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    All Forums | Horse Racing

    TRIPLE CROWN-Where we at now & The Belmont

    123 Next Last»
    mikeyp1
    angrybarber
    pittsburghphil
    smurph
    jmw59
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    mikeyp1
    mikeyp1
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    Posted: May. 20, 2017 - 9:25 PM ET #1

    Wow...Thrilling and somewhat surprising Preakness results.

    Wayyyyyy to early to figure who can win The Belmont. I haven't watched the replay yet, but read the chart. The way Senior Investment--3rd place finisher-- (went from 9that the half pole to 3rd) and Lookin At Lee--4th place finisher--(10th at the half and 9th at the 3/4), perhaps we need to take a good look at them in the Belmont--assuming they run.

    Gunnevera finished 5th and looked much better than his Derby run. However, he came out of the 6 post and stayed in 6th place until the top of the stretch where he was third before getting passed to finish fifth.

    Multiplier also made a bit of a charge at the end to finish 6th.

    So what do you think????


    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Wow...Thrilling and somewhat surprising Preakness results.

    Wayyyyyy to early to figure who can win The Belmont. I haven't watched the replay yet, but read the chart. The way Senior Investment--3rd place finisher-- (went from 9that the half pole to 3rd) and Lookin At Lee--4th place finisher--(10th at the half and 9th at the 3/4), perhaps we need to take a good look at them in the Belmont--assuming they run.

    Gunnevera finished 5th and looked much better than his Derby run. However, he came out of the 6 post and stayed in 6th place until the top of the stretch where he was third before getting passed to finish fifth.

    Multiplier also made a bit of a charge at the end to finish 6th.

    So what do you think????


     
    angrybarber
    angrybarber
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    Posted: May. 21, 2017 - 7:22 AM ET #2

    Just read Senior Investment and Looking at Lee are definites for the Belmont. Classic Empire maybe, Gunnevera off till the summer. 

    I couldn't agree more with your post about ADs racing tactics, baffling. The track definitely changed a lot for the last 2 dirt races, the Sir Barton didn't even have fast fractions and No Mo Dough was flying late. I hope No Mo Dough runs, he looks good but he ran Derby Day and obviously yesterday so running in the Belmont may be a little out of the norm for Motion so if he does line up you'll know he's ready.

    It's sucks there's no Triple Crown bid i love the build up for it but that usually means a nice size Belmont field with good opportunities. Plus the rest of the Belmont card is outstanding that day and we may even get Songbird in the Ogden Phipps. 

    Reply
    Just read Senior Investment and Looking at Lee are definites for the Belmont. Classic Empire maybe, Gunnevera off till the summer. 

    I couldn't agree more with your post about ADs racing tactics, baffling. The track definitely changed a lot for the last 2 dirt races, the Sir Barton didn't even have fast fractions and No Mo Dough was flying late. I hope No Mo Dough runs, he looks good but he ran Derby Day and obviously yesterday so running in the Belmont may be a little out of the norm for Motion so if he does line up you'll know he's ready.

    It's sucks there's no Triple Crown bid i love the build up for it but that usually means a nice size Belmont field with good opportunities. Plus the rest of the Belmont card is outstanding that day and we may even get Songbird in the Ogden Phipps. 

     
    pittsburghphil
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    Posted: May. 21, 2017 - 8:24 AM ET #3

    conquest mo money,the ny bred, trainer  said  hes probably going...
    epicharis the japan horse i read  was  a  definite..
    gormley... would be making only his 5th start, read where shireffs was serious about sending him...

    do you guys think the new yorkers,the owners will pass on the belmont in there backyard.?   always dreaming .. unless hes not well..

    casse  going to go  ...   im thinking..  ..
    Reply
    conquest mo money,the ny bred, trainer  said  hes probably going...
    epicharis the japan horse i read  was  a  definite..
    gormley... would be making only his 5th start, read where shireffs was serious about sending him...

    do you guys think the new yorkers,the owners will pass on the belmont in there backyard.?   always dreaming .. unless hes not well..

    casse  going to go  ...   im thinking..  ..
     
    mikeyp1
    mikeyp1
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    Posted: May. 21, 2017 - 9:15 AM ET #4

    BARBER....glad you saw the same thing I did about AD's tactics. When he got out, I groaned when he jumped to the lead.

    PHIL.....I think if they put Always Dreaming in the Belmont, they're nuts. As all of us know, the Triple Crown series is grueling on a three-year old....like playing 4 Stanley Cup final games in 5 nights!

    Based on how he finished in the Preakness, no way I am putting AD in the Belmont. Problem is that the owner's egos are longer than the Belmont stretch. Before yesterday's race, they were already talking about the "big party" they were planning during the Belmont.

     If AD goes to the Belmont, they might kill the horse's chances for his path to the Breeders Cup, which will fetch more cache' for his future breeding rights than winning the Belmont.

    I think I am a bit surprised about Gunnevera not going to Belmont. On the other hand, while he was better in the Preakness, he hasn't been good. Another horse that could make some serious stakes money, if he gets right. 

    I have mixed feelings about Gormely going to the Belmont. However, at the 1-1/2 miles distance and an honest pace with few closers in the race, he might have a shot.

    I love the Belmont chatter, boys. It's my next favorite race after the Kentucky Derby.

    Reply

    BARBER....glad you saw the same thing I did about AD's tactics. When he got out, I groaned when he jumped to the lead.

    PHIL.....I think if they put Always Dreaming in the Belmont, they're nuts. As all of us know, the Triple Crown series is grueling on a three-year old....like playing 4 Stanley Cup final games in 5 nights!

    Based on how he finished in the Preakness, no way I am putting AD in the Belmont. Problem is that the owner's egos are longer than the Belmont stretch. Before yesterday's race, they were already talking about the "big party" they were planning during the Belmont.

     If AD goes to the Belmont, they might kill the horse's chances for his path to the Breeders Cup, which will fetch more cache' for his future breeding rights than winning the Belmont.

    I think I am a bit surprised about Gunnevera not going to Belmont. On the other hand, while he was better in the Preakness, he hasn't been good. Another horse that could make some serious stakes money, if he gets right. 

    I have mixed feelings about Gormely going to the Belmont. However, at the 1-1/2 miles distance and an honest pace with few closers in the race, he might have a shot.

    I love the Belmont chatter, boys. It's my next favorite race after the Kentucky Derby.

     
    pittsburghphil
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    Posted: May. 21, 2017 - 10:25 AM ET #5

    mikey..  belmont  stakes   i love,    pletcher  will have someone there, hope it isnt  always dreaming....chad browns loaded,  timeline  3-3  winner of peter pan, practical joke not exactly  dead  yet,and this cloud computing.. lets not get ahead  but  he loves saratoga...forget that stuff about   how strong the  3yr olds are. oh and we forgot  baffert who probably has some bullets for this summer..

    the derby and preakness  are over   but  for the real fans of the sport  some  really good racing  begins  now..  .stick around  mikey ..   
    Reply
    mikey..  belmont  stakes   i love,    pletcher  will have someone there, hope it isnt  always dreaming....chad browns loaded,  timeline  3-3  winner of peter pan, practical joke not exactly  dead  yet,and this cloud computing.. lets not get ahead  but  he loves saratoga...forget that stuff about   how strong the  3yr olds are. oh and we forgot  baffert who probably has some bullets for this summer..

    the derby and preakness  are over   but  for the real fans of the sport  some  really good racing  begins  now..  .stick around  mikey ..   
     
    mikeyp1
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    Posted: May. 21, 2017 - 12:29 PM ET #6

    Good points, Phil. There are 4 or 5 who might do Belmont that we've forgotten about.

    I like that Brown is taking a week to decide if he'll put Cloud in the Belmont. From Pletcher's comments this morning, he is totally baffled about AD's poor performance.

    I'm no Shug McGuaughy, but let's start with putting the horse out front to to run .23.1 with Classic Empire and Cloud Computing's noses to behind-crack!

    Reply

    Good points, Phil. There are 4 or 5 who might do Belmont that we've forgotten about.

    I like that Brown is taking a week to decide if he'll put Cloud in the Belmont. From Pletcher's comments this morning, he is totally baffled about AD's poor performance.

    I'm no Shug McGuaughy, but let's start with putting the horse out front to to run .23.1 with Classic Empire and Cloud Computing's noses to behind-crack!

     
    pittsburghphil
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    Posted: May. 21, 2017 - 12:44 PM ET #7

    right  mikey  no need to speed early,  probably  figured  classic empire wouldnt hang around and keep it...   but it was  him who got stung. 
    Reply
    right  mikey  no need to speed early,  probably  figured  classic empire wouldnt hang around and keep it...   but it was  him who got stung. 
     
    smurph
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    Posted: May. 21, 2017 - 12:55 PM ET #8

    Does anyone think Leparoux went to the hand ride a bit early, not thinking CC was closing that fast and then couldn't get CE back?
    Reply
    Does anyone think Leparoux went to the hand ride a bit early, not thinking CC was closing that fast and then couldn't get CE back?
     
    pittsburghphil
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    Posted: May. 21, 2017 - 1:09 PM ET #9

    i would agree, he thought he had it won....  casse said  he wanders when hes alone, he  mentioned a blinker change  next out...
    Reply
    i would agree, he thought he had it won....  casse said  he wanders when hes alone, he  mentioned a blinker change  next out...
     
    mikeyp1
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    Posted: May. 21, 2017 - 1:40 PM ET #10

    Yes...I think both of you guys are correct. I am a Leparoux fan, but on true closers, not those that need to stalk or stay near the lead. I think Pletch totally overestimated this race.
    Reply
    Yes...I think both of you guys are correct. I am a Leparoux fan, but on true closers, not those that need to stalk or stay near the lead. I think Pletch totally overestimated this race.
     
    angrybarber
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    Posted: May. 21, 2017 - 8:39 PM ET #11

    The Preakness reminded me a whole lot of the 2015 Travers where Frosted did the dirty work pressing American Pharoah and Keen Ice was there to pick up the pieces. Yesterday same thing CE did the dirty work on AD and Cloud Computing pick up the pieces... know what those races have in common? Javier Castellano was the one with his horse in perfect position to win, he is the best IMO. Yesterday i feel like he handicapped that race perfectly, kept his horse just close enough to give him a chance late.
    Reply
    The Preakness reminded me a whole lot of the 2015 Travers where Frosted did the dirty work pressing American Pharoah and Keen Ice was there to pick up the pieces. Yesterday same thing CE did the dirty work on AD and Cloud Computing pick up the pieces... know what those races have in common? Javier Castellano was the one with his horse in perfect position to win, he is the best IMO. Yesterday i feel like he handicapped that race perfectly, kept his horse just close enough to give him a chance late.
     
    mikeyp1
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    Posted: May. 21, 2017 - 10:48 PM ET #12

    Barber.....Yes. Castellano is the Man right now..

    A question for the forum.....who is the jockey best suited for a horse that will run in the BELMONT. I might argue LANERIE on Lookin at Lee......

    Reply

    Barber.....Yes. Castellano is the Man right now..

    A question for the forum.....who is the jockey best suited for a horse that will run in the BELMONT. I might argue LANERIE on Lookin at Lee......

     
    jmw59
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    Posted: May. 22, 2017 - 11:02 AM ET #13

    hell of a race at the preakness
    Reply
    hell of a race at the preakness
     
    pittsburghphil
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    Posted: May. 22, 2017 - 4:17 PM ET #14

    possibles.. mentioned   for  the belmont..  this list will change for sure....

    hollywood handsome, dallas stewart,  
    multiplier,  going to kty first...,trainer  maybe needs to convince owners?
    lookin at lee..  looks like a definite
    senior investment, another that seems  for sure
    classic empire, casse  likes this, hes going
    cloud computing, im going to  guess  yes
    gormley.. might be  a pace factor if he comes
    epicharis, i think hes a yes
    irap,  oh no  o neill  again  maybe  some pace
    conquest mo money, went to  fairhill to train, running in east somewhere...
    tapwrit, pletcher?
    Reply
    possibles.. mentioned   for  the belmont..  this list will change for sure....

    hollywood handsome, dallas stewart,  
    multiplier,  going to kty first...,trainer  maybe needs to convince owners?
    lookin at lee..  looks like a definite
    senior investment, another that seems  for sure
    classic empire, casse  likes this, hes going
    cloud computing, im going to  guess  yes
    gormley.. might be  a pace factor if he comes
    epicharis, i think hes a yes
    irap,  oh no  o neill  again  maybe  some pace
    conquest mo money, went to  fairhill to train, running in east somewhere...
    tapwrit, pletcher?
     
    mikeyp1
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    Posted: May. 22, 2017 - 4:57 PM ET #15

    PHILLY....just got a drf Tweet. Good article on the possibilities. online at drf.com. Here is their list of possible:


    additional reporting by David Grening

    POSSIBLE BELMONT STAKES CONTENDERS
    HORSETRAINERJOCKEYLAST RACE/FINISH
    Classic Empire  Mark Casse Julien Leparoux Preakness, 2nd
    Conquest Mo Money Miguel Hernandez undecided Preakness, 7th
    Epicharis Kiyoshi Hagiwara Christophe Lemaire UAE Derby, 2nd
    Gormley John Shirreffs Victor Espinoza Ky. Derby, 9th
    Irap Doug O’Neill Mario Gutierrez Ky. Derby, 18th
    J Boys Echo Dale Romans undecided Ky. Derby, 15th
    Lookin At Lee Steve Asmussen undecided Preakness, 4th
    Meantime Brian Lynch undecided Peter Pan, 2nd
    Multiplier Brendan Walsh undecided Preakness, 6th
    Patch Todd Pletcher undecided Ky. Derby, 14th
    Senior Investment Kenny McPeek Channing Hill Preakness, 3rd
    Tapwrit Todd Pletcher Jose Ortiz Ky. Derby, 6th
    Twisted Tom Chad Brown undecided Tesio, 1st



    Reply

    PHILLY....just got a drf Tweet. Good article on the possibilities. online at drf.com. Here is their list of possible:


    additional reporting by David Grening

    POSSIBLE BELMONT STAKES CONTENDERS
    HORSETRAINERJOCKEYLAST RACE/FINISH
    Classic Empire  Mark Casse Julien Leparoux Preakness, 2nd
    Conquest Mo Money Miguel Hernandez undecided Preakness, 7th
    Epicharis Kiyoshi Hagiwara Christophe Lemaire UAE Derby, 2nd
    Gormley John Shirreffs Victor Espinoza Ky. Derby, 9th
    Irap Doug O’Neill Mario Gutierrez Ky. Derby, 18th
    J Boys Echo Dale Romans undecided Ky. Derby, 15th
    Lookin At Lee Steve Asmussen undecided Preakness, 4th
    Meantime Brian Lynch undecided Peter Pan, 2nd
    Multiplier Brendan Walsh undecided Preakness, 6th
    Patch Todd Pletcher undecided Ky. Derby, 14th
    Senior Investment Kenny McPeek Channing Hill Preakness, 3rd
    Tapwrit Todd Pletcher Jose Ortiz Ky. Derby, 6th
    Twisted Tom Chad Brown undecided Tesio, 1st



     
    mikeyp1
    mikeyp1
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    Posted: May. 25, 2017 - 11:50 AM ET #16

    Irish War Cry connections making noise like the boy might enter......


    .From today's Paulick Report:

    https://www.paulickreport.com/news/triple-crown/belmont-stakes-not-completely-picture-irish-war-cry/





    Reply

    Irish War Cry connections making noise like the boy might enter......


    .From today's Paulick Report:

    https://www.paulickreport.com/news/triple-crown/belmont-stakes-not-completely-picture-irish-war-cry/





     
    mikeyp1
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    Posted: May. 27, 2017 - 10:26 AM ET #17

    IRAD Ortiz named to ride Lookin at Lee in the Belmont. He's a great jock for the course, but I am disappointed that Lanerie will not ride.
    Reply
    IRAD Ortiz named to ride Lookin at Lee in the Belmont. He's a great jock for the course, but I am disappointed that Lanerie will not ride.
     
    angrybarber
    angrybarber
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    Posted: May. 28, 2017 - 9:37 AM ET #18

    Lanerie did absolutely nothing to justify losing the mount. Assmussen grasping at straws, horse is a complete toss for me my early leans are Tapwrit and Meantime
    Reply
    Lanerie did absolutely nothing to justify losing the mount. Assmussen grasping at straws, horse is a complete toss for me my early leans are Tapwrit and Meantime
     
    angrybarber
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    Posted: May. 28, 2017 - 9:45 AM ET #19

    For LAL and CE this will be 4 races in 8 weeks, hard to imagine them being ready for a top effort especially at 12 Furlongs. CE has the class to hang around but I don't think he wins. I like the way Tapwrit finished up the Derby after a rough start, he's fresh and when Pletcher points horses to the Belmont they usually fire.
    Reply
    For LAL and CE this will be 4 races in 8 weeks, hard to imagine them being ready for a top effort especially at 12 Furlongs. CE has the class to hang around but I don't think he wins. I like the way Tapwrit finished up the Derby after a rough start, he's fresh and when Pletcher points horses to the Belmont they usually fire.
     
    Jr315
    Jr315
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    Posted: May. 28, 2017 - 11:53 AM ET #20

    Lookin At Lee seems like a classic plodder to me.  He just clunks along and picks up the minor checks.

    If I use him it will be underneath somewhere.

    Reply

    Lookin At Lee seems like a classic plodder to me.  He just clunks along and picks up the minor checks.

    If I use him it will be underneath somewhere.

     
    angrybarber
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    Posted: May. 28, 2017 - 12:08 PM ET #21

    Mike Smith has the mount on Meantime, I absolutely love this!
    Reply
    Mike Smith has the mount on Meantime, I absolutely love this!
     
    mikeyp1
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    Posted: May. 29, 2017 - 6:33 PM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by Jr315:

    Lookin At Lee seems like a classic plodder to me.  He just clunks along and picks up the minor checks.

    If I use him it will be underneath somewhere.

    I think I have this stat correct.....Lee is 11/2-3-2 with $943,000 in purse money....not exactly "minor award" status. His CD is .3.40 and DI is .77....not "plodder" numbers.

    He has a great shot to win the Belmont. As much as like Lanerie, after thinking about it, the switch to Irad at Elmont makes big sense.



    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Jr315:

    Lookin At Lee seems like a classic plodder to me.  He just clunks along and picks up the minor checks.

    If I use him it will be underneath somewhere.

    I think I have this stat correct.....Lee is 11/2-3-2 with $943,000 in purse money....not exactly "minor award" status. His CD is .3.40 and DI is .77....not "plodder" numbers.

    He has a great shot to win the Belmont. As much as like Lanerie, after thinking about it, the switch to Irad at Elmont makes big sense.



     
    mikeyp1
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    Posted: May. 29, 2017 - 6:42 PM ET #23

    CLOUD COMPUTING officially out of The Belmont
    Reply
    CLOUD COMPUTING officially out of The Belmont
     
    mikeyp1
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    Posted: May. 29, 2017 - 6:44 PM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by angrybarber:

    Mike Smith has the mount on Meantime, I absolutely love this!

    Meantime's work the other day was killer.....read Mike Welsh's story about it in drf.com.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by angrybarber:

    Mike Smith has the mount on Meantime, I absolutely love this!

    Meantime's work the other day was killer.....read Mike Welsh's story about it in drf.com.

     
     
    vetdrm
    vetdrm
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    Posted: May. 29, 2017 - 6:46 PM ET #25

    Thanks Mikey
    Reply
    Thanks Mikey
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