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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    CHASE THE PLAYOFFS...RD.2

    «First Previous 151617 ... 262728 Next Last»
    McShady
    Air1
    js4u
    Newfie_Bullet
    KingHernandez
    ...
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    «First Previous 151617 ... 262728 Next Last»
     
    McShady
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 11:40 AM ET #351

    @mj.

    Thats awesome that you found a ur edge to profits. Just some tips from a psuedo veteran at it. 

    -focus on Chases in a 3-4 game window, otherwise it can get out of hand

    -i start with $2.5% of my allowable losses and by G3 (w/lil juice) you can be at 20%. Any furthur than that can really discourage followers

    -dont get hung up on a loss after 3-4. Alot easier to make back 20% than 50%. 
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    @mj.

    Thats awesome that you found a ur edge to profits. Just some tips from a psuedo veteran at it. 

    -focus on Chases in a 3-4 game window, otherwise it can get out of hand

    -i start with $2.5% of my allowable losses and by G3 (w/lil juice) you can be at 20%. Any furthur than that can really discourage followers

    -dont get hung up on a loss after 3-4. Alot easier to make back 20% than 50%. 
     
    Air1
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 12:16 PM ET #352

    @Shady - I couldn't agree more with low juice chases. Not as nerve wrecking as chasing bleed me out sox at -160 a game (and losing).

    Also anything over 3/4 game chase (with low juice) is stupid. even if you are only trying to win 1/2 a  unit. In such a case wait out the first few games and THEN start a chase.

    @mj - in 09 you would have had a 3 game chase loss when LA swept STL.
    in 08 tb/bos went to game 6
    in 07 nyy/cle chase would have cost you a 4 gamer.
    in 06 stl/sd chase would have cost you a 4 gamer.

    Maybe chasing the away team is a better option? more juice as they are up first, but at least worth a look.
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    @Shady - I couldn't agree more with low juice chases. Not as nerve wrecking as chasing bleed me out sox at -160 a game (and losing).

    Also anything over 3/4 game chase (with low juice) is stupid. even if you are only trying to win 1/2 a  unit. In such a case wait out the first few games and THEN start a chase.

    @mj - in 09 you would have had a 3 game chase loss when LA swept STL.
    in 08 tb/bos went to game 6
    in 07 nyy/cle chase would have cost you a 4 gamer.
    in 06 stl/sd chase would have cost you a 4 gamer.

    Maybe chasing the away team is a better option? more juice as they are up first, but at least worth a look.
     
    js4u
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 12:32 PM ET #353

    Can someone help with the "insider Angles"?
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    Can someone help with the "insider Angles"?
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 12:37 PM ET #354

    Quote Originally Posted by js4u:

    Can someone help with the "insider Angles"?

    Angle will check in pretty soon. Maybe he can PM you the website
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    Quote Originally Posted by js4u:

    Can someone help with the "insider Angles"?

    Angle will check in pretty soon. Maybe he can PM you the website
     
    js4u
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 12:43 PM ET #355

    Ok, thanks.  I don't want to sound like a dummy, sorry.  Shady are you playing the yanks tonight?

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    Ok, thanks.  I don't want to sound like a dummy, sorry.  Shady are you playing the yanks tonight?

     
    Newfie_Bullet
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 12:54 PM ET #356

    SEA @ SF is a +7.5 set number at proline. It opened at 8 and is down to 7 at some places already.

     

    You know what to do.

     

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    SEA @ SF is a +7.5 set number at proline. It opened at 8 and is down to 7 at some places already.

     

    You know what to do.

     

     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 12:55 PM ET #357

    Quote Originally Posted by js4u:

    Ok, thanks.  I don't want to sound like a dummy, sorry.  Shady are you playing the yanks tonight?



    Only if Semper tells me to 
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    Quote Originally Posted by js4u:

    Ok, thanks.  I don't want to sound like a dummy, sorry.  Shady are you playing the yanks tonight?



    Only if Semper tells me to 
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 12:58 PM ET #358

    On it Newf!
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    On it Newf!
     
    Newfie_Bullet
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 12:58 PM ET #359

    We want the hook on the TD, last weekend both UTAH and Stanford lines went in our favour just before gametime up to 9-10 pts on dog. Both games had dogs eventually losing by 7 points.
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    We want the hook on the TD, last weekend both UTAH and Stanford lines went in our favour just before gametime up to 9-10 pts on dog. Both games had dogs eventually losing by 7 points.
     
    KingHernandez
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:00 PM ET #360

    Any play on CFB tonight? I got UL Lafayette 

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    Any play on CFB tonight? I got UL Lafayette 

     
    Newfie_Bullet
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:01 PM ET #361

    Haha that was for everyone else Shady not you lol
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    Haha that was for everyone else Shady not you lol
     
    jaime2309
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:02 PM ET #362

    Quote Originally Posted by Newfie_Bullet:

    SEA @ SF is a +7.5 set number at proline. It opened at 8 and is down to 7 at some places already.

     

    You know what to do.

     

     

    I'm new to this thread. Is the play on the under?

    All about the chase
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    Quote Originally Posted by Newfie_Bullet:

    SEA @ SF is a +7.5 set number at proline. It opened at 8 and is down to 7 at some places already.

     

    You know what to do.

     

     

    I'm new to this thread. Is the play on the under?

     
    js4u
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:13 PM ET #363

    @Newfie is Seattle +7 good?  5dimes is offering +7, -110 or +8, -130 but not offering +7.5 currently.

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    @Newfie is Seattle +7 good?  5dimes is offering +7, -110 or +8, -130 but not offering +7.5 currently.

     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:18 PM ET #364

    @Newfie. 

    I forgot to take a snapshot of the Spread page. Did u?
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    @Newfie. 

    I forgot to take a snapshot of the Spread page. Did u?
     
    js4u
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:20 PM ET #365

    @shady:  I sent you a friend request, thanks again for your info.
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    @shady:  I sent you a friend request, thanks again for your info.
     
    Newfie_Bullet
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:25 PM ET #366

    Last weekend Shady? Yeah I have it I will email if that is what you're looking for.

     

    JS4U

    Wait on the dog line until gametime and we want the line to be bet up to 7.5+ or greater.

     

    Not sure if this game qualifies under Angle's system of team getting blown out one week and covering the next. I'll await his keen insight and knowledge from inside the angle.

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    Last weekend Shady? Yeah I have it I will email if that is what you're looking for.

     

    JS4U

    Wait on the dog line until gametime and we want the line to be bet up to 7.5+ or greater.

     

    Not sure if this game qualifies under Angle's system of team getting blown out one week and covering the next. I'll await his keen insight and knowledge from inside the angle.

     
    semperfi19
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:26 PM ET #367

    Yanks are a lean only tonight.  I just like the value of the Yanks in a must win at +160. 

    My play is in at 50 to win 80.

    Yanks F5 +1/2  +105   50 to win 52.50

    Good Luck Boys.....        

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    Yanks are a lean only tonight.  I just like the value of the Yanks in a must win at +160. 

    My play is in at 50 to win 80.

    Yanks F5 +1/2  +105   50 to win 52.50

    Good Luck Boys.....        

     
    js4u
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:29 PM ET #368

    where do you actually get the proline lottery odds?
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    where do you actually get the proline lottery odds?
     
    Go_Nads
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:41 PM ET #369

    Kenealy13 at the other place (newfie knows who) brought up a good NFL trend that you guys might want to keep an eye on.  One game this weekend fits (New Orleans)

    NFL teams as a Road Favorite off a Bye, here are the numbers:

    Since 2006
    Road Favorites coming off a bye are 24-4-1 ATS (didn't count playoffs) with an average line of -5.1

    The 4 losses were:
    2007 Cincinnati -2.5 @ KC (final 20-27)
    2007 Pittsburgn -3.5 @ Denver (final 28-31)
    2011 New England -2.5 @ Pittsburgh (final 17-25)
    2011 Pittsburgh -10.5 @ KC (final 13-9)
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    Kenealy13 at the other place (newfie knows who) brought up a good NFL trend that you guys might want to keep an eye on.  One game this weekend fits (New Orleans)

    NFL teams as a Road Favorite off a Bye, here are the numbers:

    Since 2006
    Road Favorites coming off a bye are 24-4-1 ATS (didn't count playoffs) with an average line of -5.1

    The 4 losses were:
    2007 Cincinnati -2.5 @ KC (final 20-27)
    2007 Pittsburgn -3.5 @ Denver (final 28-31)
    2011 New England -2.5 @ Pittsburgh (final 17-25)
    2011 Pittsburgh -10.5 @ KC (final 13-9)
     
    Go_Nads
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:42 PM ET #370

    Quote Originally Posted by js4u:

    where do you actually get the proline lottery odds?

    https://sportselect.wclc.com/lists/ and then click on Point Spreads
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    Quote Originally Posted by js4u:

    where do you actually get the proline lottery odds?

    https://sportselect.wclc.com/lists/ and then click on Point Spreads
     
    paster21
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:45 PM ET #371

    You guys are the best!  Angle thanks for the Broncos last night, Semper, thanks for the Giants F5 and Giants.

    Great calls
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    You guys are the best!  Angle thanks for the Broncos last night, Semper, thanks for the Giants F5 and Giants.

    Great calls
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:50 PM ET #372

    All 4 teams off a bye covered this past wkd. And the 4 coming off a bye this wkd play the 4 mentioned above...
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    All 4 teams off a bye covered this past wkd. And the 4 coming off a bye this wkd play the 4 mentioned above...
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 1:59 PM ET #373

    Who volunteers to track teams G1 & G2 off a Bye week?! Ha
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    Who volunteers to track teams G1 & G2 off a Bye week?! Ha
     
    McShady
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 2:13 PM ET #374

    Looks like so far teams off a bye 

    G1 are 5-1 ATS
    G2 are 0-2 ATS
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    Looks like so far teams off a bye 

    G1 are 5-1 ATS
    G2 are 0-2 ATS
     
     
    js4u
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    Posted: Oct. 16, 2012 - 2:30 PM ET #375

    @Nads

    Thanks

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    @Nads

    Thanks

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