Mavin's MLB Contest

also safeco is notorious to clamp down on scoring, and oddsmakers always have low totals here no matter what. last year it was always 7 or 6.5. This year they cap it at 7.5 it seems and want to beat the public by the hook value.

Musicmatt1  54-28-3  +1854$

greengiants 30-41 -1197$

Matt, i want u to know that Seattle offense is actually a lot better than ppl give em cred for. Honestly. All there springs numbers were off the charts, and Seattle along with KC was top money earners at the end of spring ball. Seattle actually broke the record for most long balls! 

Note for COL:

Question to all the handicappers here. When it comes to teams traveling what are you looking for to help handicapp the games?

 

how late the travels are, and if both teams are traveling, and if the home team has traveled back home to play a traveler, big advantage for the homer, and u will likely see a roadie fave of like -118 or something. But homer with good pitching, and doesnt matter lineup, has the real edge! The traveling roadies no matter the lineup hotness, usually cant hit that 1st game, ive been documenting these patterns. 

very good Mike i will watching for these

[Quote: Originally Posted by MikeTizzy] how late the travels are, and if both teams are traveling, and if the home team has traveled back home to play a traveler, big advantage for the homer, and u will likely see a roadie fave of like -118 or something. But homer with good pitching, and doesnt matter lineup, has the real edge! The traveling roadies no matter the lineup hotness, usually cant hit that 1st game, ive been documenting these patterns.  [/Quote

Thanks for the input!  Will keep a eye out for those scenarios

SimonDog  50-33 (+$1246)

greengiants 32-42 -1084$

distance and time change also is a factor

Ahgg Whats up guys! I was at work and school all day yesterday and didn't get to post my last picks! No joke I went 12-1 ( 4-0) NBA 8-1 MLB.. My best day of my betting carreer but only did 1 unit :(. Almost want to say lets start a new thread to keep the lag down, duringmy breaks at work my phone was having such a hard time loading that I couldn't post. Ill do  a better job today, hopefully I stay hot! Good luck everybody lets kill today! 

Musicmatt1  55-30-3  +1687$

 

SD Padres  ML  +107

 

Under 7  ATL Braves - WAS Nationals  +100

 

MIL Brewers  ML  -110

 

Went against my own personal rules and added a late bet yesterday.

 

I think Wood is overvalued here.  If the line originally came out at CHI Cubs -115, that would have been right.  The movement of this line and opening number reminds me of Phillies yesterday.

 

Harper and Werth should be out tonight.  I don't think ATL bats are as hot as they seemed against Stras and Gio.  Don't think Braves will have to score too many to support Medlen.  Lots of $$ coming in on Over 7.5 and line dropped to 7.

 

This line seems to be set for Cardinal bets to come in.  I'll take the home team, staying at home, and coming off a loss.

Over 7.5 Rays

natalieportman9 44-44 +220$

I am starting to think that these lines that are incorrect are more telling the total... For example, the Nats earlier this week and the Padres/Cubs today.

I'm becoming well aware now just how much the weather, especially wind, will affect runs scored at Wrigley. Travis Wood is throwing like 95. Almost impossible to hit one out with this wind blowing in.

Even Stults was throwing a few high heat K's. Rizzo tried a drag bunt. This wind! I need to get a Wrigley weather app.

Musicmatt1  54-28-3  +1854$

greengiants 30-41 -1197$

aleiverson02 4-1 + 3 units ( maybe 3-1?)

Under 7.5 CHI Cubs - SD Padres
Both of these teams rarley go over, besides last night, I think line is pretty low and people think over right away but I see little hits and a low scoring game with a 1 point difference ( hopefully padres won)

Didn't include the rays over in here because it got delayed if it gets going again we def can count it and ill give a reason.. Ill have final 2 or 1 pick ( depending on delay of rays) before 4pm games. Gl team!

-159$