Someone has sand in their box.
You might want to look in to a valium or something.
You've been around here a while vanzack, so I certainly wouldn't expect a smart-ass reply from you. But if you do post a smart-ass reply, you have no right to complain when you get one back.
Keep the conversation constructive in the future!!!
So what if my analysis turns out to be prophetic? If this game plays out just like I said it would - which it will - will my writeup then transform into an objective one? Or is it doomed to always be biased in your opinion regardless of the outcome of the game? Or is it that the facts, and my interpretation of them don't comport to your preconceived notion of how this matchup should be?
I will attempt to help you out more time here. This entire thread can be summed by what I'm going to tell you next.
Watch Bama's games last year when they play Tennessee, Mississippi State and Auburn. This game will play out exactly like those games. Those were all games where the oppositions' offense was over-matched by Bama's defense, and all three teams played tough, physical defense. All three games were close at the half The final scores of these games were 29-9, 32-7 & 36-0. The final score of this game will be very similar.
Biased or not, I'm giving you the winner - take it or leave it!!!
WOW!!! So great to see you back dude!!! Yeah, those were the days huh? The days when I was call "delusional" for literally "BEGGING" people not to put their money on Clemson and Georgia last year. Oh snap!!! Happy days are here again, but this time in the form of VT!!!
Week 1 is sooooo great!!! We get a whole new crop of experts every year, and this year is no different. But I think I'm having more fun with them this year than ever before!!! How dull and bane my existance would be without them. It's always bitter sweet the Sunday after the game, however, because I always seem to lose so many of my new-found, "expert" friends - all of whom were just trying to look out for my best interests.
Here's to a profitable season Torreny!!!
See ya October 10th. And bring that glass of kool-aid with ya! 
Should be a very good one that's for sure!!! I wish I would see you there, but alas, I have no tickets at this point.
I have mad respect for Houston Nutt. That guy always gives Bama fits!!! Ole' Miss was very lucky to get him. The Ole' Miss game last year was the only game I bet against Bama on last year. I did quite well betting Ole' Miss last year. In fact I'm pretty sure I was undefeated. I had them against Wake, Bama, Florida (had Miss. MSU against LSU, and Bama against Georgia in a 3-teamer), LSU, MSU & Texas Tech!!! I hope they pull through for me like that again this year!!! They were friggin' 
Best of luck to you this year. October 10th should be a good one!!! Bama will be fortunate if they survive that one!!!
Having said that, the flu has been spreading and some other players have been affected. As of this writing, no other starters are sick, but this is a very fluid situation, and it certainly bears watching. The only player Bama really can't afford to lose is QB Greg McElroy. They are pretty much loaded with depth at all other positions.
Possible Julio Jones & Mark Ingram Suspensions:
Another situation that bears watching is the potential of starting WR Julio Jones & RB Mark Ingram being suspended for the first game due to a fishing trip they took together with a crippled man. I honestly think the chance of them being suspended is remote, however, the NCAA has yet to issue a ruling on the matter. It appears that if the NCAA drags its feet beyond Friday, they will play. But that is not a certainty.
Brandon Deaderick Shooting:
Lastly, as most of you know, starting DE Brandon Deaderick was shot last night in a robbery attempt. Although his injuries don't appear to be life threatening, I think there is almost no chance he plays Saturday. Bama is very deep on the DL so I think it will have a negligible effect on the game.
All of these situations bear watching between now and kickoff.
You've been around here a while vanzack, so I certainly wouldn't expect a smart-ass reply from you. But if you do post a smart-ass reply, you have no right to complain when you get one back.
Keep the conversation constructive in the future!!!
Your kidding right freak? This guy has alot of shit with him. He is an arrogant piece of shit. Gets off on putting people down and saying a whole lotta insults in this forum. Real tough guy behind the keyboard.
Your kidding right freak? This guy has alot of shit with him. He is an arrogant piece of shit. Gets off on putting people down and saying a whole lotta insults in this forum. Real tough guy behind the keyboard.
LOL!!! Thanks for the heads up. We have an internet tough guy do we? That's hillarious!!! He's probably 5' 4" and a buck 25 living in his mother's basement like most internet bullies.
I've seen him around in other posts before, so I thought I would give him the benefit of the doubt. I don't start fights, but I don't shy away from one either if provoked.
I hope you have a great year BigPapa!!!
my wife and i are in our 40's . if you really didn't get the gist of the things i posted in this thread you need to call me asap so i can school you ..
some personal history > i have had 38 people or so give me their account #s and passwords for me to bet for them and flip their $ .
i dont even see you with any contest picks to verify anything .
before you talk smack about my record in the contest picks .. i usually pick the whole board or too many selections so is no way to judge really . i pick the whole board a lot because i'm bsing .. entertainment . if you are really good like you imply in this thread WHY NOT PICK IN THE CONTEST PICKS ?
simple bottom line > you come across like this single first game of the year is SOOOO STRONG . that is a potential naive presentation whether they are good or not . any first game of the season in the nfl , mlb , ncaab , nhl , whatever CAN BE NOTHING SPECIAL !!!!! and for those that jump out there with the minus points get exactly what anyone with experience will tell you >> they get knocked in the head ... ( is normal like clockwork) tick tock .
i do hope you understand that when you give up points in any game you find yourself at a disadvantage more than not . 7 pts in an overtime scenario then what ? if you had made this thread and your selection was a dog +7 pts then there could be little debate or STATIC . not because +7 is always good but because you would then have the advantage .. any game that is tossup material (defensive battle) this would be the case .
i hope you are right though , that bama rolls . why ? so you can keep posting and feel good about it . i just hate to see people take a strong stance on a game on the strength of the year before .. bama was great last year so people take that momentum into the first game of the folloing year ... when the gd team is not even close to being the same .. lol
I'm sure you and your wife are fine, upstanding citizens, and what you bet and who you bet it for is your business. It doesn't really concern me in the least. In the same vain, what I bet is my business, and I don't seek the approval of anyone.
I have no interest whatsoever in contests. I wager to win money, not to win contests. Moreover, I have absolutely no idea how to enter a contest even if I were so inclinded.
I never implied I was really good. What I have implied is that Bama will cover and VT won't. It's one game. I might hit this one and missfire on the next 20.
Yes, I understand what it means to give up 7 points. I also understand that you think this game is a toss-up, but I know better. The final score prediction I gave in my write up was 27-3, and I stick by that. I have liken this game to the Tennessee, Mississippi State & Auburn games from last year. Those final scores were 29-9, 32-7 and 36-0 respectively. This game will be similar.
Like many of the posters on this board, you have a preconceived notion that Bama will only be a shadow of last year's team. That's because those opinions are formed primarily from college preview magazines and television. But unlike those posters, my opinion is formed not from a college preview magazine, but from personally observing the team all spring and summer. Now you must decide which you think is more accurate.
The impetus of this entire thread is to convey the message that Alabama will be a much better team than they were last year. So when you start with the correct baseline premise which is that Alabama is a much improved team, then it's easy to follow that to the same logical conclusion I have arrived at. But if you can't shake your preconcieved notion that this is a down team, then you'll never be able to reconcile my conclusion with your preconcieved notion. And that, as I see it, is pretty much where we are.
I sincerely appreciate your concern, but I've been posting here for 7 years. That won't change if I misfire on one bet. Trust me, I've misfired plenty of times in the past, and I'll misfire plenty of more times in the future.
I wish you the best of luck this year!!!
I might make a small play on them this week.
Thanks buddy!!!
It makes me sick to see what's going on in Michigan right now. I think Rich Rod is a good coach if they'll just stick with him!!! But this is a HUGE distraction that will probably have a ripple effect in recruiting as well, and Michigan just can't afford that!!!
Best of luck to you this year, and your Big Blue!!!
Thanks for your post DS. I aprreciate your posts because they are sincere and well though out. I agree we have kind of beat this thing to death and we probably won't see eye-to-eye on everything, but I certainly wouldn't discourage you from posting in the future.
I agree with everything you said about Julio. I understand how you inferred from the statement I made that I was somehow marginalizing Juio's importance to the team, but that's not really what I meant. Because I was not clear, let me try again.
The #1 player Bama cannot afford lose is Greg McElroy. There is a significant drop off past him. Star Jackson has not proven that he's a SEC caliber QB in my opinion. The loss of McElroy would have greatest negative impact for Bama in the VT game.
The #2 player that Alabama can't afford to lose is Julio. He is the best player on the team hands down, and nobody on the roster can replace him. Bama has a lot of talent at the WR position, but clearly nobody can fill his shoes. The biggest problem for Bama, if they were to lose Julio, is that much of the offensive game plan centers around him. Whoever replaces Julio will not be someone who the defense will have to dedicate additional assets to. That changes the dynamics of the game on that side of the ball significantly.
But as right as you are about Julio, you are equally wrong about Ingram and the RBs. First of all Ingram is better than Coffee, and will be a future #1 pick in the NFL draft IMO. The reason Coffee went pro was because he knew he would not get nearly the number of carries he got last year, so he decided to go pro while his stock was at it's apex. It was a very smart move on Coffee's part.
But behind Ingram is Roy Upchurch, then Terry Grant, and then Trent Richardson. Upchurch and Grant are both MORE experienced than Ingram. Upchurch (who is a senior) would have played a much bigger role in last year's offense, but he missed the 2nd half of the season with a neck injury. Terry Grant was the starting RB in Saban's first year. So both of these guys have more career carries than Ingram.
Even if Ingram plays, all the RBs in the 4-deep will get touches in the game (meaning Ingram, Upchurch, Grant & Richardson). So if Ingram doesn't play, you can just remove him from the list and the touches will default to Upchurch, Grant & Richardson. This will have absolutely ZERO effect on this game. The 2 backs that have impressed me the most have been Ingram and Grant. Both have been sensational.
With respect to the O-line, you must understand that I have watched them all spring and summer, and they are a very good unit. They are more accomplished pass blockers at this point, perhaps even better than last year's group. They are definitely not as dominiating in the run game, howeverr, but I don't really think that's even necessary to run the ball effectively.
You must also realize that this line faces a bigger (significantly bigger), stronger and faster front 7 everyday in practice. Bama's front 7 averages 6' 4" and 281 lbs. and runs the 40 in 4.79. VT's front 7 averages 6' 1" and 246 lbs. and runs the 40 in 4.83. In my opinion, with the exception of Worilds, Bama's front 7 is vastly superior to VT's. So I reason that if Bama's line can hold their own against a vastly superior front 7 in practice, I think they'll be just fine against VT's very small front 7.
Will the line make some mistakes in this game? Undoubtaly they will. Will Worilds make some plays? I have absolutely no doubt he will. He may even kill a couple of drives with a sack or two. But will this one man beat Alabama's entire offensive? I think that's very implausible.
And while you're pre-occupying yourself with the perceived weaknesses of Bama's O-line, you don't do the same for the VT O-line (which is where the real mismatches are).
*** Continued ***
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