Florida Man - Round of 64

60-41

+12.65 units

Here are my initial plays. Looking at a couple others (primarily team totals which haven’t posted yet at my book). I will post additional plays on this thread.

Hofstra +13.5 (-115) 1.15 Units

Hofstra has an efficient offense (89/365) and excellent guard play. Bama Defense is 362/365 in turnovers forced. Hofstra is 29/365 in 3 PT %, against a Bama D ranked 156/365 in 3 PT Defense. Hofstra guards will perform well here and keep this one close. Hofstra also rebounds well on offense (51/365) vs a Bama D ranked 293/365 on the glass. Alabama Offense is elite, but don’t sleep on Hofstra D - ranked 10/365 in effective FG %. A small ML play on Hofstra may also be warranted.

High Point +12.5 (-110) 1.1 units

High Point has won 14 straight (nations longest win streak). They take great care of the ball (5/365 in Turnover %). Wisconsin D is 323/365 in turnovers forced. High Point will get looks (48/365) in Effective FG %. Wisconsin D is 179/365 in Defensive Effective FG %. Wisconsin has been great from deep, and High Point 3 Pt defense is strong, ranked 64/365. High Point’s lack of turnovers and perimeter defense will keep the Badgers from running away with this one.

Saint Louis +2.5 (-110) 1.1 Units

STL has been on a “slide” but still holds a 3/365 in Effective FG % and is 2/365 in 3 PT %. STL offensive efficiency is ranked 51/365 vs Georgia D ranked 80/365. Georgia is 336/365 in rebounding. STL Defense is 5/365 in 2 PT %, which is where Georgia typically thrives on offense.

Clemson / Iowa - UNDER 131.5 (-110) 1.1 units 

Clemson Adjusted Tempo is 64.2 (333/365) vs Iowa 63.0 (357/365). Both Defenses are top 30 in D1. Iowa offense is ranked 359/365 in Time of Possession vs Clemson D ranked 359/365 in defensive TOP. Both D’s are strong on the glass, and will limit second chance opportunities.

@Floridaman

 BOL in the tournament, should be fun 

N Iowa - Team Total -  UNDER 60.5 (-110)

NIU Adj Tempo of 62.3 (363/365) vs a Johnnies D ranked 12/365. NIU is 346/365 in offense rebounding and the lack of second chances will be their kryptonite here. The best D NIU has faced this year was UC Irvine and scored 63 in regulation.

@sportschat

@Floridaman

Love the initial looks you have here FM.  

1 pause for me, Bama is the biggest wildcard you can find - can put up 100+ without blinking but can also end up in the mid 70's.  So bad on defense but very athletic and can really put pressure on you to keep up when they are making their shots.

Don't know if Hofstra has the horses especially down low, but I'll be pulling for you!

Good Fortune in the Tourney! 

@Xdoge

 
Hofstra does have 6’10” Victory Onuetu in the post who is top 10 in offensive rebounding in D1 and Top 45 in defensive boards. 

play the over.....Bama will make them...

Hofstra 2  good guards...

@bigred84

Lets go FM!

Have a March buddy!

@The_Land17

Damn, you're becoming a legend

Floridaman----I like that Clemson/Iowa U131 as well, but I think I'm gonna wait and see the 1st H line.....should be 61ish.....hard to see these teams getting to 30 each with jitters and both on neutral court.....should be a close game which always brings the possibility of fouling/free throws or OT.....

Looking at STL/UGA.....Billikens play sound ball like you pointed out, so I dont think they wanna get in a streetball game.....total at 170.5 seems pretty high as has both teams in the 80s....thats gonna require a pretty high fg% from both squads

Great stuff sir

Got em in all but HighPoint now +10.5. will watch. Thanks FM ! Appreciate the early insights! BOL 

@Floridaman

@Floridaman

 Excellent input as usual.

@Floridaman

 Fla. man.......here's to a winning MM buddy....

BOL with all your Rd 1 action......indy

FM When you get Train69  coming in your thread you know you are a legend  GL TO YOU AND EVERYONE

@Floridaman

 Let's Go Dogs.....

Train and FM great veterans 

@tboon

@TRAIN69

 Thank you sir 

 
I do really like Hofstra here. 7-2 ATS this year as Dogs, including covering against some varied tempo opponents @ UCF, @ Temple, @ Pitt (won outright) and @ Syracuse (won outright). Bama clearly in a different class but unusual to find a 13 seed that well tested. 

@Craginator

@FelixFermin21

@CusDAmato1

@MIKEYC1008

@lmb4321

@MatthewJL46