I love the SEC and study it's teams more than the rest of the conferences combined and I'm a bit concerned about the early flurry of coaches who will be leaving their teams before their "Bowl Games". Tenessee,LSU,and Georgia will all be without multiple coaches and Florida will be without DC Charlie Strong (although Cincy will be without HC Brian Kelly).South Carolina's DC Ellis Johnson and 'Bama DC Kirby Smart are being coveted by UGA to replace their departed DC Willie Martinez and 'Bama's LB coach is being courted by FSU to replace their retiring DC Mickey Andrews.
Coaching vacancies aren't always a roadblock (Tennessee won the BCS championship even after OC David Cutcliffe left to coach Ole Miss with RB coach Randy Sanders calling the plays in the Fiesta Bowl),but I always like to consider them as part of my capping strategy. 
I agree with everything you say Warblade, and have said as much in another post.
I have been one of the biggest critics of Les Miles from day one, and have been often criticized on this board over the years for because of it. I have consistently called him the "village idiot," and he has sure lived up to my expectations this season. But as much as I don't like Lesie, he has performed phenominally in all of his bowl games as head coach of LSU. I think that is partially due to the fact he under performs during the course of the regular season, and ends up playing an overmatched foe in the bowl game. Nevertheless, I LOVE LSU getting points here.
Of course I also agree with your assessment of the Florida/Cincy matchup. That is probably the biggest mismatch of the bowl season IMHO.
I will also agree to hold all of you anti-SEC bets for whatever amount you want to bet (except Tennessee which is a sinking ship at this point).
Good luck with your strategy. The game everybody keeps bringing up is the Alabama Utah game. Alabama lost to Florida last year in the SEC Championship, a game that would have put them in the Nat'l Championship. Does everyone really think Bama had their whole heart into playing Utah after missing out on a chance to play in the Nat'l Championship?
Good luck with your strategy. The game everybody keeps bringing up is the Alabama Utah game. Alabama lost to Florida last year in the SEC Championship, a game that would have put them in the Nat'l Championship. Does everyone really think Bama had their whole heart into playing Utah after missing out on a chance to play in the Nat'l Championship?
There were many intagible working against Bama last year, but despite Bama's loss, the SEC was still 6 & 2 ATS. On it's face, the Florida/Cincy bears many of the same characteristics of the Bama/Utah game from last season.
Florida lost the SECCG and accordingly got matched up with an undefeated team from an inferior conference, and they are 10 point favorites. But because all of the Kelly to Notre Dame hullabaloo, and this being Tebow's misty ride into the sunset, I would say the intagibles clearly favor the Gators at this point.
I have never said ALL SEC teams would cover, but I do believe that at least 7 or 8 will. Could there be another Bama/Utah type of a game again this season? Sure there can. But even if there is one, I'm confident the SEC will again dominate this bowl season.
Right now, with all the drama that's going on in Knoxville, the only SEC team I really don't like is Tennessee.
These are the SEC plays that I will definitely be on.
Kentucky +7.5 (Best Bet)
Georgia -7
LSU +2.5
Florida -11.5 (Best Bet)
South Carolina -4.5
Ole Miss -3
Arkansas -7.5
Bama -4.5 (Best Bet)
I initially said I would play on any SEC team getting points, but due to considerable distractions in Knoxville, I definitely won't be playing Tennessee. The Vols appear to be a sinking ship at this point. See my Tennessee link for more info:
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=100612028
I'm still mulling a play on Auburn, but right now I'm inclined to lay off. If this thing drops below 7, I may bite.
I'm hyping winners my friend.
I will not bet Bama until the day of the game because I don't want to tie up that much money between now and then. And while I'm all for getting the best line available, anything less than 7 in this game is a gift. The game won't be close.
Oh really? LOL....you too eh?
I'm hyping winners my friend.
I will not bet Bama until the day of the game because I don't want to tie up that much money between now and then. And while I'm all for getting the best line available, anything less than 7 in this game is a gift. The game won't be close.
You spend too much time listening to talk radio.
I played Boston College today at +9 based on the following Joe McKnight thread, but forgot to post it earlier. The score is 24-13 right now so it may be a loser anyhow.
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