pass up vs an embarrassing Rangers offense.  

Royals/Rockies Under 11.5 -112

Always dangerous to take an under at Coors, but its going to be in the triple digits in Denver, and I'd imagine these guys will be swinging the bats early and often to spend as little time on the field as possible today.  They don't call August the "dog days of summer" for nothing.  Nobody wants to play baseball in this shit.  Not to mention the Royals have no one in the line up with offensive capabilites, and the Rockies are sitting Goodman and Doyle.  I just don't see 12+ runs happening today for these two. 

Good stuff. Thx for the food for thought!

Stock is 36. Not a rookie at all. Just a journeyman clown pitcher!

@Brooklyncapper

 You’re 100% right. 

Riding the Stros train with ya. 

@pa2918

 Leaving a whole lot of runners in scoring position early.  Lets hope that changes. 

The Cards and Jays offenses suck ass.  

Brewers/Angels Under 7.5 -120

The Angels can't hit in general, but that should only get worse vs The Miz.  Urena has quietly been really good as of late.  3 ER over his last 21 IP.  Having some walk issues, but I'll take the chance.

BOL today 

@STLTarHeels

 I hear ya, finally they capitalized a bit. Let's gooo 

Bang there it is. Finally!!!! They kept playing with their food but finally ate. Just have to finish now 

@pa2918

Kinda bullshit that they called the Philly game. Especially with Baltimore not getting to bat in the bottom half of the 6th. But I can't see how 1 more run wouldn't have been scored in 3.5 innings with those bullpens. 

Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 +118

Skubal going to LA all but guarantees that we aren't going to have a full season of baseball next year.  MLB has a big problem on their hands, and the only way to fix it is with a salary cap/floor.  But that's for another day.  Boston took the first two of the series, but I think a sweep is asking for too much.  With the adding of Skubal you'd have to think morale is way high in the Dodger locker room today and they come out buzzin.