If you like TT under 5.5 for KC i think you get Value not only on Rockies but Rockies -1.5. Rockies have won all but 1 game by more than 1 vs losing teams when they win. I think after losing and blowing that lead in the 9th if KC loses its a nice easy win. But if they win I think over too so.....
GL
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If you like TT under 5.5 for KC i think you get Value not only on Rockies but Rockies -1.5. Rockies have won all but 1 game by more than 1 vs losing teams when they win. I think after losing and blowing that lead in the 9th if KC loses its a nice easy win. But if they win I think over too so.....
Yessir. I looked at that. But L10 away KC is 7-3 on RL and COL 5-5 at home on RL.
KC TT is 20-37 and -23 units to the under on the road.
The issue is of course is simply being in Colorado.
Then Sugano is a small tad better at home. Then Wacha a bit better at night. Then the weather looks barely favorable.
I just think if any game in the series is good for it -- this might be the one.
But to me the 'value' or 'edge' is not where I would like considering all of the variables.
The line is -105. I would like it to be +104/108/110 for a 3-4-5% edge.
The RL is +175 -- I would like to see that at least at +183 to +189 for that sort of edge.
The last issue is that if it turns out to be a high-scoring Colorado game and Colorado has the lead -- they obviously will not hit the 9th.
The best time to get what I think is 'value' in these situations going into Colorado is in the first game for a visiting team and I just do not trust the worst team in baseball to blow out a slightly better one.
But you bring up an excellent point and may be correct.
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@smellybunty
Yessir. I looked at that. But L10 away KC is 7-3 on RL and COL 5-5 at home on RL.
KC TT is 20-37 and -23 units to the under on the road.
The issue is of course is simply being in Colorado.
Then Sugano is a small tad better at home. Then Wacha a bit better at night. Then the weather looks barely favorable.
I just think if any game in the series is good for it -- this might be the one.
But to me the 'value' or 'edge' is not where I would like considering all of the variables.
The line is -105. I would like it to be +104/108/110 for a 3-4-5% edge.
The RL is +175 -- I would like to see that at least at +183 to +189 for that sort of edge.
The last issue is that if it turns out to be a high-scoring Colorado game and Colorado has the lead -- they obviously will not hit the 9th.
The best time to get what I think is 'value' in these situations going into Colorado is in the first game for a visiting team and I just do not trust the worst team in baseball to blow out a slightly better one.
But you bring up an excellent point and may be correct.