Reverse Late line movement

your trying to compare apples to oranges.
nobodys talking about picking spots.
I said you cant just play all the reverse line moves, because you will lose money and thats a fact.

And i agreed with you about that, yes, you will lose if you bet every single rlm all season. Now,.do you think you can win by picking your games selectively all year?

Sorry, meant to say, do you think you can win by picking your games selectively using rlm? If you follow it closely and know what to look for and choosing your games, do you think you can make a profit using this system or technique?

I got it and understood it the first time, and my reaction is still the same:

I'm guessing that a reverse line move is when there is a sharp turn in the wagering. LOL LOL

Do the right thing and write a check to a charity instead.

 

Wagering into reverse moves and percentages is akin to leaving the windows open in January.

This thread is like religion or politics, just makes me laugh.  

I will say it again, you keep saying you understand what am saying but you dont and thats because you keep friggin talking about reverse line moves and the public betting.
Am not talking about reverse line moves one bit and am not talking about the guy making parlays out.
Am talking about the bettors who pay for line services and follow line moves. The kind of guys who pay for live line services like don best, etc etc which obviously you cant seem to grasp. The book might be taking in to much favorite money and instead of raising the line and having the line watchers put even more money on the favorite, they actually lower the line and all thiose line watchers think its sharp money moving the line, so they jump on the dog, which then spreads to the internet messageboards and guys start talking about sharp money hitting the game and all tha blah blah blah talk, which in turn accomplishes what the book wanted some action bet on the dog to help balance out their favorite money.
Now i dont give a rats ass if you believe this or not and i also dont care what a few others here think, i have been doing this way to many years and have wrote for some big shops on the east coast in my younger years, so am pretty sure i know what am talking about.

If you think or believe everytime a book moves a line, its because they took money on that side, you my friend are a complete dumbass and should learn about line reading before you make another bet.

Alot also has to do with who actually has money on the game. You might have a whale who has 50k on a game, but a real sharp bettor who only has 2k on thew game.  They might have so much respect for that 2k bettor, that they will actually move the line the way the 2k bettor bet, then move it the way the dumbass whale bet, who just happens to have alot of money to lose.

But hey, you keep doing whatever your doing if its winning, good luck to you

like i said about the packers-vikes game
If the books would have kept raising the line on the packer game, they would have been buried with even more packer money, so they had to create an illusion that sharps were betting the vikes. Heres a little stat you probably didnt even know,  85- 90 percent of all nfl games the spread dont matter at all.
last week the spread only mattered in 4 games and the week before it mattered in zero games.
So a person would really have to be a dumb ass using those percentages to think the vikes were gonna somehow beat the packers outright, especially not having a secondary that night which could match up with packers recievers. 
anybody that bets an nfl dog and hopes to win with just the spread is a complete dumbass and should also quit betting. If you dont think your dog can win outright, then your really better off just passing on the game due to the fact that 85- 90 percent of games, the line dont matter. Its tough to try and buck stats like that

Nothing there that my 15 year old shouldn't know. In fact you contradict yourself throughout. Which way do you want it? Take a side and stick up for that side, that's okay. Most people over think what the linemakers are trying to do. "They" should have zero bearing on what "you" do. There is either value or not and you either add into the value or you sell it off.

If one were to have the game capped at a certain number, i.e. Detroit +4 or Tulsa Pick, and believed the line would be driven up, one would be dumb to take a lesser number.  Doesn't mean the closing number didn't still have some value to them, just now a little less.

Try to be a little less condescending in your posts.  You come off as a real dick.

Sparky the tout, you keep doing whatever your doing if it wins for you.

also i never said books dont try to balance their books, they just dont do it on all the games. Some games they actually take a stance on.

Lastly i know what am talking about and i dont give a flying fuck if you believe what i say or not, it doesnt make one bit of difference in my life.
Next time i see a game where i believe the books are making up a line move for no reason, i will post in this thread before the game starts.

oh and another thing sparky, what happened to your failed tout venture, sharkys den.com?  couldnt pick any winners

 

 

I take that as a compliment as in......damn that asshole is right again.

 

See...this is what usually happens when someone can't sell their opinion....they start to attack.

am not trying to sell my opinion and i dont care if nobody believes it, i just hate all these failed touts who think they know everything, yet they couldnt make a dime selling their picks

and another thing sparky about balancing bets. Books have their own opinions on games and sometimes they take sides and if they are getting more money on the side they also like, they for sure will try to balance their books with money on the other side.

In fact Spiro from the greek is famous for taking sides on games and thats a fact

 

How do you know he failed....a great tout will open up 50 shops in a career and take peoples money and never have a winning record. He could be on number 14 by now and you wouldn't even know it.

 

By the way Spiro does it for a living with a huge infrastructure at his disposal......you don't.

what an asshole you are, i never once said i was a big shot like spiro and all my plays win, because if i was winning and had gobs of gambling money i certainly wouldnt be spending my time on a gambling website.

My point about spiro who is one of the biggest books in the world, does in fact take sides at his book and i was just trying to show that books dont always try to just balance their books, they like to gamble also.
Geez ask your local if he likes to bet games, am sure he bets besides just booking.
Really some of you guys on this site, really dont know how to read.

good luck to you, hope all your bets are winning ones

Show me a local who gambles on games and I will show you a local who struggles.

good luck guys with your plays, hope there all winners.

Like i said before it doesnt matter if you guys dont believe what i say, trust me am not gonna lose 1 minute of sleep over it.

There was a few people in this thread who agreed with what i said and like with everything in life you arent always gonna get everybody to agree with one side.