Week 9 Money

been a lot of places, and held lsu season tickets for decades. I absolutely loved my first trip to Neyland last year. I would haunt that place if I lived closer. 

If you like RLM (and I really like RLM), you may be metaphysically required to bet Fresno blind this week. Put a little on the ML too. Do I know why? No. That’s often how it is with RLM games.  Of course, Fresno lost to San Diego State, who the Beavs beat by 50, so there is that 

Arkansas would kill for him.........

@TontonMacoute26

 I watched whole Indiana Northwestern game!  Indiana controlled 1st half until Turbo Richard got hurt!  IU also missed a couple of easy scoring opportunities in 1st half.  Indiana not the same as last year!  Their offense has taken a step back!!  I Also like Ducks!  It's their Homecoming too!

I agree about Oregon. There's also the report of multiple Ducks players being involved in a street racing incident after the Nebraska win. Not sure what's fact or fiction, but their best WR was cited for DUI, which was later dropped, and their starting TE was cited for excessive speeding on that same night. Last I heard the cops were still investigating. One thing I noticed when I was at Autzen for the Boise St. game is that they lacked discipline. They committed ten penalties in that game, including two for unsportsmanlike conduct and several false starts. Now we add in the rumor about Lanning being on the hot seat and Dante Moore not coming back this season. The loss to Illinois was inexplicable and shows me a team that lacks focus. The Ducks have covered the spread just ONE TIME this season, and that was at USC. I had the Trojans in that game, and after they tied the game at 27 the Ducks went three and out, but were bailed out by a weak roughing the passer penalty, which completely flipped the momentum in that game. Oregon strikes me as a team in disarray, much like Penn St. was last season before James Franklin was canned. Maybe they'll fire up on Homecoming against Northwestern but I'm not betting on it. Sorry for the long essay. 

Ya, unfortunately, they are beginning to behave like USC does ...so fickle from one week to the next in style

this weeks he’s on 

Virginia +12.5

Iowa St +8.5 

Fresno St +5.5 

I can’t imagine a world where I bet with line movement like that, that’s just me brother 

@TontonMacoute26

 I’ll also add his biggest bet this entire year was Texas A&M +3.5 @ Mizzou, he called me & said the line moved toward Ags & Vegas knew, I tried telling him the Aggies werent going to win or cover without a miracle, he hit send anyway 

the RLM hasn’t been kind to him at all over the years, tough to watch 

he’s seen me beat the books for 30 years with “too many public” bets & he still doesn’t bet with me 

He’s a great human but he’s so mind fkd from gambling that he can’t make himself bet what he actually likes 

neyland is loud 

@WahooS

 He’s right in theory, just overlooks the fact that the internet age was 20 years ago.

as a result Vegas has balanced to accommodate consenus backers.

right theory, wrong time.

RLM and consensus betting still applicable in certain spots. Haven’t ran all the numbers but when i ran for MLB it was only in a specific odds bracket that consensus fading worked. 

I think if you were a master of human psychology could implement  RLM knowledge more effectively and boost that 40% win rate…

@WahooS

do you have any thought for 2 CFB games tonite sir ?

don’t bet them 

@kidd22

 One of our forum members once said 

“if you wouldn’t bet the game on a Saturday then why are you betting it on a weekday?”

that is so very true & always stuck with me

I see threads go up every single weekday during these trash games about bad players & stupid decisions by coaches, it never fails, why would anyone bet these games unless you’re just an action junkie?

im trying to beat the books, not have action

just my opinion 

@WahooS

 haha

OMG! You are the anti-Train 

when we do our bowl thread together I have to talk him out of half the games, he will bet them all if I let him haha 

he once sent me a list with every side & most of the totals picked for every bowl game, I couldn’t believe it, he was dead serious 

I remember that list....it was 2018.....I think I hit 75%that bowl season.....the beat one was  everyone was on So Carolina -6ish.....I told you Virginia was gonna beat their ass and hold them under 10....UVA won 28-0 and everyone was shocked.....

Everyone except your boy

@TRAIN69

  I remember that, I think that is the right year, but I drink alot. But I remember making a little because of your post.

The total master strikes again

@WahooS

 that's how i feel about the oregon game. good one to leave alone. the NW game at mich st was a weird one. special teams f-ups by NW played a big part in keeping it close. then there's the chip kelly angle.

The Michigan St. game was the "Pat Fitzgerald bowl". I'm not reading too much into that game. It was no surprise that Fitzgerald wanted to stick it to his old team. The Wildcats are the real deal. The wounded Ducks are gonna have their hands full.

Originally Posted by WahooS    recommendations go 1-0 with TCu team total under 34.5 winning by a couple tuddies ........... what is your season record posting plays so far?            good luck ... i had time to read it all so far this week... 

I’ll cheer for my old homie TorontoMac (MaineRoad), he’s on ducks so quack quack