oak...you got me leaning on ducks for the half...but still not sure of anything else. i have oregon putting up points...but arizona's passing scares me. this might be one of them shoutouts people talk about. but after last night...what the hell do i know!!!
oregon at the half...over for the game!!! good luck all!!
Glad that you finally put up an avatar
One of my weekend picks will be UCONN my friend. looking for a bounce back game for them this weekend.
Good luck this week my friend
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Quote Originally Posted by lefty1209:
oak...you got me leaning on ducks for the half...but still not sure of anything else. i have oregon putting up points...but arizona's passing scares me. this might be one of them shoutouts people talk about. but after last night...what the hell do i know!!!
oregon at the half...over for the game!!! good luck all!!
Glad that you finally put up an avatar
One of my weekend picks will be UCONN my friend. looking for a bounce back game for them this weekend.
I know this is my first post on here...but ive been following along for a while now...and thoguht i would post something finally...
gotta go ORE big...they love playing on the road, and theyve shown it...avg around 50 pts/g on the road and they like to take defense with them if you know what i mean letting an avg of 22/g all year...letting MICHIGAN only score 7 points, while AZ is losing to teams like stanford and NM State, and when they win (4/10 times) they have barely beaten their opponents lately...ORE is the MUCH better team here and maybe in my mind the toughest in the nation...expect a blowout with great defense, ive got ORE-11 and the under(66)...Vegas might be thinking that this game is gonna be closer than everyone thinks, but dont believe that for a second...theyve been f%#*ed up all year...
ORE - 40-45
AZ - 17-20
oh yea, Dennis' knee might be a lil weak, but tonights the game he's showing the country that ORE is #1 in the nation...
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I know this is my first post on here...but ive been following along for a while now...and thoguht i would post something finally...
gotta go ORE big...they love playing on the road, and theyve shown it...avg around 50 pts/g on the road and they like to take defense with them if you know what i mean letting an avg of 22/g all year...letting MICHIGAN only score 7 points, while AZ is losing to teams like stanford and NM State, and when they win (4/10 times) they have barely beaten their opponents lately...ORE is the MUCH better team here and maybe in my mind the toughest in the nation...expect a blowout with great defense, ive got ORE-11 and the under(66)...Vegas might be thinking that this game is gonna be closer than everyone thinks, but dont believe that for a second...theyve been f%#*ed up all year...
ORE - 40-45
AZ - 17-20
oh yea, Dennis' knee might be a lil weak, but tonights the game he's showing the country that ORE is #1 in the nation...
Looking for a big game to bet? Take a look at WVA @ Cinn. Last time WVA was only a 6 1/2 point favor they got trounced early by So. Fla and played catch up the rest of the game. I have struggled on Thurs nite games all year, so going on Big D's advise. Org at the half. The only thing is Oregon has every thing riding on a win. They cannot get to caught up in revenge so much that it takes focus from just surviving the number 2 spot. Power ratings show Oregon -8 due to home field by Arizona. I think you can throw records out the window tonite. Arizona is looking to overthrow Oregon much like georgia did to auburn last weekend who also was looking for revenge and got trounced instead. If they get a lead I think they will get a bit conservative to preserve a win in a hostile enviroment. Arizona is very dangerous. Org 35 Arz 28 in a close one. Vegas is pounding this one as it is in their back yard.
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Looking for a big game to bet? Take a look at WVA @ Cinn. Last time WVA was only a 6 1/2 point favor they got trounced early by So. Fla and played catch up the rest of the game. I have struggled on Thurs nite games all year, so going on Big D's advise. Org at the half. The only thing is Oregon has every thing riding on a win. They cannot get to caught up in revenge so much that it takes focus from just surviving the number 2 spot. Power ratings show Oregon -8 due to home field by Arizona. I think you can throw records out the window tonite. Arizona is looking to overthrow Oregon much like georgia did to auburn last weekend who also was looking for revenge and got trounced instead. If they get a lead I think they will get a bit conservative to preserve a win in a hostile enviroment. Arizona is very dangerous. Org 35 Arz 28 in a close one. Vegas is pounding this one as it is in their back yard.
From the world of stating the obvious, Oregon is the clearly better team, here. That said, Arizona has some intangibles going for them.
#1) Oregon NEEDS this game to preserve their hopes of playing in the BCS Championship Game. In as much as we always seem to think this makes teams play harder, they also tend to play tighter (witness Miami-OH and their interception machine sophomore QB last night). Early in the game, on National TV, on the road, I think Oregon could come out tight as a drum, and be inside their own heads.
#2) Arizona couldn't score in a whorehouse with a $100 bill early in the season. Lately, the new Sonny Dykes led spread offense has been putting up points. As Tuitama and the rest of the Wildcats get more comfortable with this offense, it is reasonable to think they and it will continue to improve, especially against a defense that gives up the yardage Oregon does.
#3) Since Arizona runs the spread, they have some practice DEFENDING the spread. Look, I'm not saying that AZ will shut down Oregon, I'm just suggesting that Arizona shouldn't think Oregon has discovered fire when they see the spread like Michigan did. I know Oregon's version of the spread is different than Zona's (specifically, Oregon can run out of it, and Dennis Dixon brings a dimension Tuitama doesn't), I'm just saying that Arizona should have more than a passing familiarity with how to defend it.
I know that intangibles and 4 quarters is change for a dollar. I think these factor have something to do with why the line is dropping, and why AZ is a good play in this spot.
GLTA.
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From the world of stating the obvious, Oregon is the clearly better team, here. That said, Arizona has some intangibles going for them.
#1) Oregon NEEDS this game to preserve their hopes of playing in the BCS Championship Game. In as much as we always seem to think this makes teams play harder, they also tend to play tighter (witness Miami-OH and their interception machine sophomore QB last night). Early in the game, on National TV, on the road, I think Oregon could come out tight as a drum, and be inside their own heads.
#2) Arizona couldn't score in a whorehouse with a $100 bill early in the season. Lately, the new Sonny Dykes led spread offense has been putting up points. As Tuitama and the rest of the Wildcats get more comfortable with this offense, it is reasonable to think they and it will continue to improve, especially against a defense that gives up the yardage Oregon does.
#3) Since Arizona runs the spread, they have some practice DEFENDING the spread. Look, I'm not saying that AZ will shut down Oregon, I'm just suggesting that Arizona shouldn't think Oregon has discovered fire when they see the spread like Michigan did. I know Oregon's version of the spread is different than Zona's (specifically, Oregon can run out of it, and Dennis Dixon brings a dimension Tuitama doesn't), I'm just saying that Arizona should have more than a passing familiarity with how to defend it.
I know that intangibles and 4 quarters is change for a dollar. I think these factor have something to do with why the line is dropping, and why AZ is a good play in this spot.
Anyone know if Dixon is confirmed to start as QB? 20 TD/ 3 INT, that's a HUGE difference if he doesn't start healthy, says he "expects to be available in Thursday's game", that doesn't sound like starter if he is. I'd lean towards under if he doesn't start.
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Anyone know if Dixon is confirmed to start as QB? 20 TD/ 3 INT, that's a HUGE difference if he doesn't start healthy, says he "expects to be available in Thursday's game", that doesn't sound like starter if he is. I'd lean towards under if he doesn't start.
Tonight: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. East wind between 15 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
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Tonight: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. East wind between 15 and 18 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Nice first post, Stan9192. (Does that mean you're a Stanford grad? If so, can you 'splain to me how Stanford beat AZ as a 2 TD dog?) Welcome aboard and hope you post more often.
Oh yeah, my local book will sell me a bag of 8 quarters for a two-dollar bill. He leaves out the intangibles though.
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Nice first post, Stan9192. (Does that mean you're a Stanford grad? If so, can you 'splain to me how Stanford beat AZ as a 2 TD dog?) Welcome aboard and hope you post more often.
Oh yeah, my local book will sell me a bag of 8 quarters for a two-dollar bill. He leaves out the intangibles though.
Not trying to stear anyone here, I know Oregon will be on TV and all and will be fun to watch, but with an injury like Oregon's QB has with a strained foot (Colt Brennan on TV after leg injury as 19 point favorite anyone?), maybe people should focus on the other game of Arkansas State (1 questionable injury and NOTHING else) against North Texas (probably THE worst road traveling college team). I'm leaning big on Arkansas state over any pic on this game, GL to anyone on Oregon or a Total here.
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Not trying to stear anyone here, I know Oregon will be on TV and all and will be fun to watch, but with an injury like Oregon's QB has with a strained foot (Colt Brennan on TV after leg injury as 19 point favorite anyone?), maybe people should focus on the other game of Arkansas State (1 questionable injury and NOTHING else) against North Texas (probably THE worst road traveling college team). I'm leaning big on Arkansas state over any pic on this game, GL to anyone on Oregon or a Total here.
Why do all of the different websites have different percentages? Because they or just showing the numbers by people that pick on THEIR site. And that doesn't even mean that those people have placed a dime on the game. If even 60% of ACTUAL DOLLARS bet on a game come in on one side the line moves, much less 90% as some have said in this thread. Vegas sportsbooks do not release information on how much is bet on what side, they just don't. Web sites do release the "picks" people make., again, this doesn't mean that they are actually risking as much as a dime of real money.
That said, who cares anyways, do research and make bets on your info and feelings not someone elses.
IGNORE what others say about a game,, UNLESS it is Bigdaddyphd telling you to bet under on tuesday.
Thanks for that trend bro
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Why do all of the different websites have different percentages? Because they or just showing the numbers by people that pick on THEIR site. And that doesn't even mean that those people have placed a dime on the game. If even 60% of ACTUAL DOLLARS bet on a game come in on one side the line moves, much less 90% as some have said in this thread. Vegas sportsbooks do not release information on how much is bet on what side, they just don't. Web sites do release the "picks" people make., again, this doesn't mean that they are actually risking as much as a dime of real money.
That said, who cares anyways, do research and make bets on your info and feelings not someone elses.
IGNORE what others say about a game,, UNLESS it is Bigdaddyphd telling you to bet under on tuesday.
Oregon vs. Arizona +10.5 (3 units) - well when this line opened at -13 I was leaning heavy on Oregon, but then I did some research and read some things that turned me around. Apparently Vegas is also looking for more Ducks action cause of the line change. Zona will be pumped for this game, its on national tv and they are playing a highly touted Oregon team. Dixon is the current Heisman favorite, but will the #2 jinx happen again this week? The Wildcats are a tough team on both sides of the ball and I think they keep this one close with skill and emotion. Keep in mind Dixon is also a little banged up.
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Oregon vs. Arizona +10.5 (3 units) - well when this line opened at -13 I was leaning heavy on Oregon, but then I did some research and read some things that turned me around. Apparently Vegas is also looking for more Ducks action cause of the line change. Zona will be pumped for this game, its on national tv and they are playing a highly touted Oregon team. Dixon is the current Heisman favorite, but will the #2 jinx happen again this week? The Wildcats are a tough team on both sides of the ball and I think they keep this one close with skill and emotion. Keep in mind Dixon is also a little banged up.
I have been thinking over all week Oregon dynamic offense and Zona will wing it around against a Oregon D that can come up with big plays both good and bad. Any thoughts??
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I have been thinking over all week Oregon dynamic offense and Zona will wing it around against a Oregon D that can come up with big plays both good and bad. Any thoughts??
5 out of the last six matchings between these two teams...the Visitor has won...by atleast a touchdown...two years ago, Oregon only beat them by a touchdown @ ARI...but this years team is WAAAAY better...dont be stupid and take ORE ...
ps. these teams havent scored a combined 59 points in the last 6 years during this matchup...somethin to think about...
also...ORE - 8-1 ATS...when a teams hot...theyre hot...gotta stick with them...
push it hard - ORE and under parlay
ORE - 40-45
ARI - 17-20
DUCKS DEFENSE!
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people...
5 out of the last six matchings between these two teams...the Visitor has won...by atleast a touchdown...two years ago, Oregon only beat them by a touchdown @ ARI...but this years team is WAAAAY better...dont be stupid and take ORE ...
ps. these teams havent scored a combined 59 points in the last 6 years during this matchup...somethin to think about...
also...ORE - 8-1 ATS...when a teams hot...theyre hot...gotta stick with them...
Heard rumor on ESPN that Dixon has sore knees if this is true could limit his value as a runner. Anyone got any info on this?
There's lots of news on this -- he left the game last week with a knee sprain. Claims he is 100% ok, but seems to me it must be at least slightly less than 100%. The additional time off (no game last Sat) helps him out here. I expect he'll be ok, but maybe he pitches a few more times instead of running it himself.
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Quote Originally Posted by Teabaggins:
Heard rumor on ESPN that Dixon has sore knees if this is true could limit his value as a runner. Anyone got any info on this?
There's lots of news on this -- he left the game last week with a knee sprain. Claims he is 100% ok, but seems to me it must be at least slightly less than 100%. The additional time off (no game last Sat) helps him out here. I expect he'll be ok, but maybe he pitches a few more times instead of running it himself.
Oregon has a lot to play for here, but their Running Qb is lame. I lean towards Oregon & their retina damaging uni's, but not by much. Only a min.wager for me. In fact, I could listen to a Zona teaser argument here as well.
bigeiii
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Oregon has a lot to play for here, but their Running Qb is lame. I lean towards Oregon & their retina damaging uni's, but not by much. Only a min.wager for me. In fact, I could listen to a Zona teaser argument here as well.
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