MLB Saturday

Went 6-2 on plays yesterday. 

I'll dig into some games as I take my first sip of coffee. This weekend will definitely to watch out for specially for teams like Tigers, Mets, and Giants. They are the hottest sellers in the market so line up can fluctuate pregame. I always tell myself to limit the games so I limit the bankroll exposure but who am I kidding. Where's the fun in that? lol 

Leans so far
Mets
CWS 
Pirates
Phillies
Rangers

GL  on your plays @Way2Good

@Way2Good

 Great job as always. Love your NBA analysis. All the best on your plays today. Give me a golden parlay for today. I sure could use it as I'm sure others could use a big hit. 

awsome stay hot brother

Nice day yesterday 

Bets locked and loaded. Sharing some insights and would love to hear a few in return. 

Cardinals/Bluejays u4.5 -110
-The bluejays lead the league in unders in f5 game total this season sitting at 66% of the games. The Cardinals will deploy a Triple A pitcher today but prior to the call Quinn Weathers averaged 3.13 ERA and 1.55 ERA in f5 over his last 9 Triple A starts. Gausman can be a liability with his recent ERA bloated at 5.45. BlueJays average runs allowed is 2.46 throughout the season. Based on statistical profile of Gausman and Quinn Matthews, is is projected under 4.5 at 57.5% and if you add the historical data and situational data of Quinn Matthews trying to impress the league with his start the u4.5 should be very doable.


Tampa -0.5 f5 -130
(Tampa has 34-18-5 home record in f5. 7-2-1 f5 L10 home games and Rasmussen has 2.48 f5 ERA 1.94 xERA. CWS is deploying Hicks as opener and will be followed by Schultz with 3-7 record, 6.15 ERA and horribly striking only 54Ks in 60IP. I dont want to stay full game with this game as Tampa is below .500 in bounce back games after a loss at home. If CWS is behind by <2 runs bottom 6th I might play them live ML.)

Guardians -1.5 +120 (Parker Messick redemption game)
Phillies ML -140 
Mariners ML +  Twins TT u4.5 -120 (Gilbert already saw the Twins on the road this season and commanded a 7-1 win. Twins still without Buxton and Paredes so I dont see them scoring more than 5 today)

I also like the Angels and Athletics but wont put anything until early games are finished. good luck and a profitable weekend to everyone! 

Mets with nice edge on the bump.Looking a them pretty hard.

Not too keen on Cleveland, even with Messick. Snakes have best BA in the league vs. LHP. Cleveland has one of the worst; and Cleveland can't score.

Snakes swept the best team money can buy, in LA no less. That got my attention. I'd think twice about fading them.

RT2

@Way2Good

 Bol today

Risky bet but I'll take this at even money. 

METSSSSS TT o4.5 +100
-Marlins Tyler Phillips sees his F5 ERA jump from a stellar 2.21 at home to a 4.32 ERA on the road. The localized jump in his walk rate (10.5% BB% overall) matches perfectly with a disciplined Citi Field environment where the Mets draw walks at a much higher clip compared to their road performances. He never reached an 80 pitch game so he has always been on a short leash and Marlins bullpen since after ASG has a horrible at 5.45 versus road ERA of 4.58. This is very risky as Mets can still play their usual character which is a swing and miss team but L10 they average 4.45 scored runs but jumps significantly to 6.15 average against the Marlins. 


6 wagers in. 6 is usually my sweet spot for wagers placed in a day. good luck! 

@RebelTell2

 I took their team total and stayed away full game results. I really cant trust them with any games this year specially with the trade deadline + injuries + shitty bullpen management. Bichette,Lindor and Ewing are so hard to predict, you dont know if they woke up today realizing they can play baseball or just enjoying their hefty salaries regardless the outcome. I expect more for Marlins to be horrible on the mound. 

@Way2Good

 Good luck on all your bets today 

@Deejsurge

 Parlay all my picks but buy low on the totals and bump for alt spreads. It should give you +2300. Worth sweating imo.

 Mariners ML + Twins u5.5 tt

cards/bluejays u5

guardians ml + guardians +1.5 f5

Rays -0.5 f5

Mets o2.5 tt

Reds o1.5 tt

Phillies ml

added nationals tt o1.5

put $250 and you get $6000 and some change

@Yoram40

@Macwestie1

Like a thief in the night, another quick hit and run. 

bluejays/cards u4.5 f5

rays -0.5 f5 

3-1 so far

pending 

phillies ml

guardians -1.5

adding

Athletics ml +160

This is why I dont like to fuck with the Mets they scored 2 runs bottom second and needed to cover 3 more for 7 full inning against the Marlins with horrible pitching. Bichette, Ewing, lindor were 4-12 with 0 rbi.