Posted:
#51
Then I said to bet live you have to be fast and have balls. And that was before the win...so do ya think I bet it
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NCAA WEEK 9 (( 151 ))
Posted:
#54
Delawares defense stepped up.....they fooled me. I bet live wky over after they were going right down the field it looked like I was going to be wrong on my write up....and some said wky was a huge bet. Pod. I just tried to give a reason why delaware could win....I think losing like they did last year was a big reason why. Players remember...I always did. And again a team starts as a 2.5 pt favorite...money makes the dog a 2.5 pt fav. And the original favorite wins and covers the original spread....never said lock....or sure thing...just my reasoning.
Wky might come back
151
Posted:
#55
Hope missouri st holds on just because i had an opinion. And if ya played the over i hope ya grabbed 55.5. ....I said you can get 55.5. Always important to get best line. And if your afraid to cancel a bet and take a point lower because your worried about losing 8.00 or whatever. Or you think what are the odds that it will land on that one number...lol. then you haven't been betting a long time. Over 45 yrs its happened a lot. Always get the better line. Dont listen to tightwads ...
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Posted:
#58
RUM, no reason for name calling or you write the Lord's name in vain, WOW. If we are to assume every time you say a number that you bet it like the over 20.5, then I guarantee you took a lot of those over totals you mentioned, 56.5, 57.5, 68.5 and lost money also in this game, re-read your own posts. Two other guys can't understand your reasoning either and asked you clarification, and many others in other threads. You going to GD everyone else that tries to understand your post? I just ask questions others are wondering also, trust me.
Posted:
#64
@CabernetTrey
Well when I posted it was back to 55.5 which it did go to with lots of time. You should cancel your wager take the small loss and re bet at 55.5. Now I understand some cant or wont...but I promise you. As you all know I buy down or up to get a better number. I promise you I do it anytime I can. ...i certainly am not going to tell people they can get 55.5 and not do it myself...its a thing people like to get on me about. Spending extra juice. Well when you end up winning games you could have lost it pays for it self and in hoops it happens a lot. If you bet 110 at 56.5. But gave up 10 to get 55.5 you just made 210.00. Instead of losing 110 you won 100. That is 20 more times you can spend 10.00 extra and you would have to lose all 20 to be even. Keep track once. Last year in hoops I had like 30 games where I won but could have lost. Because hardrock has all half pt lines....thats like a 6000.00 swing. These people who say how dumb it is to pay 120. -130. ?? How many of those won? Or won when it should have lost. ..knowing what numbers to try and get helps....only when you think it could matter....i didnt spend juice last night to get 3.5 because I felt good about delaware. ..realize how much money it took to move that line 5 points....i was shocked at how well delawares defense started playing...but they shut that team down for 3 qtrs.....its what y I hate posting live...it takes time ..lines move fast. Its why I say make your own mind up.......watch ..it did look like wky would go over 31.5 after 14 points and moving right down the field. . . Lines move get the better line. Last night's total was strange. Opens 58.5..next morning 55.5. Next morning 57.5...1 hour before game 55.5 again. Looked like it would be 85 pts scoored. Maybe try a middle. Its up to you. I kept saying this could go higher but posted i had enough bets when it was 21-14 early in 2nd. ....its hard to post doing live bets.
Again always get your best line. The chances of losing if ya don't? Well last night is an example.
Gl everyone. Just glad delaware came thru. I had some good angles I thought as to why they could win. Minicucci is a very good qb. When he can run too. Even better.
Gl
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Posted:
#68
I find iT amazing that after all this time, people on here continue to bash RUM. Why???? If you don't like what he says DON"T FOLLOW! Mr. Cabernet, you are a jerk! And if you think your being cute or whatever you're not. Nobody on here appreciates your comments, so either keep the negative crap to yourself or go somewhere else. I appreciate the POSITIVE banter and most of all appreciate RUM who takes allot of time to write up his thoughts and share them.
Posted:
#71
@Hammer102
Well id rather live bet stuff like that....but JMU 1st half seems good. Just based on their last 2 home games. .I have been gone all day but would like to see what the past couple of years have been like between these 2....always worry about teams pulling ahead then slowing down....Troy's been a decent team in recent years their defense was usually pretty good, but not sure how they have been ...don't think i have bet a game of theirs yet....ill be home by 4. Going to start looking to see if I like anything or not.....to everyone. There are many decent cappers in here...nobody is perfect...my thing has always been i bet a lot of games...but have managed to still do well....I look at a lot of games and end up liking more games....ill always say its much harder winning 63% betting 250 games than going 42-20 ...I have always been like that....wait till hoops...lol. I don't tell people to bet my games....I don't have a lock...or a huge play...well had 1 this year that won....but just how I am. And usually I try to say why I like it...thats it
Wishing everyone the best.
Gl
151
Posted:
#73
well here we are again Kennesaw st at MTSU MTSU has won last 2 , last week beating FIU @ FIU as a dog, and kennesaw st has had issues and they do have injuries, where MTSU has 1 player ?? their TE Galloway and Kennesaw st is missing a few with a few ?
Kenn st OL DL, WR out 3 others ?
again a weird line movement as everyone or most are on Kenn st , so why?? MTSU on 2 game win streak, at home, better qb, no injuries well i think it has a lot to do with trends as MTSU is 0-13 ats after FIU...and are 0-12 ats after a str up dog win i do not see where on paper, if your breaking it down you see advantages for Kennesaw st now if MTSU has a night where they turn it over 3-4 times and Kenn st has 0 and they lose well you cannot know that before the game, i was looking for some write ups explaining why anyone likes Kenn st have not seen any but maybe they are out there, and again we have a game where a small favorite usually under 2.5 ptsnow becomes the small dog of under 2.5 pts ,
Last year MTSU played at Kennesaw st and were a 7 pt dog and lost by 8 24-16 , so there is some revenge here for MTSU, in that game MTSU outgained Kennesaw st on offense 460 yds to 332 yds , MTSU had 2 turnovers a fumble and a INT , while Kenn st had just a fumble , Kennesaw st jumped on them last year at home scoring 21 1st qtr points and leading 21-3 after the 1st qtr, .....in the game MTSU fumbled on their 2nd play of the game and gave Kenn st a short field and they took a 30 yd drive to go up 7-0...next drive MTSU punted and Kenn st had a 87 yd drive capped off by a 53 yd td pass to go up 14-0 in the 1st 6 mins of the game, next drive MTSU punted and Kenn st had a 3 play 62 yd drive ending with a 29 yd td pass it was 21-3 ...then Kenn st fumbled and gave a short field to MTSU who took it 30 yds for a td 21-10 , then they got it to 21-16, they added a fg 24-16 and MTSU with 6 mins left took the ball to the 10 yd line of Kenn st and with under 4 a fg was not going to help so they went for it on 4th and turned it over on downs .....
Last week MTSU rushed for 249 yds vs a good FIU defense, and they won on the road with no help, they did not get any turnovers to help them score played really well i think
i am going to take MTSU at home +1.5 i just do not see why Kennesaw became a fav, unless there is an injury i do not know about , yes trends are going against me here, but i like how they have played last 2 and at home, and if they can run like last week they should win this, now i cant do anything about turnovers, i cant guess, they outgained them last year by 130 yds on offense , came back and had a shot to tie it with under 4 to go ....revenge then my theory on small fav to small dog which has been working if they do not turn it over and help Kenn st they should win this i think by 5-8 pts if they give up short fields, or turn it over in the red zone to keep from scoring we all know what can happen , just think the better team should win, those trends maybe can be broken...lol
also last night had an opinion on Missouri st
MTSU +1.5
gl
151
Posted:
#74
Jax st at NM st NM st hard team to read, not very good but have had a good moment or 2 Jax st much better team, good offense, NM st gave up like 24 pts to SHSU who cannot score at all i would maybe side with Jax st on the road off the bye week also, coming off a 3 pt win at home over FIU as a push in that game 27-24 i think they should be able to score enough, NM st can play defense and they are 9-1 at home on weekdays but did lose this year at home to wky 2 weeks ago..but NM st is 5-0 as dogs off a strup dog win which they did last week at SHSU so now t be honest could see going either way but i do think Jax st is the better team on offense .......
opinion only neither
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