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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    September Dogs - Starting with $4k

    «First Previous 272829 ... 646566 Next Last»
    herbshack
    RINGORED11
    mandy1
    gbpackman
    natcanada
    ...
    Participants:
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    «First Previous 272829 ... 646566 Next Last»
     
    herbshack
    herbshack
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    Posted: Jul. 3, 2016 - 1:15 PM ET #651

    Angels (underdogs) or Dodgers (-1 RL) factor in pretty well for me today and I'll bet them small, but neither are that great overall. Just thought I'd share a couple of leans.
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    Angels (underdogs) or Dodgers (-1 RL) factor in pretty well for me today and I'll bet them small, but neither are that great overall. Just thought I'd share a couple of leans.
     
    RINGORED11
    RINGORED11
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    Posted: Jul. 6, 2016 - 4:13 AM ET #652

    Looks like dogs are off to great start.
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    Looks like dogs are off to great start.
     
    mandy1
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 5:56 PM ET #653

    Herb, are you Awol!
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    Herb, are you Awol!
     
    gbpackman
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    Posted: Jul. 8, 2016 - 7:46 PM ET #654

    Gone fishin! 
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    Gone fishin! 
     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 9:38 AM ET #655

    Getting married actually in several days haha. Ill be back...
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    Getting married actually in several days haha. Ill be back...
     
    natcanada
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    Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 10:21 AM ET #656

    Congratulations Herb!   
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    Congratulations Herb!   
     
    gbpackman
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    Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 11:00 AM ET #657

    Little White Chapel?
    That's where we got married! (2nd marriage)
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    Little White Chapel?
    That's where we got married! (2nd marriage)
     
    mandy1
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    Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 11:02 AM ET #658

    Good luck Herb, nothing like a good women!
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    Good luck Herb, nothing like a good women!
     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 11:40 AM ET #659

    Lol thanks guys. Long time coming...

    I actually do have one today...despite the fact that this is a dog thread and in July I usually just lay low. I think the Giants (favorites) are a good play on the -1 rl:

    $244 to win $305 
    San Francisco Giants -1 +125 
    vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    • The Giants are 15-0 SU as a 120+ favorite after a game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings and scored at least six runs. - Trend is 22-1 now
    • The Giants are 13-0 SU at home after scoring 6+ runs. - Trend now 19-3 SU (both of these Giants trends logged at the records in their descriptions from my free email newsletter; records after the inception of a trend hold 'verified' values so-to-say).
    Let's get 'em!
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    Lol thanks guys. Long time coming...

    I actually do have one today...despite the fact that this is a dog thread and in July I usually just lay low. I think the Giants (favorites) are a good play on the -1 rl:

    $244 to win $305 
    San Francisco Giants -1 +125 
    vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    • The Giants are 15-0 SU as a 120+ favorite after a game in which they had multiple multiple-run innings and scored at least six runs. - Trend is 22-1 now
    • The Giants are 13-0 SU at home after scoring 6+ runs. - Trend now 19-3 SU (both of these Giants trends logged at the records in their descriptions from my free email newsletter; records after the inception of a trend hold 'verified' values so-to-say).
    Let's get 'em!
     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 11:44 AM ET #660

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    this is a dog thread and in July I usually just lay low

    Here's a trend to think about this month:

    *Since 2004, Favorites have gone 2103-1295 SU (61.9%, +90.32 units, avg line: -159.1) in July.

    ...and that's it; on the blind. I'll leave it at that. I have a ton of systems within that premise / pinwheel though.
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:

    this is a dog thread and in July I usually just lay low

    Here's a trend to think about this month:

    *Since 2004, Favorites have gone 2103-1295 SU (61.9%, +90.32 units, avg line: -159.1) in July.

    ...and that's it; on the blind. I'll leave it at that. I have a ton of systems within that premise / pinwheel though.
     
    gbpackman
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    Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 1:13 PM ET #661

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    gbpackman
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    Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 10:14 PM ET #662

    Yeaaaaaaaah babay!!!SFO
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    Yeaaaaaaaah babay!!!SFO
     
    monstergrit
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    Posted: Jul. 9, 2016 - 11:20 PM ET #663

    you are an absolute beast. truly impressive thread.
     contiued success through this season and beyond
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    you are an absolute beast. truly impressive thread.
     contiued success through this season and beyond
     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Jul. 10, 2016 - 10:39 AM ET #664

    Thanks guys. Almost to the $9000 mark off that winner. 
    TY GIANTS!

    Current Bankroll: $8,987.95
    from $4000 (+124.69 units)
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    Thanks guys. Almost to the $9000 mark off that winner. 
    TY GIANTS!

    Current Bankroll: $8,987.95
    from $4000 (+124.69 units)
     
    gbpackman
    gbpackman
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    Posted: Jul. 10, 2016 - 7:43 PM ET #665

    Did we miss one today?
    ATL lost by 1 run yesterday and scored in more innings
    They won today 2-0
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    Did we miss one today?
    ATL lost by 1 run yesterday and scored in more innings
    They won today 2-0
     
    gbpackman
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    Posted: Jul. 11, 2016 - 11:22 AM ET #666

    Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

    Thanks, these trends are killin it on totals but sides keep going the same way 
    Play ONTEXAS using the money line in All games in all games.The record is 46 Wins and 25 Losses this season (+28.90 units)
    This trend is red hot and I think BAL can win one, but no other team has the overall pitching to stop all 9 TEX hitters.
    As soon as TEX loses 2 SP they go into a tailspin...OUCH!
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    Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

    Thanks, these trends are killin it on totals but sides keep going the same way 
    Play ONTEXAS using the money line in All games in all games.The record is 46 Wins and 25 Losses this season (+28.90 units)
    This trend is red hot and I think BAL can win one, but no other team has the overall pitching to stop all 9 TEX hitters.
    As soon as TEX loses 2 SP they go into a tailspin...OUCH!
     
    gbpackman
    gbpackman
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    Posted: Jul. 13, 2016 - 9:05 PM ET #667

    Getting betting withdrawals!
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    Getting betting withdrawals!
     
    gbpackman
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2016 - 12:30 PM ET #668

    Got to go with the Cubbies! -1 -140
    TEX looks like they've sprung a leak in their raft with sharks all around!
    Now I am probably wrong
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    Got to go with the Cubbies! -1 -140
    TEX looks like they've sprung a leak in their raft with sharks all around!
    Now I am probably wrong
     
    natcanada
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2016 - 12:36 PM ET #669

    Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

    Getting betting withdrawals!


    I hear that...lmao
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    Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

    Getting betting withdrawals!


    I hear that...lmao
     
    gbpackman
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2016 - 4:17 PM ET #670

    Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

    Got to go with the Cubbies! -1 -140
    TEX looks like they've sprung a leak in their raft with sharks all around!
    Now I am probably wrong
    Maybe my picks are getting better?
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    Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

    Got to go with the Cubbies! -1 -140
    TEX looks like they've sprung a leak in their raft with sharks all around!
    Now I am probably wrong
    Maybe my picks are getting better?
     
    gbpackman
    gbpackman
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2016 - 4:23 PM ET #671

    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


    Here's a trend to think about this month:

    *Since 2004, Favorites have gone 2103-1295 SU (61.9%, +90.32 units, avg line: -159.1) in July.

    ...and that's it; on the blind. I'll leave it at that. I have a ton of systems within that premise / pinwheel though.
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    Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:


    Here's a trend to think about this month:

    *Since 2004, Favorites have gone 2103-1295 SU (61.9%, +90.32 units, avg line: -159.1) in July.

    ...and that's it; on the blind. I'll leave it at that. I have a ton of systems within that premise / pinwheel though.
     
    mandy1
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2016 - 4:33 PM ET #672

    gbpackman thanks for posting your picks but I think its time you start your own thread instead of filling herbs thread with your stuff. Thanks for posting Herb!
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    gbpackman thanks for posting your picks but I think its time you start your own thread instead of filling herbs thread with your stuff. Thanks for posting Herb!
     
    TIMMYTGUNS1
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2016 - 4:40 PM ET #673

    Seriously, 25.00 - 50.00 a game? Waste of time 
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    Seriously, 25.00 - 50.00 a game? Waste of time 
     
    gbpackman
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2016 - 4:46 PM ET #674

    Amazing how TEX looks like they're swinging at pinatas! HOU is going to win their division because TEX can't hit anymore... IMHO
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    Amazing how TEX looks like they're swinging at pinatas! HOU is going to win their division because TEX can't hit anymore... IMHO
     
     
    herbshack
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2016 - 11:13 AM ET #675

    Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

    Did we miss one today?
    ATL lost by 1 run yesterday and scored in more innings
    They won today 2-0

    I have about 3000 systems like that one lol. 
    What I look for (sort of) is a consensus between BIG active systems like that one where, I believe it was, you play on a team off of a loss in which they scored in more innings than the opponent. I'm glad you're following that one on your own though. It is one of my best and probably good enough to just grind out on the blind (for a lower roi of course).

    Here's what I like for today:
    Another favorite....it is still July where I said I lay low because I like dogs more....and favorites profit on the blind. Usually never even touch dogs at all this month.

    $124 to win $157.48 
    Colorado Rockies -1 +127 
    vs Atlanta Braves

    Amongst a number of factors, you have these:
    *https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28team%3DBraves%20and%206%3C%3Dpo%3Aruns%20and%20SG%3E1%20and%20date%3E%3D20150819%29%20as%20%22ATL006%3A%20The%20Braves%20are%200-12%20SU%20after%20allowing%206%2B%20runs%20and%20it%20is%20not%20the%20first%20game%20of%20a%20series.%22
    *https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28team%3DBraves%20and%20p%3AHPR%3E%3D3%20and%20p%3AL%20and%20date%3E%3D20150805%29%20as%20%22ATL012%3A%20The%20Braves%20are%200-13%20RL%20after%20a%20loss%20in%20which%20they%20had%20at%20least%20three%20times%20as%20many%20hits%20as%20runs.%22https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28team%3DBraves%20and%206%3C%3Dpo%3Aruns%20and%20SG%3E1%20and%20date%3E%3D20150819%29%20as%20%22ATL006%3A%20The%20Braves%20are%200-12%20SU%20after%20allowing%206%2B%20runs%20and%20it%20is%20not%20the%20first%20game%20of%20a%20series.%22https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28team%3DBraves%20and%20p%3AHPR%3E%3D3%20and%20p%3AL%20and%20date%3E%3D20150805%29%20as%20%22ATL012%3A%20The%20Braves%20are%200-13%20RL%20after%20a%20loss%20in%20which%20they%20had%20at%20least%20three%20times%20as%20many%20hits%20as%20runs.%22
    *The Braves are off of a 9 run loss. At this point in the season, I am thinking a lot about momentum and have a lot of systems I follow revolving around this. Momentum, is probably an inverse factor at the tail end of regular season (at least traditionally before the extra wild card spot got added), but for now, consider this simple trend:

    *In June and July, since 2004, teams that lost by 7 to 10 runs (blowout loss) went 206-304 SU and were +95.06 units SU to fade. That's +14.7% roi....



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    Quote Originally Posted by gbpackman:

    Did we miss one today?
    ATL lost by 1 run yesterday and scored in more innings
    They won today 2-0

    I have about 3000 systems like that one lol. 
    What I look for (sort of) is a consensus between BIG active systems like that one where, I believe it was, you play on a team off of a loss in which they scored in more innings than the opponent. I'm glad you're following that one on your own though. It is one of my best and probably good enough to just grind out on the blind (for a lower roi of course).

    Here's what I like for today:
    Another favorite....it is still July where I said I lay low because I like dogs more....and favorites profit on the blind. Usually never even touch dogs at all this month.

    $124 to win $157.48 
    Colorado Rockies -1 +127 
    vs Atlanta Braves

    Amongst a number of factors, you have these:
    *https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28team%3DBraves%20and%206%3C%3Dpo%3Aruns%20and%20SG%3E1%20and%20date%3E%3D20150819%29%20as%20%22ATL006%3A%20The%20Braves%20are%200-12%20SU%20after%20allowing%206%2B%20runs%20and%20it%20is%20not%20the%20first%20game%20of%20a%20series.%22
    *https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28team%3DBraves%20and%20p%3AHPR%3E%3D3%20and%20p%3AL%20and%20date%3E%3D20150805%29%20as%20%22ATL012%3A%20The%20Braves%20are%200-13%20RL%20after%20a%20loss%20in%20which%20they%20had%20at%20least%20three%20times%20as%20many%20hits%20as%20runs.%22https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28team%3DBraves%20and%206%3C%3Dpo%3Aruns%20and%20SG%3E1%20and%20date%3E%3D20150819%29%20as%20%22ATL006%3A%20The%20Braves%20are%200-12%20SU%20after%20allowing%206%2B%20runs%20and%20it%20is%20not%20the%20first%20game%20of%20a%20series.%22https://killersports.com/mlb/query?sdql=%28team%3DBraves%20and%20p%3AHPR%3E%3D3%20and%20p%3AL%20and%20date%3E%3D20150805%29%20as%20%22ATL012%3A%20The%20Braves%20are%200-13%20RL%20after%20a%20loss%20in%20which%20they%20had%20at%20least%20three%20times%20as%20many%20hits%20as%20runs.%22
    *The Braves are off of a 9 run loss. At this point in the season, I am thinking a lot about momentum and have a lot of systems I follow revolving around this. Momentum, is probably an inverse factor at the tail end of regular season (at least traditionally before the extra wild card spot got added), but for now, consider this simple trend:

    *In June and July, since 2004, teams that lost by 7 to 10 runs (blowout loss) went 206-304 SU and were +95.06 units SU to fade. That's +14.7% roi....



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