Posted:
#701
good stuff been trailing lately
0
September Dogs - Starting with $4k
Posted:
#712
Simple case: ML @-120 and RL -1.5 @ +150
Let's assume you put $120 on the ML. Then, you put the profit of that ML bet ($100) on the RL -1.5.
The total bet amount is $220.
The potential profit is $100 from the ML and $150 from the RL, for a total of $250.
The odds of a RL -1 bet is therefore $100 * 250 / 220 = +113.64!
Just replicate that in an Excel spreadsheet and it should help understanding the logic behind the odds
0
Posted:
#713
Both of these quotes are from THE ACTUARY:
Lastly, I don't recommend betting the -1 RL even if it's offered by your book if you don't understand perfectly the probability behind that line.
Playing a -1 RL is the same than playing both the ML and RL -1.5. Therefore, you have to think there is value in both bets to play the RL -1 and be profitable.
If your calculation results in a probability higher than implied that the game finish by a margin of 1 run, then play the ML. If you think the opposite, then play the RL -1.5. No need to bother with the RL -1. Just my two cents!
0
Posted:
#721
Quote Originally Posted by herbshack:
$131 to win $149.34
$131 to win $149.34
Detroit Tigers +114
vs Boston Red Sox
--
Current Bankroll: $9,447.65
from $4000 (+136.19 units)
--
Since 2006, Dogs are 185-218 +20.26 units SU in July and on Monday.
That's 141-162 +26.12 units +8.6% roi SU if you cap the line no higher than 180.
0
Hot Forum Topics
