All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

My Dad's System...

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 35379
Posts: 354
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 1583
Posted: #151
Quote Originally Posted by RSampsell:

This may be a really good system...but why wait all year to see if it holds water.  Just run it thru the last five seasons and see what the results are.   If I get some time today I will run it and present the results I come up with.  The only problem would be situations like the redsox and d-Rays this weekend.  If a person misses the chance to make the play or the play gets canceled I guess he would count it as a push and oplay the next game or wait until the next situation rolls around

  I already tabulated last season's win/loss record for this system 60-57 (posted it on this thread a few days ago).  
If you could collect the 2008 season and before results, though...  that would be interesting to see too..
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 658
Posted: #152
Quote Originally Posted by brrrlacher:

 

Yeah.  I know this is going to be the problem with this way of playing.  It's inevitable that some teams are going to take longer to get to these streaks of W4/L4.  Therefore, in your example w/ the Cubs it seems fairly foolish to be risking that amount.  This is the main reason I am just putting it to the test this season. 

Question:  Where do you get the old lines from?  I might have to go back and take a look at some of the other examples.

 

I clicked on a teams home page here at covers.  At the top of their home page click on "past results".  Then in the dropdown box pick the year you are interested in.  It goes all the way back to 1999.

Lead, Follow or get the hell out of the way
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 658
Posted: #153

Quote Originally Posted by Davidscott40:

  I already tabulated last season's win/loss record for this system 60-57 (posted it on this thread a few days ago).  
If you could collect the 2008 season and before results, though...  that would be interesting to see too..

 

You wouldnt happen to have kept the total amount wagered? anything close to 15-20% ($15000-$20,000) return would be great! 

Lead, Follow or get the hell out of the way
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 1583
Posted: #154
Quote Originally Posted by RSampsell:

 

You wouldnt happen to have kept the total amount wagered? anything close to 15-20% ($15000-$20,000) return would be great! 

realize the (+/- units earned) for 2009 and before is the type of past season archive info we REALLY need, but haven't looked that deep into it yet. 
  If covers has this (archived results and closing lines) like someone just mentioned, definitely worth tabulating the actual ... 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2004
Posts: 683
Posted: #155
tuesdays picks are going to be posted soon? thanks
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #156

Results for Monday April 19th:

29)  KC -48  (Tor L3)
30)  Angels +50  (LAA W3)
31)  San Diego +50  (SD W3)

Day: 2-1 +52

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #157

YTD:  22-9

+743

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #158
Just a reminder to all who are following.  Below are the teams and streaks that we have already cashed on.  These will NOT be a play the next time they are at their respective W3/L3 because we have already won on them.

San Fran (W3)
Minnesota (W3)
Oakland (W3)
Anaheim (L3)
Houston (L3)
Seattle (L3)
Toronto (W3)
White Sox (L3)
Detroit (W3)
Baltimore (L3)
Philadelphia (W3)
Cleveland (L3)
Mets (L3)
Tampa Bay (W3)
Seattle (W3)
Cincy (L3)
Yanks (W3)
Texas (L3)
Red Sox (L3)
Cleveland (W3)
Arizona (L3)
Anaheim (W3)
San Diego (W3)




===Below are teams we have lost on and will need to adjust the units on===

 
Reds (W3) -44
Rockies (W3) -105
Texas (W3) -55
Atlanta (W3)  -50
Detroit (L3)  -46
Nationals (W3) -59
Toronto (L3) -48
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #159
Plays for Tuesday April 20th:

32)  Pittsburgh +106 48/50 (Pitt W3)
33)  NY Mets -105  53/50  (Cubs L3)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 316
Posted: #160
brrrr, when others are running the system I would suggest checking into what happens the 2nd time around.

May be safer actually to take a team AFTER they win 4 in a row... basically meaning the 2nd time they are going to win the 4th in a row... meaning 2 4 game win streaks or 2 4 game losing streaks.

I would suggest the probability of a team winning their 1st attempt at the 2nd 4 game win streak would be hirer... anyone have thoughts?

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #161

Results for Tuesday April 20th:

32)  Pittsburgh -48
33)  NY Mets +50 

Day: 1-1  +2

YTD:  23-10  +745

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #162
Quote Originally Posted by brrrlacher:

Just a reminder to all who are following.  Below are the teams and streaks that we have already cashed on.  These will NOT be a play the next time they are at their respective W3/L3 because we have already won on them.

San Fran (W3)
Minnesota (W3)
Oakland (W3)
Anaheim (L3)
Houston (L3)
Seattle (L3)
Toronto (W3)
White Sox (L3)
Detroit (W3)
Baltimore (L3)
Philadelphia (W3)
Cleveland (L3)
Mets (L3)
Tampa Bay (W3)
Seattle (W3)
Cincy (L3)
Yanks (W3)
Texas (L3)
Red Sox (L3)
Cleveland (W3)
Arizona (L3)
Anaheim (W3)
San Diego (W3)
Cubs (L3)




===Below are teams we have lost on and will need to adjust the units on===

 
Reds (W3) -44
Rockies (W3) -105
Texas (W3) -55
Atlanta (W3)  -50
Detroit (L3)  -46
Nationals (W3) -59
Toronto (L3) -48
Pitt (W3) -48 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #163
Plays for Wednesday April 21st:

34)  Atl +132  38/50 (Phi L3)
35)  Hou +135  37/50  (Hou W3)
36)  SD  -120  60/50  (SF L3)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2010
Posts: 149
Posted: #164

gl  to your pops and you buddy

 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 26212
Posted: #165
Good Luck on the system
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #166

Results for Wednesday April 21st:

34)  Atl -38
35)  Hou +50
36)  SD +50

Day:  2-1  +62

YTD:  25-11  +807

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #167
Just a reminder to all who are following.  Below are the teams and streaks that we have already cashed on.  These will NOT be a play the next time they are at their respective W3/L3 because we have already won on them.

San Fran (W3)
Minnesota (W3)
Oakland (W3)
Anaheim (L3)
Houston (L3)
Seattle (L3)
Toronto (W3)
White Sox (L3)
Detroit (W3)
Baltimore (L3)
Philadelphia (W3)
Cleveland (L3)
Mets (L3)
Tampa Bay (W3)
Seattle (W3)
Cincy (L3)
Yanks (W3)
Texas (L3)
Red Sox (L3)
Cleveland (W3)
Arizona (L3)
Anaheim (W3)
San Diego (W3)
Cubs (L3)
Hou (W3)
SFran (L3)




===Below are teams we have lost on and will need to adjust the units on===

 
Reds (W3) -44
Rockies (W3) -105
Texas (W3) -55
Atlanta (W3)  -50
Detroit (L3)  -46
Nationals (W3) -59
Toronto (L3) -48
Pitt (W3) -48
Philadelphia (L3) -38
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 4662
Posted: #168
Quote Originally Posted by fizzle254:

brrrr, when others are running the system I would suggest checking into what happens the 2nd time around.

May be safer actually to take a team AFTER they win 4 in a row... basically meaning the 2nd time they are going to win the 4th in a row... meaning 2 4 game win streaks or 2 4 game losing streaks.

I would suggest the probability of a team winning their 1st attempt at the 2nd 4 game win streak would be hirer... anyone have thoughts?

...is not safer to take after...thats when the risk gets higher....i have done a similar system but i dont quit playing the teams once they quit the streak...i just follow streaks and kind of have a hunch when to play them....i actually do pretty well....you really want to feel it out around the streak of 2(for me) and play the streak....and play them until they lose....example...colorado...last year or yr b4 streaked like 17 games...how much money would you have if you followed and how much would you have if you quit following after 4?????? whatever works for you good luck!!!!!!!!!!
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #169
Plays for Thursday April 22nd:

37)  NYY -180  90/50  (Oak L3)
38)  Milw -160  80/50  (Milw W3)

There are two other teams on 3 game streaks (Sea W3 and Balt L3) but we have already cashed on them so they are not a play.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 316
Posted: #170
That and neither the Mariners or Orioles play tonight....

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2004
Posts: 683
Posted: #171
you have fridays picks yet?
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #172
Results for Thursday April 22nd:

37)  NYY -90 (Oak L3)
38)  Milw +50  (Milw W3)

Day:  1-1  -40

YTD:  26-12  +767
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #173
Just a reminder to all who are following.  Below are the teams and streaks that we have already cashed on.  These will NOT be a play the next time they are at their respective W3/L3 because we have already won on them.

San Fran (W3)
Minnesota (W3)
Oakland (W3)
Anaheim (L3)
Houston (L3)
Seattle (L3)
Toronto (W3)
White Sox (L3)
Detroit (W3)
Baltimore (L3)
Philadelphia (W3)
Cleveland (L3)
Mets (L3)
Tampa Bay (W3)
Seattle (W3)
Cincy (L3)
Yanks (W3)
Texas (L3)
Red Sox (L3)
Cleveland (W3)
Arizona (L3)
Anaheim (W3)
San Diego (W3)
Cubs (L3)
Hou (W3)
SFran (L3)
Milw (W3)




===Below are teams we have lost on and will need to adjust the units on===

 
Reds (W3) -44
Rockies (W3) -105
Texas (W3) -55
Atlanta (W3)  -50
Detroit (L3)  -46
Nationals (W3) -59
Toronto (L3) -48
Pitt (W3) -48
Philadelphia (L3) -38
Oakland (L3) -90
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 848
Posted: #174

Plays for Friday April 23rd:

39)  Hou -170  85/50  (Pitt L3)


Seattle and Baltimore are not plays b/c we have already won w/ them.

 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2008
Posts: 2229
Posted: #175
too much chalk for Astros
All Forums | MLB Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.