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Max Power Premonitions - MLB

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Posted: #76
Max Power Premonitions - 5/10/10

PHI @ COL = PHI (Kendrick) 1st 5inn -105 (0.53 to win 0.5)
PHI @ COL = Over 6.0 1st 5inn -115 (0.58 to win 0.5)
PHI @ COL = PHI Full Game -106 (0.53 to win 0.5)
PHI @ COL = PHI -1.5RL Full Game +140 (0.5 to win 0.7)

TB @ LAA = TB (Garza) 1st 5inn -143 (0.72 to win 0.5)
TB @ LAA = TB  Full Game -136 (0.68 to win 0.5)
TB @ LAA = TB -1.5RL Full Game +110 (0.5 to win 0.55)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
My last Series Plays went 2-0 and 2-0 on the opener of the series. PHI & TB will be my Chase System series for the beginning of the week. (PHI is +10.4 & TB is +24.7 on my rankings system)

I also lean NYY in all the same ways as the PHI game, but I'm not going to play NYY @ DET today, as I am keeping this to two series. (NYY is a +11.2)

So, even though there are all these wagers placed. They are only combined for a total of 4.03 Units (to Win 3.75 Units)
 
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Posted: #77
Max Power Premonitions - 5/10/10 - RESULTS

PHI @ COL = PHI (Kendrick) 1st 5inn -105 (0.53 to win 0.5)
PHI @ COL = Over 6.0 1st 5inn -115 (0.58 to win 0.5)
PHI @ COL = PHI Full Game -106 (0.53 to win 0.5)
PHI @ COL = PHI -1.5RL Full Game +140 (0.5 to win 0.7)

TB @ LAA = TB (Garza) 1st 5inn -143 (0.72 to win 0.5)
TB @ LAA = TB  Full Game -136 (0.68 to win 0.5) Pending
TB @ LAA = TB -1.5RL Full Game +110 (0.5 to win 0.55) Pending

Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
YESTERDAY = 3-2-0 (+0.56 Units) 2 Pending still
Last 7 Days = 16-19-0 (-21.74 Units)
MLB Season = 71-77-8 (-20.96 Units)
 
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Posted: #78
Max Power Premonitions - 5/11/10

CHW @ MIN = MIN (Slowey) 1st 5inn -170 (0.85 to win 0.5)
CHW @ MIN = MIN  Full Game -174 (0.87 to win 0.5)
CHW @ MIN = MIN -1.5RL Full Game +110 (0.5 to win 0.55)

PHI @ COL = PHI (Halladay) 1st 5inn -180 (0.90 to win 0.5)
PHI @ COL = PHI Full Game -178 (0.89 to win 0.5)
PHI @ COL = PHI -1.5RL Full Game -120 (0.6 to win 0.5)

TB @ LAA = TB (Niemann) 1st 5inn -130 (0.65 to win 0.5)
TB @ LAA = TB  Full Game -129 (0.64 to win 0.5)
TB @ LAA = TB -1.5RL Full Game +130 (0.5 to win 0.65)

Series System Play Rankings
MIN = +14.2
PHI = +18.3 (after gm#1 Updates)
TB = +14.7 (after gm#1 Updates)
(I am looking for a +10 or higher, PLUS liking the pitching matchup)


Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
YESTERDAY = 3-4-0 (-0.62 Units)
Last 7 Days = 16-21-0 (-22.36 Units)
MLB Season = 71-79-8 (-21.58 Units)
 
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Posted: #79
Max Power Premonitions - 5/11/10 - RESULTS

CHW @ MIN = MIN (Slowey) 1st 5inn -170 (0.85 to win 0.5)
CHW @ MIN = MIN  Full Game -174 (0.87 to win 0.5)
CHW @ MIN = MIN -1.5RL Full Game +110 (0.5 to win 0.55)

PHI @ COL = PHI (Halladay) 1st 5inn -180 (0.90 to win 0.5) CANCEL
PHI @ COL = PHI Full Game -178 (0.89 to win 0.5) CANCEL
PHI @ COL = PHI -1.5RL Full Game -120 (0.6 to win 0.5) CANCEL

TB @ LAA = TB (Niemann) 1st 5inn -130 (0.65 to win 0.5)
TB @ LAA = TB  Full Game -129 (0.64 to win 0.5)
TB @ LAA = TB -1.5RL Full Game +130 (0.5 to win 0.65)


Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
YESTERDAY = 3-3-0 (-0.57 Units)
Last 7 Days = 18-22-0 (-22.75 Units)
MLB Season = 74-82-8 (-22.15 Units)
 
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Posted: #80
BOL
 
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Posted: #81
Max Power Premonitions - 5/12/10
CHW @ MIN = Under 4.0 1st 5inn -110 (0.55 to win 0.5)
CHW @ MIN = MIN -1.5RL Full Game +155 (0.5 to win 0.78)
WAS @ NYM = NYM (Pelfrey) 1st 5inn -167 (0.84 to win 0.5)
NYY @ DET = Over 5.5 1st 5inn -115 (0.58 to win 0.5)
Parlay: PHI ML & TB ML Full Game +201 (0.5 to win 1.02)
 
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Posted: #82
Quite frustrated with my plays lately - I have added 2 plays to tonight, and I let a Random Number Generator Make decide:
2 teams to play
to play RL or ML
Amount to play


NYY @ DET (gm#2) = NYY -1.5RL Full Game -125 (2.98 to win 2.39)
CHW @ MIN = COL Full Game +158 (0.5 to win 0.79)
 
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Posted: #83
Quite frustrated with my plays lately - I have added 2 plays to tonight, and I let a Random Number Generator Make decide:
2 teams to play
to play RL or ML
Amount to play


NYY @ DET (gm#2) = NYY -1.5RL Full Game -125 (2.98 to win 2.39)
CHW @ SF = COL Full Game +158 (0.5 to win 0.79)
 
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Posted: #84
Meant to put COL @ SF previously.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #85
It will come back; keep plugging away.
 
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Posted: #86
It is ONLY going to take 4 posts to get this play posted correctly here.
Mushy Brain Awareness Month (M-BAM)

SDP @ SFG = SDP Full Game +158 (0.5 to win 0.79)


 
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Posted: #87
Good luck max, hope it turns around. The RNG is a fair strategy, to eliminate all other cloudy judgment, use that as your decision maker. Hope they hit sir. 
 
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Posted: #88
Max Power Premonitions - 5/12/10
CHW @ MIN = Under 4.0 1st 5inn -110 (0.55 to win 0.5)
CHW @ MIN = MIN -1.5RL Full Game +155 (0.5 to win 0.78)
WAS @ NYM = NYM (Pelfrey) 1st 5inn -167 (0.84 to win 0.5) PUSH
NYY @ DET = Over 5.5 1st 5inn -115 (0.58 to win 0.5)
Parlay: PHI ML & TB ML Full Game +201 (0.5 to win 1.02)
SDP @ SFG = SDP Full Game +158 (0.5 to win 0.79)
NYY @ DET (gm#2) = NYY -1.5RL Full Game -125 (2.98 to win 2.39)


Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
YESTERDAY = 2-4-1 (+1.05 Units)
Last 7 Days = 17-23-1 (-16.58 Units)
MLB Season = 76-86-9 (-21.66 Units)
 
Captain
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Posted: #89
its all good man i know the pain, i dont think to many people have been doing well the past few weeks...we will get thru this bud
 
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Posted: #90
Max Power Premonitions - 5/13/10
NYY @ DET = DET Full Game +118 (0.5 to win 0.59)
SD @ SF = SD Full Game +159 (0.5 to win 0.80)
SD @ SF = SF -1.5RL Full Game +130 (0.5 to win 0.65)

Yes, I know I am on both sides of the SD/SF game.
I'm trying this for fun on this game and you can read more about it here, post # 62:
Percentage of Games Won by 1 Run? Thread
 
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Posted: #91
Max Power Premonitions - 5/13/10 - RESULTS
NYY @ DET = DET Full Game +118 (0.5 to win 0.59)
SD @ SF = SD Full Game +159 (0.5 to win 0.80)
SD @ SF = SF -1.5RL Full Game +130 (0.5 to win 0.65)

Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
TODAY = 2-1-0 (+0.89 Units)
Last 7 Days = 17-21-1 (-1.21 Units)
MLB Season = 78-87-9 (-20.77 Units)
 
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Posted: #92
Max Power Premonitions - 5/14/10
HOU @ SF = HOU Full Game +136 (0.5 to win 0.68)
HOU @ SF = SF -1.5RL Full Game +150 (0.5 to win 0.75)

Yes, I know I am on both sides of the HOU/SF game.
I'm trying this again, as yesterday's play of SD/SF hit just fine. You can read more about it here, post # 92:
Percentage of Games Won by 1 Run? Thread

I'll be looking to potentially be playing one or two more games tonight - just not finding all too much I really like yet.
 
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Posted: #93
ADDED Plays
WAS @ COL = Under 4.5 1st 5inn -115 (0.5 to win 0.43)
TEX @ TOR = Under 4.5 1st 5inn -110 (0.55 to win 0.5)

 
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Posted: #94
ADDED
LAD @ SD = SD (Garland) Full Game -137 (0.69 to win 0.5)

I was looking at the -1.5RL, however SD has won by 1 run in 7 of their 22 wins (31.8% of their wins).
Even though there is a 92 pt difference in the ML to RL, I "cap" this game as having a 30% chance of SD winning by exactly one run. So it is not worth taking that chance at really any point of this LAD @ SD Series.
 
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Posted: #95
More to come later - no time now....
PIT +225 ... 0.5U
MIN +130 ... 0.5U
 
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Posted: #96
 
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Posted: #97
Max Power Premonitions - 5/15/10
MIN @ NYY = MIN (Liriano) 1st 5inn +130 (0.5 to win 0.65)
MIN @ NYY= MIN Full Game +130 (0.5 to win 0.65)
PIT @ CHC = PIT (Maholm)  1st 5inn +205 (0.5 to win 1.03)
PIT @ CHC = PIT Full Game +215 (0.5 to win 1.08)

I'm sure there will be more to come.
I wasn't able to post all info previously, but I did post that I was on these plays.
 
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Posted: #98
Added 5/15
LAD @ SD = SD (Correia)  1st 5inn +104 (0.5 to win 0.52)
LAD @ SD = SD Full Game +103 (0.5 to win 0.51)
ARZ @ ATL = ATL (Hanson)  1st 5inn -191 (0.96 to win 0.5)

Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
TODAY = 2-2-0 (+1.10 Units)*
Last 7 Days = 15-21-1 (-1.04 Units)
MLB Season = 81-92-9 (-20.65 Units)

The above records are assuming a MIN @ NYY loss, as it's bottom of 8th and MIN is down by 6 runs.
 
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Posted: #99
Added 5/15
BOS @ DET = DET Full Game +164 (0.5 to win 0.82)
BOS @ DET = DET -1.5 Alt RL Full Game +270 (0.5 to win 1.35)

Home Plate Ump is 9-4 for the home team.
DET is 12-5 at home
of these 12 wins, 11 have been by more than 1 run.
 
 
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Posted: #100
So, Today I placed 0.5 to win ??? on every home team except CHC & MIL. Over the last 3 Sunday's Home Teams have gone a combined 35-10 (11-4, 12-3, 12-3). The worst Sunday for home teams was on 4/18, and even then they went 7-7 on the day.

Max Power Premonitions - 5/16/10
MIN @ NYY= NYY Full Game -130 (0.5 to win 0.38)
BOS @ DET = DET Full Game +120 (0.5 to win 0.6)
TEX @ TOR = TOR Full Game +107 (0.5 to win 0.54)
STL @ CIN = CIN Full Game +107 (0.5 to win 0.54)
NYM @ FLA = FLA Full Game -162 (0.5 to win 0.31)
ARZ @ ATL = ATL Full Game -114 (0.5 to win 0.44)
CLE @ BAL = BAL Full Game +109 (0.5 to win 0.55)
SEA @ TB = TB Full Game -140 (0.5 to win 0.36)
CHW @ KC = KC Full Game -107 (0.5 to win 0.47)
WAS @ COL = COL Full Game -120 (0.5 to win 0.42)
OAK @ LAA = LAA Full Game -155 (0.5 to win 0.32)
HOU @ SF = SF Full Game -160 (0.5 to win 0.31)
LAD @ SD = SD Full Game -103 (0.5 to win 0.48)

TOTAL = 6.5 to win 5.71


Max Power Memoirs (MLB ONLY)
YESTERDAY = 3-6-0 (-0.53 Units)*
Last 7 Days = 16-25-1 (-2.67 Units)
MLB Season = 82-96-9 (-22.29 Units)
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