" FINISHED WITH FINAL EXAMS ! " BOWL PICKS

Hey guys sorry for posting late. I don't have much time for a write up because the game starts in 15 minutes but I will tell you I feel very confident in this game.

3RD LARGE PLAY OF THE BOWL SEASON GOES TO:

ARIZONA WILDCATS +3

(1000 TO WIN 1000 w/ friend)

(550 TO WIN 500) 

WRITE UP: Arizona's secondary!

Go Idaho !!!!!

Go Nebraska !!!! Shut them Wildcats out !!!!!

I seriously have no play on either but I'd just like to see this mouth-running douche lose money.

Bowling Green PK     

I guess you should've bought your point here for the "+EV". I mean how often does a team hit a Hail Mary with 0:16 left, get a TD on the next play and decide to actually go for 2 and GET IT ? Oh wait.

WAHAHAHAHAHA

Updated Bowl Record (9-3) +46.35 units

Bowling Green. Tough loss. Glad I went small on it.

Congrats Idaho backers.

 Arizona. Counting it as a loss. Sorry for anyone who tailed today.

0-2 for the day losing 18.8 units

Hopefully I can turn it back around.

Looking at the games now...

Dam bra! it'll turn around..GL

Updated Bowl Record (9-4) +27.55 units {unit = $100}

Rough day. See you guys tomorrow

Hugeballz, you are the definition of a scumbag.

It's ironic how you stated that I waste all my time gambling. Let me ask you though, "What do you spend your time doing? Do you have nothing better to do than to come in my thread and make fun of me everytime I lose?"

 You should seriously get a life and just to let you know, I am on winter break right now. You must not have read the title...

... and No, I don't work for Vegas you idiot. I am just a regular college kid who wagers. There are other people on this forum that know me personally. I could care less about what you think of me but I think it is hilarious that you spend your time trying to analyze who I am. Does it bother you that much to see someone else win? Honestly, get a life man.

ilovekim: You have been a dumbass in my books ever since you tried to justify buying a point to +4 in terms of "EV". At least if you used some kind of qualitative analogy like "risk reduction" (being a box) or "marginal utility" I would have understood.

But you come in here bragging like you were God's gift to gamblers touting your picks with your long essay format analyses that some of these suckers will blindly follow and eventually lose because most degens play progressive reverse martingale the moment they start winning a bit.

I'm just stating my opinions. And in case you didn't read one of my early posts here, I have just recently graduated university in finance. Right now I'm on holidays. I'm doing some pre-requisits (easy as shit) to get into a Masters in Healthcare Administration next fall. Meanwhile I enjoy gettin laid and making fun of morans like yourself.

Huge Ballz, this will be the last time I respond to you.

First, it is ridiculous that you continue to harp on the fact that I buy points when I bet. Why does it make a difference to you whether I choose to buy points? Does it really make me a dumbass that buy points?

 Second, I never onced used the term "EV" to justify buying points and why does it make a difference whether I use "qualititative analogies". I shouldn't have to justify why I buy points in the first place.

Oh and yeah... I saw that in an effort to sound intelligent you tried using advanced termonology like "risk reduction","marginal utility" or "progressive reverse martingale".

Quit trying to sound intelligent and realize that you aren't fooling anyone! If you are going to try to use all these big words you should at least be able to use them correctly. You probably don't realize that "marginal utility" can't be used as a "qualitative analogy". Just to let you know, marginal utility is a term used in economics as a theory of "diminishing marginal returns". Utility is actually a concept that is quantitative because it can be measured as increasing or diminishing. Get a fuckin clue!

 I could care less what degree you are pursuing because you sound like a complete MORON! Yeah, for got to mention that. "Moron" is spelled with an O.

ilovekim I'm liking Tenn +6 and Under 49.5 the best for tomorrow what do you think........thanks my friend

Bowl Record (9-4) +27.55 units

Terrible day yesterday losing almost 19 units. Good thing is I am still up almost 28 units which I will be putting all at risk today. Wish me luck!

Air Force +5 (440 to win 400)

I backed Air Force last year in this same bowl and remember being very pissed off. In that game, Air force missed two field goals and Houston ended up covering the spread by two points. Well, I am backing Air Force again this year. Comparing the 2009 and 2008 teams, I think that Air Force has greatly improved. After last year's bowl defeat, I can only imagine that the Air Force players can't wait to play Houston again.

On the other side, I question whether Houston has any motivation for this matchup. Houston was ranked in the top 15 for a chunk of the season and ff it weren't for the upset loss in their Conference USA championship game, Houston would be playing in a much bigger bowl. In my opinion, that is pretty disappointing and I think it will show.

Missouri - 6 (480 to win 400)

Although it was a rebuilding season for Missouri, they were still able to finish with an 8-4 record. Of their four losses, three were consecutively schedule games to Nebraska, Oklahoma St, and Texas. Navy played extremely well throughout the year but I think they have a tough match up here. Missouri boasts the 12th best rushing defense in the country and Navy heavily relies on their rushing attack. I think Missouri will be able to move the ball at will and win easily.

Oklahoma Sooners -10 (770 to win 700)

There seems to be a lot of hype in this game for Stanford since Toby Gerhart ranked second in Heisman voting. Gerhart is a great back but I don't think he has ever played against a defense as physical as Oklahoma's. A lot of Stanford's success came from Andrew Luck's ability as a mobile QB. Well, Luck will most likely be out this game due to surgery. Without a dual threat, I think Oklahoma's physical defense will be able to shut down Stanford and dominate this game from start to finish.

Virginia Tech -5 (1320 to win 1100)

I really like Virginia Tech in this match up. The hokies are 0-4 in their last four games against SEC opponents and have all the motivation in the world to finally win. One of Virginia tech's biggest strengths is their special teams and special teams is one of Tennessee's weak spots. While Virginia Tech will definitely be amped to play in this game, I question whether Tennessee will be. Tennessee has three players who are set to enter the NFL next season and after all the off-field drama going on with the program, I question how focused they will be. I look for Virginia Tech to get the W here and cover.

There you have it. All my profits are in and all I can do now is watch the roll get bigger or go back to the drawing board.