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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    Bodio's MLB Wed 09/28

    «First Previous 123 ... 8910 Next Last»
    bodio
    TucsonClip
    wjeremy97
    bamabilly
    P4P
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 30586
    Posts: 239
    «First Previous 123 ... 8910 Next Last»
     
    bodio
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:39 PM ET #176

    Quote Originally Posted by spotsplays10:

    i get some really strong info on nfl games.i know that sounds like some bullshit like u hear from every sick fuck on this site but like i said before i respect u for what u do.take it for what it is but im gonna start just leaving u plays on ur nfl forum.after six or seven weeks u will begin to see what im talking about.i hope i didnt come across the the wrong way.gl with all ur plays 


    Great.  Thanks
    Where do you get your strong info from?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by spotsplays10:

    i get some really strong info on nfl games.i know that sounds like some bullshit like u hear from every sick fuck on this site but like i said before i respect u for what u do.take it for what it is but im gonna start just leaving u plays on ur nfl forum.after six or seven weeks u will begin to see what im talking about.i hope i didnt come across the the wrong way.gl with all ur plays 


    Great.  Thanks
    Where do you get your strong info from?
     
    bodio
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:40 PM ET #177

    #3: Parlay: Rangers ML / Athletics ML: +163
    #4: Parlay: Rangers ML / Rays ML: +135



    Alright, my final 2 plays for today. (I expect there to be at least 1 more game tomorrow so these are not final two plays of the regular season)

    A's with Gio on the mound have a huge advantage in starting pitching. This Vasquez kid for Seattle has given up 27 ER's in 27 innings pitched in the majors this year, allowing 42 hits, 12 HR"s and 12k's to 10 BB's. Gio has a sick 3.08 xFIP against lefties this year and I expect at least 5 lefties in Seattle's lineup today. I know this is a huge 'square' selection as Vasquez has nowhere to go but 'up' from his horrendous start, but as long as Gonzalez is sharp I feel confident in this one.

    In the Rays/Yankees game, it all comes down to pitching for me. Price vs some rook that already gave up 4 walks to Tampa in his first relief appearance in the majors a week or so ago. Betances had a BB/9 rate over 4 in the minors and I expect him to give up a number of walks and runs in his 3 innings of work (that's what Joe is predicting for him today). After him, Yankees will be resting their top 3/4 bullpen pitchers, thus providing another advantage for the Rays. I do wish Yankee lineup was missing a couple of 'big bats' today, but even so, I expect Price and his career ERA of 3.69 against the Bombers, to be effective today.

    Good luck fellas!
    Reply
    #3: Parlay: Rangers ML / Athletics ML: +163
    #4: Parlay: Rangers ML / Rays ML: +135



    Alright, my final 2 plays for today. (I expect there to be at least 1 more game tomorrow so these are not final two plays of the regular season)

    A's with Gio on the mound have a huge advantage in starting pitching. This Vasquez kid for Seattle has given up 27 ER's in 27 innings pitched in the majors this year, allowing 42 hits, 12 HR"s and 12k's to 10 BB's. Gio has a sick 3.08 xFIP against lefties this year and I expect at least 5 lefties in Seattle's lineup today. I know this is a huge 'square' selection as Vasquez has nowhere to go but 'up' from his horrendous start, but as long as Gonzalez is sharp I feel confident in this one.

    In the Rays/Yankees game, it all comes down to pitching for me. Price vs some rook that already gave up 4 walks to Tampa in his first relief appearance in the majors a week or so ago. Betances had a BB/9 rate over 4 in the minors and I expect him to give up a number of walks and runs in his 3 innings of work (that's what Joe is predicting for him today). After him, Yankees will be resting their top 3/4 bullpen pitchers, thus providing another advantage for the Rays. I do wish Yankee lineup was missing a couple of 'big bats' today, but even so, I expect Price and his career ERA of 3.69 against the Bombers, to be effective today.

    Good luck fellas!
     
    TucsonClip
    TucsonClip
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:40 PM ET #178

    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:



    Really?  I love Moore.  Can't wait to see him (and back him) tomorrow against the BoSox.
    Hopefully Price doesn't struggle! 


    Agreed, I think Moore would neutralize that Sox offense enough for the Rays bats to build a nice lead.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:



    Really?  I love Moore.  Can't wait to see him (and back him) tomorrow against the BoSox.
    Hopefully Price doesn't struggle! 


    Agreed, I think Moore would neutralize that Sox offense enough for the Rays bats to build a nice lead.
     
    bodio
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:41 PM ET #179

    Final 2 plays posted for today.  yes I know they're the 'dreaded' parlays, but my BABIP is .385 with parlays this year with GB-rate of 60% and strand-rate of 50%.  I expect some SICK regression to the positive mean starting tonight!!! 
    Reply
    Final 2 plays posted for today.  yes I know they're the 'dreaded' parlays, but my BABIP is .385 with parlays this year with GB-rate of 60% and strand-rate of 50%.  I expect some SICK regression to the positive mean starting tonight!!! 
     
    wjeremy97
    wjeremy97
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:43 PM ET #180

    There's no game tomorrow so why keep moore sitting
    Reply
    There's no game tomorrow so why keep moore sitting
     
    bodio
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:43 PM ET #181

    Quote Originally Posted by TucsonClip:



    Agreed, I think Moore would neutralize that Sox offense enough for the Rays bats to build a nice lead.


    oh yeah big time.  Who will the Sox have out there tomorrow?  Lackey? I guess they could pitch Beckett on 3-days rest but he's already been regressing big time in the 2nd half of the season.  If Rays win today (assuming Moore doesn't pitch), they're going to the playoffs IMO.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by TucsonClip:



    Agreed, I think Moore would neutralize that Sox offense enough for the Rays bats to build a nice lead.


    oh yeah big time.  Who will the Sox have out there tomorrow?  Lackey? I guess they could pitch Beckett on 3-days rest but he's already been regressing big time in the 2nd half of the season.  If Rays win today (assuming Moore doesn't pitch), they're going to the playoffs IMO.
     
    bodio
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:44 PM ET #182

    Quote Originally Posted by wjeremy97:

    There's no game tomorrow so why keep moore sitting


    Oh there will be if Red Sox and Rays win tonight.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by wjeremy97:

    There's no game tomorrow so why keep moore sitting


    Oh there will be if Red Sox and Rays win tonight.
     
    bamabilly
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:44 PM ET #183

    It is almost time to say goodbye to the Boys of Summer. Thank you for the picks all season, Bodio! G'luck luck to you this Autumn, bud! I have enjoyed the thread and really appreciate your hard work! See you in the playoffs! 
    Reply
    It is almost time to say goodbye to the Boys of Summer. Thank you for the picks all season, Bodio! G'luck luck to you this Autumn, bud! I have enjoyed the thread and really appreciate your hard work! See you in the playoffs! 
     
    bodio
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:44 PM ET #184

    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

    #3: Parlay: Rangers ML / Athletics ML: +163
    #4: Parlay: Rangers ML / Rays ML: +135



    Alright, my final 2 plays for today. (I expect there to be at least 1 more game tomorrow so these are not final two plays of the regular season)

    A's with Gio on the mound have a huge advantage in starting pitching. This Vasquez kid for Seattle has given up 27 ER's in 27 innings pitched in the majors this year, allowing 42 hits, 12 HR"s and 12k's to 10 BB's. Gio has a sick 3.08 xFIP against lefties this year and I expect at least 5 lefties in Seattle's lineup today. I know this is a huge 'square' selection as Vasquez has nowhere to go but 'up' from his horrendous start, but as long as Gonzalez is sharp I feel confident in this one.

    In the Rays/Yankees game, it all comes down to pitching for me. Price vs some rook that already gave up 4 walks to Tampa in his first relief appearance in the majors a week or so ago. Betances had a BB/9 rate over 4 in the minors and I expect him to give up a number of walks and runs in his 3 innings of work (that's what Joe is predicting for him today). After him, Yankees will be resting their top 3/4 bullpen pitchers, thus providing another advantage for the Rays. I do wish Yankee lineup was missing a couple of 'big bats' today, but even so, I expect Price and his career ERA of 3.69 against the Bombers, to be effective today.

    Good luck fellas!


    Alright fellas.  Game time almost!
    Talk to you all later
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

    #3: Parlay: Rangers ML / Athletics ML: +163
    #4: Parlay: Rangers ML / Rays ML: +135



    Alright, my final 2 plays for today. (I expect there to be at least 1 more game tomorrow so these are not final two plays of the regular season)

    A's with Gio on the mound have a huge advantage in starting pitching. This Vasquez kid for Seattle has given up 27 ER's in 27 innings pitched in the majors this year, allowing 42 hits, 12 HR"s and 12k's to 10 BB's. Gio has a sick 3.08 xFIP against lefties this year and I expect at least 5 lefties in Seattle's lineup today. I know this is a huge 'square' selection as Vasquez has nowhere to go but 'up' from his horrendous start, but as long as Gonzalez is sharp I feel confident in this one.

    In the Rays/Yankees game, it all comes down to pitching for me. Price vs some rook that already gave up 4 walks to Tampa in his first relief appearance in the majors a week or so ago. Betances had a BB/9 rate over 4 in the minors and I expect him to give up a number of walks and runs in his 3 innings of work (that's what Joe is predicting for him today). After him, Yankees will be resting their top 3/4 bullpen pitchers, thus providing another advantage for the Rays. I do wish Yankee lineup was missing a couple of 'big bats' today, but even so, I expect Price and his career ERA of 3.69 against the Bombers, to be effective today.

    Good luck fellas!


    Alright fellas.  Game time almost!
    Talk to you all later
     
    TucsonClip
    TucsonClip
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:45 PM ET #185

    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:



    oh yeah big time.  Who will the Sox have out there tomorrow?  Lackey? I guess they could pitch Beckett on 3-days rest but he's already been regressing big time in the 2nd half of the season.  If Rays win today (assuming Moore doesn't pitch), they're going to the playoffs IMO.


    I dont know how they could toss Lackey out there.  Considering the news the Bucholtz is expected to be in the pen tonight, I could see a Beckett/Buckholtz split tomorrow.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:



    oh yeah big time.  Who will the Sox have out there tomorrow?  Lackey? I guess they could pitch Beckett on 3-days rest but he's already been regressing big time in the 2nd half of the season.  If Rays win today (assuming Moore doesn't pitch), they're going to the playoffs IMO.


    I dont know how they could toss Lackey out there.  Considering the news the Bucholtz is expected to be in the pen tonight, I could see a Beckett/Buckholtz split tomorrow.
     
    P4P
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:48 PM ET #186

    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:



    oh yeah big time.  Who will the Sox have out there tomorrow?  Lackey? I guess they could pitch Beckett on 3-days rest but he's already been regressing big time in the 2nd half of the season.  If Rays win today (assuming Moore doesn't pitch), they're going to the playoffs IMO.

    This was my logic in backing them to win the Wild Card for a fairly substantial wager placed yesterday morning...I hope you're right

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:



    oh yeah big time.  Who will the Sox have out there tomorrow?  Lackey? I guess they could pitch Beckett on 3-days rest but he's already been regressing big time in the 2nd half of the season.  If Rays win today (assuming Moore doesn't pitch), they're going to the playoffs IMO.

    This was my logic in backing them to win the Wild Card for a fairly substantial wager placed yesterday morning...I hope you're right

     
    composite
    composite
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:52 PM ET #187

    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

    #3: Parlay: Rangers ML / Athletics ML: +163
    #4: Parlay: Rangers ML / Rays ML: +135



    Alright, my final 2 plays for today. (I expect there to be at least 1 more game tomorrow so these are not final two plays of the regular season)

    A's with Gio on the mound have a huge advantage in starting pitching. This Vasquez kid for Seattle has given up 27 ER's in 27 innings pitched in the majors this year, allowing 42 hits, 12 HR"s and 12k's to 10 BB's. Gio has a sick 3.08 xFIP against lefties this year and I expect at least 5 lefties in Seattle's lineup today. I know this is a huge 'square' selection as Vasquez has nowhere to go but 'up' from his horrendous start, but as long as Gonzalez is sharp I feel confident in this one.

    In the Rays/Yankees game, it all comes down to pitching for me. Price vs some rook that already gave up 4 walks to Tampa in his first relief appearance in the majors a week or so ago. Betances had a BB/9 rate over 4 in the minors and I expect him to give up a number of walks and runs in his 3 innings of work (that's what Joe is predicting for him today). After him, Yankees will be resting their top 3/4 bullpen pitchers, thus providing another advantage for the Rays. I do wish Yankee lineup was missing a couple of 'big bats' today, but even so, I expect Price and his career ERA of 3.69 against the Bombers, to be effective today.

    Good luck fellas!

    Great pick, but why not just the trifecta and parlay all 3?

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

    #3: Parlay: Rangers ML / Athletics ML: +163
    #4: Parlay: Rangers ML / Rays ML: +135



    Alright, my final 2 plays for today. (I expect there to be at least 1 more game tomorrow so these are not final two plays of the regular season)

    A's with Gio on the mound have a huge advantage in starting pitching. This Vasquez kid for Seattle has given up 27 ER's in 27 innings pitched in the majors this year, allowing 42 hits, 12 HR"s and 12k's to 10 BB's. Gio has a sick 3.08 xFIP against lefties this year and I expect at least 5 lefties in Seattle's lineup today. I know this is a huge 'square' selection as Vasquez has nowhere to go but 'up' from his horrendous start, but as long as Gonzalez is sharp I feel confident in this one.

    In the Rays/Yankees game, it all comes down to pitching for me. Price vs some rook that already gave up 4 walks to Tampa in his first relief appearance in the majors a week or so ago. Betances had a BB/9 rate over 4 in the minors and I expect him to give up a number of walks and runs in his 3 innings of work (that's what Joe is predicting for him today). After him, Yankees will be resting their top 3/4 bullpen pitchers, thus providing another advantage for the Rays. I do wish Yankee lineup was missing a couple of 'big bats' today, but even so, I expect Price and his career ERA of 3.69 against the Bombers, to be effective today.

    Good luck fellas!

    Great pick, but why not just the trifecta and parlay all 3?

     
    Qncyk1
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:54 PM ET #188

    i remember your play from a couple of threads ago at tb +280 or something like that to win the wild card. a great bet but my book(caliente) did not offer it.
    Reply
    i remember your play from a couple of threads ago at tb +280 or something like that to win the wild card. a great bet but my book(caliente) did not offer it.
     
    doliver517
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:54 PM ET #189

    You mentioned earlier in a reply to a post I had that you hoped I didn't tail any of your parlays earlier in the yr....today you have Texas ML (which I love and have 2 units on) and you also have 2 parlays involving Texas. Wouldn't it be wise to put more $ down on Texas ML and not have to worry about the A's or Tampa Bay??? I know you see value, but I see extra plays when 1 should be all you need (Texas)...just learning, what is your angle here? Thanks again
    Reply
    You mentioned earlier in a reply to a post I had that you hoped I didn't tail any of your parlays earlier in the yr....today you have Texas ML (which I love and have 2 units on) and you also have 2 parlays involving Texas. Wouldn't it be wise to put more $ down on Texas ML and not have to worry about the A's or Tampa Bay??? I know you see value, but I see extra plays when 1 should be all you need (Texas)...just learning, what is your angle here? Thanks again
     
    RunLineThis
    RunLineThis
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 41
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 6:55 PM ET #190

    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


    I think you Avatar is the real Covers MVP! 



    haha decided to go the opposite way as everyone else on covers
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by bodio:


    I think you Avatar is the real Covers MVP! 



    haha decided to go the opposite way as everyone else on covers
     
    ray-ray
    ray-ray
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 191
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 7:11 PM ET #191

    Whats up Bod, i won the early game with the Mets...was pissed when Reyes came out, that was poor gamesmanship man....gonna play a rare parlay  Bos /  TB +120, if I win gonna ride TB tomorow... like Tex too but juiced up now, may go with -1

    GL bro

    Reply

    Whats up Bod, i won the early game with the Mets...was pissed when Reyes came out, that was poor gamesmanship man....gonna play a rare parlay  Bos /  TB +120, if I win gonna ride TB tomorow... like Tex too but juiced up now, may go with -1

    GL bro

     
    tonysoprano
    tonysoprano
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2005
    Posts: 250
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 7:17 PM ET #192

    Sep 28 08:05 PM

    MLB

    MLB

    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    [909] STL CARDINALS -1½-115
    ( CARPENTER -R / B MYERS -R )
    [927] TEX RANGERS -1½+105
    ( M HARRISON-L / G RICHARDS-R )

    150 / 424

    MLB

    STRAIGHT BET
    [927] TEX RANGERS -160
    ( M HARRISON-L / G RICHARDS-R )

    800 / 500
    Sep 28 08:05 PM

    MLB

    MLB

    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    [912] MIL BREWERS -240
    ( J LOCKE -L / Z GREINKE -R )
    [927] TEX RANGERS -160
    ( M HARRISON-L / G RICHARDS-R )

    222 / 289
    Sep 28 10:10 PM

    MLB

    MLB

    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    [912] MIL BREWERS -240
    ( J LOCKE -L / Z GREINKE -R )
    [929] OAK ATHLETICS -172
    ( G GONZALEZ-L / A VASQUEZ -L )

    250 / 310
    Sep 28 10:10 PM

    MLB

    MLB

    REVERSE ACTION (150 USD) (1 of 1)
    [927] TEX RANGERS -1½+105
    ( M HARRISON-L / G RICHARDS-R )
    [929] OAK ATHLETICS -1½-105
    ( G GONZALEZ-L / A VASQUEZ -L )

     

     

    fuck it.. here's to the last day of mlb and riding your picks from time to time the last month and a half has been a fucking blast.. thanks for the run regardless of tonights results its been $$$

    but lets win tonight too : )

    Reply
    Sep 28 08:05 PM

    MLB

    MLB

    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    [909] STL CARDINALS -1½-115
    ( CARPENTER -R / B MYERS -R )
    [927] TEX RANGERS -1½+105
    ( M HARRISON-L / G RICHARDS-R )

    150 / 424

    MLB

    STRAIGHT BET
    [927] TEX RANGERS -160
    ( M HARRISON-L / G RICHARDS-R )

    800 / 500
    Sep 28 08:05 PM

    MLB

    MLB

    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    [912] MIL BREWERS -240
    ( J LOCKE -L / Z GREINKE -R )
    [927] TEX RANGERS -160
    ( M HARRISON-L / G RICHARDS-R )

    222 / 289
    Sep 28 10:10 PM

    MLB

    MLB

    PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
    [912] MIL BREWERS -240
    ( J LOCKE -L / Z GREINKE -R )
    [929] OAK ATHLETICS -172
    ( G GONZALEZ-L / A VASQUEZ -L )

    250 / 310
    Sep 28 10:10 PM

    MLB

    MLB

    REVERSE ACTION (150 USD) (1 of 1)
    [927] TEX RANGERS -1½+105
    ( M HARRISON-L / G RICHARDS-R )
    [929] OAK ATHLETICS -1½-105
    ( G GONZALEZ-L / A VASQUEZ -L )

     

     

    fuck it.. here's to the last day of mlb and riding your picks from time to time the last month and a half has been a fucking blast.. thanks for the run regardless of tonights results its been $$$

    but lets win tonight too : )

     
    DDH420
    DDH420
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2008
    Posts: 15506
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 8:02 PM ET #193

    Nice work TEX with the grandest of salami's 
    Reply
    Nice work TEX with the grandest of salami's 
     
    more4us
    more4us
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2008
    Posts: 13319
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 8:07 PM ET #194

    Lets cash in tonight brother..................................
    Reply
    Lets cash in tonight brother..................................
     
    mries
    mries
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 541
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 8:10 PM ET #195

    Day late and a dollar short (x2) on the bluejays and yanks...Tex comes through and it will fix it all though!  Great season bodio
    Reply
    Day late and a dollar short (x2) on the bluejays and yanks...Tex comes through and it will fix it all though!  Great season bodio
     
    hodge
    hodge
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 2045
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 8:27 PM ET #196

    here good things about your skills keep up good work.
    Reply
    here good things about your skills keep up good work.
     
    jwbjwbjwb12
    jwbjwbjwb12
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2008
    Posts: 49
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 8:42 PM ET #197

    hey bodio, thanks for everything this season. will you be doing a post season write up by any chance with futures or bets etc.?
    Reply
    hey bodio, thanks for everything this season. will you be doing a post season write up by any chance with futures or bets etc.?
     
    alex247cs
    alex247cs
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2009
    Posts: 45
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 8:50 PM ET #198

    Reply
     
    LawDog
    LawDog
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2010
    Posts: 3535
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 10:01 PM ET #199

    It's never easy is it?

    Cmon Rangers let's ride boys!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Reply

    It's never easy is it?

    Cmon Rangers let's ride boys!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

     
     
    MuggsyBogues
    MuggsyBogues
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2009
    Posts: 8640
    Posted: Sep. 28, 2011 - 10:38 PM ET #200

    Mike Napoli
    homers on a fly ball
    to left field


    Its the best haiku I've heard all year
    Reply
    Mike Napoli
    homers on a fly ball
    to left field


    Its the best haiku I've heard all year
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