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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    2021 HOT STOVE

    «First Previous 565758 ... 798081 Next Last»
    undermysac
    BIGDTITLE
    barneybeans
    KeyElement
    yaongingy
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    Views: 8886
    Posts: 2013
    «First Previous 565758 ... 798081 Next Last»
     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2021 - 8:46 PM ET #1376

    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

    @undermysac  Let’s not kid ourselves here

    I am going to try and limit my plays in the regular season.

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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

    @undermysac  Let’s not kid ourselves here

    I am going to try and limit my plays in the regular season.

     
    BIGDTITLE
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2021 - 9:00 PM ET #1377

    The shine has worn off on ST for me 

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    The shine has worn off on ST for me 

     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2021 - 9:11 PM ET #1378

    Really I'm only up 13.45U as 3U is my average betsize. My 3U is everyone else's 1U.

     

    NYY and LAD tomorrow are both laying -205 an_speechless "Starters" for both LAD and NYY are not announced.

     

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Really I'm only up 13.45U as 3U is my average betsize. My 3U is everyone else's 1U.

     

    NYY and LAD tomorrow are both laying -205 an_speechless "Starters" for both LAD and NYY are not announced.

     

     
    barneybeans
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2021 - 9:19 PM ET #1379

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    @KeyElement  If the Nats hold this lead, my 2-2 plan will work as well. You know, it won't be this easy in the regular season. I will try my hardest to be selective this year and focus on the K props.
    Sac, obviously starter vs opp lineup is huge when picking k props. What % of weight do you put on the ump? If you have a play on K prop OV or UN, and the ump is changed from the best possible ump for that K prop to the worst, will that cause you to not place the bet?

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    @KeyElement  If the Nats hold this lead, my 2-2 plan will work as well. You know, it won't be this easy in the regular season. I will try my hardest to be selective this year and focus on the K props.
    Sac, obviously starter vs opp lineup is huge when picking k props. What % of weight do you put on the ump? If you have a play on K prop OV or UN, and the ump is changed from the best possible ump for that K prop to the worst, will that cause you to not place the bet?

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2021 - 9:39 PM ET #1380

    Pitt@NYY -205 tomorrow

    Seeing Kuhl scheduled for Pitt, no one for the Yankees. That line is saying Gerrit Cole. If the Yankees by any chance put a southpaw on the mound, I'll bet 2 units on the Bucco's.

     

    Detroit@Philly -140

    Seeing Boyd for Detroit, no one for Philly. That line is saying Aaron Nola. Once that is announced, I'll wait for added value on the Tigers. I'm not getting off the train to D town any time soon.

     

    Padres-130 @ Colorado

    As much as I want to bet on MacKenzie Gore, the Padres are too pricey here. Austin Gomber is frigin good, one of the pricey chips the Cards had to give up for Arenado. If this game was a regular season deal, 1st 5 inning under gold here.

     

    Alex Cobb is pitching for the Angels tomorrow. Hard to believe that he's 33 all ready. His early days with Tampa were awesome, then he got hurt and missed a year. Was never the same, went to the Orioles to further ruin his career, and got hurt again. Any hope with the Angels? The Angels pitching has been atrocious this spring. But that lineup is dangerous and I think they are going to be an over team, even in Anaheim. Their arms are that bad, especially in the bullpen. Bundy should be good again, but after that it's a crap shoot. Quintana could be sneaky good. His ERA and FIP didn't match last year, the nerds would expect a better year. The new park will be friendlier to him than Wrigley. What to expect from Ohtani? How much of a work load can he handle. He's throwing super hard this spring. Canning is still young, so there's optimism I would think. Heaney is 29, and I don't think any magic is going to happen for him. He is what he is, and that is average at best.

    Surprise team to watch out for possibly is the Brewers. Would it really shock anyone if they won the NL Central?

    The Cardinals should be excited about Arenado, but in reality, is he alone going to propel this offense out of the cellar? I say no. They could "maybe" get close to middle of the pack offensively. I'll believe it when I see it. Last year they had 650 total bases, dead last in the MLB. Compare that to 1001 of the #1 Braves. What's Arenado going to add? 25?

    I believe that I'm going to be right about Zach Davies as a Cub this year. Him and Hendricks are going to frustrate the hell out of batters in a state of high velo baseball.

    I want to root for Toronto this year. I like the players they have and should be fun to watch. How will NOT playing in Toronto affect them? Where the hell are they calling "home" anyway? It's a shame if this throws them off, cause I want them(and all the other AL East teams) to kick the Rays ass this year.

     

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    Pitt@NYY -205 tomorrow

    Seeing Kuhl scheduled for Pitt, no one for the Yankees. That line is saying Gerrit Cole. If the Yankees by any chance put a southpaw on the mound, I'll bet 2 units on the Bucco's.

     

    Detroit@Philly -140

    Seeing Boyd for Detroit, no one for Philly. That line is saying Aaron Nola. Once that is announced, I'll wait for added value on the Tigers. I'm not getting off the train to D town any time soon.

     

    Padres-130 @ Colorado

    As much as I want to bet on MacKenzie Gore, the Padres are too pricey here. Austin Gomber is frigin good, one of the pricey chips the Cards had to give up for Arenado. If this game was a regular season deal, 1st 5 inning under gold here.

     

    Alex Cobb is pitching for the Angels tomorrow. Hard to believe that he's 33 all ready. His early days with Tampa were awesome, then he got hurt and missed a year. Was never the same, went to the Orioles to further ruin his career, and got hurt again. Any hope with the Angels? The Angels pitching has been atrocious this spring. But that lineup is dangerous and I think they are going to be an over team, even in Anaheim. Their arms are that bad, especially in the bullpen. Bundy should be good again, but after that it's a crap shoot. Quintana could be sneaky good. His ERA and FIP didn't match last year, the nerds would expect a better year. The new park will be friendlier to him than Wrigley. What to expect from Ohtani? How much of a work load can he handle. He's throwing super hard this spring. Canning is still young, so there's optimism I would think. Heaney is 29, and I don't think any magic is going to happen for him. He is what he is, and that is average at best.

    Surprise team to watch out for possibly is the Brewers. Would it really shock anyone if they won the NL Central?

    The Cardinals should be excited about Arenado, but in reality, is he alone going to propel this offense out of the cellar? I say no. They could "maybe" get close to middle of the pack offensively. I'll believe it when I see it. Last year they had 650 total bases, dead last in the MLB. Compare that to 1001 of the #1 Braves. What's Arenado going to add? 25?

    I believe that I'm going to be right about Zach Davies as a Cub this year. Him and Hendricks are going to frustrate the hell out of batters in a state of high velo baseball.

    I want to root for Toronto this year. I like the players they have and should be fun to watch. How will NOT playing in Toronto affect them? Where the hell are they calling "home" anyway? It's a shame if this throws them off, cause I want them(and all the other AL East teams) to kick the Rays ass this year.

     

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2021 - 9:44 PM ET #1381

    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: @KeyElement  If the Nats hold this lead, my 2-2 plan will work as well. You know, it won't be this easy in the regular season. I will try my hardest to be selective this year and focus on the K props.Sac, obviously starter vs opp lineup is huge when picking k props. What % of weight do you put on the ump? If you have a play on K prop OV or UN, and the ump is changed from the best possible ump for that K prop to the worst, will that cause you to not place the bet?

    The ump plays a smaller part, but I look at it. The ump could sway me in laying -120 or more sometimes. Or, let me take a chance on a better juiced prop of +110 or more.

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    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac: @KeyElement  If the Nats hold this lead, my 2-2 plan will work as well. You know, it won't be this easy in the regular season. I will try my hardest to be selective this year and focus on the K props.Sac, obviously starter vs opp lineup is huge when picking k props. What % of weight do you put on the ump? If you have a play on K prop OV or UN, and the ump is changed from the best possible ump for that K prop to the worst, will that cause you to not place the bet?

    The ump plays a smaller part, but I look at it. The ump could sway me in laying -120 or more sometimes. Or, let me take a chance on a better juiced prop of +110 or more.

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2021 - 9:58 PM ET #1382

    1-2-1 -0.43 Tuesday. The card would not be right without a push. Thanks Nats.

    YTD 18-13-9 (+8.75)

    an_cheers

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    1-2-1 -0.43 Tuesday. The card would not be right without a push. Thanks Nats.

    YTD 18-13-9 (+8.75)

    an_cheers

     
    barneybeans
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2021 - 10:15 PM ET #1383

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    1-2-1 -0.43 Tuesday. The card would not be right without a push. Thanks Nats. YTD 18-13-9 (+8.75)
    Dude if you were laying -1.5 runs in any game this Spring Training there would be a new rule just before the game that would somehow allow a team to score a half run and you would still push with your team winning by 1.5 runs. There is no way for you to not avoid a least pushing one game a day.

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    1-2-1 -0.43 Tuesday. The card would not be right without a push. Thanks Nats. YTD 18-13-9 (+8.75)
    Dude if you were laying -1.5 runs in any game this Spring Training there would be a new rule just before the game that would somehow allow a team to score a half run and you would still push with your team winning by 1.5 runs. There is no way for you to not avoid a least pushing one game a day.

     
    BIGDTITLE
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2021 - 10:30 PM ET #1384

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Pitt@NYY -205 tomorrow Seeing Kuhl scheduled for Pitt, no one for the Yankees. That line is saying Gerrit Cole. If the Yankees by any chance put a southpaw on the mound, I'll bet 2 units on the Bucco's.   Detroit@Philly -140 Seeing Boyd for Detroit, no one for Philly. That line is saying Aaron Nola. Once that is announced, I'll wait for added value on the Tigers. I'm not getting off the train to D town any time soon.   Padres-130 @ Colorado As much as I want to bet on MacKenzie Gore, the Padres are too pricey here. Austin Gomber is frigin good, one of the pricey chips the Cards had to give up for Arenado. If this game was a regular season deal, 1st 5 inning under gold here.   Alex Cobb is pitching for the Angels tomorrow. Hard to believe that he's 33 all ready. His early days with Tampa were awesome, then he got hurt and missed a year. Was never the same, went to the Orioles to further ruin his career, and got hurt again. Any hope with the Angels? The Angels pitching has been atrocious this spring. But that lineup is dangerous and I think they are going to be an over team, even in Anaheim. Their arms are that bad, especially in the bullpen. Bundy should be good again, but after that it's a crap shoot. Quintana could be sneaky good. His ERA and FIP didn't match last year, the nerds would expect a better year. The new park will be friendlier to him than Wrigley. What to expect from Ohtani? How much of a work load can he handle. He's throwing super hard this spring. Canning is still young, so there's optimism I would think. Heaney is 29, and I don't think any magic is going to happen for him. He is what he is, and that is average at best. Surprise team to watch out for possibly is the Brewers. Would it really shock anyone if they won the NL Central? The Cardinals should be excited about Arenado, but in reality, is he alone going to propel this offense out of the cellar? I say no. They could "maybe" get close to middle of the pack offensively. I'll believe it when I see it. Last year they had 650 total bases, dead last in the MLB. Compare that to 1001 of the #1 Braves. What's Arenado going to add? 25? I believe that I'm going to be right about Zach Davies as a Cub this year. Him and Hendricks are going to frustrate the hell out of batters in a state of high velo baseball. I want to root for Toronto this year. I like the players they have and should be fun to watch. How will NOT playing in Toronto affect them? Where the hell are they calling "home" anyway? It's a shame if this throws them off, cause I want them(and all the other AL East teams) to kick the Rays ass this year.

     

    the regression of Goldy won't be propped up by the signing of Arenado 

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Pitt@NYY -205 tomorrow Seeing Kuhl scheduled for Pitt, no one for the Yankees. That line is saying Gerrit Cole. If the Yankees by any chance put a southpaw on the mound, I'll bet 2 units on the Bucco's.   Detroit@Philly -140 Seeing Boyd for Detroit, no one for Philly. That line is saying Aaron Nola. Once that is announced, I'll wait for added value on the Tigers. I'm not getting off the train to D town any time soon.   Padres-130 @ Colorado As much as I want to bet on MacKenzie Gore, the Padres are too pricey here. Austin Gomber is frigin good, one of the pricey chips the Cards had to give up for Arenado. If this game was a regular season deal, 1st 5 inning under gold here.   Alex Cobb is pitching for the Angels tomorrow. Hard to believe that he's 33 all ready. His early days with Tampa were awesome, then he got hurt and missed a year. Was never the same, went to the Orioles to further ruin his career, and got hurt again. Any hope with the Angels? The Angels pitching has been atrocious this spring. But that lineup is dangerous and I think they are going to be an over team, even in Anaheim. Their arms are that bad, especially in the bullpen. Bundy should be good again, but after that it's a crap shoot. Quintana could be sneaky good. His ERA and FIP didn't match last year, the nerds would expect a better year. The new park will be friendlier to him than Wrigley. What to expect from Ohtani? How much of a work load can he handle. He's throwing super hard this spring. Canning is still young, so there's optimism I would think. Heaney is 29, and I don't think any magic is going to happen for him. He is what he is, and that is average at best. Surprise team to watch out for possibly is the Brewers. Would it really shock anyone if they won the NL Central? The Cardinals should be excited about Arenado, but in reality, is he alone going to propel this offense out of the cellar? I say no. They could "maybe" get close to middle of the pack offensively. I'll believe it when I see it. Last year they had 650 total bases, dead last in the MLB. Compare that to 1001 of the #1 Braves. What's Arenado going to add? 25? I believe that I'm going to be right about Zach Davies as a Cub this year. Him and Hendricks are going to frustrate the hell out of batters in a state of high velo baseball. I want to root for Toronto this year. I like the players they have and should be fun to watch. How will NOT playing in Toronto affect them? Where the hell are they calling "home" anyway? It's a shame if this throws them off, cause I want them(and all the other AL East teams) to kick the Rays ass this year.

     

    the regression of Goldy won't be propped up by the signing of Arenado 

     

     
    BIGDTITLE
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    Posted: Mar. 9, 2021 - 10:31 PM ET #1385

    @barneybeans

     

    did you see the Dodgers call off the dogs in the 2nd I believe when they had 2 on 1 out?  that move might save my Reds wager.

     

    Maybe 

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    @barneybeans

     

    did you see the Dodgers call off the dogs in the 2nd I believe when they had 2 on 1 out?  that move might save my Reds wager.

     

    Maybe 

     
    KeyElement
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 7:09 AM ET #1386

    I confess to looking hard at two favorites this morning, Nationals and Blue Jays.

    Also two dogs, Cubs and Brewers.

    Your thoughts? confused

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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    I confess to looking hard at two favorites this morning, Nationals and Blue Jays.

    Also two dogs, Cubs and Brewers.

    Your thoughts? confused

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 7:22 AM ET #1387

    Detroit +120

    an_cheers

    Key, take all of Boyd's #'s from last year and throw em in the trash. He pitched through 2 injuries like a true IRONman. He's healthy now. Howard on the bump for Philly.

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    Detroit +120

    an_cheers

    Key, take all of Boyd's #'s from last year and throw em in the trash. He pitched through 2 injuries like a true IRONman. He's healthy now. Howard on the bump for Philly.

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 7:26 AM ET #1388

    Zack Britton of the Yankees is having elbow surgery. The injuries keep on parlaying for the evil empire

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    Zack Britton of the Yankees is having elbow surgery. The injuries keep on parlaying for the evil empire

     
    KeyElement
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 7:54 AM ET #1389

    @undermysac

     And they still have the annual mid summer vacation trips to the DL for Stanton and Judge to look forward to. My A.L. East secret team is looking better all the time.

    an_wink

    Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
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    @undermysac

     And they still have the annual mid summer vacation trips to the DL for Stanton and Judge to look forward to. My A.L. East secret team is looking better all the time.

    an_wink

     
    yaongingy
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 8:12 AM ET #1390

    According to Boone, Britton was diagnosed with COVID-19 within the last two months, which affected his preparation for Spring Training. Britton told The New York Post that he had COVID-19 in January and that it “hit me pretty good. I lost a good amount of weight.”

     

    Meh, he will out at least 1 month, they will know more after the surgery. It will be interesting to see how the bullpen will look, for the Yankees, given they've lost 2 big pieces in Kahnle and Ottavino, the latter being traded just to clear salary cap, so they can get under the luxury tax.

     

    As for the injuries, imo we will have to wait and see, as far as I know NY changed their physio team after that dreadful 2019 season, when they must've beaten the record for how many players their had on the IR list, so maybe it wont be another riddle injury season, 2020 was too short to make a difference.

     

    Judge said he will change his approach to training and games, in order to avoid injuries, but Stanton must be made of glass, I just don't understand how he can be so fragile. He is part of the wealthiest sport organization on the face of this planet and he can't play for 3 months straight, without having an injury. One would think he would have access to the best trainers and diet experts, unless he is careless and doesn't follow all the advice he is getting, either way, what a waste of money...

    Accomplished time-waster
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    According to Boone, Britton was diagnosed with COVID-19 within the last two months, which affected his preparation for Spring Training. Britton told The New York Post that he had COVID-19 in January and that it “hit me pretty good. I lost a good amount of weight.”

     

    Meh, he will out at least 1 month, they will know more after the surgery. It will be interesting to see how the bullpen will look, for the Yankees, given they've lost 2 big pieces in Kahnle and Ottavino, the latter being traded just to clear salary cap, so they can get under the luxury tax.

     

    As for the injuries, imo we will have to wait and see, as far as I know NY changed their physio team after that dreadful 2019 season, when they must've beaten the record for how many players their had on the IR list, so maybe it wont be another riddle injury season, 2020 was too short to make a difference.

     

    Judge said he will change his approach to training and games, in order to avoid injuries, but Stanton must be made of glass, I just don't understand how he can be so fragile. He is part of the wealthiest sport organization on the face of this planet and he can't play for 3 months straight, without having an injury. One would think he would have access to the best trainers and diet experts, unless he is careless and doesn't follow all the advice he is getting, either way, what a waste of money...

     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 9:05 AM ET #1391

    Quote Originally Posted by yaongingy:

    ...but Stanton must be made of glass, I just don't understand how he can be so fragile. He is part of the wealthiest sport organization on the face of this planet and he can't play for 3 months straight, without having an injury. One would think he would have access to the best trainers and diet experts, unless he is careless and doesn't follow all the advice he is getting, either way, what a waste of money...
    AND.... he's only playing baseball. 

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by yaongingy:

    ...but Stanton must be made of glass, I just don't understand how he can be so fragile. He is part of the wealthiest sport organization on the face of this planet and he can't play for 3 months straight, without having an injury. One would think he would have access to the best trainers and diet experts, unless he is careless and doesn't follow all the advice he is getting, either way, what a waste of money...
    AND.... he's only playing baseball. 

     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 9:06 AM ET #1392

    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Zack Britton of the Yankees is having elbow surgery. The injuries keep on parlaying for the evil empire
    Wait til injuries hit LAD. I'm talking to you Kershaw!

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

    Zack Britton of the Yankees is having elbow surgery. The injuries keep on parlaying for the evil empire
    Wait til injuries hit LAD. I'm talking to you Kershaw!

     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 9:07 AM ET #1393

    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    I confess to looking hard at two favorites this morning, Nationals and Blue Jays. Also two dogs, Cubs and Brewers. Your thoughts?
    Like MIL hitting well but so is OAK. Tough call.

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

    I confess to looking hard at two favorites this morning, Nationals and Blue Jays. Also two dogs, Cubs and Brewers. Your thoughts?
    Like MIL hitting well but so is OAK. Tough call.

     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 9:08 AM ET #1394

    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

    @barneybeans   did you see the Dodgers call off the dogs in the 2nd I believe when they had 2 on 1 out?  that move might save my Reds wager.   Maybe
    I didn't see that game, I should have.

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

    @barneybeans   did you see the Dodgers call off the dogs in the 2nd I believe when they had 2 on 1 out?  that move might save my Reds wager.   Maybe
    I didn't see that game, I should have.

     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 9:30 AM ET #1395

    3/10 

     

    TB -145 (DK) 3U

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    3/10 

     

    TB -145 (DK) 3U

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 10:15 AM ET #1396

    Cubs +100

    an_cheers

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    Cubs +100

    an_cheers

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 10:20 AM ET #1397

    Adding...

    Detroit +140 *50/.70

    Lineups are out, and only the names on Philly are better.

    an_cheers

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    Adding...

    Detroit +140 *50/.70

    Lineups are out, and only the names on Philly are better.

    an_cheers

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 10:23 AM ET #1398

    https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/weather.php

    peace_5

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    https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/weather.php

    peace_5

     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 10:32 AM ET #1399

    3/10 

     

    DET +136 (FD) 3U

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    3/10 

     

    DET +136 (FD) 3U

     
     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2021 - 10:36 AM ET #1400

    3/10 

     Screw the Yankees

     

    PIT +172 (FD) 3U

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    3/10 

     Screw the Yankees

     

    PIT +172 (FD) 3U

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