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Max Power Premonitions - MLB

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Posted: #101
Home Teams on Sunday's ROCK!!!
They are 46-13 over the last 4 Sunday's.
Home Teams went 11-3 today, w/ SNB still up for grabs.

Max Power Premonitions - 5/16/10
MIN @ NYY= NYY Full Game -130 (0.5 to win 0.38)
BOS @ DET = DET Full Game +120 (0.5 to win 0.6)
TEX @ TOR = TOR Full Game +107 (0.5 to win 0.54)
STL @ CIN = CIN Full Game +107 (0.5 to win 0.54)
NYM @ FLA = FLA Full Game -162 (0.5 to win 0.31)
ARZ @ ATL = ATL Full Game -114 (0.5 to win 0.44)
CLE @ BAL = BAL Full Game +109 (0.5 to win 0.55)
SEA @ TB = TB Full Game -140 (0.5 to win 0.36)
CHW @ KC = KC Full Game -107 (0.5 to win 0.47)
WAS @ COL = COL Full Game -120 (0.5 to win 0.42)
OAK @ LAA = LAA Full Game -155 (0.5 to win 0.32)
HOU @ SF = SF Full Game -160 (0.5 to win 0.31)
LAD @ SD = SD Full Game -103 (0.5 to win 0.48)


Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
TODAY = 10-3-0 (+2.79 Units)*
Last 7 Days = 24-24-1 (+2.02 Units)
MLB Season = 92-99-9 (-19.50Units)
 
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Posted: #102
Max Power Premonitions - 5/17/10
BOS @ NYY= NYY -1.5RL Full Game +110 (1.0 to win 1.1)
CHW @ DET = DET Full Game -136 (0.68 to win 0.5)
CLE @ TB  = Under 4.5 1st 5inn -105  (0.53 to win 0.5)

NYY have 24 Wins this year, and not a single one of them have come by 1 run. Why would you even play the ML?

DET is 14-5 at home, while CHW are 6-12 on the road. Porcello's number's are not great over all, but he is 3-0 at home and a 2.19 ERA in his last 3 starts. Garcia has a 7.31 ERA on the road w/ a WHIP of 1.81, so he has been much better at home so far, and that has swayed his overall numbers.

Niemann has been great, and TB has started games very slow at home. Plus Carmona has only had one bad game in the 1st 5inn. I'm liking the Under 4.5 in 1st 5inn.
 
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Posted: #103
Gl Max,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
 
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Posted: #104
THANKS glBob!!!!

ADDED
SF @ SD = NO Score in 1st Inn -160 (1.0 to win 0.63)
SF @ SD = Under 3.5 1st 5inn -130 (1.0 to win 0.77)
SF @ SD = Under 6.5 1st 5inn -120 (0.6 to win 0.5)

lots, lots, lots 'O' Juice for me on this one...... but I think the lines makers are correct here.
6 games between these two (2 have gone to 7 runs, the other 4 Avg 3 Runs per game).
SD has scored early in 4 games Vs SF, but they are in a big hitting slump right now.
I paid an extra -130 to get 3.5 Vs +100 to get 3.0 in the 1st 5inn.
 
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Posted: #105
Max Power Premonitions - 5/17/10
BOS @ NYY= NYY -1.5RL Full Game +110 (1.0 to win 1.1)
CHW @ DET = DET Full Game -136 (0.68 to win 0.5) POSTPONED
CLE @ TB  = Under 4.5 1st 5inn -105  (0.53 to win 0.5)
SF @ SD = NO Score in 1st Inn -160 (1.0 to win 0.63)
SF @ SD = Under 3.5 1st 5inn -130 (1.0 to win 0.77)
SF @ SD = Under 6.5 1st 5inn -120 (0.6 to win 0.5) PENDING

Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
TODAY = 3-1-0 (+1.37 Units)
Last 7 Days = 24-21-1 (+4.01 Units)
MLB Season = 95-100-9 (-18.13Units)
 
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Posted: #106
Final Result of the day
SF @ SD = Under 6.5 1st 5inn -120 (0.6 to win 0.5)

Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
TODAY = 4-1-0 (+1.87 Units)
Last 7 Days = 25-21-1 (+4.51 Units)
MLB Season = 96-100-9 (-17.63Units)
 
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Posted: #107
Max Power Premonitions - 5/18/10
MIL @ CIN= CIN Full Game -140 (0.7 to win 0.5)
CHW @ DET = DET Full Game -131 (0.66 to win 0.5)
CHW @ DET = DET -1.5RL Full Game +155 (0.5 to win 0.78)
ARZ @ FLA  = FLA Full Game -178  (0.89 to win 0.5)
CLE @ TB  = Under 8.5 Full Game -115  (0.58 to win 0.5)

I have not done the greatest this year on weekday day games, so why I have 5 day game plays today is beyond me. But I do really like the above plays. We'll see how it goes.
 
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Posted: #108
Max Power Premonitions - 5/18/10
MIL @ CIN= CIN Full Game -140 (0.7 to win 0.5)
CHW @ DET = DET Full Game -131 (0.66 to win 0.5)
CHW @ DET = DET -1.5RL Full Game +155 (0.5 to win 0.78)
ARZ @ FLA  = FLA Full Game -178  (0.89 to win 0.5)
CLE @ TB  = Under 8.5 Full Game -115  (0.58 to win 0.5)

Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
TODAY = 3-2-0 (+0.34 Units)
Last 7 Days = 25-20-1 (+5.43 Units)
MLB Season = 99-102-9 (-17.28Units)
 
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Posted: #109
ADDED 4-Team Parlay
PIT @ PHI = Under 8.0
WAS @ STL = Under 7.5
HOU @ LAD = LAD
LAA @ TEX = Under 8.5
(0.4 units to Win 4.14)

This is ONE PLAY, which means either ONE WIN or ONE LOSS on the record.
 
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Posted: #110
Well, hit 3 out 4 on my 4-Team Parlay yesterday, but losing one is like losing all. As a Loss is a Loss.
I contemplated playing each individually too, but never actually made the plays. Bummer for me.

Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
Yesterday = 3-3-0 (-0.06 Units)
Last 7 Days = 25-21-1 (+5.37 Units)
MLB Season = 99-103-9 (-17.34 Units)
 
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Posted: #111

Quote Originally Posted by Max_Power:

Well, hit 3 out 4 on my 4-Team Parlay yesterday, but losing one is like losing all. As a Loss is a Loss.
I contemplated playing each individually too, but never actually made the plays. Bummer for me.

Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
Yesterday = 3-3-0 (-0.06 Units)
Last 7 Days = 25-21-1 (+5.37 Units)
MLB Season = 99-103-9 (-17.34 Units)

Impressive , keep it up.

 
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Posted: #112
I am on both sides of these games today.
+$ ML DOG
+$ -1.5RL for FAV

NYM-ML @ WAS-RL
TB-ML @ NYY-RL
KC-ML @ CLE-RL
BAL-ML @ TEX-RL
LAA-ML @ CHW-RL

I don't have time to put everything else up, but these are all 0.5 Units to win +0.?? Units. I'll updated with completed lines like usual, but they will after the games tonight.
So basically if a game does not finish w/ a 1 Run FAVORITE winning, I will be + for that game.

 
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Posted: #113
ADDED
LAA @ CHW = UNDER 9.0 -120 (0.58 to win 0.5)
 
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Posted: #114
Here are the quick results and info....

NYM-ML @ WAS-RL = WAS RL (+0.25 Units)
TB-ML @ NYY-RL = TB ML(+0.19 Units)
KC-ML @ CLE-RL = KC ML(+0.13 Units)
BAL-ML @ TEX-RL = LOSS BOTH(-1.0 Units)
LAA-ML @ CHW-RL = LAA ML(+0.23 Units)
--------------------
LAA @ CHW = UNDER 9.0 -120 (0.58 to win 0.5)

Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
Yesterday = 5-6-0 (+0.30 Units)
Last 7 Days = 28-23-1 (+4.27 Units)
MLB Season = 104-109-9 (-17.21 Units)

You sort of could look at today as going 5-1, as that was the type of wagers I played. On 5 games, I played both sides of the line for a total of 1.0 units played per game. I went 4-1 on those and finished down -0.2 units on those 5 games. The bad parts shows as going 4-1, my wins only pay out very small + Units/Percentages, but the loss takes away a full unit. To play this way (as posted above, both sides of the ML/RL, I figure you need to go 6-1 (85% wins) to be +money/+units. Today I went 80% and finished down slightly on those types of plays. Over-all on the ML/RL playing both sides I am 8-1.
The only straight played I made was LAA/CHW Under, and I won that one.

 
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Posted: #115
Max Power Premonitions - 5/20/10
KC @ CLE = CLE -1.5RL Full Game +145 (.4 to win 0.58)
KC @ CLE = CLE Full Game -137 (0.6 to win 0.44)
 
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Posted: #116
Max Power Premonitions - 5/20/10
FLA @ STL = FLA (Robertson) 1st 5inn +195 (.4 to win 0.78)
FLA @ STL = FLA Full Game +205 (0.4 to win 0.82)

Robertson and FLA has gone 2-1 in his last 3, while Wainwright was 1-2. FLA has been playing good ball, while STL is not hitting right now. The Home Ump last year went 2-4 for home teams at -181 or greater favs - he hasn't had such a game yet this year. Last year was 14-14 (H/A record) and this year is 5-3.
At the price, I just can not pass up FLA in this spot.
 
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Posted: #117
Max.... the ideal spots is dog lines between +135 to +150 with runlines over +145  ..... its 10-1 since I started tracking it
 
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Posted: #118
Nice to see it at 10-1 based on your numbers Sparty - THANKS

Well, lost my first 3 that are complete today.
Hoping for a FLA comeback here.

ADDED
TOR @ SEA = Under 7.0 +105 (0.5 to win 0.53)
 
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Posted: #119
I apologize if this is a stupid question, but for Sparty's numbers, are we talking about the runlines being over +145 for the same dogs that are between +135 and +150? The runlines for these dogs would never be better than even money, right?    I'm a baseball newby, so pardon my cluelessness.  Any help is greatly appreciated
 
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Posted: #120
GamblinJones - for Sparty's #'s we are talking
The Favorite at the -1.5 Run Line.
The Dog at the ML

Max Power Premonitions - 5/20/10
KC @ CLE = CLE -1.5RL Full Game +145 (.4 to win 0.58)
KC @ CLE = CLE Full Game -137 (0.6 to win 0.44)
FLA @ STL = FLA (Robertson) 1st 5inn +195 (.4 to win 0.78)
FLA @ STL = FLA Full Game +205 (0.4 to win 0.82)
TOR @ SEA = Under 7.0 +105 (0.5 to win 0.53) PUSH

ADDED
MIN @ BOS = Under 8.0 Full Game -105 (0.53 to win 0.5)
MIN @ BOS = Under 4.5 1st 5inn -125 (0.63 to win 0.5)
SD @ LAD = SDP Full Game +140 (0.5 to win 0.7)
SD @ LAD = LAD -1.5RL Full Game +140 (0.5 to win 0.7)
 
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Posted: #121
Max Power Premonitions - 5/21/10
MIL @ MIN = MIN -1.5RL Full Game +115 (0.5 to win 0.58)
NYY @ NYM = NYY -1.5RL Full Game +100 (0.5 to win 0.5)
DET @ LAD = DET (Willis) 1st 5inn +165 (0.5 to win 0.83)
SDP @ SEA = SDP (LeBlanc) 1st 5inn +156 (0.5 to win 0.78)


Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
Yesterday = 1-6-2 (-2.23 Units)
Last 7 Days = 27-28-2 (+1.16 Units)
MLB Season = 105-115-11 (-19.61 Units)
 
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Posted: #122
Max Power Premonitions - 5/22/10
FLA @ CHW = Over 5 1st 5inn +100 (0.5 to win 0.5)
LAA @ STL = Over 5 1st 5inn -105 (0.53 to win 0.5)
TB @ HOU = TB (Niemann) 1st 5inn -147 (0.74 to win 0.5)
NYY @ NYM = NYY (Hughes) 1st 5inn -159 (0.8 to win 0.5)

Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
Yesterday = 1-3-0 (-0.92 Units)
Last 7 Days = 27-28-2 (+1.22 Units)
MLB Season = 106-118-11 (-20.54 Units)
 
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Posted: #123
ADDED PLAYS - These are plays based on the Umpire

ATL @ PIT = PIT  1Full Game +143 (0.8 to win 0.72)
Umpire is 8-1 for the home team, and 2-0 for the home dog

BAL @ WAS = WAS Full Game -143 (0.72 to win 0.5)
Umpire is 6-2 for the home team, and 8-0 for the Favorite

SDP @ SEA = Over 7.5 Full Game -115 (0.58 to win 0..5)
Umpire is 3-0 for the Over, and only a 60.8% Strike ump.


**** I'm a bit nervous on the NYY @NYM game (but I'm only on NYY for 1st 5inn) due to the fact that the Ump is 8-0 for home teams.
 
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Posted: #124
Nice write up for umpires Max
 
 
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Posted: #125
Max Power Premonitions - 5/22/10
FLA @ CHW = Over 5 1st 5inn +100 (0.5 to win 0.5)
LAA @ STL = Over 5 1st 5inn -105 (0.53 to win 0.5)
TB @ HOU = TB (Niemann) 1st 5inn -147 (0.74 to win 0.5)
NYY @ NYM = NYY (Hughes) 1st 5inn -159 (0.8 to win 0.5)
ATL @ PIT = PIT  1Full Game +143 (0.8 to win 0.72)
BAL @ WAS = WAS Full Game -143 (0.72 to win 0.5)
SDP @ SEA = Over 7.5 Full Game -115 (0.58 to win 0..5) PENDING

Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
TODAY= 3-3-0 (-0.30 Units)
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