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My Dad's System...

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Posted: #126
Quote Originally Posted by Davidscott40:

It's really betting each team will have their first 4 game winning streak BEFORE their first 3 game winning streak is snapped,  and correspondingly have their first 4 game losing streak BEFORE they have their first 3 game losing streak snapped. 
   You keep betting on 3 game streaks until the FIRST 4 game winning streak and FIRST 4 game losing streak for each team.  ...60 winning plays, and you're done.
so it is kind of a chase thing it some ways then too
 
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Posted: #127
looking forward to todays picks and good luck
 
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Posted: #128

Results for Sunday April 18th:

22)  Yanks +155
23)  Tampa Bay +97 
24)  Seattle -46 
25)  Cleveland +50 
26)  Yanks +50 
27)  Nationals -59 
28)  San Diego +50 

Day:  5-2 +297 

 
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Posted: #129
YTD:  20-8  +691



 
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Posted: #130
still looking good brrlacher
 
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Posted: #131

Just a reminder to all who are following.  Below are the teams and streaks that we have already cashed on.  These will NOT be a play the next time they are at their respective W3/L3 because we have already won on them.

San Fran (W3)
Minnesota (W3)
Oakland (W3)
Anaheim (L3)
Houston (L3)
Seattle (L3)
Toronto (W3)
White Sox (L3)
Detroit (W3)
Baltimore (L3)
Philadelphia (W3)
Cleveland (L3)
Mets (L3)
Tampa Bay (W3)
Seattle (W3)
Cincy (L3)
Yanks (W3)
Texas (L3)
Red Sox (L3)
Cleveland (W3)
Arizona (L3)




===Below are teams we have lost on and will need to adjust the units on===

 
Reds (W3) -44
Rockies (W3) -105
Texas (W3) -55
Atlanta (W3)  -50
Detroit (L3)  -46
Nationals (W3) -59

 
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Posted: #132
so would boston be a pick then?
 
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Posted: #133
Plays for Monday April 19th:

29)  Toronto -110  55/50  (Tor W3)
30)  Angels -165  83/50  (LAA W3)
31)  San Diego +117  43/50  (SD W3)
 
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Posted: #134

Quote Originally Posted by mikkii10:

so would boston be a pick then?

Boston was a "Play Against" yesterday (play #23) winner on Tampa Bay.

 
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Posted: #135
ok thanks brrrrr
 
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Posted: #136

Correction...Play should be against Toronto who has lost 3 in a row.

Quote Originally Posted by brrrlacher:

Plays for Monday April 19th:

29)  KC +105  48/50  (Tor L3)
30)  Angels -165  83/50  (LAA W3)
31)  San Diego +117  43/50  (SD W3)

 
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Posted: #137
 I just found this, it's any interesting theory/
 
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Posted: #138
thanks for that update brr lacher 
 
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Posted: #139
Quote Originally Posted by brrrlacher:

What means 48/50, 83/50 and 43/50 ?

and why you play this team : Kansas city, Angels and Padres ?

thks

Toronto is 3 lost in a row

Kansas is 1 win in a row

Angels is 3 win in a row

Detroit is 1 win in a row

Padres is 3 win a row

thks to explain me

 
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Posted: #140
Quote Originally Posted by hart31:

What means 48/50, 83/50 and 43/50 ?

and why you play this team : Kansas city, Angels and Padres ?

thks

Toronto is 3 lost in a row

Kansas is 1 win in a row

Angels is 3 win in a row

Detroit is 1 win in a row

Padres is 3 win a row

thks to explain me



He plays teams that have won 3 in a row and against teams that have lost 3 in a row. Their opponents record does not really matter unless they have also won three in a row.

The numbers are what he is risking to what he can win. 83 if he loses angels, 50 is what he will win if angels win.
 
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Posted: #141
ok thks
 
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Posted: #142

This may be a really good system...but why wait all year to see if it holds water.  Just run it thru the last five seasons and see what the results are.   If I get some time today I will run it and present the results I come up with.  The only problem would be situations like the redsox and d-Rays this weekend.  If a person misses the chance to make the play or the play gets canceled I guess he would count it as a push and oplay the next game or wait until the next situation rolls around

Lead, Follow or get the hell out of the way
 
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Posted: #143
Interesting
 
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Posted: #144
Quote Originally Posted by brrrlacher:

Plays for Monday April 19th:

29)  Toronto -110  55/50  (Tor W3)
30)  Angels -165  83/50  (LAA W3)
31)  San Diego +117  43/50  (SD W3)


Of coarse I have the gigiantes today!!! damn lol Ill prob play the jays and angels tho.
 
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Posted: #145

play for today are :

 

Plays for Monday April 19th:

29)  KC +105  48/50  (Tor L3)
30)  Angels -165  83/50  (LAA W3)
31)  San Diego +117  43/50  (SD W3)

 
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Posted: #146

Just a quick figure, I swear this was the first team I checked being a cub fan and all.......last year it took the Cubs 3 times of winning 3 in row before winning their 4th in a row:

First Attempt -

April 15th -  Line -201 - $100.50 risk to win $50 =  Lost

          Down $100.50

Second Attempt -

 

April 22 - Line -156 - Risk $234.78 to win $50 (plus $100.50 down) - Lost

     Down $335.28

 

Third Attempt -

 

May 4 - Line -169 - Risking $651.12 to win $50 (+$335.28 back)

- Win

So you would have had to risk $982.40 to win $50

I know not all will take 3 times to win...I would say 60% will win first time they get to 3...but if it goes to 4 or 5 tries there will be a lot of money at risk...plus what if your book wont take a play on that game.    Im not knockin...just trying to weigh the options.. 

 

Player would still have to use some kind of money managment along the lines somwhere

 

Lead, Follow or get the hell out of the way
 
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Posted: #147
Quote Originally Posted by RSampsell:

Just a quick figure, I swear this was the first team I checked being a cub fan and all.......last year it took the Cubs 3 times of winning 3 in row before winning their 4th in a row:

First Attempt -

April 15th -  Line -201 - $100.50 risk to win $50 =  Lost

          Down $100.50

Second Attempt -

 

April 22 - Line -156 - Risk $234.78 to win $50 (plus $100.50 down) - Lost

     Down $335.28

 

Third Attempt -

 

May 4 - Line -169 - Risking $651.12 to win $50 (+$335.28 back)

- Win

So you would have had to risk $982.40 to win $50

I know not all will take 3 times to win...I would say 60% will win first time they get to 3...but if it goes to 4 or 5 tries there will be a lot of money at risk...plus what if your book wont take a play on that game.    Im not knockin...just trying to weigh the options.. 

 

Player would still have to use some kind of money managment along the lines somwhere

 

Misadded..sorry..

Actually it was a total risk $1086.10 to win $50

 

 

Lead, Follow or get the hell out of the way
 
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Posted: #148
First time I see your thread...Is really interesting. I usually don't call it system but i bet similar as yours...on streaks..

I'll be checking this thread constantly....GL

Pick for today..

Angels

 
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Posted: #149

No wonder I have trouble winning sometimes...I just cant add the correct numbers!!!

Total risk $986.40 ....if that isnt right...I give up!!

Lead, Follow or get the hell out of the way
 
 
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Posted: #150
Quote Originally Posted by RSampsell:

Just a quick figure, I swear this was the first team I checked being a cub fan and all.......last year it took the Cubs 3 times of winning 3 in row before winning their 4th in a row:

First Attempt -

April 15th -  Line -201 - $100.50 risk to win $50 =  Lost

          Down $100.50

Second Attempt -

 

April 22 - Line -156 - Risk $234.78 to win $50 (plus $100.50 down) - Lost

     Down $335.28

 

Third Attempt -

 

May 4 - Line -169 - Risking $651.12 to win $50 (+$335.28 back)

- Win

So you would have had to risk $982.40 to win $50

I know not all will take 3 times to win...I would say 60% will win first time they get to 3...but if it goes to 4 or 5 tries there will be a lot of money at risk...plus what if your book wont take a play on that game.    Im not knockin...just trying to weigh the options.. 

 

Player would still have to use some kind of money managment along the lines somwhere

 

 

Yeah.  I know this is going to be the problem with this way of playing.  It's inevitable that some teams are going to take longer to get to these streaks of W4/L4.  Therefore, in your example w/ the Cubs it seems fairly foolish to be risking that amount.  This is the main reason I am just putting it to the test this season. 

Question:  Where do you get the old lines from?  I might have to go back and take a look at some of the other examples.

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